NET: Fourth down att (Off − Def)
What Fourth down att (Off − Def) is
Fourth downs the offense went for, minus the fourth downs opponents went for against this defense. Aggression on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2025 the Jets led at 1.12; the league average was 0.00.
League snapshot — 2025
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 1.12 | 17 |
| 2 | TEN | 1.12 | 17 |
| 3 | CAR | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | NYG | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | DAL | 0.82 | 17 |
| 6 | BUF | 0.76 | 17 |
| 7 | LV | 0.71 | 17 |
| 8 | CLE | 0.65 | 17 |
| 9 | KC | 0.53 | 17 |
| 10 | CHI | 0.35 | 17 |
| 11 | ARI | 0.18 | 17 |
| 12 | MIN | 0.06 | 17 |
| 13 | NO | 0 | 17 |
| 14 | SF | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | DET | -0.06 | 17 |
| 16 | IND | -0.06 | 17 |
| 17 | TB | -0.06 | 17 |
| 18 | HOU | -0.12 | 17 |
| 19 | JAX | -0.12 | 17 |
| 20 | ATL | -0.24 | 17 |
| 21 | LAC | -0.29 | 17 |
| 22 | MIA | -0.29 | 17 |
| 23 | NE | -0.29 | 17 |
| 24 | WAS | -0.35 | 17 |
| 25 | CIN | -0.41 | 17 |
| 26 | DEN | -0.41 | 17 |
| 27 | PHI | -0.53 | 17 |
| 28 | GB | -0.65 | 17 |
| 29 | LAR | -0.71 | 17 |
| 30 | PIT | -0.88 | 17 |
| 31 | BAL | -0.94 | 17 |
| 32 | SEA | -1.88 | 17 |
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 1.12 | 1.12 | 100% |
| 2 | TEN | 1.12 | 1.12 | 96.8% |
| 3 | CAR | 1 | 1 | 93.5% |
| 4 | NYG | 1 | 1 | 90.3% |
| 5 | DAL | 0.82 | 0.82 | 87.1% |
| 6 | BUF | 0.76 | 0.76 | 83.9% |
| 7 | LV | 0.71 | 0.71 | 80.6% |
| 8 | CLE | 0.65 | 0.65 | 77.4% |
| 9 | KC | 0.53 | 0.53 | 74.2% |
| 10 | CHI | 0.35 | 0.35 | 71% |
| 11 | ARI | 0.18 | 0.18 | 67.7% |
| 12 | MIN | 0.06 | 0.06 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NO | 0 | 0.00 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SF | 0 | 0.00 | 58.1% |
| 15 | DET | -0.06 | -0.06 | 54.8% |
| 16 | IND | -0.06 | -0.06 | 51.6% |
| 17 | TB | -0.06 | -0.06 | 48.4% |
| 18 | HOU | -0.12 | -0.12 | 45.2% |
| 19 | JAX | -0.12 | -0.12 | 41.9% |
| 20 | ATL | -0.24 | -0.24 | 38.7% |
| 21 | LAC | -0.29 | -0.29 | 35.5% |
| 22 | MIA | -0.29 | -0.29 | 32.3% |
| 23 | NE | -0.29 | -0.29 | 29% |
| 24 | WAS | -0.35 | -0.35 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CIN | -0.41 | -0.41 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DEN | -0.41 | -0.41 | 19.4% |
| 27 | PHI | -0.53 | -0.53 | 16.1% |
| 28 | GB | -0.65 | -0.65 | 12.9% |
| 29 | LAR | -0.71 | -0.71 | 9.7% |
| 30 | PIT | -0.88 | -0.88 | 6.5% |
| 31 | BAL | -0.94 | -0.94 | 3.2% |
| 32 | SEA | -1.88 | -1.88 | 0% |
Does Fourth down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 747–831–37 ATS (47.3%) across 2020–2025, #294 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (132–132, 50.0%); its worst 2024 (106–157, 40.3%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 126–128–2 | 49.6% |
| 2021 | 272 | 126–144–2 | 46.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 132–132–7 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 128–130–14 | 49.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 106–157–9 | 40.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 129–140–3 | 48.0% |
Fourth down att (Off − Def) in 2025 vs 2024
Jets lead at 1.12 — they ranked #14 last year. Seahawks are last at -1.88 — #17 last year.
The league average is 0.00, the same as last year.
Biggest riser: Bills, #26 → #6. Biggest faller: Rams, #9 → #29.
Spread between first and last: 3; 21 teams are within 0.67 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 0.76 | -0.59 | +1.35 |
| 2 | MIN | 0.06 | -1.29 | +1.35 |
| 3 | NYJ | 1.12 | 0.18 | +0.94 |
| 4 | KC | 0.53 | -0.35 | +0.88 |
| 5 | TB | -0.06 | -0.88 | +0.82 |
| 6 | DAL | 0.82 | 0.18 | +0.65 |
| 7 | SF | 0 | -0.59 | +0.59 |
| 8 | ARI | 0.18 | -0.35 | +0.53 |
| 9 | TEN | 1.12 | 0.59 | +0.53 |
| 10 | LAC | -0.29 | -0.76 | +0.47 |
| 11 | HOU | -0.12 | -0.47 | +0.35 |
| 12 | GB | -0.65 | -0.82 | +0.18 |
| 13 | CAR | 1 | 0.88 | +0.12 |
| 14 | DEN | -0.41 | -0.53 | +0.12 |
| 15 | CIN | -0.41 | -0.47 | +0.06 |
| 16 | NYG | 1 | 0.94 | +0.06 |
| 17 | LV | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
| 18 | NO | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | BAL | -0.94 | -0.76 | −0.18 |
| 20 | JAX | -0.12 | 0.12 | −0.24 |
| 21 | DET | -0.06 | 0.24 | −0.29 |
| 22 | WAS | -0.35 | -0.06 | −0.29 |
| 23 | PHI | -0.53 | -0.18 | −0.35 |
| 24 | IND | -0.06 | 0.41 | −0.47 |
| 25 | NE | -0.29 | 0.18 | −0.47 |
| 26 | ATL | -0.24 | 0.29 | −0.53 |
| 27 | PIT | -0.88 | -0.24 | −0.65 |
| 28 | CHI | 0.35 | 1.12 | −0.76 |
| 29 | CLE | 0.65 | 1.53 | −0.88 |
| 30 | MIA | -0.29 | 0.65 | −0.94 |
| 31 | LAR | -0.71 | 0.41 | −1.12 |
| 32 | SEA | -1.88 | -0.06 | −1.82 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 0.84 | −0.10 | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| 2 | CLE | 0.78 | +0.14 | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| 3 | CHI | 0.77 | +0.16 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| 4 | NYG | 0.61 | +0.08 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 5 | DET | 0.56 | −0.08 | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| 6 | NYJ | 0.32 | −0.08 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| 7 | IND | 0.30 | −0.08 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 8 | ARI | 0.29 | −0.14 | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| 9 | LAC | 0.23 | −0.13 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 10 | LV | 0.22 | +0.13 | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| 11 | WAS | 0.13 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| 12 | TEN | 0.13 | +0.23 | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| 13 | DAL | 0.09 | +0.03 | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| 14 | NO | 0.08 | +0.37 | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| 15 | MIA | -0.05 | +0.19 | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| 16 | PHI | -0.07 | −0.23 | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| 17 | JAX | -0.09 | −0.18 | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| 18 | HOU | -0.10 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| 19 | CIN | -0.10 | −0.13 | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| 20 | NE | -0.11 | +0.14 | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.21 | −0.21 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
| 22 | LAR | -0.21 | +0.09 | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| 23 | DEN | -0.25 | −0.17 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| 24 | GB | -0.25 | −0.01 | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| 25 | PIT | -0.29 | −0.08 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| 26 | TB | -0.32 | +0.09 | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 27 | KC | -0.49 | +0.11 | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| 28 | BUF | -0.50 | +0.08 | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| 29 | MIN | -0.51 | −0.13 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| 30 | SF | -0.56 | −0.10 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| 31 | BAL | -0.62 | −0.10 | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| 32 | SEA | -0.66 | +0.02 | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| TEN | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| CAR | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| NYG | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| DAL | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| BUF | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| LV | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| CLE | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| KC | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| CHI | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| ARI | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| MIN | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| NO | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| SF | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| DET | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| IND | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| TB | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| HOU | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| JAX | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| ATL | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
| LAC | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| MIA | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| NE | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| WAS | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| CIN | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| DEN | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| PHI | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| GB | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| LAR | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| PIT | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| BAL | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| SEA | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
Fourth down att (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Broncos (0.94), 2019 Giants (1.06), 2020 Eagles (1.13), 2021 Lions (1.59), 2022 Cardinals (1.47), 2023 Panthers (2.24), 2024 Browns (1.53), 2025 Jets (1.12).
The best season on record is Panthers 2023 at 2.24; the worst Seahawks 2025 at -1.88.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_fourth_down_att
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.