What Turnover pct is

Turnover rate: drives that ended in a turnover divided by all drives, as a percentage. Small percentages with large consequences.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Giants led at 8.38; the league average was 12.57.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

NYG · 8.38

League average

12.57

Best to worst

9.99

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NYG	8.38	17
2	DET	9.60	17
3	PIT	9.94	17
4	LAC	10.00	17
5	CIN	10.17	16
6	DEN	10.45	17
7	TB	10.77	17
8	TEN	10.99	17
9	PHI	11.29	17
10	SF	11.29	17
11	CAR	11.46	17
12	BAL	11.60	17
13	KC	11.60	17
14	SEA	12.30	17
15	DAL	12.31	17
16	MIN	12.38	17
17	WAS	12.69	17
18	GB	12.85	17
19	ATL	12.94	17
20	CHI	13.26	17
21	CLE	13.26	17
22	MIA	13.33	17
23	NYJ	13.33	17
24	NO	13.44	17
25	LV	13.87	17
26	LAR	14.12	17
27	HOU	14.65	17
28	JAX	14.92	17
29	ARI	14.97	17
30	BUF	15.61	16
31	NE	16.15	17
32	IND	18.37	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NYG · 8.38

League laggard

IND · 18.37

League average

12.57

Spread (max − min)

9.99

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NYG	8.38	-4.19	100%
2	DET	9.60	-2.97	96.8%
3	PIT	9.94	-2.63	93.5%
4	LAC	10.00	-2.57	90.3%
5	CIN	10.17	-2.40	87.1%
6	DEN	10.45	-2.12	83.9%
7	TB	10.77	-1.80	80.6%
8	TEN	10.99	-1.58	77.4%
9	PHI	11.29	-1.28	74.2%
10	SF	11.29	-1.28	71%
11	CAR	11.46	-1.11	67.7%
12	BAL	11.60	-0.97	64.5%
13	KC	11.60	-0.97	61.3%
14	SEA	12.30	-0.27	58.1%
15	DAL	12.31	-0.26	54.8%
16	MIN	12.38	-0.20	51.6%
17	WAS	12.69	0.12	48.4%
18	GB	12.85	0.28	45.2%
19	ATL	12.94	0.37	41.9%
20	CHI	13.26	0.69	38.7%
21	CLE	13.26	0.69	35.5%
22	MIA	13.33	0.76	32.3%
23	NYJ	13.33	0.76	29%
24	NO	13.44	0.87	25.8%
25	LV	13.87	1.30	22.6%
26	LAR	14.12	1.55	19.4%
27	HOU	14.65	2.07	16.1%
28	JAX	14.92	2.35	12.9%
29	ARI	14.97	2.40	9.7%
30	BUF	15.61	3.04	6.5%
31	NE	16.15	3.57	3.2%
32	IND	18.37	5.80	0%

Does Turnover pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 834–744–37 ATS (52.9%) across 2020–2025, #139 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2025 (129–140, 48.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	150–113–9	57.0%
2025	272	129–140–3	48.0%

Turnover pct in 2022 vs 2021

Giants lead at 8.38 — they ranked #31 last year. Colts are last at 18.37 — #8 last year.

The league average is 12.57, down 0.19 from 12.76 last year.

Biggest riser: Giants, #31 → #1. Biggest faller: Cardinals, #4 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 9.99; 21 teams are within 2.10 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

IND · +7.81

Biggest faller

NYG · −7.94

Most consistent

TB · 0.00

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -0.19

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	IND	18.37	10.56	+7.81
2	ARI	14.97	9.44	+5.53
3	SEA	12.30	6.84	+5.46
4	GB	12.85	8.57	+4.28
5	NO	13.44	9.60	+3.84
6	MIN	12.38	8.59	+3.79
7	BUF	15.61	12.17	+3.44
8	HOU	14.65	11.52	+3.13
9	LAR	14.12	12.50	+1.62
10	NE	16.15	14.86	+1.29
11	LV	13.87	13.16	+0.71
12	DEN	10.45	10.12	+0.33
13	PIT	9.94	9.90	+0.04
14	TB	10.77	10.77	0.00
15	CLE	13.26	13.33	−0.07
16	PHI	11.29	12.00	−0.71
17	CIN	10.17	11.05	−0.88
18	SF	11.29	12.83	−1.54
19	NYJ	13.33	14.89	−1.56
20	DAL	12.31	13.99	−1.68
21	JAX	14.92	16.67	−1.75
22	MIA	13.33	15.43	−2.09
23	BAL	11.60	13.78	−2.17
24	WAS	12.69	14.92	−2.23
25	CHI	13.26	16.20	−2.94
26	LAC	10.00	12.99	−2.99
27	DET	9.60	12.85	−3.24
28	ATL	12.94	16.20	−3.26
29	TEN	10.99	14.59	−3.60
30	KC	11.60	15.88	−4.28
31	CAR	11.46	15.90	−4.44
32	NYG	8.38	16.32	−7.94

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DET · 9.53

Multi-year laggard

NE · 15.47

Biggest improver

DET · −1.42/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +1.49/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DET	9.53	−1.42	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
2	HOU	9.59	−1.09	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
3	GB	10.02	+0.10	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
4	PIT	10.07	+0.24	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
5	BAL	10.64	−0.90	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
6	KC	10.89	−1.29	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
7	ARI	11.45	−0.16	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
8	CIN	11.61	+0.19	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
9	LAC	11.66	+0.63	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
10	DEN	11.72	−0.67	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
11	PHI	11.84	−1.16	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
12	TEN	11.88	+0.18	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
13	SEA	12.07	+1.21	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
14	NYJ	12.09	−0.84	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
15	WAS	12.19	−1.25	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
16	SF	12.37	−0.59	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
17	TB	12.42	+1.22	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
18	LAR	12.45	−0.40	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
19	NO	12.59	+1.49	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
20	NYG	12.62	−0.06	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
21	MIN	12.80	+0.12	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
22	CAR	12.97	−0.68	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
23	CHI	13.02	−0.13	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
24	DAL	13.04	−0.69	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
25	BUF	13.39	−0.05	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
26	JAX	13.56	−1.39	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
27	IND	13.63	+0.37	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
28	LV	13.67	−0.64	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
29	ATL	13.88	+0.34	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
30	CLE	13.95	+0.20	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
31	MIA	14.32	+0.16	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
32	NE	15.47	+0.58	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
NYG	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
DET	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
PIT	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
LAC	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
CIN	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
DEN	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
TB	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
TEN	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
PHI	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
SF	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
CAR	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
BAL	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
KC	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
SEA	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
DAL	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
MIN	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
WAS	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
GB	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
ATL	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
CHI	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
CLE	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
MIA	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
NYJ	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
NO	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
LV	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
LAR	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
HOU	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
JAX	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
ARI	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
BUF	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
NE	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64
IND	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55

Turnover pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Packers (7.22), 2019 Saints (6.15), 2020 Titans (8.33), 2021 Seahawks (6.84), 2022 Giants (8.38).

The best season on record is Saints 2019 at 6.15; the worst Buccaneers 2019 at 23.23.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_turnover_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.