NET: Fourth down att (Off − Def)
P + N
About this stat ↓What Fourth down att (Off − Def) is
Fourth downs the offense went for, minus the fourth downs opponents went for against this defense. Aggression on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2018 the Broncos led at 0.94; the league average was 0.
League snapshot — 2018
League leader
DEN · 0.94
League average
0
Best to worst
1.75
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 0.94 | 16 |
| 2 | BUF | 0.44 | 16 |
| 3 | DAL | 0.44 | 16 |
| 4 | NYJ | 0.44 | 16 |
| 5 | ATL | 0.38 | 16 |
| 6 | JAX | 0.31 | 16 |
| 7 | WAS | 0.31 | 16 |
| 8 | LV | 0.25 | 16 |
| 9 | PHI | 0.25 | 16 |
| 10 | ARI | 0.19 | 16 |
| 11 | NYG | 0.19 | 16 |
| 12 | BAL | 0.13 | 16 |
| 13 | CAR | 0.13 | 16 |
| 14 | DET | 0.13 | 16 |
| 15 | GB | 0.13 | 16 |
| 16 | MIN | 0.13 | 16 |
| 17 | CLE | 0.06 | 16 |
| 18 | PIT | 0.06 | 16 |
| 19 | SEA | 0.06 | 16 |
| 20 | CIN | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | LAR | 0 | 16 |
| 22 | IND | -0.06 | 16 |
| 23 | MIA | -0.06 | 16 |
| 24 | TB | -0.06 | 16 |
| 25 | NE | -0.13 | 16 |
| 26 | HOU | -0.50 | 16 |
| 27 | SF | -0.50 | 16 |
| 28 | TEN | -0.50 | 16 |
| 29 | KC | -0.75 | 16 |
| 30 | LAC | -0.75 | 16 |
| 31 | CHI | -0.81 | 16 |
| 32 | NO | -0.81 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
DEN · 0.94
League laggard
NO · -0.81
League average
0
Spread (max − min)
1.75
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 0.94 | 0.94 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 0.44 | 0.44 | 96.8% |
| 3 | DAL | 0.44 | 0.44 | 93.5% |
| 4 | NYJ | 0.44 | 0.44 | 90.3% |
| 5 | ATL | 0.38 | 0.38 | 87.1% |
| 6 | JAX | 0.31 | 0.31 | 83.9% |
| 7 | WAS | 0.31 | 0.31 | 80.6% |
| 8 | LV | 0.25 | 0.25 | 77.4% |
| 9 | PHI | 0.25 | 0.25 | 74.2% |
| 10 | ARI | 0.19 | 0.19 | 71% |
| 11 | NYG | 0.19 | 0.19 | 67.7% |
| 12 | BAL | 0.13 | 0.13 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CAR | 0.13 | 0.13 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DET | 0.13 | 0.13 | 58.1% |
| 15 | GB | 0.13 | 0.13 | 54.8% |
| 16 | MIN | 0.13 | 0.13 | 51.6% |
| 17 | CLE | 0.06 | 0.06 | 48.4% |
| 18 | PIT | 0.06 | 0.06 | 45.2% |
| 19 | SEA | 0.06 | 0.06 | 41.9% |
| 20 | CIN | 0 | 0 | 38.7% |
| 21 | LAR | 0 | 0 | 35.5% |
| 22 | IND | -0.06 | -0.06 | 32.3% |
| 23 | MIA | -0.06 | -0.06 | 29% |
| 24 | TB | -0.06 | -0.06 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NE | -0.13 | -0.13 | 22.6% |
| 26 | HOU | -0.50 | -0.50 | 19.4% |
| 27 | SF | -0.50 | -0.50 | 16.1% |
| 28 | TEN | -0.50 | -0.50 | 12.9% |
| 29 | KC | -0.75 | -0.75 | 9.7% |
| 30 | LAC | -0.75 | -0.75 | 6.5% |
| 31 | CHI | -0.81 | -0.81 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NO | -0.81 | -0.81 | 0% |
Does Fourth down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 747–831–37 ATS (47.3%) across 2020–2025, #294 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (132–132, 50.0%); its worst 2024 (106–157, 40.3%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 126–128–2 | 49.6% |
| 2021 | 272 | 126–144–2 | 46.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 132–132–7 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 128–130–14 | 49.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 106–157–9 | 40.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 129–140–3 | 48.0% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year leader
CAR · 0.84
Multi-year laggard
SEA · -0.66
Biggest improver
NO · +0.37/yr
Biggest decliner
PHI · −0.23/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 0.84 | −0.10 | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| 2 | CLE | 0.78 | +0.14 | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| 3 | CHI | 0.77 | +0.16 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| 4 | NYG | 0.61 | +0.08 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 5 | DET | 0.56 | −0.08 | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| 6 | NYJ | 0.32 | −0.08 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| 7 | IND | 0.30 | −0.08 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 8 | ARI | 0.29 | −0.14 | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| 9 | LAC | 0.23 | −0.13 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 10 | LV | 0.22 | +0.13 | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| 11 | WAS | 0.13 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| 12 | TEN | 0.13 | +0.23 | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| 13 | DAL | 0.09 | +0.03 | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| 14 | NO | 0.08 | +0.37 | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| 15 | MIA | -0.05 | +0.19 | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| 16 | PHI | -0.07 | −0.23 | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| 17 | JAX | -0.09 | −0.18 | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| 18 | HOU | -0.10 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| 19 | CIN | -0.10 | −0.13 | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| 20 | NE | -0.11 | +0.14 | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.21 | −0.21 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
| 22 | LAR | -0.21 | +0.09 | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| 23 | DEN | -0.25 | −0.17 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| 24 | GB | -0.25 | −0.01 | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| 25 | PIT | -0.29 | −0.08 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| 26 | TB | -0.32 | +0.09 | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| 27 | KC | -0.49 | +0.11 | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| 28 | BUF | -0.50 | +0.08 | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| 29 | MIN | -0.51 | −0.13 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| 30 | SF | -0.56 | −0.10 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| 31 | BAL | -0.62 | −0.10 | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| 32 | SEA | -0.66 | +0.02 | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | -0.94 | 0 | -0.47 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 2.40 |
| CHI | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.35 | 2 |
| CLE | -0.19 | 0.24 | 1.41 | 1 | 1.53 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| MIA | -1 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.65 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| DET | 0.13 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.60 |
| LAC | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| NE | 0.06 | -0.94 | -0.76 | 0.41 | 0.18 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| WAS | -0.38 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| LV | 0.25 | -0.59 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| LAR | -0.25 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.53 | 0.41 | -0.71 | 0.40 |
| NYG | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 1 | 0.40 |
| TEN | -0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.06 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| DAL | 0.63 | -0.12 | -0.18 | -0.88 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| GB | -0.19 | -0.65 | 0.71 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| HOU | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| IND | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.41 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| TB | -0.63 | -0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | -0.88 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| SEA | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -1.88 | 0 |
| CIN | 0.69 | 0.12 | -0.69 | 0.24 | -0.47 | -0.41 | -0.20 |
| CAR | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 1 | -0.25 |
| PIT | -0.06 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| KC | -0.25 | -0.94 | -1.35 | -0.53 | -0.35 | 0.53 | -0.50 |
| ARI | 0.25 | -0.06 | 1.47 | 1.18 | -0.35 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| PHI | 1.13 | -0.24 | 0.41 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| BAL | -1 | 0.53 | -0.24 | -1.12 | -0.76 | -0.94 | -0.80 |
| DEN | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.53 | -0.41 | -0.80 |
| JAX | 0.50 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -0.80 |
| NYJ | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.18 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| BUF | -0.56 | -0.71 | -1.25 | -0.18 | -0.59 | 0.76 | -1 |
| MIN | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.59 | 0.18 | -1.29 | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| SF | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.82 | -0.59 | 0 | -1.40 |
| ATL | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -1.60 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_fourth_down_att
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.