What Score pct (allowed) is

Scoring rate allowed: opponent drives that ended in points divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How reliably opponents turned a possession into a result against this defense.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Texans led at 28.04; the league average was 39.12.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

HOU · 28.04

League average

39.12

Best to worst

23.08

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	HOU	28.04	17
2	SEA	28.21	17
3	JAX	31.58	17
4	NE	32.00	17
5	CLE	33.50	17
6	LAR	33.52	17
7	MIN	34.22	17
8	PHI	34.43	17
9	DEN	34.72	17
10	LAC	35.36	17
11	BUF	37.29	17
12	KC	37.65	17
13	TB	38.04	17
14	SF	38.24	17
15	CHI	39.25	17
16	NO	39.67	17
17	DET	39.68	17
18	CIN	40.54	17
19	PIT	40.56	17
20	CAR	40.59	17
21	ATL	40.66	17
22	MIA	41.57	17
23	GB	41.72	17
24	LV	41.99	17
25	NYG	42.39	17
26	BAL	42.86	17
27	IND	43.82	17
28	TEN	43.92	17
29	WAS	47.37	17
30	ARI	48.63	17
31	NYJ	48.66	17
32	DAL	51.12	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

HOU · 28.04

League laggard

DAL · 51.12

League average

39.12

Spread (max − min)

23.08

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	HOU	28.04	-11.08	100%
2	SEA	28.21	-10.91	96.8%
3	JAX	31.58	-7.54	93.5%
4	NE	32.00	-7.12	90.3%
5	CLE	33.50	-5.62	87.1%
6	LAR	33.52	-5.60	83.9%
7	MIN	34.22	-4.89	80.6%
8	PHI	34.43	-4.69	77.4%
9	DEN	34.72	-4.40	74.2%
10	LAC	35.36	-3.76	71%
11	BUF	37.29	-1.83	67.7%
12	KC	37.65	-1.47	64.5%
13	TB	38.04	-1.07	61.3%
14	SF	38.24	-0.88	58.1%
15	CHI	39.25	0.13	54.8%
16	NO	39.67	0.56	51.6%
17	DET	39.68	0.56	48.4%
18	CIN	40.54	1.42	45.2%
19	PIT	40.56	1.44	41.9%
20	CAR	40.59	1.47	38.7%
21	ATL	40.66	1.54	35.5%
22	MIA	41.57	2.45	32.3%
23	GB	41.72	2.60	29%
24	LV	41.99	2.87	25.8%
25	NYG	42.39	3.27	22.6%
26	BAL	42.86	3.74	19.4%
27	IND	43.82	4.70	16.1%
28	TEN	43.92	4.80	12.9%
29	WAS	47.37	8.25	9.7%
30	ARI	48.63	9.52	6.5%
31	NYJ	48.66	9.54	3.2%
32	DAL	51.12	12.01	0%

Does Score pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 866–712–37 ATS (54.9%) across 2020–2025, #77 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (148–106, 58.3%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	150–120–2	55.6%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	143–120–9	54.4%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Score pct (allowed) in 2025 vs 2024

Texans lead at 28.04 — they ranked #10 last year. Cowboys are last at 51.12 — #26 last year.

The league average is 39.12, up 0.71 from 38.41 last year.

Biggest riser: Jaguars, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Packers, #4 → #23.

Spread between first and last: 23.08; 22 teams are within 5.57 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

GB · +9.48

Biggest faller

JAX · −13.72

Most consistent

CLE · −0.15

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.71

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	GB	41.72	32.24	+9.48
2	DAL	51.12	42.21	+8.91
3	BAL	42.86	36.17	+6.69
4	ARI	48.63	42.11	+6.53
5	PIT	40.56	34.24	+6.32
6	IND	43.82	37.81	+6.01
7	WAS	47.37	41.81	+5.56
8	NYG	42.39	37.23	+5.16
9	TEN	43.92	39.06	+4.85
10	DET	39.68	34.97	+4.71
11	NYJ	48.66	44.38	+4.28
12	DEN	34.72	30.81	+3.91
13	MIA	41.57	38.04	+3.53
14	PHI	34.43	31.11	+3.32
15	LAC	35.36	32.42	+2.94
16	MIN	34.22	31.58	+2.65
17	CIN	40.54	38.50	+2.04
18	KC	37.65	36.09	+1.55
19	BUF	37.29	36.21	+1.08
20	NO	39.67	39.04	+0.64
21	CLE	33.50	33.64	−0.15
22	LV	41.99	42.63	−0.64
23	CHI	39.25	40.64	−1.39
24	TB	38.04	40.00	−1.96
25	ATL	40.66	42.70	−2.04
26	SEA	28.21	33.67	−5.46
27	SF	38.24	44.75	−6.52
28	HOU	28.04	35.05	−7.01
29	LAR	33.52	42.20	−8.68
30	CAR	40.59	50.26	−9.68
31	NE	32.00	42.13	−10.13
32	JAX	31.58	45.30	−13.72

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

NE · 33.49

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 42.01

Biggest improver

MIN · −3.22/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · +2.59/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	NE	33.49	−0.05	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	31.48
2	SEA	34.60	−1.85	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	28.33
3	BAL	35.05	+1.83	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	40.00
4	BUF	35.10	+1.26	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	42.59
5	KC	35.66	+0.46	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	39.53
6	PHI	35.73	−0.20	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	37.50
7	CLE	35.74	−0.72	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	40.35
8	TB	35.76	+1.27	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	39.29
9	LAR	35.91	+1.19	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	38.18
10	SF	35.98	+1.11	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	38.46
11	PIT	36.02	+1.15	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	39.29
12	DEN	36.21	−0.74	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	36.84
13	GB	36.45	−0.57	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	31.03
14	MIN	36.53	−3.22	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	25.00
15	NO	36.96	+2.36	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	49.12
16	HOU	37.69	−1.47	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.59
17	MIA	37.75	+2.59	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	50.00
18	LAC	37.82	−1.14	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	38.71
19	CHI	37.96	−0.30	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	34.62
20	JAX	38.20	−2.64	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
21	NYG	38.33	−1.05	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	31.48
22	CIN	38.42	+0.38	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	40.38
23	IND	38.82	+1.93	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	46.43
24	DAL	40.03	+2.30	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	48.00
25	LV	40.38	−1.17	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	36.21
26	ATL	40.44	−0.81	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	35.09
27	TEN	40.66	+0.69	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	44.23
28	NYJ	40.66	−0.43	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	35.85
29	WAS	40.67	+2.33	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	45.76
30	CAR	40.81	+0.50	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	42.00
31	DET	41.55	−1.03	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	44.44
32	ARI	42.01	+2.30	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	48.15

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
HOU	46.47	43.16	34.48	34.01	35.05	28.04	42.59
SEA	39.89	35.23	36.84	40.00	33.67	28.21	28.33
JAX	47.83	45.51	35.52	32.49	45.30	31.58	29.17
NE	38.13	28.11	31.47	31.10	42.13	32.00	31.48
CLE	43.11	37.16	38.10	24.35	33.64	33.50	40.35
LAR	26.98	34.76	40.11	35.60	42.20	33.52	38.18
MIN	48.57	39.39	40.61	36.32	31.58	34.22	25.00
PHI	37.56	36.61	32.24	40.68	31.11	34.43	37.50
DEN	43.68	32.76	34.98	39.68	30.81	34.72	36.84
LAC	42.13	44.02	36.65	35.42	32.42	35.36	38.71
BUF	39.41	27.51	30.06	32.61	36.21	37.29	42.59
KC	36.05	36.42	36.02	27.87	36.09	37.65	39.53
TB	33.15	32.99	32.83	34.05	40.00	38.04	39.29
SF	37.17	34.41	25.13	33.71	44.75	38.24	38.46
CHI	37.16	39.34	41.21	33.51	40.64	39.25	34.62
NO	34.25	31.66	33.68	31.31	39.04	39.67	49.12
DET	46.55	48.11	40.56	36.51	34.97	39.68	44.44
CIN	42.86	32.99	35.56	38.10	38.50	40.54	40.38
PIT	29.10	38.38	36.87	33.68	34.24	40.56	39.29
CAR	45.12	37.00	34.01	36.70	50.26	40.59	42.00
ATL	41.24	42.54	43.27	37.56	42.70	40.66	35.09
MIA	29.73	36.08	37.23	31.61	38.04	41.57	50.00
GB	38.65	35.59	37.64	38.29	32.24	41.72	31.03
LV	49.41	40.11	39.67	32.62	42.63	41.99	36.21
NYG	41.57	40.21	40.76	34.63	37.23	42.39	31.48
BAL	29.65	33.33	35.03	28.28	36.17	42.86	40.00
IND	35.06	35.14	35.15	38.35	37.81	43.82	46.43
TEN	44.44	36.84	33.33	42.78	39.06	43.92	44.23
WAS	31.41	41.53	31.16	45.64	41.81	47.37	45.76
ARI	36.52	34.62	40.72	43.33	42.11	48.63	48.15
NYJ	43.89	48.69	32.14	31.02	44.38	48.66	35.85
DAL	42.47	31.88	32.84	31.67	42.21	51.12	48.00

Score pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (28.42), 2019 Patriots (19.19), 2020 Rams (26.98), 2021 Bills (27.51), 2022 49ers (25.13), 2023 Browns (24.35), 2024 Broncos (30.81), 2025 Texans (28.04).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 19.19; the worst Cowboys 2025 at 51.12.

The league average has risen from 35.89 in 2018 to 39.12 in 2025.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_score_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.