What Fourth down pct (allowed) is

Fourth-down conversion rate allowed: fourth downs opponents converted divided by fourth downs they attempted against this defense, as a percentage. Small samples, so a few plays move it.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 8 of 2026, the Bears lead at 22.22; the league average is 53.70.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

CHI · 22.22

League average

53.70

Best to worst

67.78

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CHI	22.22	7
2	CIN	22.22	7
3	CLE	28.57	8
4	JAX	30.00	7
5	LAR	33.33	8
6	CAR	36.36	7
7	GB	42.11	8
8	ARI	42.86	8
9	DAL	44.44	8
10	MIN	45.45	7
11	TB	46.67	8
12	IND	50.00	8
13	NO	50.00	7
14	NYG	50.00	7
15	NYJ	50.00	8
16	SF	50.00	7
17	KC	53.33	7
18	DEN	53.85	8
19	HOU	55.56	7
20	NE	55.56	8
21	LV	57.14	8
22	ATL	60.00	8
23	PIT	61.54	8
24	TEN	62.50	8
25	BAL	64.29	8
26	LAC	71.43	7
27	PHI	71.43	8
28	WAS	75.00	7
29	DET	76.92	7
30	BUF	80.00	7
31	MIA	85.71	7
32	SEA	90.00	7

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CIN · 22.22

League laggard

SEA · 90.00

League average

53.70

Spread (max − min)

67.78

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CHI	22.22	-31.48	100%
2	CIN	22.22	-31.48	96.8%
3	CLE	28.57	-25.13	93.5%
4	JAX	30.00	-23.70	90.3%
5	LAR	33.33	-20.37	87.1%
6	CAR	36.36	-17.34	83.9%
7	GB	42.11	-11.60	80.6%
8	ARI	42.86	-10.85	77.4%
9	DAL	44.44	-9.26	74.2%
10	MIN	45.45	-8.25	71%
11	TB	46.67	-7.04	67.7%
12	IND	50.00	-3.70	64.5%
13	NO	50.00	-3.70	61.3%
14	NYG	50.00	-3.70	58.1%
15	NYJ	50.00	-3.70	54.8%
16	SF	50.00	-3.70	51.6%
17	KC	53.33	-0.37	48.4%
18	DEN	53.85	0.14	45.2%
19	HOU	55.56	1.85	41.9%
20	NE	55.56	1.85	38.7%
21	LV	57.14	3.44	35.5%
22	ATL	60.00	6.30	32.3%
23	PIT	61.54	7.84	29%
24	TEN	62.50	8.80	25.8%
25	BAL	64.29	10.58	22.6%
26	LAC	71.43	17.73	19.4%
27	PHI	71.43	17.73	16.1%
28	WAS	75.00	21.30	12.9%
29	DET	76.92	23.22	9.7%
30	BUF	80.00	26.30	6.5%
31	MIA	85.71	32.01	3.2%
32	SEA	90.00	36.30	0%

Does Fourth down pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 833–745–37 ATS (52.8%) across 2020–2025, #142 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (141–113, 55.5%); its worst 2022 (135–129, 51.1%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	141–113–2	55.5%
2021	272	141–129–2	52.2%
2022	271	135–129–7	51.1%
2023	272	138–120–14	53.5%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Fourth down pct (allowed) in 2026 vs 2025

Bears lead at 22.22 — they ranked #8 last year. Seahawks are last at 90.00 — #12 last year.

The league average is 53.70, down 1.95 from 55.66 last year.

Biggest riser: Bengals, #26 → #2. Biggest faller: Eagles, #4 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 67.78; 19 teams are within 17.12 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SEA · +37.73

Biggest faller

CIN · −44.44

Most consistent

TB · 0.00

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -1.95

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	SEA	90.00	52.27	+37.73
2	PHI	71.43	37.93	+33.50
3	BUF	80.00	52.63	+27.37
4	KC	53.33	26.09	+27.25
5	NE	55.56	33.33	+22.22
6	LAC	71.43	52.00	+19.43
7	MIA	85.71	71.43	+14.29
8	WAS	75.00	62.50	+12.50
9	DET	76.92	65.63	+11.30
10	BAL	64.29	56.10	+8.19
11	HOU	55.56	47.62	+7.94
12	DEN	53.85	51.85	+1.99
13	ATL	60.00	59.38	+0.63
14	TB	46.67	46.67	0.00
15	NO	50.00	52.94	−2.94
16	IND	50.00	53.57	−3.57
17	SF	50.00	54.55	−4.55
18	ARI	42.86	48.00	−5.14
19	JAX	30.00	35.48	−5.48
20	LV	57.14	65.00	−7.86
21	CLE	28.57	38.89	−10.32
22	PIT	61.54	73.68	−12.15
23	TEN	62.50	75.00	−12.50
24	GB	42.11	55.56	−13.45
25	DAL	44.44	65.00	−20.56
26	LAR	33.33	54.76	−21.43
27	NYG	50.00	72.73	−22.73
28	NYJ	50.00	72.73	−22.73
29	MIN	45.45	69.57	−24.11
30	CHI	22.22	47.83	−25.60
31	CAR	36.36	63.64	−27.27
32	CIN	22.22	66.67	−44.44

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 44.97

Multi-year laggard

LV · 66.10

Biggest improver

CLE · −7.46/yr

Biggest decliner

SEA · +6.11/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	44.97	−4.14	61.90	50.00	40.00	45.45	47.37	47.83	22.22
2	CIN	47.90	−1.61	62.50	38.89	39.13	46.67	59.26	66.67	22.22
3	NO	47.91	+0.71	53.33	42.86	42.11	42.31	51.85	52.94	50.00
4	JAX	48.66	−5.22	66.67	66.67	32.26	51.22	58.33	35.48	30.00
5	CLE	48.83	−7.46	81.48	64.00	44.44	40.00	44.44	38.89	28.57
6	NE	49.68	−1.21	56.25	56.25	38.46	55.56	52.38	33.33	55.56
7	ATL	50.49	+2.97	43.48	50.00	38.89	47.83	53.85	59.38	60.00
8	LAR	51.48	−1.51	42.86	53.13	70.00	53.33	52.94	54.76	33.33
9	KC	51.64	−3.94	65.00	61.29	57.14	46.43	52.17	26.09	53.33
10	ARI	51.79	−2.16	66.67	46.67	50.00	50.00	58.33	48.00	42.86
11	DEN	52.02	+0.70	50.00	42.31	64.29	48.48	53.33	51.85	53.85
12	GB	52.29	−0.94	58.33	45.45	57.89	46.67	60.00	55.56	42.11
13	SEA	52.71	+6.11	43.48	41.94	39.29	52.00	50.00	52.27	90.00
14	TB	52.85	−0.98	58.33	46.43	58.33	48.00	65.52	46.67	46.67
15	SF	52.97	+0.05	65.00	44.00	40.00	51.85	65.38	54.55	50.00
16	BAL	53.31	+0.93	45.71	61.11	62.50	40.63	42.86	56.10	64.29
17	IND	53.33	+0.52	42.86	57.14	52.00	65.38	52.38	53.57	50.00
18	PHI	54.50	+2.38	41.18	51.72	60.00	55.88	63.33	37.93	71.43
19	MIN	54.70	−1.35	70.83	50.00	37.93	72.00	37.14	69.57	45.45
20	LAC	54.77	+2.74	66.67	31.82	40.00	59.38	62.07	52.00	71.43
21	NYJ	55.51	+2.88	41.67	61.90	42.31	43.75	76.19	72.73	50.00
22	PIT	55.56	+5.53	25.00	54.17	61.90	44.44	68.18	73.68	61.54
23	CAR	55.94	−1.51	60.00	57.14	44.44	70.00	60.00	63.64	36.36
24	DAL	56.07	+0.39	47.62	61.54	54.55	51.35	68.00	65.00	44.44
25	HOU	57.00	−0.38	52.38	57.89	65.00	55.17	65.38	47.62	55.56
26	BUF	57.27	+2.61	57.89	47.06	57.58	52.63	53.13	52.63	80.00
27	WAS	58.39	+5.07	37.50	57.14	48.00	61.90	66.67	62.50	75.00
28	MIA	58.49	+5.03	46.15	61.11	48.39	46.67	50.00	71.43	85.71
29	DET	60.37	+1.28	61.11	64.29	55.56	57.69	41.38	65.63	76.92
30	NYG	60.51	−0.92	61.11	65.22	64.71	52.63	57.14	72.73	50.00
31	TEN	65.81	+1.84	57.69	58.33	73.08	57.14	76.92	75.00	62.50
32	LV	66.10	−2.45	82.35	72.41	55.00	53.85	76.92	65.00	57.14

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CHI	61.90	50.00	40.00	45.45	47.37	47.83	22.22
CIN	62.50	38.89	39.13	46.67	59.26	66.67	22.22
CLE	81.48	64.00	44.44	40.00	44.44	38.89	28.57
JAX	66.67	66.67	32.26	51.22	58.33	35.48	30.00
LAR	42.86	53.13	70.00	53.33	52.94	54.76	33.33
CAR	60.00	57.14	44.44	70.00	60.00	63.64	36.36
GB	58.33	45.45	57.89	46.67	60.00	55.56	42.11
ARI	66.67	46.67	50.00	50.00	58.33	48.00	42.86
DAL	47.62	61.54	54.55	51.35	68.00	65.00	44.44
MIN	70.83	50.00	37.93	72.00	37.14	69.57	45.45
TB	58.33	46.43	58.33	48.00	65.52	46.67	46.67
IND	42.86	57.14	52.00	65.38	52.38	53.57	50.00
NO	53.33	42.86	42.11	42.31	51.85	52.94	50.00
NYG	61.11	65.22	64.71	52.63	57.14	72.73	50.00
NYJ	41.67	61.90	42.31	43.75	76.19	72.73	50.00
SF	65.00	44.00	40.00	51.85	65.38	54.55	50.00
KC	65.00	61.29	57.14	46.43	52.17	26.09	53.33
DEN	50.00	42.31	64.29	48.48	53.33	51.85	53.85
HOU	52.38	57.89	65.00	55.17	65.38	47.62	55.56
NE	56.25	56.25	38.46	55.56	52.38	33.33	55.56
LV	82.35	72.41	55.00	53.85	76.92	65.00	57.14
ATL	43.48	50.00	38.89	47.83	53.85	59.38	60.00
PIT	25.00	54.17	61.90	44.44	68.18	73.68	61.54
TEN	57.69	58.33	73.08	57.14	76.92	75.00	62.50
BAL	45.71	61.11	62.50	40.63	42.86	56.10	64.29
LAC	66.67	31.82	40.00	59.38	62.07	52.00	71.43
PHI	41.18	51.72	60.00	55.88	63.33	37.93	71.43
WAS	37.50	57.14	48.00	61.90	66.67	62.50	75.00
DET	61.11	64.29	55.56	57.69	41.38	65.63	76.92
BUF	57.89	47.06	57.58	52.63	53.13	52.63	80.00
MIA	46.15	61.11	48.39	46.67	50.00	71.43	85.71
SEA	43.48	41.94	39.29	52.00	50.00	52.27	90.00

Fourth down pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Jaguars (25.00), 2019 Cardinals (21.43), 2020 Steelers (25.00), 2021 Chargers (31.82), 2022 Jaguars (32.26), 2023 Browns (40.00), 2024 Vikings (37.14), 2025 Chiefs (26.09), 2026 Bears (22.22).

Jaguars have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Cardinals 2019 at 21.43; the worst Seahawks 2026 at 90.00.

Week to week — Week 6 to Week 7

Since Week 6: Buccaneers up 12 (#22 → #10), Packers up 8 (#15 → #7), Panthers up 4 (#8 → #4); Jets down 10 (#8 → #18), Giants down 8 (#5 → #13), Patriots down 6 (#13 → #19).

14 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_fourth_down_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.