What Score pct is

Scoring rate: drives that ended in points (touchdown or field goal) divided by all drives, as a percentage. It measures how reliably the offense turned a possession into a result.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Chiefs led at 45.86; the league average was 36.40.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

KC · 45.86

League average

36.40

Best to worst

18.11

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	45.86	17
2	BUF	45.66	16
3	DET	42.94	17
4	LV	42.77	17
5	PHI	42.47	17
6	DAL	41.54	17
7	SF	41.40	17
8	CIN	41.24	16
9	SEA	40.64	17
10	ATL	39.41	17
11	BAL	39.23	17
12	JAX	39.23	17
13	LAC	38.42	17
14	MIA	38.33	17
15	NYG	37.43	17
16	MIN	37.13	17
17	GB	36.31	17
18	CAR	34.90	17
19	CLE	34.81	17
20	CHI	34.25	17
21	PIT	34.25	17
22	LAR	33.33	17
23	NE	32.81	17
24	TB	32.31	17
25	ARI	32.09	17
26	NO	31.72	17
27	NYJ	29.74	17
28	IND	29.59	17
29	WAS	29.44	17
30	DEN	28.86	17
31	HOU	28.79	17
32	TEN	27.75	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 45.86

League laggard

TEN · 27.75

League average

36.40

Spread (max − min)

18.11

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	45.86	9.46	100%
2	BUF	45.66	9.27	96.8%
3	DET	42.94	6.54	93.5%
4	LV	42.77	6.38	90.3%
5	PHI	42.47	6.08	87.1%
6	DAL	41.54	5.14	83.9%
7	SF	41.40	5.00	80.6%
8	CIN	41.24	4.85	77.4%
9	SEA	40.64	4.25	74.2%
10	ATL	39.41	3.02	71%
11	BAL	39.23	2.83	67.7%
12	JAX	39.23	2.83	64.5%
13	LAC	38.42	2.03	61.3%
14	MIA	38.33	1.94	58.1%
15	NYG	37.43	1.03	54.8%
16	MIN	37.13	0.73	51.6%
17	GB	36.31	-0.08	48.4%
18	CAR	34.90	-1.50	45.2%
19	CLE	34.81	-1.59	41.9%
20	CHI	34.25	-2.14	38.7%
21	PIT	34.25	-2.14	35.5%
22	LAR	33.33	-3.06	32.3%
23	NE	32.81	-3.58	29%
24	TB	32.31	-4.09	25.8%
25	ARI	32.09	-4.31	22.6%
26	NO	31.72	-4.68	19.4%
27	NYJ	29.74	-6.65	16.1%
28	IND	29.59	-6.80	12.9%
29	WAS	29.44	-6.95	9.7%
30	DEN	28.86	-7.54	6.5%
31	HOU	28.79	-7.61	3.2%
32	TEN	27.75	-8.65	0%

Does Score pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 878–700–37 ATS (55.6%) across 2020–2025, #50 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2021 (155–115, 57.4%); its worst 2023 (135–123, 52.3%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	139–115–2	54.7%
2021	272	155–115–2	57.4%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	149–114–9	56.7%
2025	272	149–120–3	55.4%

Score pct in 2022 vs 2021

Chiefs lead at 45.86 — they ranked #2 last year. Titans are last at 27.75 — #16 last year.

The league average is 36.40, down 1.47 from 37.87 last year.

Biggest riser: Jaguars, #32 → #12. Biggest faller: Patriots, #1 → #23.

Spread between first and last: 18.11; 20 teams are within 5.14 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

JAX · +12.56

Biggest faller

NE · −15.19

Most consistent

NYJ · −0.04

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -1.47

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	JAX	39.23	26.67	+12.56
2	NYG	37.43	27.37	+10.06
3	DET	42.94	34.08	+8.86
4	MIA	38.33	29.79	+8.55
5	ATL	39.41	32.40	+7.01
6	CAR	34.90	29.23	+5.67
7	SEA	40.64	35.26	+5.38
8	CLE	34.81	31.67	+3.14
9	CHI	34.25	31.84	+2.41
10	LV	42.77	40.53	+2.25
11	HOU	28.79	26.70	+2.09
12	BAL	39.23	38.27	+0.96
13	SF	41.40	41.18	+0.22
14	BUF	45.66	45.50	+0.16
15	PIT	34.25	34.16	+0.10
16	NYJ	29.74	29.79	−0.04
17	PHI	42.47	42.86	−0.38
18	CIN	41.24	42.63	−1.39
19	KC	45.86	47.65	−1.79
20	NO	31.72	33.84	−2.12
21	DAL	41.54	44.04	−2.50
22	MIN	37.13	39.90	−2.77
23	WAS	29.44	34.81	−5.37
24	LAC	38.42	45.76	−7.34
25	GB	36.31	44.00	−7.69
26	DEN	28.86	36.90	−8.05
27	TEN	27.75	38.92	−11.17
28	TB	32.31	44.10	−11.79
29	ARI	32.09	44.44	−12.36
30	LAR	33.33	46.20	−12.86
31	IND	29.59	43.33	−13.74
32	NE	32.81	48.00	−15.19

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 47.14

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 30.11

Biggest improver

JAX · +2.71/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −3.29/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	47.14	+0.64	48.85	45.50	45.66	41.44	49.71	45.14	53.70
2	DAL	45.39	+1.82	40.66	44.04	41.54	50.00	36.98	48.02	56.52
3	KC	44.70	−0.54	47.88	47.65	45.86	39.11	42.94	41.76	47.73
4	DET	43.52	+2.66	37.79	34.08	42.94	40.96	51.65	44.39	52.83
5	BAL	43.17	+0.78	44.83	38.27	39.23	43.43	47.28	42.70	46.43
6	SF	42.95	+1.58	36.61	41.18	41.40	45.25	41.81	47.37	47.06
7	GB	41.67	−1.38	49.09	44.00	36.31	39.66	45.60	43.71	33.33
8	IND	41.28	+1.24	44.51	43.33	29.59	35.53	36.60	50.29	49.09
9	CIN	40.46	+1.41	33.33	42.63	41.24	34.57	43.96	40.56	46.94
10	TB	40.09	−1.26	47.80	44.10	32.31	35.52	47.54	38.80	34.55
11	SEA	39.95	+0.22	43.65	35.26	40.64	38.55	35.26	45.99	40.32
12	LAR	39.36	+0.33	34.24	46.20	33.33	41.08	38.60	46.96	35.09
13	MIN	38.54	+0.08	39.55	39.90	37.13	34.08	41.67	36.41	41.07
14	LAC	38.47	−1.28	38.07	45.76	38.42	34.55	43.17	42.61	26.67
15	ARI	38.46	−0.56	40.22	44.44	32.09	34.81	44.97	36.99	35.71
16	LV	38.19	−1.50	47.09	40.53	42.77	31.84	32.98	26.37	45.76
17	PHI	38.06	−0.20	27.89	42.86	42.47	43.02	44.26	35.75	30.19
18	ATL	37.63	−0.52	45.14	32.40	39.41	31.98	40.70	36.96	36.84
19	MIA	36.91	−0.70	41.21	29.79	38.33	43.55	39.01	36.72	29.79
20	HOU	36.54	+1.16	42.68	26.70	28.79	37.82	36.79	43.01	40.00
21	CHI	36.42	+0.72	38.55	31.84	34.25	37.84	30.05	43.55	38.89
22	JAX	36.41	+2.71	30.46	26.67	39.23	35.38	33.33	42.86	46.94
23	NO	36.06	−0.74	45.00	33.84	31.72	36.73	34.43	32.95	37.74
24	WAS	35.68	+1.17	33.33	34.81	29.44	29.15	49.72	37.72	35.59
25	PIT	35.65	+0.37	36.84	34.16	34.25	29.90	40.53	38.76	35.09
26	NE	35.62	−0.51	36.71	48.00	32.81	21.08	30.73	46.02	33.96
27	CAR	34.87	+1.14	39.88	29.23	34.90	25.00	33.16	34.13	47.83
28	DEN	34.63	+0.28	32.98	36.90	28.86	35.79	38.42	37.37	32.08
29	TEN	32.94	−3.29	48.21	38.92	27.75	32.60	30.57	30.05	22.45
30	NYG	32.81	+1.18	33.73	27.37	37.43	23.50	28.49	39.53	39.62
31	CLE	31.60	−1.63	40.36	31.67	34.81	33.04	22.39	25.64	33.33
32	NYJ	30.11	+1.12	25.84	29.79	29.74	26.19	34.29	30.98	33.96

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	47.88	47.65	45.86	39.11	42.94	41.76	47.73
BUF	48.85	45.50	45.66	41.44	49.71	45.14	53.70
DET	37.79	34.08	42.94	40.96	51.65	44.39	52.83
LV	47.09	40.53	42.77	31.84	32.98	26.37	45.76
PHI	27.89	42.86	42.47	43.02	44.26	35.75	30.19
DAL	40.66	44.04	41.54	50.00	36.98	48.02	56.52
SF	36.61	41.18	41.40	45.25	41.81	47.37	47.06
CIN	33.33	42.63	41.24	34.57	43.96	40.56	46.94
SEA	43.65	35.26	40.64	38.55	35.26	45.99	40.32
ATL	45.14	32.40	39.41	31.98	40.70	36.96	36.84
BAL	44.83	38.27	39.23	43.43	47.28	42.70	46.43
JAX	30.46	26.67	39.23	35.38	33.33	42.86	46.94
LAC	38.07	45.76	38.42	34.55	43.17	42.61	26.67
MIA	41.21	29.79	38.33	43.55	39.01	36.72	29.79
NYG	33.73	27.37	37.43	23.50	28.49	39.53	39.62
MIN	39.55	39.90	37.13	34.08	41.67	36.41	41.07
GB	49.09	44.00	36.31	39.66	45.60	43.71	33.33
CAR	39.88	29.23	34.90	25.00	33.16	34.13	47.83
CLE	40.36	31.67	34.81	33.04	22.39	25.64	33.33
CHI	38.55	31.84	34.25	37.84	30.05	43.55	38.89
PIT	36.84	34.16	34.25	29.90	40.53	38.76	35.09
LAR	34.24	46.20	33.33	41.08	38.60	46.96	35.09
NE	36.71	48.00	32.81	21.08	30.73	46.02	33.96
TB	47.80	44.10	32.31	35.52	47.54	38.80	34.55
ARI	40.22	44.44	32.09	34.81	44.97	36.99	35.71
NO	45.00	33.84	31.72	36.73	34.43	32.95	37.74
NYJ	25.84	29.79	29.74	26.19	34.29	30.98	33.96
IND	44.51	43.33	29.59	35.53	36.60	50.29	49.09
WAS	33.33	34.81	29.44	29.15	49.72	37.72	35.59
DEN	32.98	36.90	28.86	35.79	38.42	37.37	32.08
HOU	42.68	26.70	28.79	37.82	36.79	43.01	40.00
TEN	48.21	38.92	27.75	32.60	30.57	30.05	22.45

Score pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (52.02), 2019 Ravens (51.19), 2020 Packers (49.09), 2021 Patriots (48.00), 2022 Chiefs (45.86).

Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.

The best season on record is Chiefs 2018 at 52.02; the worst Cardinals 2018 at 19.15.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_score_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.