What Turnover pct is

Turnover rate: drives that ended in a turnover divided by all drives, as a percentage. Small percentages with large consequences.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Bears led at 6.99; the league average was 11.89.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

CHI · 6.99

League average

11.89

Best to worst

10.66

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CHI	6.99	17
2	GB	7.78	17
3	HOU	8.29	17
4	PHI	8.38	17
5	DET	8.56	17
6	KC	8.82	17
7	DEN	8.95	17
8	ATL	9.78	17
9	PIT	10.11	17
10	LAR	10.50	17
11	TB	10.93	17
12	TEN	10.93	17
13	NYG	11.05	17
14	LAC	11.36	17
15	BUF	11.43	17
16	JAX	11.64	17
17	NE	11.93	17
18	ARI	12.72	17
19	IND	12.72	17
20	DAL	12.99	17
21	NYJ	13.04	17
22	LV	13.19	17
23	BAL	13.48	17
24	WAS	13.77	17
25	CIN	13.89	17
26	SF	14.04	17
27	MIA	14.12	17
28	CAR	14.97	17
29	NO	15.34	17
30	CLE	15.38	17
31	MIN	15.76	17
32	SEA	17.65	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CHI · 6.99

League laggard

SEA · 17.65

League average

11.89

Spread (max − min)

10.66

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CHI	6.99	-4.90	100%
2	GB	7.78	-4.11	96.8%
3	HOU	8.29	-3.60	93.5%
4	PHI	8.38	-3.51	90.3%
5	DET	8.56	-3.33	87.1%
6	KC	8.82	-3.07	83.9%
7	DEN	8.95	-2.94	80.6%
8	ATL	9.78	-2.11	77.4%
9	PIT	10.11	-1.78	74.2%
10	LAR	10.50	-1.39	71%
11	TB	10.93	-0.96	67.7%
12	TEN	10.93	-0.96	64.5%
13	NYG	11.05	-0.84	61.3%
14	LAC	11.36	-0.53	58.1%
15	BUF	11.43	-0.46	54.8%
16	JAX	11.64	-0.25	51.6%
17	NE	11.93	0.04	48.4%
18	ARI	12.72	0.83	45.2%
19	IND	12.72	0.83	41.9%
20	DAL	12.99	1.10	38.7%
21	NYJ	13.04	1.15	35.5%
22	LV	13.19	1.30	32.3%
23	BAL	13.48	1.59	29%
24	WAS	13.77	1.88	25.8%
25	CIN	13.89	2.00	22.6%
26	SF	14.04	2.14	19.4%
27	MIA	14.12	2.23	16.1%
28	CAR	14.97	3.08	12.9%
29	NO	15.34	3.45	9.7%
30	CLE	15.38	3.49	6.5%
31	MIN	15.76	3.87	3.2%
32	SEA	17.65	5.76	0%

Does Turnover pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 834–744–37 ATS (52.9%) across 2020–2025, #139 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2025 (129–140, 48.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	150–113–9	57.0%
2025	272	129–140–3	48.0%

Turnover pct in 2025 vs 2024

Bears lead at 6.99 — they ranked #7 last year. Seahawks are last at 17.65 — #21 last year.

The league average is 11.89, up 0.14 from 11.75 last year.

Biggest riser: Falcons, #28 → #8. Biggest faller: Ravens, #3 → #23.

Spread between first and last: 10.66; 20 teams are within 2.59 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

LAC · +6.45

Biggest faller

TEN · −6.69

Most consistent

KC · 0.00

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.14

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	LAC	11.36	4.92	+6.45
2	BAL	13.48	7.07	+6.42
3	NO	15.34	9.84	+5.50
4	SEA	17.65	12.63	+5.02
5	WAS	13.77	9.04	+4.73
6	BUF	11.43	6.94	+4.49
7	MIN	15.76	11.98	+3.78
8	MIA	14.12	10.44	+3.68
9	NYJ	13.04	10.29	+2.76
10	CAR	14.97	12.30	+2.67
11	CIN	13.89	11.54	+2.35
12	PIT	10.11	9.47	+0.64
13	ARI	12.72	12.43	+0.29
14	PHI	8.38	8.20	+0.18
15	KC	8.82	8.82	0.00
16	LAR	10.50	10.53	−0.03
17	SF	14.04	14.69	−0.65
18	DET	8.56	9.34	−0.78
19	NYG	11.05	12.90	−1.86
20	CLE	15.38	17.41	−2.03
21	NE	11.93	13.97	−2.03
22	DAL	12.99	15.10	−2.11
23	CHI	6.99	9.29	−2.30
24	JAX	11.64	14.12	−2.48
25	LV	13.19	15.71	−2.52
26	HOU	8.29	10.88	−2.59
27	IND	12.72	15.46	−2.75
28	GB	7.78	10.99	−3.20
29	TB	10.93	14.21	−3.28
30	DEN	8.95	12.63	−3.68
31	ATL	9.78	15.12	−5.33
32	TEN	10.93	17.62	−6.69

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DET · 9.53

Multi-year laggard

NE · 15.47

Biggest improver

DET · −1.42/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +1.49/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DET	9.53	−1.42	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
2	HOU	9.59	−1.09	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
3	GB	10.02	+0.10	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
4	PIT	10.07	+0.24	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
5	BAL	10.64	−0.90	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
6	KC	10.89	−1.29	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
7	ARI	11.45	−0.16	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
8	CIN	11.61	+0.19	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
9	LAC	11.66	+0.63	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
10	DEN	11.72	−0.67	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
11	PHI	11.84	−1.16	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
12	TEN	11.88	+0.18	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
13	SEA	12.07	+1.21	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
14	NYJ	12.09	−0.84	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
15	WAS	12.19	−1.25	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
16	SF	12.37	−0.59	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
17	TB	12.42	+1.22	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
18	LAR	12.45	−0.40	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
19	NO	12.59	+1.49	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
20	NYG	12.62	−0.06	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
21	MIN	12.80	+0.12	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
22	CAR	12.97	−0.68	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
23	CHI	13.02	−0.13	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
24	DAL	13.04	−0.69	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
25	BUF	13.39	−0.05	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
26	JAX	13.56	−1.39	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
27	IND	13.63	+0.37	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
28	LV	13.67	−0.64	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
29	ATL	13.88	+0.34	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
30	CLE	13.95	+0.20	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
31	MIA	14.32	+0.16	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
32	NE	15.47	+0.58	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CHI	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
GB	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
HOU	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
PHI	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
DET	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
KC	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
DEN	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
ATL	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
PIT	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
LAR	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
TB	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
TEN	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
NYG	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
LAC	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
BUF	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
JAX	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
NE	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64
ARI	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
IND	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
DAL	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
NYJ	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
LV	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
BAL	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
WAS	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
CIN	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
SF	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
MIA	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
CAR	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
NO	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
CLE	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
MIN	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
SEA	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52

Turnover pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Packers (7.22), 2019 Saints (6.15), 2020 Titans (8.33), 2021 Seahawks (6.84), 2022 Giants (8.38), 2023 Texans (7.77), 2024 Chargers (4.92), 2025 Bears (6.99).

The best season on record is Chargers 2024 at 4.92; the worst Buccaneers 2019 at 23.23.

The league average has fallen from 13.09 in 2018 to 11.89 in 2025.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_turnover_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.