What Turnover pct is

Turnover rate: drives that ended in a turnover divided by all drives, as a percentage. Small percentages with large consequences.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Seahawks led at 6.84; the league average was 12.76.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

SEA · 6.84

League average

12.76

Best to worst

9.82

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SEA	6.84	17
2	GB	8.57	17
3	MIN	8.59	17
4	ARI	9.44	17
5	NO	9.60	17
6	PIT	9.90	17
7	DEN	10.12	17
8	IND	10.56	17
9	TB	10.77	17
10	CIN	11.05	17
11	HOU	11.52	17
12	PHI	12.00	17
13	BUF	12.17	17
14	LAR	12.50	17
15	SF	12.83	17
16	DET	12.85	17
17	LAC	12.99	17
18	LV	13.16	17
19	CLE	13.33	17
20	BAL	13.78	17
21	DAL	13.99	17
22	TEN	14.59	17
23	NE	14.86	17
24	NYJ	14.89	17
25	WAS	14.92	17
26	MIA	15.43	17
27	KC	15.88	17
28	CAR	15.90	17
29	ATL	16.20	17
30	CHI	16.20	17
31	NYG	16.32	17
32	JAX	16.67	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SEA · 6.84

League laggard

JAX · 16.67

League average

12.76

Spread (max − min)

9.82

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SEA	6.84	-5.92	100%
2	GB	8.57	-4.19	96.8%
3	MIN	8.59	-4.18	93.5%
4	ARI	9.44	-3.32	90.3%
5	NO	9.60	-3.17	87.1%
6	PIT	9.90	-2.86	83.9%
7	DEN	10.12	-2.64	80.6%
8	IND	10.56	-2.21	77.4%
9	TB	10.77	-1.99	74.2%
10	CIN	11.05	-1.71	71%
11	HOU	11.52	-1.24	67.7%
12	PHI	12.00	-0.76	64.5%
13	BUF	12.17	-0.59	61.3%
14	LAR	12.50	-0.26	58.1%
15	SF	12.83	0.07	54.8%
16	DET	12.85	0.09	51.6%
17	LAC	12.99	0.23	48.4%
18	LV	13.16	0.40	45.2%
19	CLE	13.33	0.57	41.9%
20	BAL	13.78	1.01	38.7%
21	DAL	13.99	1.23	35.5%
22	TEN	14.59	1.83	32.3%
23	NE	14.86	2.09	29%
24	NYJ	14.89	2.13	25.8%
25	WAS	14.92	2.15	22.6%
26	MIA	15.43	2.66	19.4%
27	KC	15.88	3.12	16.1%
28	CAR	15.90	3.13	12.9%
29	ATL	16.20	3.44	9.7%
30	CHI	16.20	3.44	6.5%
31	NYG	16.32	3.55	3.2%
32	JAX	16.67	3.90	0%

Does Turnover pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 834–744–37 ATS (52.9%) across 2020–2025, #139 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (153–111, 58.0%); its worst 2025 (129–140, 48.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	150–113–9	57.0%
2025	272	129–140–3	48.0%

Turnover pct in 2021 vs 2020

Seahawks lead at 6.84 — they ranked #7 last year. Jaguars are last at 16.67 — #30 last year.

The league average is 12.76, up 0.16 from 12.61 last year.

Biggest riser: Broncos, #32 → #7. Biggest faller: Titans, #1 → #22.

Spread between first and last: 9.82; 18 teams are within 2.61 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

TEN · +6.26

Biggest faller

DEN · −7.43

Most consistent

GB · +0.09

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▲ 0.16

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	TEN	14.59	8.33	+6.26
2	ATL	16.20	10.86	+5.34
3	KC	15.88	10.91	+4.97
4	CHI	16.20	12.29	+3.91
5	NYJ	14.89	11.24	+3.66
6	NYG	16.32	13.61	+2.71
7	CLE	13.33	10.84	+2.49
8	BAL	13.78	12.07	+1.71
9	MIA	15.43	13.74	+1.69
10	LAC	12.99	11.36	+1.63
11	CAR	15.90	14.72	+1.17
12	HOU	11.52	10.37	+1.15
13	JAX	16.67	15.52	+1.15
14	TB	10.77	9.89	+0.88
15	DET	12.85	12.21	+0.64
16	NE	14.86	14.56	+0.30
17	WAS	14.92	14.75	+0.16
18	NO	9.60	9.44	+0.15
19	GB	8.57	8.48	+0.09
20	PIT	9.90	10.00	−0.10
21	IND	10.56	11.56	−1.01
22	DAL	13.99	15.38	−1.39
23	BUF	12.17	13.79	−1.62
24	CIN	11.05	12.78	−1.73
25	LV	13.16	15.12	−1.96
26	ARI	9.44	11.73	−2.29
27	SF	12.83	15.30	−2.47
28	LAR	12.50	15.22	−2.72
29	SEA	6.84	10.50	−3.66
30	MIN	8.59	12.43	−3.84
31	PHI	12.00	16.84	−4.84
32	DEN	10.12	17.55	−7.43

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DET · 9.53

Multi-year laggard

NE · 15.47

Biggest improver

DET · −1.42/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +1.49/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DET	9.53	−1.42	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
2	HOU	9.59	−1.09	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
3	GB	10.02	+0.10	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
4	PIT	10.07	+0.24	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
5	BAL	10.64	−0.90	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
6	KC	10.89	−1.29	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
7	ARI	11.45	−0.16	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
8	CIN	11.61	+0.19	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
9	LAC	11.66	+0.63	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
10	DEN	11.72	−0.67	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
11	PHI	11.84	−1.16	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
12	TEN	11.88	+0.18	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
13	SEA	12.07	+1.21	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
14	NYJ	12.09	−0.84	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
15	WAS	12.19	−1.25	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
16	SF	12.37	−0.59	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
17	TB	12.42	+1.22	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
18	LAR	12.45	−0.40	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
19	NO	12.59	+1.49	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
20	NYG	12.62	−0.06	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
21	MIN	12.80	+0.12	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
22	CAR	12.97	−0.68	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
23	CHI	13.02	−0.13	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
24	DAL	13.04	−0.69	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
25	BUF	13.39	−0.05	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
26	JAX	13.56	−1.39	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12
27	IND	13.63	+0.37	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
28	LV	13.67	−0.64	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
29	ATL	13.88	+0.34	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
30	CLE	13.95	+0.20	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
31	MIA	14.32	+0.16	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
32	NE	15.47	+0.58	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SEA	10.50	6.84	12.30	10.06	12.63	17.65	14.52
GB	8.48	8.57	12.85	10.92	10.99	7.78	10.53
MIN	12.43	8.59	12.38	19.55	11.98	15.76	8.93
ARI	11.73	9.44	14.97	9.94	12.43	12.72	8.93
NO	9.44	9.60	13.44	9.69	9.84	15.34	20.75
PIT	10.00	9.90	9.94	8.76	9.47	10.11	12.28
DEN	17.55	10.12	10.45	11.05	12.63	8.95	11.32
IND	11.56	10.56	18.37	12.18	15.46	12.72	14.55
TB	9.89	10.77	10.77	10.38	14.21	10.93	20.00
CIN	12.78	11.05	10.17	9.57	11.54	13.89	12.24
HOU	10.37	11.52	14.65	7.77	10.88	8.29	3.64
PHI	16.84	12.00	11.29	16.76	8.20	8.38	9.43
BUF	13.79	12.17	15.61	17.13	6.94	11.43	16.67
LAR	15.22	12.50	14.12	10.27	10.53	10.50	14.04
SF	15.30	12.83	11.29	10.61	14.69	14.04	7.84
DET	12.21	12.85	9.60	12.23	9.34	8.56	1.89
LAC	11.36	12.99	10.00	10.99	4.92	11.36	20.00
LV	15.12	13.16	13.87	16.20	15.71	13.19	8.47
CLE	10.84	13.33	13.26	17.41	17.41	15.38	10.00
BAL	12.07	13.78	11.60	11.11	7.07	13.48	5.36
DAL	15.38	13.99	12.31	12.79	15.10	12.99	8.70
TEN	8.33	14.59	10.99	10.50	17.62	10.93	10.20
NE	14.56	14.86	16.15	14.22	13.97	11.93	22.64
NYJ	11.24	14.89	13.33	16.19	10.29	13.04	5.66
WAS	14.75	14.92	12.69	15.08	9.04	13.77	5.08
MIA	13.74	15.43	13.33	16.13	10.44	14.12	17.02
KC	10.91	15.88	11.60	15.64	8.82	8.82	4.55
CAR	14.72	15.90	11.46	12.78	12.30	14.97	8.70
ATL	10.86	16.20	12.94	14.72	15.12	9.78	17.54
CHI	12.29	16.20	13.26	14.59	9.29	6.99	18.52
NYG	13.61	16.32	8.38	11.00	12.90	11.05	15.09
JAX	15.52	16.67	14.92	15.90	14.12	11.64	6.12

Turnover pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Packers (7.22), 2019 Saints (6.15), 2020 Titans (8.33), 2021 Seahawks (6.84).

The best season on record is Saints 2019 at 6.15; the worst Buccaneers 2019 at 23.23.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_turnover_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.