What Score pct (allowed) is

Scoring rate allowed: opponent drives that ended in points divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How reliably opponents turned a possession into a result against this defense.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Broncos led at 30.81; the league average was 38.41.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

DEN · 30.81

League average

38.41

Best to worst

19.46

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	30.81	17
2	PHI	31.11	17
3	MIN	31.58	17
4	GB	32.24	17
5	LAC	32.42	17
6	CLE	33.64	17
7	SEA	33.67	17
8	PIT	34.24	17
9	DET	34.97	17
10	HOU	35.05	17
11	KC	36.09	17
12	BAL	36.17	17
13	BUF	36.21	17
14	NYG	37.23	17
15	IND	37.81	17
16	MIA	38.04	17
17	CIN	38.50	17
18	NO	39.04	17
19	TEN	39.06	17
20	TB	40.00	17
21	CHI	40.64	17
22	WAS	41.81	17
23	ARI	42.11	17
24	NE	42.13	17
25	LAR	42.20	17
26	DAL	42.21	17
27	LV	42.63	17
28	ATL	42.70	17
29	NYJ	44.38	17
30	SF	44.75	17
31	JAX	45.30	17
32	CAR	50.26	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 30.81

League laggard

CAR · 50.26

League average

38.41

Spread (max − min)

19.46

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	30.81	-7.60	100%
2	PHI	31.11	-7.30	96.8%
3	MIN	31.58	-6.83	93.5%
4	GB	32.24	-6.17	90.3%
5	LAC	32.42	-5.99	87.1%
6	CLE	33.64	-4.76	83.9%
7	SEA	33.67	-4.74	80.6%
8	PIT	34.24	-4.17	77.4%
9	DET	34.97	-3.43	74.2%
10	HOU	35.05	-3.36	71%
11	KC	36.09	-2.31	67.7%
12	BAL	36.17	-2.24	64.5%
13	BUF	36.21	-2.20	61.3%
14	NYG	37.23	-1.17	58.1%
15	IND	37.81	-0.60	54.8%
16	MIA	38.04	-0.36	51.6%
17	CIN	38.50	0.10	48.4%
18	NO	39.04	0.63	45.2%
19	TEN	39.06	0.66	41.9%
20	TB	40.00	1.59	38.7%
21	CHI	40.64	2.23	35.5%
22	WAS	41.81	3.40	32.3%
23	ARI	42.11	3.70	29%
24	NE	42.13	3.73	25.8%
25	LAR	42.20	3.79	22.6%
26	DAL	42.21	3.80	19.4%
27	LV	42.63	4.22	16.1%
28	ATL	42.70	4.29	12.9%
29	NYJ	44.38	5.98	9.7%
30	SF	44.75	6.34	6.5%
31	JAX	45.30	6.90	3.2%
32	CAR	50.26	11.86	0%

Does Score pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 866–712–37 ATS (54.9%) across 2020–2025, #77 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (148–106, 58.3%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	150–120–2	55.6%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	143–120–9	54.4%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Score pct (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023

Broncos lead at 30.81 — they ranked #27 last year. Panthers are last at 50.26 — #22 last year.

The league average is 38.41, up 3.30 from 35.11 last year.

Biggest riser: Eagles, #29 → #2. Biggest faller: Jets, #4 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 19.46; 21 teams are within 4.71 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CAR · +13.56

Biggest faller

PHI · −9.57

Most consistent

CIN · +0.41

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▲ 3.30

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	CAR	50.26	36.70	+13.56
2	NYJ	44.38	31.02	+13.36
3	JAX	45.30	32.49	+12.82
4	SF	44.75	33.71	+11.04
5	NE	42.13	31.10	+11.03
6	DAL	42.21	31.67	+10.54
7	LV	42.63	32.62	+10.01
8	CLE	33.64	24.35	+9.30
9	KC	36.09	27.87	+8.23
10	BAL	36.17	28.28	+7.89
11	NO	39.04	31.31	+7.72
12	CHI	40.64	33.51	+7.13
13	LAR	42.20	35.60	+6.59
14	MIA	38.04	31.61	+6.44
15	TB	40.00	34.05	+5.95
16	ATL	42.70	37.56	+5.13
17	BUF	36.21	32.61	+3.60
18	NYG	37.23	34.63	+2.60
19	HOU	35.05	34.01	+1.04
20	PIT	34.24	33.68	+0.55
21	CIN	38.50	38.10	+0.41
22	IND	37.81	38.35	−0.54
23	ARI	42.11	43.33	−1.23
24	DET	34.97	36.51	−1.54
25	LAC	32.42	35.42	−3.00
26	TEN	39.06	42.78	−3.72
27	WAS	41.81	45.64	−3.83
28	MIN	31.58	36.32	−4.74
29	GB	32.24	38.29	−6.05
30	SEA	33.67	40.00	−6.33
31	DEN	30.81	39.68	−8.87
32	PHI	31.11	40.68	−9.57

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

NE · 33.49

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 42.01

Biggest improver

MIN · −3.22/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · +2.59/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	NE	33.49	−0.05	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	31.48
2	SEA	34.60	−1.85	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	28.33
3	BAL	35.05	+1.83	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	40.00
4	BUF	35.10	+1.26	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	42.59
5	KC	35.66	+0.46	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	39.53
6	PHI	35.73	−0.20	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	37.50
7	CLE	35.74	−0.72	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	40.35
8	TB	35.76	+1.27	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	39.29
9	LAR	35.91	+1.19	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	38.18
10	SF	35.98	+1.11	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	38.46
11	PIT	36.02	+1.15	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	39.29
12	DEN	36.21	−0.74	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	36.84
13	GB	36.45	−0.57	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	31.03
14	MIN	36.53	−3.22	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	25.00
15	NO	36.96	+2.36	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	49.12
16	HOU	37.69	−1.47	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.59
17	MIA	37.75	+2.59	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	50.00
18	LAC	37.82	−1.14	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	38.71
19	CHI	37.96	−0.30	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	34.62
20	JAX	38.20	−2.64	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
21	NYG	38.33	−1.05	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	31.48
22	CIN	38.42	+0.38	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	40.38
23	IND	38.82	+1.93	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	46.43
24	DAL	40.03	+2.30	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	48.00
25	LV	40.38	−1.17	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	36.21
26	ATL	40.44	−0.81	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	35.09
27	TEN	40.66	+0.69	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	44.23
28	NYJ	40.66	−0.43	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	35.85
29	WAS	40.67	+2.33	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	45.76
30	CAR	40.81	+0.50	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	42.00
31	DET	41.55	−1.03	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	44.44
32	ARI	42.01	+2.30	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	48.15

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DEN	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	36.84
PHI	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	37.50
MIN	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	25.00
GB	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	31.03
LAC	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	38.71
CLE	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	40.35
SEA	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	28.33
PIT	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	39.29
DET	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	44.44
HOU	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.59
KC	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	39.53
BAL	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	40.00
BUF	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	42.59
NYG	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	31.48
IND	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	46.43
MIA	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	50.00
CIN	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	40.38
NO	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	49.12
TEN	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	44.23
TB	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	39.29
CHI	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	34.62
WAS	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	45.76
ARI	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	48.15
NE	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	31.48
LAR	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	38.18
DAL	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	48.00
LV	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	36.21
ATL	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	35.09
NYJ	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	35.85
SF	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	38.46
JAX	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
CAR	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	42.00

Score pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (28.42), 2019 Patriots (19.19), 2020 Rams (26.98), 2021 Bills (27.51), 2022 49ers (25.13), 2023 Browns (24.35), 2024 Broncos (30.81).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 19.19; the worst Panthers 2024 at 50.26.

The league average has risen from 35.89 in 2018 to 38.41 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_score_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.