What Fourth down pct is

Fourth-down conversion rate: fourth downs converted divided by fourth downs attempted, as a percentage. The samples are small — a dozen attempts in a season is normal — so a high rate can be a few plays.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 7 of 2026, the Vikings lead at 100.00; the league average is 53.47.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

MIN · 100.00

League average

53.47

Best to worst

83.33

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	MIN	100.00	5
2	NE	80.00	6
3	NO	76.92	6
4	BUF	75.00	6
5	CIN	75.00	5
6	DEN	75.00	6
7	SF	75.00	6
8	DET	72.73	5
9	ARI	71.43	6
10	NYG	66.67	6
11	IND	64.29	6
12	GB	63.64	6
13	KC	62.50	5
14	CHI	53.33	6
15	DAL	50.00	6
16	LAR	50.00	6
17	LV	50.00	6
18	NYJ	50.00	6
19	PIT	50.00	6
20	WAS	50.00	6
21	CAR	44.44	5
22	CLE	44.44	6
23	SEA	42.86	6
24	BAL	40.00	6
25	JAX	40.00	6
26	TB	33.33	6
27	TEN	33.33	6
28	HOU	28.57	6
29	MIA	28.57	5
30	LAC	27.27	6
31	PHI	20.00	6
32	ATL	16.67	6

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIN · 100.00

League laggard

ATL · 16.67

League average

53.47

Spread (max − min)

83.33

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	MIN	100.00	46.53	100%
2	NE	80.00	26.53	96.8%
3	NO	76.92	23.45	93.5%
4	BUF	75.00	21.53	90.3%
5	CIN	75.00	21.53	87.1%
6	DEN	75.00	21.53	83.9%
7	SF	75.00	21.53	80.6%
8	DET	72.73	19.26	77.4%
9	ARI	71.43	17.96	74.2%
10	NYG	66.67	13.20	71%
11	IND	64.29	10.82	67.7%
12	GB	63.64	10.17	64.5%
13	KC	62.50	9.03	61.3%
14	CHI	53.33	-0.14	58.1%
15	DAL	50.00	-3.47	54.8%
16	LAR	50.00	-3.47	51.6%
17	LV	50.00	-3.47	48.4%
18	NYJ	50.00	-3.47	45.2%
19	PIT	50.00	-3.47	41.9%
20	WAS	50.00	-3.47	38.7%
21	CAR	44.44	-9.02	35.5%
22	CLE	44.44	-9.02	32.3%
23	SEA	42.86	-10.61	29%
24	BAL	40.00	-13.47	25.8%
25	JAX	40.00	-13.47	22.6%
26	TB	33.33	-20.14	19.4%
27	TEN	33.33	-20.14	16.1%
28	HOU	28.57	-24.90	12.9%
29	MIA	28.57	-24.90	9.7%
30	LAC	27.27	-26.20	6.5%
31	PHI	20.00	-33.47	3.2%
32	ATL	16.67	-36.80	0%

Does Fourth down pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 856–722–37 ATS (54.2%) across 2020–2025, #91 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (142–112, 55.9%); its worst 2021 (140–130, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	142–112–2	55.9%
2021	272	140–130–2	51.9%
2022	271	147–117–7	55.7%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	147–116–9	55.9%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Fourth down pct in 2026 vs 2025

Vikings lead at 100.00 — they ranked #8 last year. Falcons are last at 16.67 — #22 last year.

The league average is 53.47, down 2.44 from 55.91 last year.

Biggest riser: Saints, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Chargers, #11 → #30.

Spread between first and last: 83.33; 18 teams are within 19.66 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIN · +37.50

Biggest faller

PHI · −35.00

Most consistent

CHI · +1.61

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -2.44

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	MIN	100.00	62.50	+37.50
2	NO	76.92	41.18	+35.75
3	ARI	71.43	42.86	+28.57
4	DEN	75.00	50.00	+25.00
5	NYG	66.67	46.15	+20.51
6	SF	75.00	59.09	+15.91
7	BUF	75.00	59.38	+15.63
8	DET	72.73	58.06	+14.66
9	LV	50.00	40.63	+9.38
10	NE	80.00	72.00	+8.00
11	GB	63.64	56.00	+7.64
12	NYJ	50.00	43.90	+6.10
13	CIN	75.00	70.00	+5.00
14	CLE	44.44	41.38	+3.07
15	CHI	53.33	51.72	+1.61
16	PIT	50.00	52.17	−2.17
17	IND	64.29	66.67	−2.38
18	TB	33.33	44.83	−11.49
19	WAS	50.00	61.54	−11.54
20	TEN	33.33	45.71	−12.38
21	KC	62.50	75.00	−12.50
22	DAL	50.00	64.71	−14.71
23	SEA	42.86	58.33	−15.48
24	LAR	50.00	66.67	−16.67
25	JAX	40.00	58.62	−18.62
26	MIA	28.57	47.83	−19.25
27	BAL	40.00	60.00	−20.00
28	CAR	44.44	69.23	−24.79
29	HOU	28.57	57.89	−29.32
30	LAC	27.27	60.00	−32.73
31	ATL	16.67	50.00	−33.33
32	PHI	20.00	55.00	−35.00

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 65.52

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 45.81

Biggest improver

DEN · +5.43/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −6.52/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	65.52	+1.11	56.25	66.67	75.00	52.63	70.59	75.00	62.50
2	BUF	63.89	+0.81	80.00	50.00	53.85	56.25	72.73	59.38	75.00
3	MIN	61.11	+5.18	56.52	54.55	47.37	60.71	46.15	62.50	100.00
4	LAR	60.55	+0.88	47.06	52.63	78.95	61.90	66.67	66.67	50.00
5	IND	59.13	+0.88	64.00	62.07	46.15	50.00	60.71	66.67	64.29
6	WAS	58.97	+1.03	61.11	50.00	48.00	55.17	86.96	61.54	50.00
7	NE	58.07	+3.84	52.94	68.75	38.46	36.00	58.33	72.00	80.00
8	CIN	57.91	+1.84	70.37	65.00	25.00	47.37	52.63	70.00	75.00
9	DET	57.89	+3.37	50.00	51.22	54.05	52.50	66.67	58.06	72.73
10	LV	57.29	−4.35	76.19	63.16	54.17	60.87	56.00	40.63	50.00
11	DEN	56.46	+5.43	26.67	57.14	50.00	65.00	71.43	50.00	75.00
12	BAL	54.96	−2.48	63.16	66.67	40.00	61.54	53.33	60.00	40.00
13	NO	54.73	+0.27	73.33	52.38	36.36	47.37	55.56	41.18	76.92
14	GB	54.19	+0.37	61.90	59.09	38.71	50.00	50.00	56.00	63.64
15	TB	53.73	−2.98	57.14	56.25	53.57	66.67	64.29	44.83	33.33
16	DAL	53.62	−0.67	54.84	58.33	52.63	59.09	35.71	64.71	50.00
17	PHI	53.44	−1.61	42.86	44.00	68.75	73.08	70.37	55.00	20.00
18	NYG	53.35	+0.52	63.64	46.67	47.62	48.65	54.05	46.15	66.67
19	ARI	53.34	−0.74	68.00	58.62	43.90	44.12	44.44	42.86	71.43
20	SF	52.73	+4.71	40.00	50.00	41.18	53.85	50.00	59.09	75.00
21	MIA	51.98	−6.52	80.00	59.09	54.17	45.83	48.39	47.83	28.57
22	LAC	51.85	−2.24	48.00	64.71	53.57	46.88	62.50	60.00	27.27
23	CAR	51.73	+0.44	55.56	41.18	57.14	47.92	46.67	69.23	44.44
24	PIT	51.72	−1.19	52.63	47.62	73.33	47.37	38.89	52.17	50.00
25	CHI	50.19	+0.90	60.71	41.67	33.33	50.00	60.53	51.72	53.33
26	TEN	50.16	−4.82	62.50	62.50	52.94	55.00	39.13	45.71	33.33
27	SEA	48.85	−0.12	57.14	36.36	57.14	37.50	52.63	58.33	42.86
28	HOU	47.83	−1.49	56.25	42.86	50.00	38.10	61.11	57.89	28.57
29	JAX	47.73	+1.51	26.92	58.06	51.85	44.83	53.85	58.62	40.00
30	CLE	46.58	+1.18	33.33	41.38	54.76	56.25	54.55	41.38	44.44
31	ATL	46.55	−3.17	57.69	41.67	50.00	42.11	67.74	50.00	16.67
32	NYJ	45.81	+0.96	38.89	48.28	39.29	58.62	41.67	43.90	50.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	56.52	54.55	47.37	60.71	46.15	62.50	100.00
NE	52.94	68.75	38.46	36.00	58.33	72.00	80.00
NO	73.33	52.38	36.36	47.37	55.56	41.18	76.92
BUF	80.00	50.00	53.85	56.25	72.73	59.38	75.00
CIN	70.37	65.00	25.00	47.37	52.63	70.00	75.00
DEN	26.67	57.14	50.00	65.00	71.43	50.00	75.00
SF	40.00	50.00	41.18	53.85	50.00	59.09	75.00
DET	50.00	51.22	54.05	52.50	66.67	58.06	72.73
ARI	68.00	58.62	43.90	44.12	44.44	42.86	71.43
NYG	63.64	46.67	47.62	48.65	54.05	46.15	66.67
IND	64.00	62.07	46.15	50.00	60.71	66.67	64.29
GB	61.90	59.09	38.71	50.00	50.00	56.00	63.64
KC	56.25	66.67	75.00	52.63	70.59	75.00	62.50
CHI	60.71	41.67	33.33	50.00	60.53	51.72	53.33
DAL	54.84	58.33	52.63	59.09	35.71	64.71	50.00
LV	76.19	63.16	54.17	60.87	56.00	40.63	50.00
LAR	47.06	52.63	78.95	61.90	66.67	66.67	50.00
NYJ	38.89	48.28	39.29	58.62	41.67	43.90	50.00
PIT	52.63	47.62	73.33	47.37	38.89	52.17	50.00
WAS	61.11	50.00	48.00	55.17	86.96	61.54	50.00
CAR	55.56	41.18	57.14	47.92	46.67	69.23	44.44
CLE	33.33	41.38	54.76	56.25	54.55	41.38	44.44
SEA	57.14	36.36	57.14	37.50	52.63	58.33	42.86
BAL	63.16	66.67	40.00	61.54	53.33	60.00	40.00
JAX	26.92	58.06	51.85	44.83	53.85	58.62	40.00
TB	57.14	56.25	53.57	66.67	64.29	44.83	33.33
TEN	62.50	62.50	52.94	55.00	39.13	45.71	33.33
HOU	56.25	42.86	50.00	38.10	61.11	57.89	28.57
MIA	80.00	59.09	54.17	45.83	48.39	47.83	28.57
LAC	48.00	64.71	53.57	46.88	62.50	60.00	27.27
PHI	42.86	44.00	68.75	73.08	70.37	55.00	20.00
ATL	57.69	41.67	50.00	42.11	67.74	50.00	16.67

Fourth down pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chargers (87.50), 2019 Ravens (70.83), 2020 Bills (80.00), 2021 Patriots (68.75), 2022 Rams (78.95), 2023 Eagles (73.08), 2024 Commanders (86.96), 2025 Chiefs (75.00), 2026 Vikings (100.00).

The best season on record is Vikings 2026 at 100.00; the worst Steelers 2019 at 13.33.

The league average has fallen from 57.10 in 2018 to 53.47 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 5 to Week 6

Since Week 5: 49ers up 14 (#18 → #4), Broncos up 8 (#12 → #4), Ravens up 6 (#30 → #24); Jets down 12 (#3 → #15), Falcons down 8 (#24 → #32), Giants down 7 (#3 → #10).

20 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_fourth_down_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.