What Red zone pct is

Red-zone touchdown rate: red-zone trips that ended in a touchdown, divided by red-zone trips, as a percentage. The difference between seven points and three, every time the offense gets close.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Colts led at 53.85; the league average was 42.82.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

IND · 53.85

League average

42.82

Best to worst

53.85

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	IND	53.85	16
2	SEA	53.52	16
3	PHI	52.94	16
4	GB	52.38	16
5	BAL	51.72	16
6	HOU	51.52	16
7	TEN	50.75	16
8	MIA	50.00	16
9	MIN	48.57	16
10	CAR	48.33	16
11	TB	48.00	16
12	CLE	46.77	16
13	LAC	45.16	16
14	ATL	45.07	16
15	BUF	44.83	16
16	CHI	44.44	16
17	DAL	44.44	16
18	LV	44.44	16
19	NO	43.04	16
20	DET	42.86	16
21	WAS	40.82	16
22	NE	40.74	16
23	ARI	40.30	16
24	DEN	39.22	16
25	SF	39.08	16
26	NYJ	38.78	16
27	NYG	38.71	16
28	CIN	36.84	16
29	KC	34.25	16
30	JAX	33.33	16
31	PIT	25.45	16
32	LAR	0.00	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

IND · 53.85

League laggard

LAR · 0.00

League average

42.82

Spread (max − min)

53.85

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	IND	53.85	11.03	100%
2	SEA	53.52	10.70	96.8%
3	PHI	52.94	10.12	93.5%
4	GB	52.38	9.56	90.3%
5	BAL	51.72	8.91	87.1%
6	HOU	51.52	8.70	83.9%
7	TEN	50.75	7.93	80.6%
8	MIA	50.00	7.18	77.4%
9	MIN	48.57	5.75	74.2%
10	CAR	48.33	5.52	71%
11	TB	48.00	5.18	67.7%
12	CLE	46.77	3.96	64.5%
13	LAC	45.16	2.34	61.3%
14	ATL	45.07	2.25	58.1%
15	BUF	44.83	2.01	54.8%
16	CHI	44.44	1.63	51.6%
17	DAL	44.44	1.63	48.4%
18	LV	44.44	1.63	45.2%
19	NO	43.04	0.22	41.9%
20	DET	42.86	0.04	38.7%
21	WAS	40.82	-2.00	35.5%
22	NE	40.74	-2.08	32.3%
23	ARI	40.30	-2.52	29%
24	DEN	39.22	-3.60	25.8%
25	SF	39.08	-3.74	22.6%
26	NYJ	38.78	-4.04	19.4%
27	NYG	38.71	-4.11	16.1%
28	CIN	36.84	-5.98	12.9%
29	KC	34.25	-8.57	9.7%
30	JAX	33.33	-9.48	6.5%
31	PIT	25.45	-17.36	3.2%
32	LAR	0.00	-42.82	0%

Does Red zone pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 826–752–37 ATS (52.3%) across 2020–2025, #162 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2024 (129–134, 49.0%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	140–114–2	55.1%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	131–127–14	50.8%
2024	272	129–134–9	49.0%
2025	272	134–135–3	49.8%

Red zone pct in 2019 vs 2018

Colts lead at 53.85 — they ranked #1 last year. Rams are last at 0.00 — #32 last year.

The league average is 42.82, down 1.20 from 44.02 last year.

Biggest riser: Dolphins, #30 → #8. Biggest faller: Chiefs, #3 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 53.85; 27 teams are within 10.06 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIA · +19.81

Biggest faller

PIT · −25.25

Most consistent

LAR · 0.00

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▼ -1.20

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	MIA	50.00	30.19	+19.81
2	SF	39.08	29.85	+9.23
3	MIN	48.57	39.39	+9.18
4	HOU	51.52	42.47	+9.05
5	TEN	50.75	42.11	+8.64
6	GB	52.38	45.16	+7.22
7	BAL	51.72	45.07	+6.65
8	NYJ	38.78	32.26	+6.52
9	DAL	44.44	38.10	+6.35
10	PHI	52.94	50.00	+2.94
11	JAX	33.33	31.25	+2.08
12	BUF	44.83	42.86	+1.97
13	LV	44.44	43.40	+1.05
14	TB	48.00	47.37	+0.63
15	SEA	53.52	53.42	+0.10
16	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00
17	WAS	40.82	42.00	−1.18
18	DET	42.86	44.07	−1.21
19	ATL	45.07	46.38	−1.31
20	NYG	38.71	41.18	−2.47
21	NE	40.74	43.42	−2.68
22	DEN	39.22	42.37	−3.16
23	ARI	40.30	44.74	−4.44
24	LAC	45.16	50.00	−4.84
25	CAR	48.33	54.41	−6.08
26	CLE	46.77	53.23	−6.45
27	IND	53.85	61.33	−7.49
28	CHI	44.44	53.62	−9.18
29	NO	43.04	58.54	−15.50
30	CIN	36.84	54.24	−17.40
31	KC	34.25	55.43	−21.19
32	PIT	25.45	50.70	−25.25

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 55.00

Multi-year laggard

LAR · 0.00

Biggest improver

IND · +3.17/yr

Biggest decliner

CLE · −3.64/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	55.00	+1.88	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
2	DET	53.00	+2.33	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
3	KC	51.28	+0.68	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
4	BUF	51.09	+1.27	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
5	BAL	50.67	+0.80	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
6	DAL	49.85	+2.97	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
7	ARI	49.71	+0.52	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
8	NO	48.99	−0.54	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
9	GB	48.81	−1.99	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
10	MIN	48.01	−2.18	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
11	WAS	47.88	+0.47	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
12	TEN	47.84	−2.48	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
13	PHI	47.80	+0.26	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
14	DEN	47.79	+0.62	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
15	MIA	47.77	−0.98	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
16	LAC	47.41	−0.03	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
17	CIN	46.81	+0.45	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
18	ATL	46.77	+1.29	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
19	CAR	46.66	+1.17	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
20	IND	46.62	+3.17	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
21	JAX	46.12	+0.68	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
22	TB	45.28	−1.21	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
23	CHI	43.93	−1.14	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
24	SEA	43.72	−0.96	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
25	CLE	43.11	−3.64	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
26	PIT	43.02	−1.59	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
27	NE	41.88	−1.12	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
28	NYG	41.37	+1.52	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
29	LV	41.30	+0.29	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
30	HOU	41.24	+1.05	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
31	NYJ	34.99	−0.95	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
32	LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DAL	42.03	44.09	58.33	45.56	37.10	46.84	75.00
NO	63.41	50.00	39.68	45.83	41.67	33.90	68.42
SF	57.81	54.41	40.48	52.94	51.43	59.72	68.18
DET	56.25	36.07	55.70	48.28	55.43	51.25	68.00
BAL	50.00	53.97	40.91	51.22	59.52	35.44	63.64
IND	42.17	43.90	40.00	39.44	41.18	57.14	62.50
ARI	53.52	48.78	44.64	48.21	46.38	48.57	57.89
KC	48.15	47.67	61.45	46.48	47.30	50.75	57.14
LAC	46.38	54.65	46.58	45.00	41.54	40.58	57.14
NYG	38.00	34.69	53.45	35.19	33.33	38.67	56.25
BUF	46.07	55.81	40.70	51.90	55.81	51.76	55.56
CAR	42.65	46.43	46.43	43.18	50.82	42.11	55.00
ATL	43.66	47.54	46.88	39.66	43.28	53.45	52.94
DEN	48.21	47.54	46.81	41.18	50.70	47.14	52.94
HOU	41.18	36.00	40.00	42.86	42.42	36.23	50.00
LV	42.86	45.59	34.85	38.71	39.29	40.00	47.83
SEA	56.16	45.59	34.67	38.81	41.94	41.03	47.83
JAX	50.91	40.00	44.44	38.57	49.09	52.44	47.37
PHI	43.75	50.67	49.38	47.37	44.71	51.67	47.06
TEN	61.54	52.70	49.06	39.66	40.35	45.45	46.15
MIA	48.57	51.72	48.48	46.99	50.00	45.76	42.86
TB	49.41	52.87	43.33	33.85	53.57	41.79	42.11
GB	61.54	52.38	40.85	44.16	51.85	50.00	40.91
MIN	60.27	47.22	53.33	39.39	44.16	51.72	40.00
NE	44.07	54.67	29.23	47.73	35.59	41.86	40.00
CIN	41.67	41.56	52.86	50.00	48.75	53.73	39.13
WAS	45.76	43.75	44.07	52.63	54.88	55.17	38.89
PIT	47.89	45.76	47.27	37.74	42.42	44.78	35.29
CHI	46.97	40.00	45.90	50.85	46.00	44.44	33.33
CLE	57.97	50.00	44.12	40.91	34.62	40.82	33.33
NYJ	31.48	46.67	36.21	23.53	46.15	31.48	29.41
LAR	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Red zone pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (61.33), 2019 Colts (53.85).

Colts have led this stat 2 of 2 seasons.

The best season on record is Colts 2018 at 61.33; the worst Rams 2018 at 0.00.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_red_zone_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.