Defensive: Drive Averages · Score pct (allowed)
What Score pct (allowed) is
Scoring rate allowed: opponent drives that ended in points divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How reliably opponents turned a possession into a result against this defense.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2019 the Patriots led at 19.19; the league average was 35.19.
League snapshot — 2019
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 19.19 | 16 |
| 2 | BUF | 23.53 | 16 |
| 3 | SF | 28.02 | 16 |
| 4 | PIT | 29.32 | 16 |
| 5 | CHI | 30.81 | 16 |
| 6 | TEN | 31.94 | 16 |
| 7 | BAL | 32.54 | 16 |
| 8 | LAR | 32.63 | 16 |
| 9 | NYJ | 32.99 | 16 |
| 10 | KC | 33.14 | 16 |
| 11 | PHI | 33.51 | 16 |
| 12 | GB | 34.08 | 16 |
| 13 | MIN | 34.46 | 16 |
| 14 | DAL | 34.66 | 16 |
| 15 | SEA | 35.11 | 16 |
| 16 | DEN | 35.43 | 16 |
| 17 | NO | 35.43 | 16 |
| 18 | LAC | 35.93 | 16 |
| 19 | CLE | 36.41 | 16 |
| 20 | JAX | 36.61 | 16 |
| 21 | IND | 37.71 | 16 |
| 22 | NYG | 38.14 | 16 |
| 23 | HOU | 38.15 | 16 |
| 24 | CIN | 38.22 | 16 |
| 25 | TB | 38.54 | 16 |
| 26 | DET | 38.95 | 16 |
| 27 | CAR | 39.11 | 16 |
| 28 | LV | 40.24 | 16 |
| 29 | ARI | 41.11 | 16 |
| 30 | WAS | 41.34 | 16 |
| 31 | ATL | 43.58 | 16 |
| 32 | MIA | 45.26 | 16 |
At a glance — 2019
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2019
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 19.19 | -16.00 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 23.53 | -11.66 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SF | 28.02 | -7.17 | 93.5% |
| 4 | PIT | 29.32 | -5.87 | 90.3% |
| 5 | CHI | 30.81 | -4.38 | 87.1% |
| 6 | TEN | 31.94 | -3.25 | 83.9% |
| 7 | BAL | 32.54 | -2.65 | 80.6% |
| 8 | LAR | 32.63 | -2.56 | 77.4% |
| 9 | NYJ | 32.99 | -2.20 | 74.2% |
| 10 | KC | 33.14 | -2.05 | 71% |
| 11 | PHI | 33.51 | -1.68 | 67.7% |
| 12 | GB | 34.08 | -1.11 | 64.5% |
| 13 | MIN | 34.46 | -0.73 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DAL | 34.66 | -0.53 | 58.1% |
| 15 | SEA | 35.11 | -0.08 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DEN | 35.43 | 0.24 | 51.6% |
| 17 | NO | 35.43 | 0.24 | 48.4% |
| 18 | LAC | 35.93 | 0.74 | 45.2% |
| 19 | CLE | 36.41 | 1.22 | 41.9% |
| 20 | JAX | 36.61 | 1.42 | 38.7% |
| 21 | IND | 37.71 | 2.52 | 35.5% |
| 22 | NYG | 38.14 | 2.95 | 32.3% |
| 23 | HOU | 38.15 | 2.96 | 29% |
| 24 | CIN | 38.22 | 3.03 | 25.8% |
| 25 | TB | 38.54 | 3.35 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DET | 38.95 | 3.76 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CAR | 39.11 | 3.92 | 16.1% |
| 28 | LV | 40.24 | 5.05 | 12.9% |
| 29 | ARI | 41.11 | 5.92 | 9.7% |
| 30 | WAS | 41.34 | 6.15 | 6.5% |
| 31 | ATL | 43.58 | 8.39 | 3.2% |
| 32 | MIA | 45.26 | 10.07 | 0% |
Does Score pct (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 866–712–37 ATS (54.9%) across 2020–2025, #77 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (148–106, 58.3%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 148–106–2 | 58.3% |
| 2021 | 272 | 150–120–2 | 55.6% |
| 2022 | 271 | 146–118–7 | 55.3% |
| 2023 | 272 | 132–126–14 | 51.2% |
| 2024 | 272 | 143–120–9 | 54.4% |
| 2025 | 272 | 147–122–3 | 54.6% |
Score pct (allowed) in 2019 vs 2018
Patriots lead at 19.19 — they ranked #7 last year. Dolphins are last at 45.26 — #26 last year.
The league average is 35.19, down 0.70 from 35.89 last year.
Biggest riser: 49ers, #24 → #3. Biggest faller: Texans, #3 → #23.
Spread between first and last: 26.07; 24 teams are within 5.25 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2019 vs 2018
| Rank | Team | 2019 | 2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 41.34 | 34.09 | +7.25 |
| 2 | HOU | 38.15 | 31.22 | +6.93 |
| 3 | MIA | 45.26 | 39.25 | +6.02 |
| 4 | DET | 38.95 | 33.71 | +5.24 |
| 5 | JAX | 36.61 | 31.75 | +4.87 |
| 6 | BAL | 32.54 | 28.42 | +4.13 |
| 7 | ARI | 41.11 | 37.17 | +3.94 |
| 8 | ATL | 43.58 | 40.11 | +3.46 |
| 9 | IND | 37.71 | 34.27 | +3.44 |
| 10 | LAC | 35.93 | 32.76 | +3.17 |
| 11 | MIN | 34.46 | 31.94 | +2.53 |
| 12 | DEN | 35.43 | 33.16 | +2.27 |
| 13 | CAR | 39.11 | 37.79 | +1.32 |
| 14 | CHI | 30.81 | 29.63 | +1.18 |
| 15 | CLE | 36.41 | 35.29 | +1.12 |
| 16 | SEA | 35.11 | 34.62 | +0.49 |
| 17 | NO | 35.43 | 35.33 | +0.10 |
| 18 | TEN | 31.94 | 32.57 | −0.63 |
| 19 | TB | 38.54 | 39.57 | −1.04 |
| 20 | DAL | 34.66 | 35.88 | −1.22 |
| 21 | LV | 40.24 | 43.33 | −3.10 |
| 22 | NYG | 38.14 | 41.30 | −3.16 |
| 23 | GB | 34.08 | 37.84 | −3.76 |
| 24 | PIT | 29.32 | 33.51 | −4.19 |
| 25 | PHI | 33.51 | 38.20 | −4.69 |
| 26 | LAR | 32.63 | 37.78 | −5.15 |
| 27 | NYJ | 32.99 | 38.83 | −5.84 |
| 28 | KC | 33.14 | 39.44 | −6.31 |
| 29 | CIN | 38.22 | 45.56 | −7.34 |
| 30 | BUF | 23.53 | 32.82 | −9.29 |
| 31 | SF | 28.02 | 38.71 | −10.69 |
| 32 | NE | 19.19 | 32.62 | −13.43 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 33.49 | −0.05 | 38.13 | 28.11 | 31.47 | 31.10 | 42.13 | 32.00 | 31.48 |
| 2 | SEA | 34.60 | −1.85 | 39.89 | 35.23 | 36.84 | 40.00 | 33.67 | 28.21 | 28.33 |
| 3 | BAL | 35.05 | +1.83 | 29.65 | 33.33 | 35.03 | 28.28 | 36.17 | 42.86 | 40.00 |
| 4 | BUF | 35.10 | +1.26 | 39.41 | 27.51 | 30.06 | 32.61 | 36.21 | 37.29 | 42.59 |
| 5 | KC | 35.66 | +0.46 | 36.05 | 36.42 | 36.02 | 27.87 | 36.09 | 37.65 | 39.53 |
| 6 | PHI | 35.73 | −0.20 | 37.56 | 36.61 | 32.24 | 40.68 | 31.11 | 34.43 | 37.50 |
| 7 | CLE | 35.74 | −0.72 | 43.11 | 37.16 | 38.10 | 24.35 | 33.64 | 33.50 | 40.35 |
| 8 | TB | 35.76 | +1.27 | 33.15 | 32.99 | 32.83 | 34.05 | 40.00 | 38.04 | 39.29 |
| 9 | LAR | 35.91 | +1.19 | 26.98 | 34.76 | 40.11 | 35.60 | 42.20 | 33.52 | 38.18 |
| 10 | SF | 35.98 | +1.11 | 37.17 | 34.41 | 25.13 | 33.71 | 44.75 | 38.24 | 38.46 |
| 11 | PIT | 36.02 | +1.15 | 29.10 | 38.38 | 36.87 | 33.68 | 34.24 | 40.56 | 39.29 |
| 12 | DEN | 36.21 | −0.74 | 43.68 | 32.76 | 34.98 | 39.68 | 30.81 | 34.72 | 36.84 |
| 13 | GB | 36.45 | −0.57 | 38.65 | 35.59 | 37.64 | 38.29 | 32.24 | 41.72 | 31.03 |
| 14 | MIN | 36.53 | −3.22 | 48.57 | 39.39 | 40.61 | 36.32 | 31.58 | 34.22 | 25.00 |
| 15 | NO | 36.96 | +2.36 | 34.25 | 31.66 | 33.68 | 31.31 | 39.04 | 39.67 | 49.12 |
| 16 | HOU | 37.69 | −1.47 | 46.47 | 43.16 | 34.48 | 34.01 | 35.05 | 28.04 | 42.59 |
| 17 | MIA | 37.75 | +2.59 | 29.73 | 36.08 | 37.23 | 31.61 | 38.04 | 41.57 | 50.00 |
| 18 | LAC | 37.82 | −1.14 | 42.13 | 44.02 | 36.65 | 35.42 | 32.42 | 35.36 | 38.71 |
| 19 | CHI | 37.96 | −0.30 | 37.16 | 39.34 | 41.21 | 33.51 | 40.64 | 39.25 | 34.62 |
| 20 | JAX | 38.20 | −2.64 | 47.83 | 45.51 | 35.52 | 32.49 | 45.30 | 31.58 | 29.17 |
| 21 | NYG | 38.33 | −1.05 | 41.57 | 40.21 | 40.76 | 34.63 | 37.23 | 42.39 | 31.48 |
| 22 | CIN | 38.42 | +0.38 | 42.86 | 32.99 | 35.56 | 38.10 | 38.50 | 40.54 | 40.38 |
| 23 | IND | 38.82 | +1.93 | 35.06 | 35.14 | 35.15 | 38.35 | 37.81 | 43.82 | 46.43 |
| 24 | DAL | 40.03 | +2.30 | 42.47 | 31.88 | 32.84 | 31.67 | 42.21 | 51.12 | 48.00 |
| 25 | LV | 40.38 | −1.17 | 49.41 | 40.11 | 39.67 | 32.62 | 42.63 | 41.99 | 36.21 |
| 26 | ATL | 40.44 | −0.81 | 41.24 | 42.54 | 43.27 | 37.56 | 42.70 | 40.66 | 35.09 |
| 27 | TEN | 40.66 | +0.69 | 44.44 | 36.84 | 33.33 | 42.78 | 39.06 | 43.92 | 44.23 |
| 28 | NYJ | 40.66 | −0.43 | 43.89 | 48.69 | 32.14 | 31.02 | 44.38 | 48.66 | 35.85 |
| 29 | WAS | 40.67 | +2.33 | 31.41 | 41.53 | 31.16 | 45.64 | 41.81 | 47.37 | 45.76 |
| 30 | CAR | 40.81 | +0.50 | 45.12 | 37.00 | 34.01 | 36.70 | 50.26 | 40.59 | 42.00 |
| 31 | DET | 41.55 | −1.03 | 46.55 | 48.11 | 40.56 | 36.51 | 34.97 | 39.68 | 44.44 |
| 32 | ARI | 42.01 | +2.30 | 36.52 | 34.62 | 40.72 | 43.33 | 42.11 | 48.63 | 48.15 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 48.57 | 39.39 | 40.61 | 36.32 | 31.58 | 34.22 | 25.00 |
| SEA | 39.89 | 35.23 | 36.84 | 40.00 | 33.67 | 28.21 | 28.33 |
| JAX | 47.83 | 45.51 | 35.52 | 32.49 | 45.30 | 31.58 | 29.17 |
| GB | 38.65 | 35.59 | 37.64 | 38.29 | 32.24 | 41.72 | 31.03 |
| NE | 38.13 | 28.11 | 31.47 | 31.10 | 42.13 | 32.00 | 31.48 |
| NYG | 41.57 | 40.21 | 40.76 | 34.63 | 37.23 | 42.39 | 31.48 |
| CHI | 37.16 | 39.34 | 41.21 | 33.51 | 40.64 | 39.25 | 34.62 |
| ATL | 41.24 | 42.54 | 43.27 | 37.56 | 42.70 | 40.66 | 35.09 |
| NYJ | 43.89 | 48.69 | 32.14 | 31.02 | 44.38 | 48.66 | 35.85 |
| LV | 49.41 | 40.11 | 39.67 | 32.62 | 42.63 | 41.99 | 36.21 |
| DEN | 43.68 | 32.76 | 34.98 | 39.68 | 30.81 | 34.72 | 36.84 |
| PHI | 37.56 | 36.61 | 32.24 | 40.68 | 31.11 | 34.43 | 37.50 |
| LAR | 26.98 | 34.76 | 40.11 | 35.60 | 42.20 | 33.52 | 38.18 |
| SF | 37.17 | 34.41 | 25.13 | 33.71 | 44.75 | 38.24 | 38.46 |
| LAC | 42.13 | 44.02 | 36.65 | 35.42 | 32.42 | 35.36 | 38.71 |
| PIT | 29.10 | 38.38 | 36.87 | 33.68 | 34.24 | 40.56 | 39.29 |
| TB | 33.15 | 32.99 | 32.83 | 34.05 | 40.00 | 38.04 | 39.29 |
| KC | 36.05 | 36.42 | 36.02 | 27.87 | 36.09 | 37.65 | 39.53 |
| BAL | 29.65 | 33.33 | 35.03 | 28.28 | 36.17 | 42.86 | 40.00 |
| CLE | 43.11 | 37.16 | 38.10 | 24.35 | 33.64 | 33.50 | 40.35 |
| CIN | 42.86 | 32.99 | 35.56 | 38.10 | 38.50 | 40.54 | 40.38 |
| CAR | 45.12 | 37.00 | 34.01 | 36.70 | 50.26 | 40.59 | 42.00 |
| BUF | 39.41 | 27.51 | 30.06 | 32.61 | 36.21 | 37.29 | 42.59 |
| HOU | 46.47 | 43.16 | 34.48 | 34.01 | 35.05 | 28.04 | 42.59 |
| TEN | 44.44 | 36.84 | 33.33 | 42.78 | 39.06 | 43.92 | 44.23 |
| DET | 46.55 | 48.11 | 40.56 | 36.51 | 34.97 | 39.68 | 44.44 |
| WAS | 31.41 | 41.53 | 31.16 | 45.64 | 41.81 | 47.37 | 45.76 |
| IND | 35.06 | 35.14 | 35.15 | 38.35 | 37.81 | 43.82 | 46.43 |
| DAL | 42.47 | 31.88 | 32.84 | 31.67 | 42.21 | 51.12 | 48.00 |
| ARI | 36.52 | 34.62 | 40.72 | 43.33 | 42.11 | 48.63 | 48.15 |
| NO | 34.25 | 31.66 | 33.68 | 31.31 | 39.04 | 39.67 | 49.12 |
| MIA | 29.73 | 36.08 | 37.23 | 31.61 | 38.04 | 41.57 | 50.00 |
Score pct (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (28.42), 2019 Patriots (19.19).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 19.19; the worst Bengals 2018 at 45.56.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_drives_score_pct
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Drive Averages
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.