What Fourth down pct (allowed) is

Fourth-down conversion rate allowed: fourth downs opponents converted divided by fourth downs they attempted against this defense, as a percentage. Small samples, so a few plays move it.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 7 of 2026, the Bengals lead at 20.00; the league average is 51.86.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

CIN · 20.00

League average

51.86

Best to worst

80.00

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CIN	20.00	5
2	CLE	20.00	6
3	CHI	25.00	6
4	DAL	25.00	6
5	LAR	33.33	6
6	NYG	33.33	6
7	JAX	37.50	6
8	CAR	40.00	5
9	MIN	40.00	5
10	NYJ	40.00	6
11	ARI	41.67	6
12	KC	41.67	5
13	HOU	42.86	6
14	NE	42.86	6
15	GB	46.15	6
16	IND	50.00	6
17	LV	50.00	6
18	NO	50.00	6
19	SF	50.00	6
20	ATL	54.55	6
21	BAL	55.56	6
22	TB	57.14	6
23	DEN	62.50	6
24	LAC	66.67	6
25	MIA	66.67	5
26	PIT	66.67	6
27	PHI	69.23	6
28	TEN	71.43	6
29	WAS	83.33	6
30	DET	87.50	5
31	BUF	88.89	6
32	SEA	100.00	6

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CLE · 20.00

League laggard

SEA · 100.00

League average

51.86

Spread (max − min)

80.00

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CIN	20.00	-31.86	100%
2	CLE	20.00	-31.86	96.8%
3	CHI	25.00	-26.86	93.5%
4	DAL	25.00	-26.86	90.3%
5	LAR	33.33	-18.53	87.1%
6	NYG	33.33	-18.53	83.9%
7	JAX	37.50	-14.36	80.6%
8	CAR	40.00	-11.86	77.4%
9	MIN	40.00	-11.86	74.2%
10	NYJ	40.00	-11.86	71%
11	ARI	41.67	-10.19	67.7%
12	KC	41.67	-10.19	64.5%
13	HOU	42.86	-9.00	61.3%
14	NE	42.86	-9.00	58.1%
15	GB	46.15	-5.71	54.8%
16	IND	50.00	-1.86	51.6%
17	LV	50.00	-1.86	48.4%
18	NO	50.00	-1.86	45.2%
19	SF	50.00	-1.86	41.9%
20	ATL	54.55	2.69	38.7%
21	BAL	55.56	3.70	35.5%
22	TB	57.14	5.28	32.3%
23	DEN	62.50	10.64	29%
24	LAC	66.67	14.81	25.8%
25	MIA	66.67	14.81	22.6%
26	PIT	66.67	14.81	19.4%
27	PHI	69.23	17.37	16.1%
28	TEN	71.43	19.57	12.9%
29	WAS	83.33	31.47	9.7%
30	DET	87.50	35.64	6.5%
31	BUF	88.89	37.03	3.2%
32	SEA	100.00	48.14	0%

Does Fourth down pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 833–745–37 ATS (52.8%) across 2020–2025, #142 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (141–113, 55.5%); its worst 2022 (135–129, 51.1%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	141–113–2	55.5%
2021	272	141–129–2	52.2%
2022	271	135–129–7	51.1%
2023	272	138–120–14	53.5%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Fourth down pct (allowed) in 2026 vs 2025

Bengals lead at 20.00 — they ranked #26 last year. Seahawks are last at 100.00 — #12 last year.

The league average is 51.86, down 3.80 from 55.66 last year.

Biggest riser: Bengals, #26 → #1. Biggest faller: Eagles, #4 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 80.00; 24 teams are within 19.89 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SEA · +47.73

Biggest faller

CIN · −46.67

Most consistent

BAL · −0.54

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -3.80

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	SEA	100.00	52.27	+47.73
2	BUF	88.89	52.63	+36.26
3	PHI	69.23	37.93	+31.30
4	DET	87.50	65.63	+21.88
5	WAS	83.33	62.50	+20.83
6	KC	41.67	26.09	+15.58
7	LAC	66.67	52.00	+14.67
8	DEN	62.50	51.85	+10.65
9	TB	57.14	46.67	+10.48
10	NE	42.86	33.33	+9.52
11	JAX	37.50	35.48	+2.02
12	BAL	55.56	56.10	−0.54
13	NO	50.00	52.94	−2.94
14	IND	50.00	53.57	−3.57
15	TEN	71.43	75.00	−3.57
16	SF	50.00	54.55	−4.55
17	HOU	42.86	47.62	−4.76
18	MIA	66.67	71.43	−4.76
19	ATL	54.55	59.38	−4.83
20	ARI	41.67	48.00	−6.33
21	PIT	66.67	73.68	−7.02
22	GB	46.15	55.56	−9.40
23	LV	50.00	65.00	−15.00
24	CLE	20.00	38.89	−18.89
25	LAR	33.33	54.76	−21.43
26	CHI	25.00	47.83	−22.83
27	CAR	40.00	63.64	−23.64
28	MIN	40.00	69.57	−29.57
29	NYJ	40.00	72.73	−32.73
30	NYG	33.33	72.73	−39.39
31	DAL	25.00	65.00	−40.00
32	CIN	20.00	66.67	−46.67

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 45.36

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 67.09

Biggest improver

CLE · −8.38/yr

Biggest decliner

SEA · +7.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	45.36	−3.85	61.90	50.00	40.00	45.45	47.37	47.83	25.00
2	CIN	47.59	−1.85	62.50	38.89	39.13	46.67	59.26	66.67	20.00
3	CLE	47.61	−8.38	81.48	64.00	44.44	40.00	44.44	38.89	20.00
4	NE	47.87	−2.57	56.25	56.25	38.46	55.56	52.38	33.33	42.86
5	NO	47.91	+0.71	53.33	42.86	42.11	42.31	51.85	52.94	50.00
6	ATL	49.71	+2.39	43.48	50.00	38.89	47.83	53.85	59.38	54.55
7	JAX	49.73	−4.42	66.67	66.67	32.26	51.22	58.33	35.48	37.50
8	KC	49.97	−5.19	65.00	61.29	57.14	46.43	52.17	26.09	41.67
9	LAR	51.48	−1.51	42.86	53.13	70.00	53.33	52.94	54.76	33.33
10	ARI	51.62	−2.29	66.67	46.67	50.00	50.00	58.33	48.00	41.67
11	BAL	52.07	−0.01	45.71	61.11	62.50	40.63	42.86	56.10	55.56
12	GB	52.87	−0.51	58.33	45.45	57.89	46.67	60.00	55.56	46.15
13	SF	52.97	+0.05	65.00	44.00	40.00	51.85	65.38	54.55	50.00
14	DEN	53.25	+1.63	50.00	42.31	64.29	48.48	53.33	51.85	62.50
15	DAL	53.29	−1.70	47.62	61.54	54.55	51.35	68.00	65.00	25.00
16	IND	53.33	+0.52	42.86	57.14	52.00	65.38	52.38	53.57	50.00
17	MIN	53.92	−1.93	70.83	50.00	37.93	72.00	37.14	69.57	40.00
18	NYJ	54.08	+1.80	41.67	61.90	42.31	43.75	76.19	72.73	40.00
19	LAC	54.09	+2.23	66.67	31.82	40.00	59.38	62.07	52.00	66.67
20	SEA	54.14	+7.18	43.48	41.94	39.29	52.00	50.00	52.27	100.00
21	PHI	54.18	+2.14	41.18	51.72	60.00	55.88	63.33	37.93	69.23
22	TB	54.35	+0.15	58.33	46.43	58.33	48.00	65.52	46.67	57.14
23	HOU	55.19	−1.74	52.38	57.89	65.00	55.17	65.38	47.62	42.86
24	MIA	55.77	+2.99	46.15	61.11	48.39	46.67	50.00	71.43	66.67
25	PIT	56.29	+6.08	25.00	54.17	61.90	44.44	68.18	73.68	66.67
26	CAR	56.46	−1.12	60.00	57.14	44.44	70.00	60.00	63.64	40.00
27	NYG	58.12	−2.71	61.11	65.22	64.71	52.63	57.14	72.73	33.33
28	BUF	58.54	+3.56	57.89	47.06	57.58	52.63	53.13	52.63	88.89
29	WAS	59.58	+5.96	37.50	57.14	48.00	61.90	66.67	62.50	83.33
30	DET	61.88	+2.42	61.11	64.29	55.56	57.69	41.38	65.63	87.50
31	LV	65.08	−3.21	82.35	72.41	55.00	53.85	76.92	65.00	50.00
32	TEN	67.09	+2.80	57.69	58.33	73.08	57.14	76.92	75.00	71.43

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CIN	62.50	38.89	39.13	46.67	59.26	66.67	20.00
CLE	81.48	64.00	44.44	40.00	44.44	38.89	20.00
CHI	61.90	50.00	40.00	45.45	47.37	47.83	25.00
DAL	47.62	61.54	54.55	51.35	68.00	65.00	25.00
LAR	42.86	53.13	70.00	53.33	52.94	54.76	33.33
NYG	61.11	65.22	64.71	52.63	57.14	72.73	33.33
JAX	66.67	66.67	32.26	51.22	58.33	35.48	37.50
CAR	60.00	57.14	44.44	70.00	60.00	63.64	40.00
MIN	70.83	50.00	37.93	72.00	37.14	69.57	40.00
NYJ	41.67	61.90	42.31	43.75	76.19	72.73	40.00
ARI	66.67	46.67	50.00	50.00	58.33	48.00	41.67
KC	65.00	61.29	57.14	46.43	52.17	26.09	41.67
HOU	52.38	57.89	65.00	55.17	65.38	47.62	42.86
NE	56.25	56.25	38.46	55.56	52.38	33.33	42.86
GB	58.33	45.45	57.89	46.67	60.00	55.56	46.15
IND	42.86	57.14	52.00	65.38	52.38	53.57	50.00
LV	82.35	72.41	55.00	53.85	76.92	65.00	50.00
NO	53.33	42.86	42.11	42.31	51.85	52.94	50.00
SF	65.00	44.00	40.00	51.85	65.38	54.55	50.00
ATL	43.48	50.00	38.89	47.83	53.85	59.38	54.55
BAL	45.71	61.11	62.50	40.63	42.86	56.10	55.56
TB	58.33	46.43	58.33	48.00	65.52	46.67	57.14
DEN	50.00	42.31	64.29	48.48	53.33	51.85	62.50
LAC	66.67	31.82	40.00	59.38	62.07	52.00	66.67
MIA	46.15	61.11	48.39	46.67	50.00	71.43	66.67
PIT	25.00	54.17	61.90	44.44	68.18	73.68	66.67
PHI	41.18	51.72	60.00	55.88	63.33	37.93	69.23
TEN	57.69	58.33	73.08	57.14	76.92	75.00	71.43
WAS	37.50	57.14	48.00	61.90	66.67	62.50	83.33
DET	61.11	64.29	55.56	57.69	41.38	65.63	87.50
BUF	57.89	47.06	57.58	52.63	53.13	52.63	88.89
SEA	43.48	41.94	39.29	52.00	50.00	52.27	100.00

Fourth down pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Jaguars (25.00), 2019 Cardinals (21.43), 2020 Steelers (25.00), 2021 Chargers (31.82), 2022 Jaguars (32.26), 2023 Browns (40.00), 2024 Vikings (37.14), 2025 Chiefs (26.09), 2026 Bengals (20.00).

Jaguars have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Bengals 2026 at 20.00; the worst Seahawks 2026 at 100.00.

The league average has fallen from 55.71 in 2018 to 51.86 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 5 to Week 6

Since Week 5: Patriots up 8 (#21 → #13), Bears up 5 (#8 → #3), Bengals up 3 (#4 → #1); Ravens down 8 (#13 → #21), Eagles down 5 (#22 → #27), Packers down 5 (#10 → #15).

18 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_fourth_down_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.