What Score pct (allowed) is

Scoring rate allowed: opponent drives that ended in points divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How reliably opponents turned a possession into a result against this defense.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Browns led at 24.35; the league average was 35.11.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

CLE · 24.35

League average

35.11

Best to worst

21.29

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CLE	24.35	17
2	KC	27.87	17
3	BAL	28.28	17
4	NYJ	31.02	17
5	NE	31.10	17
6	NO	31.31	17
7	MIA	31.61	17
8	DAL	31.67	17
9	JAX	32.49	17
10	BUF	32.61	17
11	LV	32.62	17
12	CHI	33.51	17
13	PIT	33.68	17
14	SF	33.71	17
15	HOU	34.01	17
16	TB	34.05	17
17	NYG	34.63	17
18	LAC	35.42	17
19	LAR	35.60	17
20	MIN	36.32	17
21	DET	36.51	17
22	CAR	36.70	17
23	ATL	37.56	17
24	CIN	38.10	17
25	GB	38.29	17
26	IND	38.35	17
27	DEN	39.68	17
28	SEA	40.00	17
29	PHI	40.68	17
30	TEN	42.78	17
31	ARI	43.33	17
32	WAS	45.64	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CLE · 24.35

League laggard

WAS · 45.64

League average

35.11

Spread (max − min)

21.29

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CLE	24.35	-10.76	100%
2	KC	27.87	-7.24	96.8%
3	BAL	28.28	-6.83	93.5%
4	NYJ	31.02	-4.09	90.3%
5	NE	31.10	-4.01	87.1%
6	NO	31.31	-3.80	83.9%
7	MIA	31.61	-3.50	80.6%
8	DAL	31.67	-3.44	77.4%
9	JAX	32.49	-2.62	74.2%
10	BUF	32.61	-2.50	71%
11	LV	32.62	-2.49	67.7%
12	CHI	33.51	-1.60	64.5%
13	PIT	33.68	-1.42	61.3%
14	SF	33.71	-1.39	58.1%
15	HOU	34.01	-1.10	54.8%
16	TB	34.05	-1.05	51.6%
17	NYG	34.63	-0.47	48.4%
18	LAC	35.42	0.31	45.2%
19	LAR	35.60	0.49	41.9%
20	MIN	36.32	1.21	38.7%
21	DET	36.51	1.40	35.5%
22	CAR	36.70	1.59	32.3%
23	ATL	37.56	2.45	29%
24	CIN	38.10	2.99	25.8%
25	GB	38.29	3.18	22.6%
26	IND	38.35	3.24	19.4%
27	DEN	39.68	4.57	16.1%
28	SEA	40.00	4.89	12.9%
29	PHI	40.68	5.57	9.7%
30	TEN	42.78	7.67	6.5%
31	ARI	43.33	8.22	3.2%
32	WAS	45.64	10.53	0%

Does Score pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 866–712–37 ATS (54.9%) across 2020–2025, #77 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (148–106, 58.3%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	150–120–2	55.6%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	143–120–9	54.4%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Score pct (allowed) in 2023 vs 2022

Browns lead at 24.35 — they ranked #24 last year. Commanders are last at 45.64 — #3 last year.

The league average is 35.11, down 0.70 from 35.81 last year.

Biggest riser: Browns, #24 → #1. Biggest faller: Commanders, #3 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 21.29; 24 teams are within 4.57 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

WAS · +14.49

Biggest faller

CLE · −13.75

Most consistent

NE · −0.37

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.70

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	WAS	45.64	31.16	+14.49
2	TEN	42.78	33.33	+9.44
3	SF	33.71	25.13	+8.58
4	PHI	40.68	32.24	+8.44
5	DEN	39.68	34.98	+4.71
6	IND	38.35	35.15	+3.20
7	SEA	40.00	36.84	+3.16
8	CAR	36.70	34.01	+2.69
9	ARI	43.33	40.72	+2.61
10	BUF	32.61	30.06	+2.55
11	CIN	38.10	35.56	+2.54
12	TB	34.05	32.83	+1.23
13	GB	38.29	37.64	+0.65
14	NE	31.10	31.47	−0.37
15	HOU	34.01	34.48	−0.47
16	NYJ	31.02	32.14	−1.12
17	DAL	31.67	32.84	−1.17
18	LAC	35.42	36.65	−1.23
19	NO	31.31	33.68	−2.37
20	JAX	32.49	35.52	−3.03
21	PIT	33.68	36.87	−3.19
22	DET	36.51	40.56	−4.05
23	MIN	36.32	40.61	−4.29
24	LAR	35.60	40.11	−4.51
25	MIA	31.61	37.23	−5.63
26	ATL	37.56	43.27	−5.71
27	NYG	34.63	40.76	−6.13
28	BAL	28.28	35.03	−6.75
29	LV	32.62	39.67	−7.05
30	CHI	33.51	41.21	−7.70
31	KC	27.87	36.02	−8.15
32	CLE	24.35	38.10	−13.75

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SEA · 34.25

Multi-year laggard

LV · 41.63

Biggest improver

MIN · −3.08/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · +2.28/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SEA	34.25	−2.11	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	25.93
2	NE	34.37	+0.61	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	37.65
3	TB	34.76	+0.52	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	32.26
4	BUF	34.76	+1.01	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	40.26
5	BAL	35.27	+2.00	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	41.57
6	KC	35.35	+0.23	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	37.33
7	CLE	35.38	−0.99	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	37.78
8	PIT	35.44	+0.72	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	35.23
9	DEN	35.97	−0.92	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	35.16
10	LAR	36.20	+1.40	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	40.23
11	SF	36.24	+1.31	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	40.28
12	GB	36.41	−0.60	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	30.77
13	PHI	36.71	+0.53	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	44.32
14	MIN	36.72	−3.08	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	26.32
15	NO	36.73	+2.18	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	47.50
16	MIA	37.33	+2.28	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	47.06
17	HOU	37.62	−1.53	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.11
18	LAC	37.90	−1.08	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	39.29
19	CHI	38.03	−0.24	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	35.14
20	JAX	38.20	−2.64	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
21	CIN	38.29	+0.28	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	39.47
22	NYG	38.59	−0.85	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	33.33
23	IND	38.61	+1.77	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	44.94
24	DAL	39.79	+2.12	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	46.34
25	WAS	40.02	+1.85	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	41.25
26	ATL	40.39	−0.85	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	34.78
27	TEN	40.44	+0.52	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	42.70
28	CAR	40.53	+0.29	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	40.00
29	DET	40.72	−1.65	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	38.67
30	NYJ	41.32	+0.07	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	40.48
31	ARI	41.57	+1.97	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	45.05
32	LV	41.63	−0.24	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	44.94

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CLE	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	37.78
KC	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	37.33
BAL	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	41.57
NYJ	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	40.48
NE	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	37.65
NO	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	47.50
MIA	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	47.06
DAL	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	46.34
JAX	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
BUF	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	40.26
LV	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	44.94
CHI	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	35.14
PIT	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	35.23
SF	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	40.28
HOU	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.11
TB	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	32.26
NYG	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	33.33
LAC	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	39.29
LAR	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	40.23
MIN	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	26.32
DET	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	38.67
CAR	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	40.00
ATL	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	34.78
CIN	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	39.47
GB	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	30.77
IND	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	44.94
DEN	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	35.16
SEA	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	25.93
PHI	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	44.32
TEN	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	42.70
ARI	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	45.05
WAS	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	41.25

Score pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (28.42), 2019 Patriots (19.19), 2020 Rams (26.98), 2021 Bills (27.51), 2022 49ers (25.13), 2023 Browns (24.35).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 19.19; the worst Raiders 2020 at 49.41.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_score_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.