NET: Fourth down att (Off − Def)
What Fourth down att (Off − Def) is
Fourth downs the offense went for, minus the fourth downs opponents went for against this defense. Aggression on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2019 the Giants led at 1.06; the league average was 0.
League snapshot — 2019
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 1.06 | 16 |
| 2 | CIN | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | CAR | 0.94 | 16 |
| 4 | MIA | 0.94 | 16 |
| 5 | JAX | 0.81 | 16 |
| 6 | HOU | 0.50 | 16 |
| 7 | NYJ | 0.50 | 16 |
| 8 | ARI | 0.38 | 16 |
| 9 | BAL | 0.38 | 16 |
| 10 | LV | 0.38 | 16 |
| 11 | IND | 0.31 | 16 |
| 12 | LAC | 0.31 | 16 |
| 13 | PHI | 0.31 | 16 |
| 14 | SEA | 0.13 | 16 |
| 15 | ATL | 0.06 | 16 |
| 16 | CLE | 0 | 16 |
| 17 | DET | -0.06 | 16 |
| 18 | BUF | -0.13 | 16 |
| 19 | CHI | -0.13 | 16 |
| 20 | DEN | -0.19 | 16 |
| 21 | GB | -0.25 | 16 |
| 22 | WAS | -0.31 | 16 |
| 23 | DAL | -0.38 | 16 |
| 24 | PIT | -0.38 | 16 |
| 25 | NE | -0.44 | 16 |
| 26 | TB | -0.63 | 16 |
| 27 | LAR | -0.69 | 16 |
| 28 | TEN | -0.69 | 16 |
| 29 | NO | -0.75 | 16 |
| 30 | SF | -0.81 | 16 |
| 31 | MIN | -0.88 | 16 |
| 32 | KC | -1.31 | 16 |
At a glance — 2019
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2019
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 1.06 | 1.06 | 100% |
| 2 | CIN | 1 | 1 | 96.8% |
| 3 | CAR | 0.94 | 0.94 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIA | 0.94 | 0.94 | 90.3% |
| 5 | JAX | 0.81 | 0.81 | 87.1% |
| 6 | HOU | 0.50 | 0.50 | 83.9% |
| 7 | NYJ | 0.50 | 0.50 | 80.6% |
| 8 | ARI | 0.38 | 0.38 | 77.4% |
| 9 | BAL | 0.38 | 0.38 | 74.2% |
| 10 | LV | 0.38 | 0.38 | 71% |
| 11 | IND | 0.31 | 0.31 | 67.7% |
| 12 | LAC | 0.31 | 0.31 | 64.5% |
| 13 | PHI | 0.31 | 0.31 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SEA | 0.13 | 0.13 | 58.1% |
| 15 | ATL | 0.06 | 0.06 | 54.8% |
| 16 | CLE | 0 | 0 | 51.6% |
| 17 | DET | -0.06 | -0.06 | 48.4% |
| 18 | BUF | -0.13 | -0.13 | 45.2% |
| 19 | CHI | -0.13 | -0.13 | 41.9% |
| 20 | DEN | -0.19 | -0.19 | 38.7% |
| 21 | GB | -0.25 | -0.25 | 35.5% |
| 22 | WAS | -0.31 | -0.31 | 32.3% |
| 23 | DAL | -0.38 | -0.38 | 29% |
| 24 | PIT | -0.38 | -0.38 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NE | -0.44 | -0.44 | 22.6% |
| 26 | TB | -0.63 | -0.63 | 19.4% |
| 27 | LAR | -0.69 | -0.69 | 16.1% |
| 28 | TEN | -0.69 | -0.69 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NO | -0.75 | -0.75 | 9.7% |
| 30 | SF | -0.81 | -0.81 | 6.5% |
| 31 | MIN | -0.88 | -0.88 | 3.2% |
| 32 | KC | -1.31 | -1.31 | 0% |
Does Fourth down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 747–831–37 ATS (47.3%) across 2020–2025, #294 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (132–132, 50.0%); its worst 2024 (106–157, 40.3%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 126–128–2 | 49.6% |
| 2021 | 272 | 126–144–2 | 46.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 132–132–7 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 128–130–14 | 49.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 106–157–9 | 40.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 129–140–3 | 48.0% |
Fourth down att (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018
Giants lead at 1.06 — they ranked #11 last year. Chiefs are last at -1.31 — #29 last year.
The league average is 0, the same as last year.
Biggest riser: Texans, #26 → #6. Biggest faller: Cowboys, #3 → #23.
Spread between first and last: 2.38; 20 teams are within 0.60 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2019 vs 2018
| Rank | Team | 2019 | 2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 0.31 | -0.75 | +1.06 |
| 2 | CIN | 1 | 0 | +1 |
| 3 | HOU | 0.50 | -0.50 | +1 |
| 4 | MIA | 0.94 | -0.06 | +1 |
| 5 | NYG | 1.06 | 0.19 | +0.88 |
| 6 | CAR | 0.94 | 0.13 | +0.81 |
| 7 | CHI | -0.13 | -0.81 | +0.69 |
| 8 | JAX | 0.81 | 0.31 | +0.50 |
| 9 | IND | 0.31 | -0.06 | +0.38 |
| 10 | BAL | 0.38 | 0.13 | +0.25 |
| 11 | ARI | 0.38 | 0.19 | +0.19 |
| 12 | LV | 0.38 | 0.25 | +0.13 |
| 13 | NO | -0.75 | -0.81 | +0.06 |
| 14 | NYJ | 0.50 | 0.44 | +0.06 |
| 15 | PHI | 0.31 | 0.25 | +0.06 |
| 16 | SEA | 0.13 | 0.06 | +0.06 |
| 17 | CLE | 0 | 0.06 | −0.06 |
| 18 | DET | -0.06 | 0.13 | −0.19 |
| 19 | TEN | -0.69 | -0.50 | −0.19 |
| 20 | ATL | 0.06 | 0.38 | −0.31 |
| 21 | NE | -0.44 | -0.13 | −0.31 |
| 22 | SF | -0.81 | -0.50 | −0.31 |
| 23 | GB | -0.25 | 0.13 | −0.38 |
| 24 | PIT | -0.38 | 0.06 | −0.44 |
| 25 | BUF | -0.13 | 0.44 | −0.56 |
| 26 | KC | -1.31 | -0.75 | −0.56 |
| 27 | TB | -0.63 | -0.06 | −0.56 |
| 28 | WAS | -0.31 | 0.31 | −0.63 |
| 29 | LAR | -0.69 | 0 | −0.69 |
| 30 | DAL | -0.38 | 0.44 | −0.81 |
| 31 | MIN | -0.88 | 0.13 | −1 |
| 32 | DEN | -0.19 | 0.94 | −1.13 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 0.84 | −0.10 | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| 2 | CLE | 0.78 | +0.14 | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| 3 | CHI | 0.77 | +0.16 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| 4 | NYG | 0.61 | +0.08 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 5 | DET | 0.56 | −0.08 | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| 6 | NYJ | 0.32 | −0.08 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| 7 | IND | 0.30 | −0.08 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 8 | ARI | 0.29 | −0.14 | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| 9 | LAC | 0.23 | −0.13 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 10 | LV | 0.22 | +0.13 | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| 11 | WAS | 0.13 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| 12 | TEN | 0.13 | +0.23 | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| 13 | DAL | 0.09 | +0.03 | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| 14 | NO | 0.08 | +0.37 | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| 15 | MIA | -0.05 | +0.19 | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| 16 | PHI | -0.07 | −0.23 | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| 17 | JAX | -0.09 | −0.18 | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| 18 | HOU | -0.10 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| 19 | CIN | -0.10 | −0.13 | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| 20 | NE | -0.11 | +0.14 | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.21 | −0.21 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
| 22 | LAR | -0.21 | +0.09 | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| 23 | DEN | -0.25 | −0.17 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| 24 | GB | -0.25 | −0.01 | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| 25 | PIT | -0.29 | −0.08 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| 26 | TB | -0.32 | +0.09 | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 27 | KC | -0.49 | +0.11 | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| 28 | BUF | -0.50 | +0.08 | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| 29 | MIN | -0.51 | −0.13 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| 30 | SF | -0.56 | −0.10 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| 31 | BAL | -0.62 | −0.10 | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| 32 | SEA | -0.66 | +0.02 | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| CHI | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| CLE | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| MIA | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| DET | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| LAC | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| NE | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| WAS | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| LV | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| LAR | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| NYG | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| TEN | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| DAL | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| GB | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| HOU | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| IND | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| TB | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| SEA | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
| CIN | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| CAR | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| PIT | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| KC | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| ARI | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| PHI | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| BAL | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| DEN | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| JAX | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| NYJ | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| BUF | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| MIN | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| SF | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| ATL | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
Fourth down att (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Broncos (0.94), 2019 Giants (1.06).
The best season on record is Giants 2019 at 1.06; the worst Chiefs 2019 at -1.31.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_fourth_down_att
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.