What Red zone pct is

Red-zone touchdown rate: red-zone trips that ended in a touchdown, divided by red-zone trips, as a percentage. The difference between seven points and three, every time the offense gets close.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the 49ers led at 52.94; the league average was 42.12.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

SF · 52.94

League average

42.12

Best to worst

52.94

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	52.94	17
2	WAS	52.63	17
3	BUF	51.90	17
4	BAL	51.22	17
5	CHI	50.85	17
6	CIN	50.00	17
7	DET	48.28	17
8	ARI	48.21	17
9	NE	47.73	17
10	PHI	47.37	17
11	MIA	46.99	17
12	KC	46.48	17
13	NO	45.83	17
14	DAL	45.56	17
15	LAC	45.00	17
16	GB	44.16	17
17	CAR	43.18	17
18	HOU	42.86	17
19	DEN	41.18	17
20	CLE	40.91	17
21	ATL	39.66	17
22	TEN	39.66	17
23	IND	39.44	17
24	MIN	39.39	17
25	SEA	38.81	17
26	LV	38.71	17
27	JAX	38.57	17
28	PIT	37.74	17
29	NYG	35.19	17
30	TB	33.85	17
31	NYJ	23.53	17
32	LAR	0.00	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 52.94

League laggard

LAR · 0.00

League average

42.12

Spread (max − min)

52.94

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	52.94	10.82	100%
2	WAS	52.63	10.51	96.8%
3	BUF	51.90	9.78	93.5%
4	BAL	51.22	9.10	90.3%
5	CHI	50.85	8.73	87.1%
6	CIN	50.00	7.88	83.9%
7	DET	48.28	6.16	80.6%
8	ARI	48.21	6.10	77.4%
9	NE	47.73	5.61	74.2%
10	PHI	47.37	5.25	71%
11	MIA	46.99	4.87	67.7%
12	KC	46.48	4.36	64.5%
13	NO	45.83	3.72	61.3%
14	DAL	45.56	3.44	58.1%
15	LAC	45.00	2.88	54.8%
16	GB	44.16	2.04	51.6%
17	CAR	43.18	1.06	48.4%
18	HOU	42.86	0.74	45.2%
19	DEN	41.18	-0.94	41.9%
20	CLE	40.91	-1.21	38.7%
21	ATL	39.66	-2.46	35.5%
22	TEN	39.66	-2.46	32.3%
23	IND	39.44	-2.68	29%
24	MIN	39.39	-2.72	25.8%
25	SEA	38.81	-3.31	22.6%
26	LV	38.71	-3.41	19.4%
27	JAX	38.57	-3.55	16.1%
28	PIT	37.74	-4.38	12.9%
29	NYG	35.19	-6.93	9.7%
30	TB	33.85	-8.27	6.5%
31	NYJ	23.53	-18.59	3.2%
32	LAR	0.00	-42.12	0%

Does Red zone pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 826–752–37 ATS (52.3%) across 2020–2025, #162 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2024 (129–134, 49.0%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	140–114–2	55.1%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	131–127–14	50.8%
2024	272	129–134–9	49.0%
2025	272	134–135–3	49.8%

Red zone pct in 2023 vs 2022

49ers lead at 52.94 — they ranked #24 last year. Rams are last at 0.00 — #32 last year.

The league average is 42.12, down 1.63 from 43.75 last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #24 → #1. Biggest faller: Giants, #4 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 52.94; 28 teams are within 9.81 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NE · +18.50

Biggest faller

NYG · −18.26

Most consistent

LAR · 0.00

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -1.63

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	NE	47.73	29.23	+18.50
2	SF	52.94	40.48	+12.46
3	BUF	51.90	40.70	+11.20
4	BAL	51.22	40.91	+10.31
5	WAS	52.63	44.07	+8.56
6	NO	45.83	39.68	+6.15
7	CHI	50.85	45.90	+4.95
8	SEA	38.81	34.67	+4.14
9	LV	38.71	34.85	+3.86
10	ARI	48.21	44.64	+3.57
11	GB	44.16	40.85	+3.31
12	HOU	42.86	40.00	+2.86
13	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00
14	IND	39.44	40.00	−0.56
15	MIA	46.99	48.48	−1.50
16	LAC	45.00	46.58	−1.58
17	PHI	47.37	49.38	−2.01
18	CIN	50.00	52.86	−2.86
19	CLE	40.91	44.12	−3.21
20	CAR	43.18	46.43	−3.25
21	DEN	41.18	46.81	−5.63
22	JAX	38.57	44.44	−5.87
23	ATL	39.66	46.88	−7.22
24	DET	48.28	55.70	−7.42
25	TEN	39.66	49.06	−9.40
26	TB	33.85	43.33	−9.49
27	PIT	37.74	47.27	−9.54
28	NYJ	23.53	36.21	−12.68
29	DAL	45.56	58.33	−12.78
30	MIN	39.39	53.33	−13.94
31	KC	46.48	61.45	−14.97
32	NYG	35.19	53.45	−18.26

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 55.00

Multi-year laggard

LAR · 0.00

Biggest improver

IND · +3.17/yr

Biggest decliner

CLE · −3.64/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	55.00	+1.88	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
2	DET	53.00	+2.33	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
3	KC	51.28	+0.68	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
4	BUF	51.09	+1.27	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
5	BAL	50.67	+0.80	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
6	DAL	49.85	+2.97	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
7	ARI	49.71	+0.52	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
8	NO	48.99	−0.54	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
9	GB	48.81	−1.99	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
10	MIN	48.01	−2.18	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
11	WAS	47.88	+0.47	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
12	TEN	47.84	−2.48	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
13	PHI	47.80	+0.26	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
14	DEN	47.79	+0.62	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
15	MIA	47.77	−0.98	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
16	LAC	47.41	−0.03	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
17	CIN	46.81	+0.45	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
18	ATL	46.77	+1.29	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
19	CAR	46.66	+1.17	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
20	IND	46.62	+3.17	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
21	JAX	46.12	+0.68	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
22	TB	45.28	−1.21	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
23	CHI	43.93	−1.14	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
24	SEA	43.72	−0.96	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
25	CLE	43.11	−3.64	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
26	PIT	43.02	−1.59	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
27	NE	41.88	−1.12	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
28	NYG	41.37	+1.52	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
29	LV	41.30	+0.29	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
30	HOU	41.24	+1.05	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
31	NYJ	34.99	−0.95	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
32	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
WAS	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
BUF	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
BAL	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
CHI	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
CIN	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
DET	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
ARI	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
NE	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
PHI	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
MIA	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
KC	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
NO	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
DAL	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
LAC	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
GB	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
CAR	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
HOU	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
DEN	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
CLE	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
ATL	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
TEN	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
IND	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
MIN	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
SEA	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
LV	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
JAX	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
PIT	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
NYG	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
TB	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
NYJ	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Red zone pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (61.33), 2019 Colts (53.85), 2020 Saints (63.41), 2021 Bills (55.81), 2022 Chiefs (61.45), 2023 49ers (52.94).

Colts have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Saints 2020 at 63.41; the worst Rams 2018 at 0.00.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_red_zone_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.