Arizona Cardinals — Fourth down pct, 2026

Value71.43
Rank#10 of 32
League average54.48
Rank in 2025#29 of 32

Arizona Cardinals — every stat for 2026, ranked →

What Fourth down pct is

Fourth-down conversion rate: fourth downs converted divided by fourth downs attempted, as a percentage. The samples are small — a dozen attempts in a season is normal — so a high rate can be a few plays.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Vikings lead at 100.00; the league average is 54.48.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

MIN · 100.00

League average

54.48

Best to worst

77.78

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	MIN	100.00	5
2	NE	87.50	5
3	BUF	75.00	5
4	CIN	75.00	5
5	NO	75.00	5
6	NYG	75.00	5
7	NYJ	75.00	5
8	DET	72.73	5
9	IND	72.73	5
10	ARI	71.43	5
11	KC	71.43	4
12	DEN	66.67	5
13	LAR	62.50	5
14	GB	60.00	5
15	PIT	60.00	5
16	WAS	57.14	5
17	CHI	53.33	5
18	DAL	50.00	5
19	JAX	50.00	5
20	LV	50.00	5
21	SF	50.00	5
22	CAR	37.50	4
23	CLE	37.50	5
24	ATL	33.33	5
25	SEA	33.33	5
26	TEN	33.33	5
27	HOU	28.57	5
28	MIA	28.57	5
29	TB	28.57	5
30	BAL	25.00	5
31	LAC	25.00	5
32	PHI	22.22	5

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIN · 100.00

League laggard

PHI · 22.22

League average

54.48

Spread (max − min)

77.78

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	MIN	100.00	45.52	100%
2	NE	87.50	33.02	96.8%
3	BUF	75.00	20.52	93.5%
4	CIN	75.00	20.52	90.3%
5	NO	75.00	20.52	87.1%
6	NYG	75.00	20.52	83.9%
7	NYJ	75.00	20.52	80.6%
8	DET	72.73	18.25	77.4%
9	IND	72.73	18.25	74.2%
10	ARI	71.43	16.95	71%
11	KC	71.43	16.95	67.7%
12	DEN	66.67	12.19	64.5%
13	LAR	62.50	8.02	61.3%
14	GB	60.00	5.52	58.1%
15	PIT	60.00	5.52	54.8%
16	WAS	57.14	2.66	51.6%
17	CHI	53.33	-1.15	48.4%
18	DAL	50.00	-4.48	45.2%
19	JAX	50.00	-4.48	41.9%
20	LV	50.00	-4.48	38.7%
21	SF	50.00	-4.48	35.5%
22	CAR	37.50	-16.98	32.3%
23	CLE	37.50	-16.98	29%
24	ATL	33.33	-21.15	25.8%
25	SEA	33.33	-21.15	22.6%
26	TEN	33.33	-21.15	19.4%
27	HOU	28.57	-25.91	16.1%
28	MIA	28.57	-25.91	12.9%
29	TB	28.57	-25.91	9.7%
30	BAL	25.00	-29.48	6.5%
31	LAC	25.00	-29.48	3.2%
32	PHI	22.22	-32.26	0%

Does Fourth down pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 856–722–37 ATS (54.2%) across 2020–2025, #91 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (142–112, 55.9%); its worst 2021 (140–130, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	142–112–2	55.9%
2021	272	140–130–2	51.9%
2022	271	147–117–7	55.7%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	147–116–9	55.9%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Fourth down pct in 2026 vs 2025

Vikings lead at 100.00 — they ranked #8 last year. Eagles are last at 22.22 — #19 last year.

The league average is 54.48, down 1.43 from 55.91 last year.

Biggest riser: Saints, #31 → #5. Biggest faller: Ravens, #10 → #30.

Spread between first and last: 77.78; 21 teams are within 20.60 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIN · +37.50

Biggest faller

LAC · −35.00

Most consistent

CHI · +1.61

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -1.43

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	MIN	100.00	62.50	+37.50
2	NO	75.00	41.18	+33.82
3	NYJ	75.00	43.90	+31.10
4	NYG	75.00	46.15	+28.85
5	ARI	71.43	42.86	+28.57
6	DEN	66.67	50.00	+16.67
7	BUF	75.00	59.38	+15.63
8	NE	87.50	72.00	+15.50
9	DET	72.73	58.06	+14.66
10	LV	50.00	40.63	+9.38
11	PIT	60.00	52.17	+7.83
12	IND	72.73	66.67	+6.06
13	CIN	75.00	70.00	+5.00
14	GB	60.00	56.00	+4.00
15	CHI	53.33	51.72	+1.61
16	KC	71.43	75.00	−3.57
17	CLE	37.50	41.38	−3.88
18	LAR	62.50	66.67	−4.17
19	WAS	57.14	61.54	−4.40
20	JAX	50.00	58.62	−8.62
21	SF	50.00	59.09	−9.09
22	TEN	33.33	45.71	−12.38
23	DAL	50.00	64.71	−14.71
24	TB	28.57	44.83	−16.26
25	ATL	33.33	50.00	−16.67
26	MIA	28.57	47.83	−19.25
27	SEA	33.33	58.33	−25.00
28	HOU	28.57	57.89	−29.32
29	CAR	37.50	69.23	−31.73
30	PHI	22.22	55.00	−32.78
31	BAL	25.00	60.00	−35.00
32	LAC	25.00	60.00	−35.00

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 66.80

Multi-year laggard

CLE · 45.59

Biggest improver

MIN · +5.18/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −6.52/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	66.80	+2.06	56.25	66.67	75.00	52.63	70.59	75.00	71.43
2	BUF	63.89	+0.81	80.00	50.00	53.85	56.25	72.73	59.38	75.00
3	LAR	62.34	+2.22	47.06	52.63	78.95	61.90	66.67	66.67	62.50
4	MIN	61.11	+5.18	56.52	54.55	47.37	60.71	46.15	62.50	100.00
5	IND	60.33	+1.78	64.00	62.07	46.15	50.00	60.71	66.67	72.73
6	WAS	59.99	+1.79	61.11	50.00	48.00	55.17	86.96	61.54	57.14
7	NE	59.14	+4.64	52.94	68.75	38.46	36.00	58.33	72.00	87.50
8	CIN	57.91	+1.84	70.37	65.00	25.00	47.37	52.63	70.00	75.00
9	DET	57.89	+3.37	50.00	51.22	54.05	52.50	66.67	58.06	72.73
10	LV	57.29	−4.35	76.19	63.16	54.17	60.87	56.00	40.63	50.00
11	DEN	55.27	+4.54	26.67	57.14	50.00	65.00	71.43	50.00	66.67
12	NYG	54.54	+1.41	63.64	46.67	47.62	48.65	54.05	46.15	75.00
13	NO	54.45	+0.06	73.33	52.38	36.36	47.37	55.56	41.18	75.00
14	PHI	53.75	−1.37	42.86	44.00	68.75	73.08	70.37	55.00	22.22
15	GB	53.67	−0.02	61.90	59.09	38.71	50.00	50.00	56.00	60.00
16	DAL	53.62	−0.67	54.84	58.33	52.63	59.09	35.71	64.71	50.00
17	ARI	53.34	−0.74	68.00	58.62	43.90	44.12	44.44	42.86	71.43
18	PIT	53.15	−0.12	52.63	47.62	73.33	47.37	38.89	52.17	60.00
19	TB	53.05	−3.49	57.14	56.25	53.57	66.67	64.29	44.83	28.57
20	BAL	52.81	−4.09	63.16	66.67	40.00	61.54	53.33	60.00	25.00
21	MIA	51.98	−6.52	80.00	59.09	54.17	45.83	48.39	47.83	28.57
22	LAC	51.52	−2.48	48.00	64.71	53.57	46.88	62.50	60.00	25.00
23	CAR	50.74	−0.30	55.56	41.18	57.14	47.92	46.67	69.23	37.50
24	CHI	50.19	+0.90	60.71	41.67	33.33	50.00	60.53	51.72	53.33
25	TEN	50.16	−4.82	62.50	62.50	52.94	55.00	39.13	45.71	33.33
26	NYJ	49.38	+3.64	38.89	48.28	39.29	58.62	41.67	43.90	75.00
27	JAX	49.16	+2.58	26.92	58.06	51.85	44.83	53.85	58.62	50.00
28	SF	49.16	+2.04	40.00	50.00	41.18	53.85	50.00	59.09	50.00
29	ATL	48.93	−1.38	57.69	41.67	50.00	42.11	67.74	50.00	33.33
30	HOU	47.83	−1.49	56.25	42.86	50.00	38.10	61.11	57.89	28.57
31	SEA	47.49	−1.14	57.14	36.36	57.14	37.50	52.63	58.33	33.33
32	CLE	45.59	+0.44	33.33	41.38	54.76	56.25	54.55	41.38	37.50

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	56.52	54.55	47.37	60.71	46.15	62.50	100.00
NE	52.94	68.75	38.46	36.00	58.33	72.00	87.50
BUF	80.00	50.00	53.85	56.25	72.73	59.38	75.00
CIN	70.37	65.00	25.00	47.37	52.63	70.00	75.00
NO	73.33	52.38	36.36	47.37	55.56	41.18	75.00
NYG	63.64	46.67	47.62	48.65	54.05	46.15	75.00
NYJ	38.89	48.28	39.29	58.62	41.67	43.90	75.00
DET	50.00	51.22	54.05	52.50	66.67	58.06	72.73
IND	64.00	62.07	46.15	50.00	60.71	66.67	72.73
ARI	68.00	58.62	43.90	44.12	44.44	42.86	71.43
KC	56.25	66.67	75.00	52.63	70.59	75.00	71.43
DEN	26.67	57.14	50.00	65.00	71.43	50.00	66.67
LAR	47.06	52.63	78.95	61.90	66.67	66.67	62.50
GB	61.90	59.09	38.71	50.00	50.00	56.00	60.00
PIT	52.63	47.62	73.33	47.37	38.89	52.17	60.00
WAS	61.11	50.00	48.00	55.17	86.96	61.54	57.14
CHI	60.71	41.67	33.33	50.00	60.53	51.72	53.33
DAL	54.84	58.33	52.63	59.09	35.71	64.71	50.00
JAX	26.92	58.06	51.85	44.83	53.85	58.62	50.00
LV	76.19	63.16	54.17	60.87	56.00	40.63	50.00
SF	40.00	50.00	41.18	53.85	50.00	59.09	50.00
CAR	55.56	41.18	57.14	47.92	46.67	69.23	37.50
CLE	33.33	41.38	54.76	56.25	54.55	41.38	37.50
ATL	57.69	41.67	50.00	42.11	67.74	50.00	33.33
SEA	57.14	36.36	57.14	37.50	52.63	58.33	33.33
TEN	62.50	62.50	52.94	55.00	39.13	45.71	33.33
HOU	56.25	42.86	50.00	38.10	61.11	57.89	28.57
MIA	80.00	59.09	54.17	45.83	48.39	47.83	28.57
TB	57.14	56.25	53.57	66.67	64.29	44.83	28.57
BAL	63.16	66.67	40.00	61.54	53.33	60.00	25.00
LAC	48.00	64.71	53.57	46.88	62.50	60.00	25.00
PHI	42.86	44.00	68.75	73.08	70.37	55.00	22.22

Fourth down pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chargers (87.50), 2019 Ravens (70.83), 2020 Bills (80.00), 2021 Patriots (68.75), 2022 Rams (78.95), 2023 Eagles (73.08), 2024 Commanders (86.96), 2025 Chiefs (75.00), 2026 Vikings (100.00).

The best season on record is Vikings 2026 at 100.00; the worst Steelers 2019 at 13.33.

Week to week — Week 4 to Week 5

Since Week 4: Giants up 13 (#16 → #3), Steelers up 11 (#25 → #14), Lions up 5 (#13 → #8); Titans down 8 (#16 → #24), Falcons down 8 (#16 → #24), Raiders down 8 (#10 → #18).

14 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_fourth_down_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.