What Red zone pct is

Red-zone touchdown rate: red-zone trips that ended in a touchdown, divided by red-zone trips, as a percentage. The difference between seven points and three, every time the offense gets close.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Colts led at 61.33; the league average was 44.02.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

IND · 61.33

League average

44.02

Best to worst

61.33

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	IND	61.33	16
2	NO	58.54	16
3	KC	55.43	16
4	CAR	54.41	16
5	CIN	54.24	16
6	CHI	53.62	16
7	SEA	53.42	16
8	CLE	53.23	16
9	PIT	50.70	16
10	LAC	50.00	16
11	PHI	50.00	16
12	TB	47.37	16
13	ATL	46.38	16
14	GB	45.16	16
15	BAL	45.07	16
16	ARI	44.74	16
17	DET	44.07	16
18	NE	43.42	16
19	LV	43.40	16
20	BUF	42.86	16
21	HOU	42.47	16
22	DEN	42.37	16
23	TEN	42.11	16
24	WAS	42.00	16
25	NYG	41.18	16
26	MIN	39.39	16
27	DAL	38.10	16
28	NYJ	32.26	16
29	JAX	31.25	16
30	MIA	30.19	16
31	SF	29.85	16
32	LAR	0.00	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

IND · 61.33

League laggard

LAR · 0.00

League average

44.02

Spread (max − min)

61.33

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	IND	61.33	17.32	100%
2	NO	58.54	14.52	96.8%
3	KC	55.43	11.42	93.5%
4	CAR	54.41	10.39	90.3%
5	CIN	54.24	10.22	87.1%
6	CHI	53.62	9.61	83.9%
7	SEA	53.42	9.41	80.6%
8	CLE	53.23	9.21	77.4%
9	PIT	50.70	6.69	74.2%
10	LAC	50.00	5.98	71%
11	PHI	50.00	5.98	67.7%
12	TB	47.37	3.35	64.5%
13	ATL	46.38	2.36	61.3%
14	GB	45.16	1.14	58.1%
15	BAL	45.07	1.05	54.8%
16	ARI	44.74	0.72	51.6%
17	DET	44.07	0.05	48.4%
18	NE	43.42	-0.60	45.2%
19	LV	43.40	-0.62	41.9%
20	BUF	42.86	-1.16	38.7%
21	HOU	42.47	-1.55	35.5%
22	DEN	42.37	-1.64	32.3%
23	TEN	42.11	-1.91	29%
24	WAS	42.00	-2.02	25.8%
25	NYG	41.18	-2.84	22.6%
26	MIN	39.39	-4.62	19.4%
27	DAL	38.10	-5.92	16.1%
28	NYJ	32.26	-11.76	12.9%
29	JAX	31.25	-12.77	9.7%
30	MIA	30.19	-13.83	6.5%
31	SF	29.85	-14.17	3.2%
32	LAR	0.00	-44.02	0%

Does Red zone pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 826–752–37 ATS (52.3%) across 2020–2025, #162 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2024 (129–134, 49.0%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	140–114–2	55.1%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	131–127–14	50.8%
2024	272	129–134–9	49.0%
2025	272	134–135–3	49.8%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 55.00

Multi-year laggard

LAR · 0.00

Biggest improver

IND · +3.17/yr

Biggest decliner

CLE · −3.64/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	55.00	+1.88	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
2	DET	53.00	+2.33	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
3	KC	51.28	+0.68	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
4	BUF	51.09	+1.27	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
5	BAL	50.67	+0.80	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
6	DAL	49.85	+2.97	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
7	ARI	49.71	+0.52	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
8	NO	48.99	−0.54	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
9	GB	48.81	−1.99	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
10	MIN	48.01	−2.18	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
11	WAS	47.88	+0.47	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
12	TEN	47.84	−2.48	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
13	PHI	47.80	+0.26	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
14	DEN	47.79	+0.62	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
15	MIA	47.77	−0.98	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
16	LAC	47.41	−0.03	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
17	CIN	46.81	+0.45	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
18	ATL	46.77	+1.29	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
19	CAR	46.66	+1.17	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
20	IND	46.62	+3.17	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
21	JAX	46.12	+0.68	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
22	TB	45.28	−1.21	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
23	CHI	43.93	−1.14	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
24	SEA	43.72	−0.96	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
25	CLE	43.11	−3.64	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
26	PIT	43.02	−1.59	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
27	NE	41.88	−1.12	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
28	NYG	41.37	+1.52	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
29	LV	41.30	+0.29	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
30	HOU	41.24	+1.05	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
31	NYJ	34.99	−0.95	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
32	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DAL	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
NO	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
SF	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
DET	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
BAL	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
IND	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
ARI	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
KC	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
LAC	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
NYG	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
BUF	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
CAR	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
ATL	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
DEN	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
HOU	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
LV	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
SEA	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
JAX	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
PHI	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
TEN	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
MIA	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
TB	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
GB	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
MIN	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
NE	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
CIN	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
WAS	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
PIT	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
CHI	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
CLE	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
NYJ	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_red_zone_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.