What Red zone pct is

Red-zone touchdown rate: red-zone trips that ended in a touchdown, divided by red-zone trips, as a percentage. The difference between seven points and three, every time the offense gets close.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Chiefs led at 61.45; the league average was 43.75.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

KC · 61.45

League average

43.75

Best to worst

61.45

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	61.45	17
2	DAL	58.33	17
3	DET	55.70	17
4	NYG	53.45	17
5	MIN	53.33	17
6	CIN	52.86	16
7	PHI	49.38	17
8	TEN	49.06	17
9	MIA	48.48	17
10	PIT	47.27	17
11	ATL	46.88	17
12	DEN	46.81	17
13	LAC	46.58	17
14	CAR	46.43	17
15	CHI	45.90	17
16	ARI	44.64	17
17	JAX	44.44	17
18	CLE	44.12	17
19	WAS	44.07	17
20	TB	43.33	17
21	BAL	40.91	17
22	GB	40.85	17
23	BUF	40.70	16
24	SF	40.48	17
25	HOU	40.00	17
26	IND	40.00	17
27	NO	39.68	17
28	NYJ	36.21	17
29	LV	34.85	17
30	SEA	34.67	17
31	NE	29.23	17
32	LAR	0.00	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 61.45

League laggard

LAR · 0.00

League average

43.75

Spread (max − min)

61.45

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	61.45	17.69	100%
2	DAL	58.33	14.58	96.8%
3	DET	55.70	11.94	93.5%
4	NYG	53.45	9.70	90.3%
5	MIN	53.33	9.58	87.1%
6	CIN	52.86	9.10	83.9%
7	PHI	49.38	5.63	80.6%
8	TEN	49.06	5.30	77.4%
9	MIA	48.48	4.73	74.2%
10	PIT	47.27	3.52	71%
11	ATL	46.88	3.12	67.7%
12	DEN	46.81	3.06	64.5%
13	LAC	46.58	2.82	61.3%
14	CAR	46.43	2.68	58.1%
15	CHI	45.90	2.15	54.8%
16	ARI	44.64	0.89	51.6%
17	JAX	44.44	0.69	48.4%
18	CLE	44.12	0.37	45.2%
19	WAS	44.07	0.32	41.9%
20	TB	43.33	-0.42	38.7%
21	BAL	40.91	-2.84	35.5%
22	GB	40.85	-2.91	32.3%
23	BUF	40.70	-3.05	29%
24	SF	40.48	-3.28	25.8%
25	HOU	40.00	-3.75	22.6%
26	IND	40.00	-3.75	19.4%
27	NO	39.68	-4.07	16.1%
28	NYJ	36.21	-7.55	12.9%
29	LV	34.85	-8.90	9.7%
30	SEA	34.67	-9.09	6.5%
31	NE	29.23	-14.52	3.2%
32	LAR	0.00	-43.75	0%

Does Red zone pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 826–752–37 ATS (52.3%) across 2020–2025, #162 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2024 (129–134, 49.0%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	140–114–2	55.1%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	131–127–14	50.8%
2024	272	129–134–9	49.0%
2025	272	134–135–3	49.8%

Red zone pct in 2022 vs 2021

Chiefs lead at 61.45 — they ranked #14 last year. Rams are last at 0.00 — #32 last year.

The league average is 43.75, down 1.96 from 45.71 last year.

Biggest riser: Giants, #31 → #4. Biggest faller: Patriots, #2 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 61.45; 27 teams are within 10.45 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DET · +19.63

Biggest faller

NE · −25.44

Most consistent

CAR · 0.00

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -1.96

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	DET	55.70	36.07	+19.63
2	NYG	53.45	34.69	+18.75
3	DAL	58.33	44.09	+14.25
4	KC	61.45	47.67	+13.77
5	CIN	52.86	41.56	+11.30
6	MIN	53.33	47.22	+6.11
7	CHI	45.90	40.00	+5.90
8	JAX	44.44	40.00	+4.44
9	HOU	40.00	36.00	+4.00
10	PIT	47.27	45.76	+1.51
11	WAS	44.07	43.75	+0.32
12	CAR	46.43	46.43	0.00
13	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00
14	ATL	46.88	47.54	−0.67
15	DEN	46.81	47.54	−0.73
16	PHI	49.38	50.67	−1.28
17	MIA	48.48	51.72	−3.24
18	TEN	49.06	52.70	−3.65
19	IND	40.00	43.90	−3.90
20	ARI	44.64	48.78	−4.14
21	CLE	44.12	50.00	−5.88
22	LAC	46.58	54.65	−8.08
23	TB	43.33	52.87	−9.54
24	NO	39.68	50.00	−10.32
25	NYJ	36.21	46.67	−10.46
26	LV	34.85	45.59	−10.74
27	SEA	34.67	45.59	−10.92
28	GB	40.85	52.38	−11.54
29	BAL	40.91	53.97	−13.06
30	SF	40.48	54.41	−13.94
31	BUF	40.70	55.81	−15.12
32	NE	29.23	54.67	−25.44

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 55.00

Multi-year laggard

LAR · 0.00

Biggest improver

IND · +3.17/yr

Biggest decliner

CLE · −3.64/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	55.00	+1.88	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
2	DET	53.00	+2.33	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
3	KC	51.28	+0.68	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
4	BUF	51.09	+1.27	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
5	BAL	50.67	+0.80	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
6	DAL	49.85	+2.97	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
7	ARI	49.71	+0.52	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
8	NO	48.99	−0.54	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
9	GB	48.81	−1.99	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
10	MIN	48.01	−2.18	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
11	WAS	47.88	+0.47	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
12	TEN	47.84	−2.48	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
13	PHI	47.80	+0.26	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
14	DEN	47.79	+0.62	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
15	MIA	47.77	−0.98	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
16	LAC	47.41	−0.03	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
17	CIN	46.81	+0.45	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
18	ATL	46.77	+1.29	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
19	CAR	46.66	+1.17	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
20	IND	46.62	+3.17	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
21	JAX	46.12	+0.68	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
22	TB	45.28	−1.21	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
23	CHI	43.93	−1.14	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
24	SEA	43.72	−0.96	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
25	CLE	43.11	−3.64	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
26	PIT	43.02	−1.59	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
27	NE	41.88	−1.12	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
28	NYG	41.37	+1.52	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
29	LV	41.30	+0.29	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
30	HOU	41.24	+1.05	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
31	NYJ	34.99	−0.95	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
32	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
DAL	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
DET	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
NYG	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
MIN	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
CIN	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
PHI	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
TEN	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
MIA	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
PIT	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
ATL	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
DEN	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
LAC	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
CAR	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
CHI	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
ARI	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
JAX	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
CLE	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
WAS	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
TB	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
BAL	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
GB	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
BUF	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
SF	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
HOU	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
IND	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
NO	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
NYJ	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
LV	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
SEA	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
NE	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Red zone pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (61.33), 2019 Colts (53.85), 2020 Saints (63.41), 2021 Bills (55.81), 2022 Chiefs (61.45).

Colts have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.

The best season on record is Saints 2020 at 63.41; the worst Rams 2018 at 0.00.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_red_zone_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.