What Pass 1stD is

Passing first downs: first downs earned on completed passes. The passing game's contribution to keeping drives alive.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Chiefs led at 16.06; the league average was 11.35.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

KC · 16.06

League average

11.35

Best to worst

9.65

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	16.06	17
2	MIN	14.71	17
3	TB	14.18	17
4	CIN	14	16
5	LAC	13.76	17
6	DET	13.53	17
7	BUF	13.50	16
8	MIA	13.06	17
9	JAX	12.35	17
10	SEA	12.18	17
11	PHI	11.59	17
12	DAL	11.53	17
13	IND	11.53	17
14	LV	11.47	17
15	SF	11.29	17
16	NYJ	11.24	17
17	ARI	11.18	17
18	PIT	11.12	17
19	GB	11	17
20	WAS	10.94	17
21	LAR	10.82	17
22	NO	10.82	17
23	CLE	10.71	17
24	NYG	10.18	17
25	NE	9.82	17
26	DEN	9.76	17
27	HOU	9.41	17
28	TEN	9.18	17
29	BAL	8.88	17
30	ATL	8.82	17
31	CAR	8.18	17
32	CHI	6.41	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 16.06

League laggard

CHI · 6.41

League average

11.35

Spread (max − min)

9.65

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	16.06	4.71	100%
2	MIN	14.71	3.36	96.8%
3	TB	14.18	2.83	93.5%
4	CIN	14	2.65	90.3%
5	LAC	13.76	2.41	87.1%
6	DET	13.53	2.18	83.9%
7	BUF	13.50	2.15	80.6%
8	MIA	13.06	1.71	77.4%
9	JAX	12.35	1.00	74.2%
10	SEA	12.18	0.83	71%
11	PHI	11.59	0.24	67.7%
12	DAL	11.53	0.18	64.5%
13	IND	11.53	0.18	61.3%
14	LV	11.47	0.12	58.1%
15	SF	11.29	-0.06	54.8%
16	NYJ	11.24	-0.11	51.6%
17	ARI	11.18	-0.17	48.4%
18	PIT	11.12	-0.23	45.2%
19	GB	11	-0.35	41.9%
20	WAS	10.94	-0.41	38.7%
21	LAR	10.82	-0.53	35.5%
22	NO	10.82	-0.53	32.3%
23	CLE	10.71	-0.64	29%
24	NYG	10.18	-1.17	25.8%
25	NE	9.82	-1.53	22.6%
26	DEN	9.76	-1.59	19.4%
27	HOU	9.41	-1.94	16.1%
28	TEN	9.18	-2.17	12.9%
29	BAL	8.88	-2.47	9.7%
30	ATL	8.82	-2.53	6.5%
31	CAR	8.18	-3.17	3.2%
32	CHI	6.41	-4.94	0%

Does Pass 1stD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 844–734–37 ATS (53.5%) across 2020–2025, #119 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2023 (144–114, 55.8%); its worst 2021 (135–135, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	144–114–14	55.8%
2024	272	138–125–9	52.5%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Pass 1stD in 2022 vs 2021

Chiefs lead at 16.06 — they ranked #2 last year. Bears are last at 6.41 — #22 last year.

The league average is 11.35, down 0.63 from 11.98 last year.

Biggest riser: Seahawks, #29 → #10. Biggest faller: Ravens, #11 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 9.65; 20 teams are within 2.03 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIN · +2.76

Biggest faller

CHI · −4.29

Most consistent

NYG · −0.06

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -0.63

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	MIN	14.71	11.94	+2.76
2	SEA	12.18	9.94	+2.24
3	DET	13.53	11.53	+2
4	PHI	11.59	9.82	+1.76
5	JAX	12.35	10.65	+1.71
6	IND	11.53	10	+1.53
7	CIN	14	12.59	+1.41
8	NO	10.82	9.76	+1.06
9	MIA	13.06	12.35	+0.71
10	WAS	10.94	10.71	+0.24
11	CLE	10.71	10.47	+0.24
12	KC	16.06	15.88	+0.18
13	NYG	10.18	10.24	−0.06
14	HOU	9.41	9.59	−0.18
15	NYJ	11.24	11.59	−0.35
16	SF	11.29	11.94	−0.65
17	BUF	13.50	14.29	−0.79
18	PIT	11.12	12.18	−1.06
19	DEN	9.76	10.94	−1.18
20	NE	9.82	11.06	−1.24
21	LAC	13.76	15.06	−1.29
22	LV	11.47	12.94	−1.47
23	ARI	11.18	12.71	−1.53
24	TB	14.18	16.06	−1.88
25	CAR	8.18	10.24	−2.06
26	TEN	9.18	11.65	−2.47
27	ATL	8.82	11.71	−2.88
28	GB	11	13.94	−2.94
29	LAR	10.82	13.82	−3
30	DAL	11.53	14.65	−3.12
31	BAL	8.88	12.41	−3.53
32	CHI	6.41	10.71	−4.29

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 13.80

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 10.05

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.42/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −1.05/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	13.80	−0.95	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
2	DET	13.61	+0.30	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
3	DAL	13.43	−0.08	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
4	CIN	13.33	+0.18	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
5	LAR	13.02	+0.36	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
6	TB	12.80	−1.05	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
7	BUF	12.55	−0.77	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
8	SF	12.48	−0.06	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
9	LAC	12.27	−0.95	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
10	ARI	12.10	−0.02	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
11	LV	12.04	−0.09	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
12	GB	11.99	−0.42	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
13	MIN	11.91	−0.78	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
14	SEA	11.78	−0.07	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
15	MIA	11.72	−0.78	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7
16	JAX	11.58	−0.20	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
17	HOU	11.43	−0.03	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
18	NO	11.33	+0.17	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
19	ATL	11.20	−0.64	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
20	IND	10.87	−0.23	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
21	PIT	10.77	−0.47	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
22	CAR	10.75	+0.42	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
23	WAS	10.73	−0.26	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
24	CHI	10.61	−0.02	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
25	NE	10.43	+0.22	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
26	BAL	10.42	+0.12	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
27	PHI	10.40	−0.31	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
28	CLE	10.36	−0.46	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
29	DEN	10.29	−0.13	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
30	NYG	10.13	−0.03	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
31	NYJ	10.07	−0.22	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
32	TEN	10.05	−0.60	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
MIN	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
TB	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
CIN	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
LAC	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
DET	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
BUF	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
MIA	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7
JAX	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
SEA	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
PHI	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
DAL	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
IND	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
LV	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
SF	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
NYJ	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
ARI	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
PIT	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
GB	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
WAS	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
LAR	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
NO	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
CLE	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
NYG	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
NE	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
DEN	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
HOU	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
TEN	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60
BAL	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
ATL	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
CAR	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
CHI	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12

Pass 1stD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (16.81), 2019 Falcons (16.25), 2020 Chiefs (16.25), 2021 Buccaneers (16.06), 2022 Chiefs (16.06).

Buccaneers have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 16.81; the worst Bears 2022 at 6.41.

The league average has fallen from 12.43 in 2018 to 11.35 in 2022.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_pass_fd
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.