NET: Fourth down att (Off − Def)
What Fourth down att (Off − Def) is
Fourth downs the offense went for, minus the fourth downs opponents went for against this defense. Aggression on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2022 the Cardinals led at 1.47; the league average was 0.00.
League snapshot — 2022
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 1.47 | 17 |
| 2 | CLE | 1.41 | 17 |
| 3 | LAC | 0.76 | 17 |
| 4 | GB | 0.71 | 17 |
| 5 | DEN | 0.59 | 17 |
| 6 | DET | 0.59 | 17 |
| 7 | CHI | 0.53 | 17 |
| 8 | PHI | 0.41 | 17 |
| 9 | HOU | 0.35 | 17 |
| 10 | LV | 0.24 | 17 |
| 11 | NYG | 0.24 | 17 |
| 12 | TB | 0.24 | 17 |
| 13 | CAR | 0.18 | 17 |
| 14 | NYJ | 0.12 | 17 |
| 15 | IND | 0.06 | 17 |
| 16 | ATL | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | WAS | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | LAR | -0.06 | 17 |
| 19 | DAL | -0.18 | 17 |
| 20 | BAL | -0.24 | 17 |
| 21 | JAX | -0.24 | 17 |
| 22 | PIT | -0.35 | 17 |
| 23 | MIA | -0.41 | 17 |
| 24 | SEA | -0.41 | 17 |
| 25 | NO | -0.47 | 17 |
| 26 | SF | -0.47 | 17 |
| 27 | TEN | -0.53 | 17 |
| 28 | MIN | -0.59 | 17 |
| 29 | CIN | -0.69 | 16 |
| 30 | NE | -0.76 | 17 |
| 31 | BUF | -1.25 | 16 |
| 32 | KC | -1.35 | 17 |
At a glance — 2022
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2022
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 1.47 | 1.47 | 100% |
| 2 | CLE | 1.41 | 1.42 | 96.8% |
| 3 | LAC | 0.76 | 0.77 | 93.5% |
| 4 | GB | 0.71 | 0.71 | 90.3% |
| 5 | DEN | 0.59 | 0.59 | 87.1% |
| 6 | DET | 0.59 | 0.59 | 83.9% |
| 7 | CHI | 0.53 | 0.53 | 80.6% |
| 8 | PHI | 0.41 | 0.42 | 77.4% |
| 9 | HOU | 0.35 | 0.36 | 74.2% |
| 10 | LV | 0.24 | 0.24 | 71% |
| 11 | NYG | 0.24 | 0.24 | 67.7% |
| 12 | TB | 0.24 | 0.24 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CAR | 0.18 | 0.18 | 61.3% |
| 14 | NYJ | 0.12 | 0.12 | 58.1% |
| 15 | IND | 0.06 | 0.06 | 54.8% |
| 16 | ATL | 0 | 0.00 | 51.6% |
| 17 | WAS | 0 | 0.00 | 48.4% |
| 18 | LAR | -0.06 | -0.06 | 45.2% |
| 19 | DAL | -0.18 | -0.17 | 41.9% |
| 20 | BAL | -0.24 | -0.23 | 38.7% |
| 21 | JAX | -0.24 | -0.23 | 35.5% |
| 22 | PIT | -0.35 | -0.35 | 32.3% |
| 23 | MIA | -0.41 | -0.41 | 29% |
| 24 | SEA | -0.41 | -0.41 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NO | -0.47 | -0.47 | 22.6% |
| 26 | SF | -0.47 | -0.47 | 19.4% |
| 27 | TEN | -0.53 | -0.53 | 16.1% |
| 28 | MIN | -0.59 | -0.58 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CIN | -0.69 | -0.68 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NE | -0.76 | -0.76 | 6.5% |
| 31 | BUF | -1.25 | -1.25 | 3.2% |
| 32 | KC | -1.35 | -1.35 | 0% |
Does Fourth down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 747–831–37 ATS (47.3%) across 2020–2025, #294 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (132–132, 50.0%); its worst 2024 (106–157, 40.3%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 126–128–2 | 49.6% |
| 2021 | 272 | 126–144–2 | 46.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 132–132–7 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 128–130–14 | 49.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 106–157–9 | 40.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 129–140–3 | 48.0% |
Fourth down att (Off − Def) in 2022 vs 2021
Cardinals lead at 1.47 — they ranked #19 last year. Chiefs are last at -1.35 — #30 last year.
The league average is 0.00, down 0.00 from 0.00 last year.
Biggest riser: Packers, #26 → #4. Biggest faller: Jaguars, #6 → #21.
Spread between first and last: 2.82; 24 teams are within 0.63 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2022 vs 2021
| Rank | Team | 2022 | 2021 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 1.47 | -0.06 | +1.53 |
| 2 | GB | 0.71 | -0.65 | +1.35 |
| 3 | CLE | 1.41 | 0.24 | +1.18 |
| 4 | TB | 0.24 | -0.71 | +0.94 |
| 5 | LV | 0.24 | -0.59 | +0.82 |
| 6 | SEA | -0.41 | -1.18 | +0.76 |
| 7 | LAR | -0.06 | -0.76 | +0.71 |
| 8 | PHI | 0.41 | -0.24 | +0.65 |
| 9 | DEN | 0.59 | 0.12 | +0.47 |
| 10 | HOU | 0.35 | 0.12 | +0.24 |
| 11 | NE | -0.76 | -0.94 | +0.18 |
| 12 | LAC | 0.76 | 0.71 | +0.06 |
| 13 | DAL | -0.18 | -0.12 | −0.06 |
| 14 | ATL | 0 | 0.12 | −0.12 |
| 15 | MIN | -0.59 | -0.47 | −0.12 |
| 16 | NYG | 0.24 | 0.41 | −0.18 |
| 17 | SF | -0.47 | -0.29 | −0.18 |
| 18 | PIT | -0.35 | -0.18 | −0.18 |
| 19 | CHI | 0.53 | 0.71 | −0.18 |
| 20 | NYJ | 0.12 | 0.47 | −0.35 |
| 21 | IND | 0.06 | 0.47 | −0.41 |
| 22 | KC | -1.35 | -0.94 | −0.41 |
| 23 | NO | -0.47 | 0 | −0.47 |
| 24 | TEN | -0.53 | 0 | −0.53 |
| 25 | BUF | -1.25 | -0.71 | −0.54 |
| 26 | CAR | 0.18 | 0.76 | −0.59 |
| 27 | MIA | -0.41 | 0.24 | −0.65 |
| 28 | WAS | 0 | 0.65 | −0.65 |
| 29 | BAL | -0.24 | 0.53 | −0.76 |
| 30 | CIN | -0.69 | 0.12 | −0.81 |
| 31 | JAX | -0.24 | 0.59 | −0.82 |
| 32 | DET | 0.59 | 1.59 | −1.00 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 0.84 | −0.10 | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| 2 | CLE | 0.78 | +0.14 | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| 3 | CHI | 0.77 | +0.16 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| 4 | NYG | 0.61 | +0.08 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 5 | DET | 0.56 | −0.08 | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| 6 | NYJ | 0.32 | −0.08 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| 7 | IND | 0.30 | −0.08 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 8 | ARI | 0.29 | −0.14 | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| 9 | LAC | 0.23 | −0.13 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 10 | LV | 0.22 | +0.13 | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| 11 | WAS | 0.13 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| 12 | TEN | 0.13 | +0.23 | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| 13 | DAL | 0.09 | +0.03 | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| 14 | NO | 0.08 | +0.37 | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| 15 | MIA | -0.05 | +0.19 | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| 16 | PHI | -0.07 | −0.23 | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| 17 | JAX | -0.09 | −0.18 | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| 18 | HOU | -0.10 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| 19 | CIN | -0.10 | −0.13 | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| 20 | NE | -0.11 | +0.14 | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.21 | −0.21 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
| 22 | LAR | -0.21 | +0.09 | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| 23 | DEN | -0.25 | −0.17 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| 24 | GB | -0.25 | −0.01 | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| 25 | PIT | -0.29 | −0.08 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| 26 | TB | -0.32 | +0.09 | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 27 | KC | -0.49 | +0.11 | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| 28 | BUF | -0.50 | +0.08 | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| 29 | MIN | -0.51 | −0.13 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| 30 | SF | -0.56 | −0.10 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| 31 | BAL | -0.62 | −0.10 | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| 32 | SEA | -0.66 | +0.02 | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| CLE | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| LAC | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| GB | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| DEN | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| DET | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| CHI | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| PHI | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| HOU | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| LV | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| NYG | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| TB | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| CAR | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| NYJ | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| IND | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| ATL | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
| WAS | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| LAR | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| DAL | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| BAL | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| JAX | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| PIT | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| MIA | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| SEA | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
| NO | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| SF | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| TEN | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| MIN | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| CIN | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| NE | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| BUF | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| KC | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
Fourth down att (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Broncos (0.94), 2019 Giants (1.06), 2020 Eagles (1.13), 2021 Lions (1.59), 2022 Cardinals (1.47).
The best season on record is Lions 2021 at 1.59; the worst Chiefs 2022 at -1.35.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_fourth_down_att
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.