What Score pct (allowed) is

Scoring rate allowed: opponent drives that ended in points divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How reliably opponents turned a possession into a result against this defense.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the 49ers led at 25.13; the league average was 35.81.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

SF · 25.13

League average

35.81

Best to worst

18.14

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	25.13	17
2	BUF	30.06	16
3	WAS	31.16	17
4	NE	31.47	17
5	NYJ	32.14	17
6	PHI	32.24	17
7	TB	32.83	17
8	DAL	32.84	17
9	TEN	33.33	17
10	NO	33.68	17
11	CAR	34.01	17
12	HOU	34.48	17
13	DEN	34.98	17
14	BAL	35.03	17
15	IND	35.15	17
16	JAX	35.52	17
17	CIN	35.56	16
18	KC	36.02	17
19	LAC	36.65	17
20	SEA	36.84	17
21	PIT	36.87	17
22	MIA	37.23	17
23	GB	37.64	17
24	CLE	38.10	17
25	LV	39.67	17
26	LAR	40.11	17
27	DET	40.56	17
28	MIN	40.61	17
29	ARI	40.72	17
30	NYG	40.76	17
31	CHI	41.21	17
32	ATL	43.27	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 25.13

League laggard

ATL · 43.27

League average

35.81

Spread (max − min)

18.14

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	25.13	-10.67	100%
2	BUF	30.06	-5.75	96.8%
3	WAS	31.16	-4.65	93.5%
4	NE	31.47	-4.34	90.3%
5	NYJ	32.14	-3.67	87.1%
6	PHI	32.24	-3.57	83.9%
7	TB	32.83	-2.98	80.6%
8	DAL	32.84	-2.97	77.4%
9	TEN	33.33	-2.48	74.2%
10	NO	33.68	-2.12	71%
11	CAR	34.01	-1.80	67.7%
12	HOU	34.48	-1.33	64.5%
13	DEN	34.98	-0.83	61.3%
14	BAL	35.03	-0.78	58.1%
15	IND	35.15	-0.66	54.8%
16	JAX	35.52	-0.29	51.6%
17	CIN	35.56	-0.25	48.4%
18	KC	36.02	0.21	45.2%
19	LAC	36.65	0.84	41.9%
20	SEA	36.84	1.03	38.7%
21	PIT	36.87	1.06	35.5%
22	MIA	37.23	1.43	32.3%
23	GB	37.64	1.83	29%
24	CLE	38.10	2.29	25.8%
25	LV	39.67	3.87	22.6%
26	LAR	40.11	4.30	19.4%
27	DET	40.56	4.75	16.1%
28	MIN	40.61	4.80	12.9%
29	ARI	40.72	4.91	9.7%
30	NYG	40.76	4.95	6.5%
31	CHI	41.21	5.40	3.2%
32	ATL	43.27	7.47	0%

Does Score pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 866–712–37 ATS (54.9%) across 2020–2025, #77 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (148–106, 58.3%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	150–120–2	55.6%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	143–120–9	54.4%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Score pct (allowed) in 2022 vs 2021

49ers lead at 25.13 — they ranked #9 last year. Falcons are last at 43.27 — #27 last year.

The league average is 35.81, down 1.44 from 37.25 last year.

Biggest riser: Jets, #32 → #5. Biggest faller: Cardinals, #10 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 18.14; 20 teams are within 3.85 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

ARI · +6.11

Biggest faller

NYJ · −16.55

Most consistent

IND · +0.01

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -1.44

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	ARI	40.72	34.62	+6.11
2	LAR	40.11	34.76	+5.35
3	NE	31.47	28.11	+3.36
4	CIN	35.56	32.99	+2.57
5	BUF	30.06	27.51	+2.54
6	DEN	34.98	32.76	+2.22
7	GB	37.64	35.59	+2.05
8	NO	33.68	31.66	+2.03
9	CHI	41.21	39.34	+1.86
10	BAL	35.03	33.33	+1.69
11	SEA	36.84	35.23	+1.61
12	MIN	40.61	39.39	+1.22
13	MIA	37.23	36.08	+1.15
14	DAL	32.84	31.88	+0.95
15	CLE	38.10	37.16	+0.94
16	ATL	43.27	42.54	+0.73
17	NYG	40.76	40.21	+0.55
18	IND	35.15	35.14	+0.01
19	TB	32.83	32.99	−0.16
20	KC	36.02	36.42	−0.39
21	LV	39.67	40.11	−0.43
22	PIT	36.87	38.38	−1.51
23	CAR	34.01	37.00	−2.99
24	TEN	33.33	36.84	−3.51
25	PHI	32.24	36.61	−4.37
26	LAC	36.65	44.02	−7.37
27	DET	40.56	48.11	−7.55
28	HOU	34.48	43.16	−8.68
29	SF	25.13	34.41	−9.27
30	JAX	35.52	45.51	−9.99
31	WAS	31.16	41.53	−10.37
32	NYJ	32.14	48.69	−16.55

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

NE · 33.49

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 42.01

Biggest improver

MIN · −3.22/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · +2.59/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	NE	33.49	−0.05	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	31.48
2	SEA	34.60	−1.85	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	28.33
3	BAL	35.05	+1.83	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	40.00
4	BUF	35.10	+1.26	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	42.59
5	KC	35.66	+0.46	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	39.53
6	PHI	35.73	−0.20	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	37.50
7	CLE	35.74	−0.72	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	40.35
8	TB	35.76	+1.27	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	39.29
9	LAR	35.91	+1.19	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	38.18
10	SF	35.98	+1.11	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	38.46
11	PIT	36.02	+1.15	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	39.29
12	DEN	36.21	−0.74	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	36.84
13	GB	36.45	−0.57	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	31.03
14	MIN	36.53	−3.22	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	25.00
15	NO	36.96	+2.36	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	49.12
16	HOU	37.69	−1.47	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.59
17	MIA	37.75	+2.59	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	50.00
18	LAC	37.82	−1.14	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	38.71
19	CHI	37.96	−0.30	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	34.62
20	JAX	38.20	−2.64	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
21	NYG	38.33	−1.05	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	31.48
22	CIN	38.42	+0.38	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	40.38
23	IND	38.82	+1.93	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	46.43
24	DAL	40.03	+2.30	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	48.00
25	LV	40.38	−1.17	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	36.21
26	ATL	40.44	−0.81	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	35.09
27	TEN	40.66	+0.69	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	44.23
28	NYJ	40.66	−0.43	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	35.85
29	WAS	40.67	+2.33	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	45.76
30	CAR	40.81	+0.50	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	42.00
31	DET	41.55	−1.03	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	44.44
32	ARI	42.01	+2.30	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	48.15

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	38.46
BUF	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	42.59
WAS	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	45.76
NE	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	31.48
NYJ	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	35.85
PHI	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	37.50
TB	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	39.29
DAL	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	48.00
TEN	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	44.23
NO	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	49.12
CAR	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	42.00
HOU	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.59
DEN	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	36.84
BAL	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	40.00
IND	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	46.43
JAX	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
CIN	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	40.38
KC	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	39.53
LAC	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	38.71
SEA	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	28.33
PIT	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	39.29
MIA	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	50.00
GB	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	31.03
CLE	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	40.35
LV	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	36.21
LAR	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	38.18
DET	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	44.44
MIN	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	25.00
ARI	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	48.15
NYG	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	31.48
CHI	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	34.62
ATL	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	35.09

Score pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (28.42), 2019 Patriots (19.19), 2020 Rams (26.98), 2021 Bills (27.51), 2022 49ers (25.13).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 19.19; the worst Raiders 2020 at 49.41.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_score_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.