What Turnover pct is

Turnover rate: drives that ended in a turnover divided by all drives, as a percentage. Small percentages with large consequences.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Chargers led at 4.92; the league average was 11.75.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

LAC · 4.92

League average

11.75

Best to worst

12.70

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	LAC	4.92	17
2	BUF	6.94	17
3	BAL	7.07	17
4	PHI	8.20	17
5	KC	8.82	17
6	WAS	9.04	17
7	CHI	9.29	17
8	DET	9.34	17
9	PIT	9.47	17
10	NO	9.84	17
11	NYJ	10.29	17
12	MIA	10.44	17
13	LAR	10.53	17
14	HOU	10.88	17
15	GB	10.99	17
16	CIN	11.54	17
17	MIN	11.98	17
18	CAR	12.30	17
19	ARI	12.43	17
20	DEN	12.63	17
21	SEA	12.63	17
22	NYG	12.90	17
23	NE	13.97	17
24	JAX	14.12	17
25	TB	14.21	17
26	SF	14.69	17
27	DAL	15.10	17
28	ATL	15.12	17
29	IND	15.46	17
30	LV	15.71	17
31	CLE	17.41	17
32	TEN	17.62	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

LAC · 4.92

League laggard

TEN · 17.62

League average

11.75

Spread (max − min)

12.70

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	LAC	4.92	-6.83	100%
2	BUF	6.94	-4.81	96.8%
3	BAL	7.07	-4.68	93.5%
4	PHI	8.20	-3.55	90.3%
5	KC	8.82	-2.92	87.1%
6	WAS	9.04	-2.71	83.9%
7	CHI	9.29	-2.46	80.6%
8	DET	9.34	-2.40	77.4%
9	PIT	9.47	-2.27	74.2%
10	NO	9.84	-1.91	71%
11	NYJ	10.29	-1.46	67.7%
12	MIA	10.44	-1.31	64.5%
13	LAR	10.53	-1.22	61.3%
14	HOU	10.88	-0.86	58.1%
15	GB	10.99	-0.76	54.8%
16	CIN	11.54	-0.21	51.6%
17	MIN	11.98	0.23	48.4%
18	CAR	12.30	0.55	45.2%
19	ARI	12.43	0.68	41.9%
20	DEN	12.63	0.89	38.7%
21	SEA	12.63	0.89	35.5%
22	NYG	12.90	1.16	32.3%
23	NE	13.97	2.22	29%
24	JAX	14.12	2.38	25.8%
25	TB	14.21	2.46	22.6%
26	SF	14.69	2.94	19.4%
27	DAL	15.10	3.36	16.1%
28	ATL	15.12	3.37	12.9%
29	IND	15.46	3.72	9.7%
30	LV	15.71	3.96	6.5%
31	CLE	17.41	5.67	3.2%
32	TEN	17.62	5.87	0%

Does Turnover pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 834–744–37 ATS (52.9%) across 2020–2025, #139 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2025 (129–140, 48.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	150–113–9	57.0%
2025	272	129–140–3	48.0%

Turnover pct in 2024 vs 2023

Chargers lead at 4.92 — they ranked #12 last year. Titans are last at 17.62 — #9 last year.

The league average is 11.75, down 1.13 from 12.88 last year.

Biggest riser: Bills, #30 → #2. Biggest faller: Titans, #9 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 12.70; 22 teams are within 3.04 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

TEN · +7.12

Biggest faller

BUF · −10.19

Most consistent

CLE · +0.00

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▼ -1.13

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	TEN	17.62	10.50	+7.12
2	SF	14.69	10.61	+4.07
3	TB	14.21	10.38	+3.83
4	IND	15.46	12.18	+3.28
5	HOU	10.88	7.77	+3.11
6	SEA	12.63	10.06	+2.58
7	ARI	12.43	9.94	+2.48
8	DAL	15.10	12.79	+2.31
9	CIN	11.54	9.57	+1.96
10	NYG	12.90	11.00	+1.90
11	DEN	12.63	11.05	+1.58
12	PIT	9.47	8.76	+0.71
13	ATL	15.12	14.72	+0.40
14	LAR	10.53	10.27	+0.26
15	NO	9.84	9.69	+0.14
16	GB	10.99	10.92	+0.07
17	CLE	17.41	17.41	+0.00
18	NE	13.97	14.22	−0.25
19	CAR	12.30	12.78	−0.48
20	LV	15.71	16.20	−0.49
21	JAX	14.12	15.90	−1.77
22	DET	9.34	12.23	−2.89
23	BAL	7.07	11.11	−4.05
24	CHI	9.29	14.59	−5.30
25	MIA	10.44	16.13	−5.69
26	NYJ	10.29	16.19	−5.90
27	WAS	9.04	15.08	−6.04
28	LAC	4.92	10.99	−6.08
29	KC	8.82	15.64	−6.82
30	MIN	11.98	19.55	−7.57
31	PHI	8.20	16.76	−8.56
32	BUF	6.94	17.13	−10.19

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DET · 9.53

Multi-year laggard

NE · 15.47

Biggest improver

DET · −1.42/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +1.49/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DET	9.53	−1.42	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
2	HOU	9.59	−1.09	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
3	GB	10.02	+0.10	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
4	PIT	10.07	+0.24	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
5	BAL	10.64	−0.90	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
6	KC	10.89	−1.29	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
7	ARI	11.45	−0.16	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
8	CIN	11.61	+0.19	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
9	LAC	11.66	+0.63	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
10	DEN	11.72	−0.67	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
11	PHI	11.84	−1.16	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
12	TEN	11.88	+0.18	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
13	SEA	12.07	+1.21	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
14	NYJ	12.09	−0.84	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
15	WAS	12.19	−1.25	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
16	SF	12.37	−0.59	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
17	TB	12.42	+1.22	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
18	LAR	12.45	−0.40	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
19	NO	12.59	+1.49	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
20	NYG	12.62	−0.06	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
21	MIN	12.80	+0.12	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
22	CAR	12.97	−0.68	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
23	CHI	13.02	−0.13	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
24	DAL	13.04	−0.69	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
25	BUF	13.39	−0.05	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
26	JAX	13.56	−1.39	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
27	IND	13.63	+0.37	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
28	LV	13.67	−0.64	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
29	ATL	13.88	+0.34	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
30	CLE	13.95	+0.20	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
31	MIA	14.32	+0.16	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
32	NE	15.47	+0.58	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
LAC	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
BUF	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
BAL	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
PHI	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
KC	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
WAS	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
CHI	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
DET	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
PIT	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
NO	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
NYJ	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
MIA	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
LAR	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
HOU	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
GB	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
CIN	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
MIN	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
CAR	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
ARI	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
DEN	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
SEA	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
NYG	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
NE	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64
JAX	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
TB	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
SF	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
DAL	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
ATL	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
IND	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
LV	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
CLE	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
TEN	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20

Turnover pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Packers (7.22), 2019 Saints (6.15), 2020 Titans (8.33), 2021 Seahawks (6.84), 2022 Giants (8.38), 2023 Texans (7.77), 2024 Chargers (4.92).

The best season on record is Chargers 2024 at 4.92; the worst Buccaneers 2019 at 23.23.

The league average has fallen from 13.09 in 2018 to 11.75 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_turnover_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.