What Pass 1stD is

Passing first downs: first downs earned on completed passes. The passing game's contribution to keeping drives alive.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Cowboys led at 13.71; the league average was 11.18.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

DAL · 13.71

League average

11.18

Best to worst

5.18

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DAL	13.71	17
2	DET	13.59	17
3	MIA	13.18	17
4	MIN	13.06	17
5	KC	12.76	17
6	HOU	12.71	17
7	GB	12.41	17
8	CIN	12.35	17
9	SF	12.35	17
10	LAR	12.18	17
11	LAC	12.12	17
12	BUF	11.88	17
13	JAX	11.76	17
14	NO	11.76	17
15	PHI	11.65	17
16	SEA	11.18	17
17	TB	11.18	17
18	WAS	11.18	17
19	LV	10.82	17
20	ATL	10.76	17
21	BAL	10.65	17
22	IND	10.65	17
23	CLE	10.35	17
24	ARI	10.18	17
25	CHI	10	17
26	TEN	9.41	17
27	NYJ	9.35	17
28	DEN	9.24	17
29	NE	9.06	17
30	PIT	9	17
31	CAR	8.88	17
32	NYG	8.53	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DAL · 13.71

League laggard

NYG · 8.53

League average

11.18

Spread (max − min)

5.18

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DAL	13.71	2.52	100%
2	DET	13.59	2.40	96.8%
3	MIA	13.18	1.99	93.5%
4	MIN	13.06	1.88	90.3%
5	KC	12.76	1.58	87.1%
6	HOU	12.71	1.52	83.9%
7	GB	12.41	1.23	80.6%
8	CIN	12.35	1.17	77.4%
9	SF	12.35	1.17	74.2%
10	LAR	12.18	0.99	71%
11	LAC	12.12	0.93	67.7%
12	BUF	11.88	0.70	64.5%
13	JAX	11.76	0.58	61.3%
14	NO	11.76	0.58	58.1%
15	PHI	11.65	0.46	54.8%
16	SEA	11.18	-0.01	51.6%
17	TB	11.18	-0.01	48.4%
18	WAS	11.18	-0.01	45.2%
19	LV	10.82	-0.36	41.9%
20	ATL	10.76	-0.42	38.7%
21	BAL	10.65	-0.54	35.5%
22	IND	10.65	-0.54	32.3%
23	CLE	10.35	-0.83	29%
24	ARI	10.18	-1.01	25.8%
25	CHI	10	-1.18	22.6%
26	TEN	9.41	-1.77	19.4%
27	NYJ	9.35	-1.83	16.1%
28	DEN	9.24	-1.95	12.9%
29	NE	9.06	-2.13	9.7%
30	PIT	9	-2.18	6.5%
31	CAR	8.88	-2.30	3.2%
32	NYG	8.53	-2.65	0%

Does Pass 1stD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 844–734–37 ATS (53.5%) across 2020–2025, #119 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2023 (144–114, 55.8%); its worst 2021 (135–135, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	144–114–14	55.8%
2024	272	138–125–9	52.5%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Pass 1stD in 2023 vs 2022

Cowboys lead at 13.71 — they ranked #12 last year. Giants are last at 8.53 — #24 last year.

The league average is 11.18, down 0.17 from 11.35 last year.

Biggest riser: Texans, #27 → #6. Biggest faller: Buccaneers, #3 → #17.

Spread between first and last: 5.18; 19 teams are within 1.46 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CHI · +3.59

Biggest faller

KC · −3.29

Most consistent

DET · +0.06

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.17

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	CHI	10	6.41	+3.59
2	HOU	12.71	9.41	+3.29
3	DAL	13.71	11.53	+2.18
4	ATL	10.76	8.82	+1.94
5	BAL	10.65	8.88	+1.76
6	GB	12.41	11	+1.41
7	LAR	12.18	10.82	+1.35
8	SF	12.35	11.29	+1.06
9	NO	11.76	10.82	+0.94
10	CAR	8.88	8.18	+0.71
11	TEN	9.41	9.18	+0.24
12	WAS	11.18	10.94	+0.24
13	MIA	13.18	13.06	+0.12
14	DET	13.59	13.53	+0.06
15	PHI	11.65	11.59	+0.06
16	CLE	10.35	10.71	−0.35
17	DEN	9.24	9.76	−0.53
18	JAX	11.76	12.35	−0.59
19	LV	10.82	11.47	−0.65
20	NE	9.06	9.82	−0.76
21	IND	10.65	11.53	−0.88
22	ARI	10.18	11.18	−1
23	SEA	11.18	12.18	−1
24	BUF	11.88	13.50	−1.62
25	CIN	12.35	14	−1.65
26	MIN	13.06	14.71	−1.65
27	NYG	8.53	10.18	−1.65
28	LAC	12.12	13.76	−1.65
29	NYJ	9.35	11.24	−1.88
30	PIT	9	11.12	−2.12
31	TB	11.18	14.18	−3
32	KC	12.76	16.06	−3.29

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 13.80

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 10.05

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.42/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −1.05/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	13.80	−0.95	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
2	DET	13.61	+0.30	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
3	DAL	13.43	−0.08	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
4	CIN	13.33	+0.18	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
5	LAR	13.02	+0.36	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
6	TB	12.80	−1.05	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
7	BUF	12.55	−0.77	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
8	SF	12.48	−0.06	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
9	LAC	12.27	−0.95	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
10	ARI	12.10	−0.02	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
11	LV	12.04	−0.09	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
12	GB	11.99	−0.42	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
13	MIN	11.91	−0.78	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
14	SEA	11.78	−0.07	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
15	MIA	11.72	−0.78	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7
16	JAX	11.58	−0.20	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
17	HOU	11.43	−0.03	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
18	NO	11.33	+0.17	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
19	ATL	11.20	−0.64	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
20	IND	10.87	−0.23	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
21	PIT	10.77	−0.47	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
22	CAR	10.75	+0.42	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
23	WAS	10.73	−0.26	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
24	CHI	10.61	−0.02	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
25	NE	10.43	+0.22	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
26	BAL	10.42	+0.12	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
27	PHI	10.40	−0.31	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
28	CLE	10.36	−0.46	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
29	DEN	10.29	−0.13	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
30	NYG	10.13	−0.03	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
31	NYJ	10.07	−0.22	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
32	TEN	10.05	−0.60	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DAL	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
DET	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
MIA	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7
MIN	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
KC	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
HOU	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
GB	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
CIN	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
SF	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
LAR	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
LAC	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
BUF	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
JAX	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
NO	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
PHI	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
SEA	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
TB	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
WAS	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
LV	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
ATL	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
BAL	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
IND	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
CLE	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
ARI	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
CHI	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
TEN	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60
NYJ	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
DEN	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
NE	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
PIT	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
CAR	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
NYG	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40

Pass 1stD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (16.81), 2019 Falcons (16.25), 2020 Chiefs (16.25), 2021 Buccaneers (16.06), 2022 Chiefs (16.06), 2023 Cowboys (13.71).

Buccaneers have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 16.81; the worst Bears 2022 at 6.41.

The league average has fallen from 12.43 in 2018 to 11.18 in 2023.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_pass_fd
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.