What Score pct is

Scoring rate: drives that ended in points (touchdown or field goal) divided by all drives, as a percentage. It measures how reliably the offense turned a possession into a result.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Chiefs led at 52.02; the league average was 36.54.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

KC · 52.02

League average

36.54

Best to worst

32.87

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	52.02	16
2	NO	51.48	16
3	LAR	48.65	16
4	ATL	42.60	16
5	LAC	42.35	16
6	NE	41.08	16
7	IND	40.54	16
8	BAL	40.45	16
9	SEA	39.78	16
10	HOU	39.27	16
11	GB	38.89	16
12	NYG	38.33	16
13	DAL	38.24	16
14	CAR	37.93	16
15	PHI	37.85	16
16	CHI	37.16	16
17	PIT	37.16	16
18	SF	37.16	16
19	TB	36.76	16
20	DET	35.23	16
21	TEN	34.94	16
22	CIN	34.50	16
23	MIN	32.28	16
24	NYJ	32.16	16
25	LV	30.90	16
26	CLE	30.88	16
27	WAS	30.68	16
28	DEN	30.65	16
29	MIA	28.26	16
30	BUF	26.94	16
31	JAX	24.86	16
32	ARI	19.15	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 52.02

League laggard

ARI · 19.15

League average

36.54

Spread (max − min)

32.87

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	52.02	15.49	100%
2	NO	51.48	14.94	96.8%
3	LAR	48.65	12.11	93.5%
4	ATL	42.60	6.07	90.3%
5	LAC	42.35	5.82	87.1%
6	NE	41.08	4.55	83.9%
7	IND	40.54	4.01	80.6%
8	BAL	40.45	3.91	77.4%
9	SEA	39.78	3.24	74.2%
10	HOU	39.27	2.73	71%
11	GB	38.89	2.35	67.7%
12	NYG	38.33	1.80	64.5%
13	DAL	38.24	1.70	61.3%
14	CAR	37.93	1.40	58.1%
15	PHI	37.85	1.32	54.8%
16	CHI	37.16	0.62	51.6%
17	PIT	37.16	0.62	48.4%
18	SF	37.16	0.62	45.2%
19	TB	36.76	0.22	41.9%
20	DET	35.23	-1.31	38.7%
21	TEN	34.94	-1.60	35.5%
22	CIN	34.50	-2.03	32.3%
23	MIN	32.28	-4.26	29%
24	NYJ	32.16	-4.37	25.8%
25	LV	30.90	-5.64	22.6%
26	CLE	30.88	-5.65	19.4%
27	WAS	30.68	-5.85	16.1%
28	DEN	30.65	-5.89	12.9%
29	MIA	28.26	-8.27	9.7%
30	BUF	26.94	-9.59	6.5%
31	JAX	24.86	-11.67	3.2%
32	ARI	19.15	-17.39	0%

Does Score pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 878–700–37 ATS (55.6%) across 2020–2025, #50 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2021 (155–115, 57.4%); its worst 2023 (135–123, 52.3%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	139–115–2	54.7%
2021	272	155–115–2	57.4%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	149–114–9	56.7%
2025	272	149–120–3	55.4%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 47.14

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 30.11

Biggest improver

JAX · +2.71/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −3.29/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	47.14	+0.64	48.85	45.50	45.66	41.44	49.71	45.14	53.70
2	DAL	45.39	+1.82	40.66	44.04	41.54	50.00	36.98	48.02	56.52
3	KC	44.70	−0.54	47.88	47.65	45.86	39.11	42.94	41.76	47.73
4	DET	43.52	+2.66	37.79	34.08	42.94	40.96	51.65	44.39	52.83
5	BAL	43.17	+0.78	44.83	38.27	39.23	43.43	47.28	42.70	46.43
6	SF	42.95	+1.58	36.61	41.18	41.40	45.25	41.81	47.37	47.06
7	GB	41.67	−1.38	49.09	44.00	36.31	39.66	45.60	43.71	33.33
8	IND	41.28	+1.24	44.51	43.33	29.59	35.53	36.60	50.29	49.09
9	CIN	40.46	+1.41	33.33	42.63	41.24	34.57	43.96	40.56	46.94
10	TB	40.09	−1.26	47.80	44.10	32.31	35.52	47.54	38.80	34.55
11	SEA	39.95	+0.22	43.65	35.26	40.64	38.55	35.26	45.99	40.32
12	LAR	39.36	+0.33	34.24	46.20	33.33	41.08	38.60	46.96	35.09
13	MIN	38.54	+0.08	39.55	39.90	37.13	34.08	41.67	36.41	41.07
14	LAC	38.47	−1.28	38.07	45.76	38.42	34.55	43.17	42.61	26.67
15	ARI	38.46	−0.56	40.22	44.44	32.09	34.81	44.97	36.99	35.71
16	LV	38.19	−1.50	47.09	40.53	42.77	31.84	32.98	26.37	45.76
17	PHI	38.06	−0.20	27.89	42.86	42.47	43.02	44.26	35.75	30.19
18	ATL	37.63	−0.52	45.14	32.40	39.41	31.98	40.70	36.96	36.84
19	MIA	36.91	−0.70	41.21	29.79	38.33	43.55	39.01	36.72	29.79
20	HOU	36.54	+1.16	42.68	26.70	28.79	37.82	36.79	43.01	40.00
21	CHI	36.42	+0.72	38.55	31.84	34.25	37.84	30.05	43.55	38.89
22	JAX	36.41	+2.71	30.46	26.67	39.23	35.38	33.33	42.86	46.94
23	NO	36.06	−0.74	45.00	33.84	31.72	36.73	34.43	32.95	37.74
24	WAS	35.68	+1.17	33.33	34.81	29.44	29.15	49.72	37.72	35.59
25	PIT	35.65	+0.37	36.84	34.16	34.25	29.90	40.53	38.76	35.09
26	NE	35.62	−0.51	36.71	48.00	32.81	21.08	30.73	46.02	33.96
27	CAR	34.87	+1.14	39.88	29.23	34.90	25.00	33.16	34.13	47.83
28	DEN	34.63	+0.28	32.98	36.90	28.86	35.79	38.42	37.37	32.08
29	TEN	32.94	−3.29	48.21	38.92	27.75	32.60	30.57	30.05	22.45
30	NYG	32.81	+1.18	33.73	27.37	37.43	23.50	28.49	39.53	39.62
31	CLE	31.60	−1.63	40.36	31.67	34.81	33.04	22.39	25.64	33.33
32	NYJ	30.11	+1.12	25.84	29.79	29.74	26.19	34.29	30.98	33.96

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DAL	40.66	44.04	41.54	50.00	36.98	48.02	56.52
BUF	48.85	45.50	45.66	41.44	49.71	45.14	53.70
DET	37.79	34.08	42.94	40.96	51.65	44.39	52.83
IND	44.51	43.33	29.59	35.53	36.60	50.29	49.09
CAR	39.88	29.23	34.90	25.00	33.16	34.13	47.83
KC	47.88	47.65	45.86	39.11	42.94	41.76	47.73
SF	36.61	41.18	41.40	45.25	41.81	47.37	47.06
CIN	33.33	42.63	41.24	34.57	43.96	40.56	46.94
JAX	30.46	26.67	39.23	35.38	33.33	42.86	46.94
BAL	44.83	38.27	39.23	43.43	47.28	42.70	46.43
LV	47.09	40.53	42.77	31.84	32.98	26.37	45.76
MIN	39.55	39.90	37.13	34.08	41.67	36.41	41.07
SEA	43.65	35.26	40.64	38.55	35.26	45.99	40.32
HOU	42.68	26.70	28.79	37.82	36.79	43.01	40.00
NYG	33.73	27.37	37.43	23.50	28.49	39.53	39.62
CHI	38.55	31.84	34.25	37.84	30.05	43.55	38.89
NO	45.00	33.84	31.72	36.73	34.43	32.95	37.74
ATL	45.14	32.40	39.41	31.98	40.70	36.96	36.84
ARI	40.22	44.44	32.09	34.81	44.97	36.99	35.71
WAS	33.33	34.81	29.44	29.15	49.72	37.72	35.59
LAR	34.24	46.20	33.33	41.08	38.60	46.96	35.09
PIT	36.84	34.16	34.25	29.90	40.53	38.76	35.09
TB	47.80	44.10	32.31	35.52	47.54	38.80	34.55
NE	36.71	48.00	32.81	21.08	30.73	46.02	33.96
NYJ	25.84	29.79	29.74	26.19	34.29	30.98	33.96
CLE	40.36	31.67	34.81	33.04	22.39	25.64	33.33
GB	49.09	44.00	36.31	39.66	45.60	43.71	33.33
DEN	32.98	36.90	28.86	35.79	38.42	37.37	32.08
PHI	27.89	42.86	42.47	43.02	44.26	35.75	30.19
MIA	41.21	29.79	38.33	43.55	39.01	36.72	29.79
LAC	38.07	45.76	38.42	34.55	43.17	42.61	26.67
TEN	48.21	38.92	27.75	32.60	30.57	30.05	22.45

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_score_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.