What Pass 1stD is

Passing first downs: first downs earned on completed passes. The passing game's contribution to keeping drives alive.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Falcons led at 16.25; the league average was 12.27.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

ATL · 16.25

League average

12.27

Best to worst

6.69

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	ATL	16.25	16
2	TB	15.44	16
3	CAR	14.75	16
4	DAL	14.44	16
5	NO	14.44	16
6	LAC	13.94	16
7	LAR	13.94	16
8	PHI	13.56	16
9	MIA	13.31	16
10	KC	13.25	16
11	HOU	12.75	16
12	DET	12.38	16
13	NE	12.38	16
14	CIN	12.31	16
15	SF	12.25	16
16	GB	12.13	16
17	LV	12.13	16
18	SEA	12	16
19	NYG	11.88	16
20	JAX	11.69	16
21	CLE	11.31	16
22	ARI	11.25	16
23	CHI	11.25	16
24	TEN	11.19	16
25	BAL	10.94	16
26	MIN	10.75	16
27	IND	10.56	16
28	DEN	10.44	16
29	NYJ	10.38	16
30	BUF	10.31	16
31	WAS	9.63	16
32	PIT	9.56	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

ATL · 16.25

League laggard

PIT · 9.56

League average

12.27

Spread (max − min)

6.69

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	ATL	16.25	3.98	100%
2	TB	15.44	3.16	96.8%
3	CAR	14.75	2.48	93.5%
4	DAL	14.44	2.16	90.3%
5	NO	14.44	2.16	87.1%
6	LAC	13.94	1.66	83.9%
7	LAR	13.94	1.66	80.6%
8	PHI	13.56	1.29	77.4%
9	MIA	13.31	1.04	74.2%
10	KC	13.25	0.98	71%
11	HOU	12.75	0.48	67.7%
12	DET	12.38	0.10	64.5%
13	NE	12.38	0.10	61.3%
14	CIN	12.31	0.04	58.1%
15	SF	12.25	-0.02	54.8%
16	GB	12.13	-0.15	51.6%
17	LV	12.13	-0.15	48.4%
18	SEA	12	-0.27	45.2%
19	NYG	11.88	-0.40	41.9%
20	JAX	11.69	-0.59	38.7%
21	CLE	11.31	-0.96	35.5%
22	ARI	11.25	-1.02	32.3%
23	CHI	11.25	-1.02	29%
24	TEN	11.19	-1.09	25.8%
25	BAL	10.94	-1.34	22.6%
26	MIN	10.75	-1.52	19.4%
27	IND	10.56	-1.71	16.1%
28	DEN	10.44	-1.84	12.9%
29	NYJ	10.38	-1.90	9.7%
30	BUF	10.31	-1.96	6.5%
31	WAS	9.63	-2.65	3.2%
32	PIT	9.56	-2.71	0%

Does Pass 1stD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 844–734–37 ATS (53.5%) across 2020–2025, #119 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2023 (144–114, 55.8%); its worst 2021 (135–135, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	144–114–14	55.8%
2024	272	138–125–9	52.5%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Pass 1stD in 2019 vs 2018

Falcons lead at 16.25 — they ranked #3 last year. Steelers are last at 9.56 — #2 last year.

The league average is 12.27, down 0.16 from 12.43 last year.

Biggest riser: Dolphins, #30 → #9. Biggest faller: Steelers, #2 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 6.69; 19 teams are within 1.66 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIA · +3.63

Biggest faller

PIT · −6.31

Most consistent

CHI · 0

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▼ -0.16

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	MIA	13.31	9.69	+3.63
2	DAL	14.44	11.56	+2.88
3	ARI	11.25	8.69	+2.56
4	SEA	12	10.19	+1.81
5	CAR	14.75	13.31	+1.44
6	BUF	10.31	8.94	+1.38
7	TEN	11.19	9.88	+1.31
8	JAX	11.69	10.50	+1.19
9	NO	14.44	13.31	+1.13
10	ATL	16.25	15.19	+1.06
11	CIN	12.31	11.56	+0.75
12	LAC	13.94	13.44	+0.50
13	NYJ	10.38	10	+0.38
14	HOU	12.75	12.69	+0.06
15	CHI	11.25	11.25	0
16	WAS	9.63	9.88	−0.25
17	LV	12.13	12.44	−0.31
18	DET	12.38	12.81	−0.44
19	SF	12.25	12.69	−0.44
20	BAL	10.94	11.50	−0.56
21	NE	12.38	12.94	−0.56
22	PHI	13.56	14.19	−0.63
23	CLE	11.31	12	−0.69
24	LAR	13.94	14.81	−0.88
25	GB	12.13	13.06	−0.94
26	DEN	10.44	11.56	−1.13
27	NYG	11.88	13.06	−1.19
28	TB	15.44	16.81	−1.38
29	KC	13.25	15.19	−1.94
30	MIN	10.75	13.75	−3
31	IND	10.56	15	−4.44
32	PIT	9.56	15.88	−6.31

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 13.80

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 10.05

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.42/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −1.05/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	13.80	−0.95	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
2	DET	13.61	+0.30	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
3	DAL	13.43	−0.08	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
4	CIN	13.33	+0.18	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
5	LAR	13.02	+0.36	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
6	TB	12.80	−1.05	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
7	BUF	12.55	−0.77	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
8	SF	12.48	−0.06	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
9	LAC	12.27	−0.95	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
10	ARI	12.10	−0.02	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
11	LV	12.04	−0.09	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
12	GB	11.99	−0.42	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
13	MIN	11.91	−0.78	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
14	SEA	11.78	−0.07	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
15	MIA	11.72	−0.78	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7
16	JAX	11.58	−0.20	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
17	HOU	11.43	−0.03	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
18	NO	11.33	+0.17	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
19	ATL	11.20	−0.64	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
20	IND	10.87	−0.23	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
21	PIT	10.77	−0.47	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
22	CAR	10.75	+0.42	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
23	WAS	10.73	−0.26	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
24	CHI	10.61	−0.02	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
25	NE	10.43	+0.22	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
26	BAL	10.42	+0.12	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
27	PHI	10.40	−0.31	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
28	CLE	10.36	−0.46	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
29	DEN	10.29	−0.13	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
30	NYG	10.13	−0.03	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
31	NYJ	10.07	−0.22	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
32	TEN	10.05	−0.60	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
LAR	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
CAR	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
DET	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
DAL	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
CIN	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
LV	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
NO	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
ARI	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
SEA	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
CHI	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
GB	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
HOU	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
BAL	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
SF	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
KC	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
NYG	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
JAX	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
NE	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
PIT	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
BUF	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
IND	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
WAS	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
CLE	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
LAC	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
TB	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
NYJ	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
ATL	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
DEN	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
PHI	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
TEN	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60
MIN	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
MIA	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7

Pass 1stD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (16.81), 2019 Falcons (16.25).

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 16.81; the worst Cardinals 2018 at 8.69.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_pass_fd
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.