LAC at BAL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes BAL the better side by 7.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened BAL -1.5
Now BAL -5.5 — BAL favoured by 4 more since first recorded
Line history: BAL -1.5 (Nov 6) · BAL -5.5 ×3 (Nov 9–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | LAC | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 0-8 · ATS 0-7-1 · O/U 2-6 | SU 4-5 · ATS 2-6-1 · O/U 5-4 |
| At home | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-4 · O/U 1-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 0-4 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 3-2 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| As favourite | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| As underdog | SU 0-6 · ATS 0-5-1 · O/U 2-4 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 3-1 |
| In division | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 0-3 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| Out of division | SU 0-5 · ATS 0-4-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 4-3 · ATS 2-4-1 · O/U 4-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-3 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 3-2 | |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | LAC | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 130 | 156 |
| Passing | 75 | 90 |
| Rushing | 40 | 59 |
| From penalties | 20 | 19 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 41 of 114 | 42 of 109 |
| Fourth down | 5 of 16 | 3 of 10 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,531 | 3,082 |
| Total plays | 497 | 528 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Drives | 96 | 102 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,615 | 1,842 |
| Completions | 146-275 | 165-271 |
| Yards per pass | 5.9 | 6.8 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 10 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 31 (198) | 23 (146) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 916 | 1,240 |
| Attempts | 224 | 266 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 11 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 9 of 21 | 16 of 32 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 66 (540) | 74 (539) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 18 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | 8 | 6 |
| Interceptions thrown | 11 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2024 wk 12 BAL 30, LAC 23 BAL won
- 2023 wk 12 BAL 20, LAC 10 BAL won
- 2021 wk 6 LAC 6, BAL 34 BAL won
- 2018 wk 16 BAL 22, LAC 10 BAL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (T-4th) against LAC's defense (T-26th) in rushing touchdowns.
The mismatch
- BAL's offense ranks T-4th in rushing touchdowns; LAC's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 7th in completion rate; LAC's defense ranks 27th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 12th in yards per pass attempt; LAC's defense ranks 30th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 23rd in yards per completion; BAL's defense ranks 25th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks T-29th in rushing touchdowns; BAL's defense ranks T-30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: LAC (0 wins, 8 losses), on a 8-game losing streak at BAL (4 wins, 5 losses), on a 4-game losing streak.
- LAC: opponents' penalty yards 125.0 over the last four weeks, down from 431.0 — 1st to 30th in the league.
- BAL: adjusted yards per pass attempt 3.1 over the last four weeks, down from 9.4 — 2nd to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: BAL leads LAC 4–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Justin Herbert for LAC, Tyler Huntley for BAL.
- BAL enters on 11 days rest to LAC's 8.