Denver Broncos — Fourth down pct (allowed), 2026

Value57.14
Rank#20 of 31
League average52.31
Rank in 2025#10 of 32

Denver Broncos — every stat for 2026, ranked →

What Fourth down pct (allowed) is

Fourth-down conversion rate allowed: fourth downs opponents converted divided by fourth downs they attempted against this defense, as a percentage. Small samples, so a few plays move it.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Browns lead at 0.00; the league average is 52.31.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

CLE · 0.00

League average

52.31

Best to worst

100.00

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CLE	0.00	5
2	DAL	0.00	5
3	NYG	0.00	5
4	CIN	20.00	5
5	LAR	33.33	5
6	JAX	37.50	5
7	NYJ	37.50	5
8	CHI	40.00	5
9	MIN	40.00	5
10	CAR	44.44	4
11	GB	44.44	5
12	KC	44.44	4
13	ARI	50.00	5
14	BAL	50.00	5
15	HOU	50.00	5
16	IND	50.00	5
17	LV	50.00	5
18	ATL	54.55	5
19	SF	55.56	5
20	DEN	57.14	5
21	NE	60.00	5
22	MIA	66.67	5
23	PHI	66.67	5
24	TB	66.67	5
25	PIT	71.43	5
26	WAS	75.00	5
27	LAC	80.00	5
28	DET	87.50	5
29	BUF	88.89	5
30	SEA	100.00	5
31	TEN	100.00	5

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NYG · 0.00

League laggard

SEA · 100.00

League average

52.31

Spread (max − min)

100.00

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CLE	0.00	-52.31	100%
2	DAL	0.00	-52.31	96.7%
3	NYG	0.00	-52.31	93.3%
4	CIN	20.00	-32.31	90%
5	LAR	33.33	-18.98	86.7%
6	JAX	37.50	-14.81	83.3%
7	NYJ	37.50	-14.81	80%
8	CHI	40.00	-12.31	76.7%
9	MIN	40.00	-12.31	73.3%
10	CAR	44.44	-7.87	70%
11	GB	44.44	-7.87	66.7%
12	KC	44.44	-7.87	63.3%
13	ARI	50.00	-2.31	60%
14	BAL	50.00	-2.31	56.7%
15	HOU	50.00	-2.31	53.3%
16	IND	50.00	-2.31	50%
17	LV	50.00	-2.31	46.7%
18	ATL	54.55	2.23	43.3%
19	SF	55.56	3.24	40%
20	DEN	57.14	4.83	36.7%
21	NE	60.00	7.69	33.3%
22	MIA	66.67	14.35	30%
23	PHI	66.67	14.35	26.7%
24	TB	66.67	14.35	23.3%
25	PIT	71.43	19.11	20%
26	WAS	75.00	22.69	16.7%
27	LAC	80.00	27.69	13.3%
28	DET	87.50	35.19	10%
29	BUF	88.89	36.58	6.7%
30	SEA	100.00	47.69	3.3%
31	TEN	100.00	47.69	0%

Does Fourth down pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 833–745–37 ATS (52.8%) across 2020–2025, #142 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (141–113, 55.5%); its worst 2022 (135–129, 51.1%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	141–113–2	55.5%
2021	272	141–129–2	52.2%
2022	271	135–129–7	51.1%
2023	272	138–120–14	53.5%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Fourth down pct (allowed) in 2026 vs 2025

Browns lead at 0.00 — they ranked #5 last year. Titans are last at 100.00 — #32 last year.

The league average is 52.31, down 3.34 from 55.66 last year.

Biggest riser: Giants, #29 → #3. Biggest faller: Patriots, #2 → #21.

Spread between first and last: 100.00; 22 teams are within 25.44 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SEA · +47.73

Biggest faller

NYG · −72.73

Most consistent

SF · +1.01

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -3.34

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	SEA	100.00	52.27	+47.73
2	BUF	88.89	52.63	+36.26
3	PHI	66.67	37.93	+28.74
4	LAC	80.00	52.00	+28.00
5	NE	60.00	33.33	+26.67
6	TEN	100.00	75.00	+25.00
7	DET	87.50	65.63	+21.88
8	TB	66.67	46.67	+20.00
9	KC	44.44	26.09	+18.36
10	WAS	75.00	62.50	+12.50
11	DEN	57.14	51.85	+5.29
12	HOU	50.00	47.62	+2.38
13	JAX	37.50	35.48	+2.02
14	ARI	50.00	48.00	+2.00
15	SF	55.56	54.55	+1.01
16	PIT	71.43	73.68	−2.26
17	IND	50.00	53.57	−3.57
18	MIA	66.67	71.43	−4.76
19	ATL	54.55	59.38	−4.83
20	BAL	50.00	56.10	−6.10
21	CHI	40.00	47.83	−7.83
22	GB	44.44	55.56	−11.11
23	LV	50.00	65.00	−15.00
24	CAR	44.44	63.64	−19.19
25	LAR	33.33	54.76	−21.43
26	MIN	40.00	69.57	−29.57
27	NYJ	37.50	72.73	−35.23
28	CLE	0.00	38.89	−38.89
29	CIN	20.00	66.67	−46.67
30	DAL	0.00	65.00	−65.00
31	NYG	0.00	72.73	−72.73

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CLE · 44.75

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 71.17

Biggest improver

CLE · −10.52/yr

Biggest decliner

SEA · +7.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CLE	44.75	−10.52	81.48	64.00	44.44	40.00	44.44	38.89	0.00
2	CHI	47.51	−2.24	61.90	50.00	40.00	45.45	47.37	47.83	40.00
3	NO	47.57	+0.72	53.33	42.86	42.11	42.31	51.85	52.94	—
4	CIN	47.59	−1.85	62.50	38.89	39.13	46.67	59.26	66.67	20.00
5	ATL	49.71	+2.39	43.48	50.00	38.89	47.83	53.85	59.38	54.55
6	DAL	49.72	−4.37	47.62	61.54	54.55	51.35	68.00	65.00	0.00
7	JAX	49.73	−4.42	66.67	66.67	32.26	51.22	58.33	35.48	37.50
8	NE	50.32	−0.74	56.25	56.25	38.46	55.56	52.38	33.33	60.00
9	KC	50.37	−4.89	65.00	61.29	57.14	46.43	52.17	26.09	44.44
10	BAL	51.27	−0.60	45.71	61.11	62.50	40.63	42.86	56.10	50.00
11	LAR	51.48	−1.51	42.86	53.13	70.00	53.33	52.94	54.76	33.33
12	DEN	52.49	+1.06	50.00	42.31	64.29	48.48	53.33	51.85	57.14
13	GB	52.62	−0.69	58.33	45.45	57.89	46.67	60.00	55.56	44.44
14	ARI	52.81	−1.39	66.67	46.67	50.00	50.00	58.33	48.00	50.00
15	IND	53.33	+0.52	42.86	57.14	52.00	65.38	52.38	53.57	50.00
16	NYG	53.36	−6.28	61.11	65.22	64.71	52.63	57.14	72.73	0.00
17	NYJ	53.72	+1.54	41.67	61.90	42.31	43.75	76.19	72.73	37.50
18	SF	53.76	+0.65	65.00	44.00	40.00	51.85	65.38	54.55	55.56
19	PHI	53.82	+1.86	41.18	51.72	60.00	55.88	63.33	37.93	66.67
20	MIN	53.92	−1.93	70.83	50.00	37.93	72.00	37.14	69.57	40.00
21	SEA	54.14	+7.18	43.48	41.94	39.29	52.00	50.00	52.27	100.00
22	TB	55.71	+1.17	58.33	46.43	58.33	48.00	65.52	46.67	66.67
23	MIA	55.77	+2.99	46.15	61.11	48.39	46.67	50.00	71.43	66.67
24	LAC	55.99	+3.66	66.67	31.82	40.00	59.38	62.07	52.00	80.00
25	HOU	56.21	−0.98	52.38	57.89	65.00	55.17	65.38	47.62	50.00
26	PIT	56.97	+6.59	25.00	54.17	61.90	44.44	68.18	73.68	71.43
27	CAR	57.10	−0.65	60.00	57.14	44.44	70.00	60.00	63.64	44.44
28	WAS	58.39	+5.07	37.50	57.14	48.00	61.90	66.67	62.50	75.00
29	BUF	58.54	+3.56	57.89	47.06	57.58	52.63	53.13	52.63	88.89
30	DET	61.88	+2.42	61.11	64.29	55.56	57.69	41.38	65.63	87.50
31	LV	65.08	−3.21	82.35	72.41	55.00	53.85	76.92	65.00	50.00
32	TEN	71.17	+5.86	57.69	58.33	73.08	57.14	76.92	75.00	100.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CLE	81.48	64.00	44.44	40.00	44.44	38.89	0.00
DAL	47.62	61.54	54.55	51.35	68.00	65.00	0.00
NYG	61.11	65.22	64.71	52.63	57.14	72.73	0.00
CIN	62.50	38.89	39.13	46.67	59.26	66.67	20.00
LAR	42.86	53.13	70.00	53.33	52.94	54.76	33.33
JAX	66.67	66.67	32.26	51.22	58.33	35.48	37.50
NYJ	41.67	61.90	42.31	43.75	76.19	72.73	37.50
CHI	61.90	50.00	40.00	45.45	47.37	47.83	40.00
MIN	70.83	50.00	37.93	72.00	37.14	69.57	40.00
CAR	60.00	57.14	44.44	70.00	60.00	63.64	44.44
GB	58.33	45.45	57.89	46.67	60.00	55.56	44.44
KC	65.00	61.29	57.14	46.43	52.17	26.09	44.44
ARI	66.67	46.67	50.00	50.00	58.33	48.00	50.00
BAL	45.71	61.11	62.50	40.63	42.86	56.10	50.00
HOU	52.38	57.89	65.00	55.17	65.38	47.62	50.00
IND	42.86	57.14	52.00	65.38	52.38	53.57	50.00
LV	82.35	72.41	55.00	53.85	76.92	65.00	50.00
ATL	43.48	50.00	38.89	47.83	53.85	59.38	54.55
SF	65.00	44.00	40.00	51.85	65.38	54.55	55.56
DEN	50.00	42.31	64.29	48.48	53.33	51.85	57.14
NE	56.25	56.25	38.46	55.56	52.38	33.33	60.00
MIA	46.15	61.11	48.39	46.67	50.00	71.43	66.67
PHI	41.18	51.72	60.00	55.88	63.33	37.93	66.67
TB	58.33	46.43	58.33	48.00	65.52	46.67	66.67
PIT	25.00	54.17	61.90	44.44	68.18	73.68	71.43
WAS	37.50	57.14	48.00	61.90	66.67	62.50	75.00
LAC	66.67	31.82	40.00	59.38	62.07	52.00	80.00
DET	61.11	64.29	55.56	57.69	41.38	65.63	87.50
BUF	57.89	47.06	57.58	52.63	53.13	52.63	88.89
SEA	43.48	41.94	39.29	52.00	50.00	52.27	100.00
TEN	57.69	58.33	73.08	57.14	76.92	75.00	100.00
NO	53.33	42.86	42.11	42.31	51.85	52.94	—

Fourth down pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Jaguars (25.00), 2019 Cardinals (21.43), 2020 Steelers (25.00), 2021 Chargers (31.82), 2022 Jaguars (32.26), 2023 Browns (40.00), 2024 Vikings (37.14), 2025 Chiefs (26.09), 2026 Browns (0.00).

Jaguars have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Browns 2026 at 0.00; the worst Titans 2026 at 100.00.

The league average has fallen from 55.71 in 2018 to 52.31 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 4 to Week 5

Since Week 4: Texans up 8 (#21 → #13), Jaguars up 7 (#13 → #6), Jets up 7 (#13 → #6); Commanders down 13 (#13 → #26), Cardinals down 8 (#5 → #13), Raiders down 7 (#6 → #13).

14 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_fourth_down_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.