Offensive: Conversions · Red zone pct
What Red zone pct is
Red-zone touchdown rate: red-zone trips that ended in a touchdown, divided by red-zone trips, as a percentage. The difference between seven points and three, every time the offense gets close.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2024 the Ravens led at 59.52; the league average was 44.42.
League snapshot — 2024
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 59.52 | 17 |
| 2 | BUF | 55.81 | 17 |
| 3 | DET | 55.43 | 17 |
| 4 | WAS | 54.88 | 17 |
| 5 | TB | 53.57 | 17 |
| 6 | GB | 51.85 | 17 |
| 7 | SF | 51.43 | 17 |
| 8 | CAR | 50.82 | 17 |
| 9 | DEN | 50.70 | 17 |
| 10 | MIA | 50.00 | 17 |
| 11 | JAX | 49.09 | 17 |
| 12 | CIN | 48.75 | 17 |
| 13 | KC | 47.30 | 17 |
| 14 | ARI | 46.38 | 17 |
| 15 | NYJ | 46.15 | 17 |
| 16 | CHI | 46.00 | 17 |
| 17 | PHI | 44.71 | 17 |
| 18 | MIN | 44.16 | 17 |
| 19 | ATL | 43.28 | 17 |
| 20 | HOU | 42.42 | 17 |
| 21 | PIT | 42.42 | 17 |
| 22 | SEA | 41.94 | 17 |
| 23 | NO | 41.67 | 17 |
| 24 | LAC | 41.54 | 17 |
| 25 | IND | 41.18 | 17 |
| 26 | TEN | 40.35 | 17 |
| 27 | LV | 39.29 | 17 |
| 28 | DAL | 37.10 | 17 |
| 29 | NE | 35.59 | 17 |
| 30 | CLE | 34.62 | 17 |
| 31 | NYG | 33.33 | 17 |
| 32 | LAR | 0.00 | 17 |
At a glance — 2024
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2024
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 59.52 | 15.11 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 55.81 | 11.40 | 96.8% |
| 3 | DET | 55.43 | 11.02 | 93.5% |
| 4 | WAS | 54.88 | 10.46 | 90.3% |
| 5 | TB | 53.57 | 9.16 | 87.1% |
| 6 | GB | 51.85 | 7.44 | 83.9% |
| 7 | SF | 51.43 | 7.01 | 80.6% |
| 8 | CAR | 50.82 | 6.40 | 77.4% |
| 9 | DEN | 50.70 | 6.29 | 74.2% |
| 10 | MIA | 50.00 | 5.58 | 71% |
| 11 | JAX | 49.09 | 4.68 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CIN | 48.75 | 4.33 | 64.5% |
| 13 | KC | 47.30 | 2.88 | 61.3% |
| 14 | ARI | 46.38 | 1.96 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NYJ | 46.15 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| 16 | CHI | 46.00 | 1.58 | 51.6% |
| 17 | PHI | 44.71 | 0.29 | 48.4% |
| 18 | MIN | 44.16 | -0.26 | 45.2% |
| 19 | ATL | 43.28 | -1.13 | 41.9% |
| 20 | HOU | 42.42 | -1.99 | 38.7% |
| 21 | PIT | 42.42 | -1.99 | 35.5% |
| 22 | SEA | 41.94 | -2.48 | 32.3% |
| 23 | NO | 41.67 | -2.75 | 29% |
| 24 | LAC | 41.54 | -2.88 | 25.8% |
| 25 | IND | 41.18 | -3.24 | 22.6% |
| 26 | TEN | 40.35 | -4.06 | 19.4% |
| 27 | LV | 39.29 | -5.13 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DAL | 37.10 | -7.32 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NE | 35.59 | -8.82 | 9.7% |
| 30 | CLE | 34.62 | -9.80 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NYG | 33.33 | -11.08 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | 0.00 | -44.42 | 0% |
Does Red zone pct matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 826–752–37 ATS (52.3%) across 2020–2025, #162 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2024 (129–134, 49.0%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 140–114–2 | 55.1% |
| 2021 | 272 | 139–131–2 | 51.5% |
| 2022 | 271 | 153–111–7 | 58.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 131–127–14 | 50.8% |
| 2024 | 272 | 129–134–9 | 49.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 134–135–3 | 49.8% |
Red zone pct in 2024 vs 2023
Ravens lead at 59.52 — they ranked #4 last year. Rams are last at 0.00 — #32 last year.
The league average is 44.42, up 2.30 from 42.12 last year.
Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #30 → #5. Biggest faller: Patriots, #9 → #29.
Spread between first and last: 59.52; 26 teams are within 10.24 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2024 vs 2023
| Rank | Team | 2024 | 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 46.15 | 23.53 | +22.62 |
| 2 | TB | 53.57 | 33.85 | +19.73 |
| 3 | JAX | 49.09 | 38.57 | +10.52 |
| 4 | DEN | 50.70 | 41.18 | +9.53 |
| 5 | BAL | 59.52 | 51.22 | +8.30 |
| 6 | GB | 51.85 | 44.16 | +7.70 |
| 7 | CAR | 50.82 | 43.18 | +7.64 |
| 8 | DET | 55.43 | 48.28 | +7.16 |
| 9 | MIN | 44.16 | 39.39 | +4.76 |
| 10 | PIT | 42.42 | 37.74 | +4.69 |
| 11 | BUF | 55.81 | 51.90 | +3.92 |
| 12 | ATL | 43.28 | 39.66 | +3.63 |
| 13 | SEA | 41.94 | 38.81 | +3.13 |
| 14 | MIA | 50.00 | 46.99 | +3.01 |
| 15 | WAS | 54.88 | 52.63 | +2.25 |
| 16 | IND | 41.18 | 39.44 | +1.74 |
| 17 | KC | 47.30 | 46.48 | +0.82 |
| 18 | TEN | 40.35 | 39.66 | +0.70 |
| 19 | LV | 39.29 | 38.71 | +0.58 |
| 20 | LAR | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 21 | HOU | 42.42 | 42.86 | −0.43 |
| 22 | CIN | 48.75 | 50.00 | −1.25 |
| 23 | SF | 51.43 | 52.94 | −1.51 |
| 24 | ARI | 46.38 | 48.21 | −1.84 |
| 25 | NYG | 33.33 | 35.19 | −1.85 |
| 26 | PHI | 44.71 | 47.37 | −2.66 |
| 27 | LAC | 41.54 | 45.00 | −3.46 |
| 28 | NO | 41.67 | 45.83 | −4.17 |
| 29 | CHI | 46.00 | 50.85 | −4.85 |
| 30 | CLE | 34.62 | 40.91 | −6.29 |
| 31 | DAL | 37.10 | 45.56 | −8.46 |
| 32 | NE | 35.59 | 47.73 | −12.13 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 55.00 | +1.88 | 57.81 | 54.41 | 40.48 | 52.94 | 51.43 | 59.72 | 68.18 |
| 2 | DET | 53.00 | +2.33 | 56.25 | 36.07 | 55.70 | 48.28 | 55.43 | 51.25 | 68.00 |
| 3 | KC | 51.28 | +0.68 | 48.15 | 47.67 | 61.45 | 46.48 | 47.30 | 50.75 | 57.14 |
| 4 | BUF | 51.09 | +1.27 | 46.07 | 55.81 | 40.70 | 51.90 | 55.81 | 51.76 | 55.56 |
| 5 | BAL | 50.67 | +0.80 | 50.00 | 53.97 | 40.91 | 51.22 | 59.52 | 35.44 | 63.64 |
| 6 | DAL | 49.85 | +2.97 | 42.03 | 44.09 | 58.33 | 45.56 | 37.10 | 46.84 | 75.00 |
| 7 | ARI | 49.71 | +0.52 | 53.52 | 48.78 | 44.64 | 48.21 | 46.38 | 48.57 | 57.89 |
| 8 | NO | 48.99 | −0.54 | 63.41 | 50.00 | 39.68 | 45.83 | 41.67 | 33.90 | 68.42 |
| 9 | GB | 48.81 | −1.99 | 61.54 | 52.38 | 40.85 | 44.16 | 51.85 | 50.00 | 40.91 |
| 10 | MIN | 48.01 | −2.18 | 60.27 | 47.22 | 53.33 | 39.39 | 44.16 | 51.72 | 40.00 |
| 11 | WAS | 47.88 | +0.47 | 45.76 | 43.75 | 44.07 | 52.63 | 54.88 | 55.17 | 38.89 |
| 12 | TEN | 47.84 | −2.48 | 61.54 | 52.70 | 49.06 | 39.66 | 40.35 | 45.45 | 46.15 |
| 13 | PHI | 47.80 | +0.26 | 43.75 | 50.67 | 49.38 | 47.37 | 44.71 | 51.67 | 47.06 |
| 14 | DEN | 47.79 | +0.62 | 48.21 | 47.54 | 46.81 | 41.18 | 50.70 | 47.14 | 52.94 |
| 15 | MIA | 47.77 | −0.98 | 48.57 | 51.72 | 48.48 | 46.99 | 50.00 | 45.76 | 42.86 |
| 16 | LAC | 47.41 | −0.03 | 46.38 | 54.65 | 46.58 | 45.00 | 41.54 | 40.58 | 57.14 |
| 17 | CIN | 46.81 | +0.45 | 41.67 | 41.56 | 52.86 | 50.00 | 48.75 | 53.73 | 39.13 |
| 18 | ATL | 46.77 | +1.29 | 43.66 | 47.54 | 46.88 | 39.66 | 43.28 | 53.45 | 52.94 |
| 19 | CAR | 46.66 | +1.17 | 42.65 | 46.43 | 46.43 | 43.18 | 50.82 | 42.11 | 55.00 |
| 20 | IND | 46.62 | +3.17 | 42.17 | 43.90 | 40.00 | 39.44 | 41.18 | 57.14 | 62.50 |
| 21 | JAX | 46.12 | +0.68 | 50.91 | 40.00 | 44.44 | 38.57 | 49.09 | 52.44 | 47.37 |
| 22 | TB | 45.28 | −1.21 | 49.41 | 52.87 | 43.33 | 33.85 | 53.57 | 41.79 | 42.11 |
| 23 | CHI | 43.93 | −1.14 | 46.97 | 40.00 | 45.90 | 50.85 | 46.00 | 44.44 | 33.33 |
| 24 | SEA | 43.72 | −0.96 | 56.16 | 45.59 | 34.67 | 38.81 | 41.94 | 41.03 | 47.83 |
| 25 | CLE | 43.11 | −3.64 | 57.97 | 50.00 | 44.12 | 40.91 | 34.62 | 40.82 | 33.33 |
| 26 | PIT | 43.02 | −1.59 | 47.89 | 45.76 | 47.27 | 37.74 | 42.42 | 44.78 | 35.29 |
| 27 | NE | 41.88 | −1.12 | 44.07 | 54.67 | 29.23 | 47.73 | 35.59 | 41.86 | 40.00 |
| 28 | NYG | 41.37 | +1.52 | 38.00 | 34.69 | 53.45 | 35.19 | 33.33 | 38.67 | 56.25 |
| 29 | LV | 41.30 | +0.29 | 42.86 | 45.59 | 34.85 | 38.71 | 39.29 | 40.00 | 47.83 |
| 30 | HOU | 41.24 | +1.05 | 41.18 | 36.00 | 40.00 | 42.86 | 42.42 | 36.23 | 50.00 |
| 31 | NYJ | 34.99 | −0.95 | 31.48 | 46.67 | 36.21 | 23.53 | 46.15 | 31.48 | 29.41 |
| 32 | LAR | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 50.00 | 53.97 | 40.91 | 51.22 | 59.52 | 35.44 | 63.64 |
| BUF | 46.07 | 55.81 | 40.70 | 51.90 | 55.81 | 51.76 | 55.56 |
| DET | 56.25 | 36.07 | 55.70 | 48.28 | 55.43 | 51.25 | 68.00 |
| WAS | 45.76 | 43.75 | 44.07 | 52.63 | 54.88 | 55.17 | 38.89 |
| TB | 49.41 | 52.87 | 43.33 | 33.85 | 53.57 | 41.79 | 42.11 |
| GB | 61.54 | 52.38 | 40.85 | 44.16 | 51.85 | 50.00 | 40.91 |
| SF | 57.81 | 54.41 | 40.48 | 52.94 | 51.43 | 59.72 | 68.18 |
| CAR | 42.65 | 46.43 | 46.43 | 43.18 | 50.82 | 42.11 | 55.00 |
| DEN | 48.21 | 47.54 | 46.81 | 41.18 | 50.70 | 47.14 | 52.94 |
| MIA | 48.57 | 51.72 | 48.48 | 46.99 | 50.00 | 45.76 | 42.86 |
| JAX | 50.91 | 40.00 | 44.44 | 38.57 | 49.09 | 52.44 | 47.37 |
| CIN | 41.67 | 41.56 | 52.86 | 50.00 | 48.75 | 53.73 | 39.13 |
| KC | 48.15 | 47.67 | 61.45 | 46.48 | 47.30 | 50.75 | 57.14 |
| ARI | 53.52 | 48.78 | 44.64 | 48.21 | 46.38 | 48.57 | 57.89 |
| NYJ | 31.48 | 46.67 | 36.21 | 23.53 | 46.15 | 31.48 | 29.41 |
| CHI | 46.97 | 40.00 | 45.90 | 50.85 | 46.00 | 44.44 | 33.33 |
| PHI | 43.75 | 50.67 | 49.38 | 47.37 | 44.71 | 51.67 | 47.06 |
| MIN | 60.27 | 47.22 | 53.33 | 39.39 | 44.16 | 51.72 | 40.00 |
| ATL | 43.66 | 47.54 | 46.88 | 39.66 | 43.28 | 53.45 | 52.94 |
| HOU | 41.18 | 36.00 | 40.00 | 42.86 | 42.42 | 36.23 | 50.00 |
| PIT | 47.89 | 45.76 | 47.27 | 37.74 | 42.42 | 44.78 | 35.29 |
| SEA | 56.16 | 45.59 | 34.67 | 38.81 | 41.94 | 41.03 | 47.83 |
| NO | 63.41 | 50.00 | 39.68 | 45.83 | 41.67 | 33.90 | 68.42 |
| LAC | 46.38 | 54.65 | 46.58 | 45.00 | 41.54 | 40.58 | 57.14 |
| IND | 42.17 | 43.90 | 40.00 | 39.44 | 41.18 | 57.14 | 62.50 |
| TEN | 61.54 | 52.70 | 49.06 | 39.66 | 40.35 | 45.45 | 46.15 |
| LV | 42.86 | 45.59 | 34.85 | 38.71 | 39.29 | 40.00 | 47.83 |
| DAL | 42.03 | 44.09 | 58.33 | 45.56 | 37.10 | 46.84 | 75.00 |
| NE | 44.07 | 54.67 | 29.23 | 47.73 | 35.59 | 41.86 | 40.00 |
| CLE | 57.97 | 50.00 | 44.12 | 40.91 | 34.62 | 40.82 | 33.33 |
| NYG | 38.00 | 34.69 | 53.45 | 35.19 | 33.33 | 38.67 | 56.25 |
| LAR | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Red zone pct since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (61.33), 2019 Colts (53.85), 2020 Saints (63.41), 2021 Bills (55.81), 2022 Chiefs (61.45), 2023 49ers (52.94), 2024 Ravens (59.52).
Colts have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.
The best season on record is Saints 2020 at 63.41; the worst Rams 2018 at 0.00.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_team_conversions_red_zone_pct
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Conversions
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.