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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Off EXP
12.61
Off EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
#18
Def EXP
-13.71
Def EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
#15
Net EXP
-1.10
Net EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
Record
3-5
Pythag 8.4 (-5.4)
Power Rating
100.7
#16
SRS
−0.67
#17
SoS Rank
#5
pts: +1.6 (#8)
#5
Pts / Game
24.4
Home 19.5 · Road 23.3
Points scored — 5-year weekly trajectory
#10
Net Pts / G
−2.3
#21
Pts Allowed / G
24.7
Home 28.8 · Road 18.5
Points allowed — 5-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#20
Yds / Play
5.60
#11
Yds/Play Allowed
5.20
#12
3rd Down %
38.1%
#20
3rd Down % Allowed
42.4%
#23

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 171 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2026. Click Details for full breakdown.

75.0%
#24 of 32
94.0%
#19 of 32
0 / 0
#12 of 32
Return Yards
936
#15 of 32

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2026.

57
#4 of 32
37
#9 of 32
38
#10 of 32
9
#6 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2026. Higher = better.

-39.2
#29 of 32
-5.4
#12 of 32
-2.1
#30 of 32
-7.05
#32 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2026 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

1,491
#29 of 32
917
#11 of 32
1,491
#29 of 32
917
#11 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2026. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

48
#7 of 32
450
#17 of 32
Yds / Game
56.2
#13 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2026 vs 2025.

Penalties Yds819425-394
Pass Sacked Yds18097-83
Penalties10845-63

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2022 through 2026. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Ranked in all 300 stats, 2026

Last game — Week 8, 2026

L at TB · 0–16
ATL failed to cover.

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2026.

Cmp %
63.7%
#19
Pass Yds/G
172.8
#22
Pass Rating
87.9
#23
Pass TD
10
#17
Pass Int
7
#28
Sack Rate
7.4%

Weekly Results

Per-week results, scores, and ATS outcome. See the Weekly Results candlestick below for visual season trajectory.

1@ PITL13-20L———
2vs CARL3-34L———
3@ GBW35-14W———
4@ NOW45-24W———
5vs BALL23-30L———
6vs CHIL23-31L———
7vs SFW29-20W———
8@ TBL0-16L———
9———————
10———————
11———————
12———————
13———————
14———————
15———————
16———————
17———————
18———————

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 8 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2026. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

PITPittsburgh Steelers10-10-10-1-7.0-0.5
CARCarolina Panthers10-10-10-1-31.0-28.5
GBGreen Bay Packers11-01-01-0+21.0+25.5
NONew Orleans Saints11-01-01-0+21.0+22.5
BALBaltimore Ravens10-10-11-0-7.0-10.5
CHIChicago Bears10-10-11-0-8.0-6.5
SFSan Francisco 49ers11-01-00-1+9.0+11.5
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers10-10-10-1-16.0-13.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep31-21-21-233%
Oct42-22-23-150%
Nov10-10-10-10%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu11-01-01-0100%
Sun61-51-52-417%
Mon11-01-01-0100%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)83-53-54-438%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass31-21-21-233%
Turf52-32-33-240%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same division31-21-21-233%
Same conference32-12-12-167%
Inter-conference20-20-21-10%

Weather

Weather data not yet available for this season.

Data coverage: 2015 onward.

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUL1
ATSL1
O/UU2

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak2
Longest SU loss streak2
Longest ATS cover2
Longest ATS no-cover2
Longest O streak4
Longest U streak2

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win31-21-22-133%
After a loss42-22-22-250%
On 2+ winning streak10-10-11-00%
On 2+ losing streak22-02-01-1100%
vs winning opp.31-21-22-133%
vs losing opp.31-21-21-233%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor31-21-21-233%
Dome11-01-01-0100%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home41-31-32-225%
Domestic road42-22-22-250%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)41-31-32-225%
Short (<500)21-11-11-150%
Medium (500-1500)21-11-11-150%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)11-01-01-0100%
Standard (5-7d)51-41-42-320%
Bye+ (11+d)11-01-01-0100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 1-23 G
OctATS 2-24 G
NovATS 0-11 G
By day of week
ThuATS 1-01 G
SunATS 1-56 G
MonATS 1-01 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G
By surface
GrassATS 1-23 G
TurfATS 2-35 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same divisionATS 1-23 G
Same conferenceATS 2-13 G
Inter-conferenceATS 0-22 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 1-23 G
DomeATS 1-01 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 1-34 G
Domestic roadATS 2-24 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 1-34 G
Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-12 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G
Standard (5-7d)ATS 1-45 G
Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G
By opponent SRS
Elite (1-8)ATS 1-12 G
Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-23 G
Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-12 G
Weak (25-32)ATS 0-11 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 14.9 ptsBias +0.0 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)3-50.567 #524.424.712.61-13.71
Carolina Panthers (CAR)3-40.526 #1226.527.724.86-20.88
New Orleans Saints (NO)2-50.620 #223.127.714.55-47.20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)3-50.594 #423.121.6-24.3133.86

Insights

As of week 7, how the 2026 Atlanta Falcons rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yards after contact per carry (1st of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (2nd of 32), and offensive qb pressure rate faced (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to throw (32nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (32nd of 32), and offensive avg time to pressure (31st of 32).