What Fourth down pct is

Fourth-down conversion rate: fourth downs converted divided by fourth downs attempted, as a percentage. The samples are small — a dozen attempts in a season is normal — so a high rate can be a few plays.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 8 of 2026, the Broncos lead at 83.33; the league average is 53.74.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

DEN · 83.33

League average

53.74

Best to worst

58.33

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	83.33	8
2	NO	80.00	7
3	BUF	77.78	7
4	NE	76.92	8
5	NYG	75.00	7
6	SF	75.00	7
7	GB	66.67	8
8	MIN	66.67	7
9	NYJ	66.67	8
10	ARI	61.54	8
11	DET	61.54	7
12	CIN	60.00	7
13	CHI	58.82	7
14	IND	58.82	8
15	KC	58.33	7
16	DAL	54.55	8
17	LAR	54.55	8
18	MIA	50.00	7
19	PIT	50.00	8
20	SEA	50.00	7
21	WAS	50.00	7
22	LV	42.86	8
23	CAR	40.00	7
24	JAX	40.00	7
25	TEN	40.00	8
26	HOU	37.50	7
27	CLE	36.36	8
28	ATL	33.33	8
29	PHI	33.33	8
30	TB	30.00	8
31	BAL	25.00	8
32	LAC	25.00	7

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 83.33

League laggard

LAC · 25.00

League average

53.74

Spread (max − min)

58.33

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	83.33	29.60	100%
2	NO	80.00	26.26	96.8%
3	BUF	77.78	24.04	93.5%
4	NE	76.92	23.19	90.3%
5	NYG	75.00	21.26	87.1%
6	SF	75.00	21.26	83.9%
7	GB	66.67	12.93	80.6%
8	MIN	66.67	12.93	77.4%
9	NYJ	66.67	12.93	74.2%
10	ARI	61.54	7.80	71%
11	DET	61.54	7.80	67.7%
12	CIN	60.00	6.26	64.5%
13	CHI	58.82	5.09	61.3%
14	IND	58.82	5.09	58.1%
15	KC	58.33	4.60	54.8%
16	DAL	54.55	0.81	51.6%
17	LAR	54.55	0.81	48.4%
18	MIA	50.00	-3.74	45.2%
19	PIT	50.00	-3.74	41.9%
20	SEA	50.00	-3.74	38.7%
21	WAS	50.00	-3.74	35.5%
22	LV	42.86	-10.88	32.3%
23	CAR	40.00	-13.74	29%
24	JAX	40.00	-13.74	25.8%
25	TEN	40.00	-13.74	22.6%
26	HOU	37.50	-16.24	19.4%
27	CLE	36.36	-17.37	16.1%
28	ATL	33.33	-20.40	12.9%
29	PHI	33.33	-20.40	9.7%
30	TB	30.00	-23.74	6.5%
31	BAL	25.00	-28.74	3.2%
32	LAC	25.00	-28.74	0%

Does Fourth down pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 856–722–37 ATS (54.2%) across 2020–2025, #91 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (142–112, 55.9%); its worst 2021 (140–130, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	142–112–2	55.9%
2021	272	140–130–2	51.9%
2022	271	147–117–7	55.7%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	147–116–9	55.9%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Fourth down pct in 2026 vs 2025

Broncos lead at 83.33 — they ranked #23 last year. Chargers are last at 25.00 — #11 last year.

The league average is 53.74, down 2.17 from 55.91 last year.

Biggest riser: Saints, #31 → #2. Biggest faller: Ravens, #10 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 58.33; 20 teams are within 16.47 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NO · +38.82

Biggest faller

LAC · −35.00

Most consistent

MIA · +2.17

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -2.17

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	NO	80.00	41.18	+38.82
2	DEN	83.33	50.00	+33.33
3	NYG	75.00	46.15	+28.85
4	NYJ	66.67	43.90	+22.76
5	ARI	61.54	42.86	+18.68
6	BUF	77.78	59.38	+18.40
7	SF	75.00	59.09	+15.91
8	GB	66.67	56.00	+10.67
9	CHI	58.82	51.72	+7.10
10	NE	76.92	72.00	+4.92
11	MIN	66.67	62.50	+4.17
12	DET	61.54	58.06	+3.47
13	LV	42.86	40.63	+2.23
14	MIA	50.00	47.83	+2.17
15	PIT	50.00	52.17	−2.17
16	CLE	36.36	41.38	−5.02
17	TEN	40.00	45.71	−5.71
18	IND	58.82	66.67	−7.84
19	SEA	50.00	58.33	−8.33
20	CIN	60.00	70.00	−10.00
21	DAL	54.55	64.71	−10.16
22	WAS	50.00	61.54	−11.54
23	LAR	54.55	66.67	−12.12
24	TB	30.00	44.83	−14.83
25	KC	58.33	75.00	−16.67
26	ATL	33.33	50.00	−16.67
27	JAX	40.00	58.62	−18.62
28	HOU	37.50	57.89	−20.39
29	PHI	33.33	55.00	−21.67
30	CAR	40.00	69.23	−29.23
31	BAL	25.00	60.00	−35.00
32	LAC	25.00	60.00	−35.00

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 64.92

Multi-year laggard

CLE · 45.43

Biggest improver

DEN · +6.33/yr

Biggest decliner

LV · −5.12/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	64.92	+0.66	56.25	66.67	75.00	52.63	70.59	75.00	58.33
2	BUF	64.28	+1.11	80.00	50.00	53.85	56.25	72.73	59.38	77.78
3	LAR	61.20	+1.37	47.06	52.63	78.95	61.90	66.67	66.67	54.55
4	WAS	58.97	+1.03	61.11	50.00	48.00	55.17	86.96	61.54	50.00
5	IND	58.35	+0.29	64.00	62.07	46.15	50.00	60.71	66.67	58.82
6	DEN	57.65	+6.33	26.67	57.14	50.00	65.00	71.43	50.00	83.33
7	NE	57.63	+3.51	52.94	68.75	38.46	36.00	58.33	72.00	76.92
8	MIN	56.35	+1.61	56.52	54.55	47.37	60.71	46.15	62.50	66.67
9	DET	56.29	+2.18	50.00	51.22	54.05	52.50	66.67	58.06	61.54
10	LV	56.27	−5.12	76.19	63.16	54.17	60.87	56.00	40.63	42.86
11	CIN	55.77	+0.23	70.37	65.00	25.00	47.37	52.63	70.00	60.00
12	PHI	55.34	−0.18	42.86	44.00	68.75	73.08	70.37	55.00	33.33
13	NO	55.17	+0.60	73.33	52.38	36.36	47.37	55.56	41.18	80.00
14	MIA	55.04	−4.23	80.00	59.09	54.17	45.83	48.39	47.83	50.00
15	GB	54.62	+0.69	61.90	59.09	38.71	50.00	50.00	56.00	66.67
16	NYG	54.54	+1.41	63.64	46.67	47.62	48.65	54.05	46.15	75.00
17	DAL	54.27	−0.18	54.84	58.33	52.63	59.09	35.71	64.71	54.55
18	TB	53.25	−3.34	57.14	56.25	53.57	66.67	64.29	44.83	30.00
19	BAL	52.81	−4.09	63.16	66.67	40.00	61.54	53.33	60.00	25.00
20	SF	52.73	+4.71	40.00	50.00	41.18	53.85	50.00	59.09	75.00
21	ARI	51.93	−1.80	68.00	58.62	43.90	44.12	44.44	42.86	61.54
22	PIT	51.72	−1.19	52.63	47.62	73.33	47.37	38.89	52.17	50.00
23	LAC	51.52	−2.48	48.00	64.71	53.57	46.88	62.50	60.00	25.00
24	TEN	51.11	−4.10	62.50	62.50	52.94	55.00	39.13	45.71	40.00
25	CAR	51.10	−0.04	55.56	41.18	57.14	47.92	46.67	69.23	40.00
26	CHI	50.97	+1.49	60.71	41.67	33.33	50.00	60.53	51.72	58.82
27	SEA	49.87	+0.64	57.14	36.36	57.14	37.50	52.63	58.33	50.00
28	HOU	49.10	−0.54	56.25	42.86	50.00	38.10	61.11	57.89	37.50
29	ATL	48.93	−1.38	57.69	41.67	50.00	42.11	67.74	50.00	33.33
30	NYJ	48.19	+2.75	38.89	48.28	39.29	58.62	41.67	43.90	66.67
31	JAX	47.73	+1.51	26.92	58.06	51.85	44.83	53.85	58.62	40.00
32	CLE	45.43	+0.32	33.33	41.38	54.76	56.25	54.55	41.38	36.36

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DEN	26.67	57.14	50.00	65.00	71.43	50.00	83.33
NO	73.33	52.38	36.36	47.37	55.56	41.18	80.00
BUF	80.00	50.00	53.85	56.25	72.73	59.38	77.78
NE	52.94	68.75	38.46	36.00	58.33	72.00	76.92
NYG	63.64	46.67	47.62	48.65	54.05	46.15	75.00
SF	40.00	50.00	41.18	53.85	50.00	59.09	75.00
GB	61.90	59.09	38.71	50.00	50.00	56.00	66.67
MIN	56.52	54.55	47.37	60.71	46.15	62.50	66.67
NYJ	38.89	48.28	39.29	58.62	41.67	43.90	66.67
ARI	68.00	58.62	43.90	44.12	44.44	42.86	61.54
DET	50.00	51.22	54.05	52.50	66.67	58.06	61.54
CIN	70.37	65.00	25.00	47.37	52.63	70.00	60.00
CHI	60.71	41.67	33.33	50.00	60.53	51.72	58.82
IND	64.00	62.07	46.15	50.00	60.71	66.67	58.82
KC	56.25	66.67	75.00	52.63	70.59	75.00	58.33
DAL	54.84	58.33	52.63	59.09	35.71	64.71	54.55
LAR	47.06	52.63	78.95	61.90	66.67	66.67	54.55
MIA	80.00	59.09	54.17	45.83	48.39	47.83	50.00
PIT	52.63	47.62	73.33	47.37	38.89	52.17	50.00
SEA	57.14	36.36	57.14	37.50	52.63	58.33	50.00
WAS	61.11	50.00	48.00	55.17	86.96	61.54	50.00
LV	76.19	63.16	54.17	60.87	56.00	40.63	42.86
CAR	55.56	41.18	57.14	47.92	46.67	69.23	40.00
JAX	26.92	58.06	51.85	44.83	53.85	58.62	40.00
TEN	62.50	62.50	52.94	55.00	39.13	45.71	40.00
HOU	56.25	42.86	50.00	38.10	61.11	57.89	37.50
CLE	33.33	41.38	54.76	56.25	54.55	41.38	36.36
ATL	57.69	41.67	50.00	42.11	67.74	50.00	33.33
PHI	42.86	44.00	68.75	73.08	70.37	55.00	33.33
TB	57.14	56.25	53.57	66.67	64.29	44.83	30.00
BAL	63.16	66.67	40.00	61.54	53.33	60.00	25.00
LAC	48.00	64.71	53.57	46.88	62.50	60.00	25.00

Fourth down pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chargers (87.50), 2019 Ravens (70.83), 2020 Bills (80.00), 2021 Patriots (68.75), 2022 Rams (78.95), 2023 Eagles (73.08), 2024 Commanders (86.96), 2025 Chiefs (75.00), 2026 Broncos (83.33).

The best season on record is Chargers 2018 at 87.50; the worst Steelers 2019 at 13.33.

The league average has fallen from 57.10 in 2018 to 53.74 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 6 to Week 7

Since Week 6: Dolphins up 11 (#28 → #17), Giants up 7 (#10 → #3), Seahawks up 6 (#23 → #17); Raiders down 7 (#15 → #22), Ravens down 6 (#24 → #30), Panthers down 6 (#21 → #27).

20 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_fourth_down_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.