What Score pct is

Scoring rate: drives that ended in points (touchdown or field goal) divided by all drives, as a percentage. It measures how reliably the offense turned a possession into a result.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Patriots led at 48.00; the league average was 37.87.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

NE · 48.00

League average

37.87

Best to worst

21.33

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NE	48.00	17
2	KC	47.65	17
3	LAR	46.20	17
4	LAC	45.76	17
5	BUF	45.50	17
6	ARI	44.44	17
7	TB	44.10	17
8	DAL	44.04	17
9	GB	44.00	17
10	IND	43.33	17
11	PHI	42.86	17
12	CIN	42.63	17
13	SF	41.18	17
14	LV	40.53	17
15	MIN	39.90	17
16	TEN	38.92	17
17	BAL	38.27	17
18	DEN	36.90	17
19	SEA	35.26	17
20	WAS	34.81	17
21	PIT	34.16	17
22	DET	34.08	17
23	NO	33.84	17
24	ATL	32.40	17
25	CHI	31.84	17
26	CLE	31.67	17
27	MIA	29.79	17
28	NYJ	29.79	17
29	CAR	29.23	17
30	NYG	27.37	17
31	HOU	26.70	17
32	JAX	26.67	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NE · 48.00

League laggard

JAX · 26.67

League average

37.87

Spread (max − min)

21.33

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NE	48.00	10.13	100%
2	KC	47.65	9.78	96.8%
3	LAR	46.20	8.33	93.5%
4	LAC	45.76	7.89	90.3%
5	BUF	45.50	7.63	87.1%
6	ARI	44.44	6.58	83.9%
7	TB	44.10	6.23	80.6%
8	DAL	44.04	6.17	77.4%
9	GB	44.00	6.13	74.2%
10	IND	43.33	5.46	71%
11	PHI	42.86	4.99	67.7%
12	CIN	42.63	4.76	64.5%
13	SF	41.18	3.31	61.3%
14	LV	40.53	2.66	58.1%
15	MIN	39.90	2.03	54.8%
16	TEN	38.92	1.05	51.6%
17	BAL	38.27	0.40	48.4%
18	DEN	36.90	-0.96	45.2%
19	SEA	35.26	-2.61	41.9%
20	WAS	34.81	-3.06	38.7%
21	PIT	34.16	-3.71	35.5%
22	DET	34.08	-3.79	32.3%
23	NO	33.84	-4.03	29%
24	ATL	32.40	-5.47	25.8%
25	CHI	31.84	-6.03	22.6%
26	CLE	31.67	-6.20	19.4%
27	MIA	29.79	-8.08	16.1%
28	NYJ	29.79	-8.08	12.9%
29	CAR	29.23	-8.64	9.7%
30	NYG	27.37	-10.50	6.5%
31	HOU	26.70	-11.17	3.2%
32	JAX	26.67	-11.20	0%

Does Score pct matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 878–700–37 ATS (55.6%) across 2020–2025, #50 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2021 (155–115, 57.4%); its worst 2023 (135–123, 52.3%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	139–115–2	54.7%
2021	272	155–115–2	57.4%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	149–114–9	56.7%
2025	272	149–120–3	55.4%

Score pct in 2021 vs 2020

Patriots lead at 48.00 — they ranked #23 last year. Jaguars are last at 26.67 — #30 last year.

The league average is 37.87, down 1.91 from 39.78 last year.

Biggest riser: Patriots, #23 → #1. Biggest faller: Texans, #12 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 21.33; 20 teams are within 6.56 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

PHI · +14.96

Biggest faller

HOU · −15.98

Most consistent

KC · −0.23

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -1.91

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	PHI	42.86	27.89	+14.96
2	LAR	46.20	34.24	+11.96
3	NE	48.00	36.71	+11.29
4	CIN	42.63	33.33	+9.30
5	LAC	45.76	38.07	+7.69
6	SF	41.18	36.61	+4.56
7	ARI	44.44	40.22	+4.22
8	NYJ	29.79	25.84	+3.94
9	DEN	36.90	32.98	+3.93
10	DAL	44.04	40.66	+3.38
11	WAS	34.81	33.33	+1.47
12	MIN	39.90	39.55	+0.35
13	KC	47.65	47.88	−0.23
14	IND	43.33	44.51	−1.18
15	PIT	34.16	36.84	−2.68
16	BUF	45.50	48.85	−3.35
17	TB	44.10	47.80	−3.70
18	DET	34.08	37.79	−3.71
19	JAX	26.67	30.46	−3.79
20	GB	44.00	49.09	−5.09
21	NYG	27.37	33.73	−6.36
22	BAL	38.27	44.83	−6.56
23	LV	40.53	47.09	−6.57
24	CHI	31.84	38.55	−6.70
25	SEA	35.26	43.65	−8.38
26	CLE	31.67	40.36	−8.69
27	TEN	38.92	48.21	−9.30
28	CAR	29.23	39.88	−10.65
29	NO	33.84	45.00	−11.16
30	MIA	29.79	41.21	−11.42
31	ATL	32.40	45.14	−12.74
32	HOU	26.70	42.68	−15.98

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 47.14

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 30.11

Biggest improver

JAX · +2.71/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −3.29/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	47.14	+0.64	48.85	45.50	45.66	41.44	49.71	45.14	53.70
2	DAL	45.39	+1.82	40.66	44.04	41.54	50.00	36.98	48.02	56.52
3	KC	44.70	−0.54	47.88	47.65	45.86	39.11	42.94	41.76	47.73
4	DET	43.52	+2.66	37.79	34.08	42.94	40.96	51.65	44.39	52.83
5	BAL	43.17	+0.78	44.83	38.27	39.23	43.43	47.28	42.70	46.43
6	SF	42.95	+1.58	36.61	41.18	41.40	45.25	41.81	47.37	47.06
7	GB	41.67	−1.38	49.09	44.00	36.31	39.66	45.60	43.71	33.33
8	IND	41.28	+1.24	44.51	43.33	29.59	35.53	36.60	50.29	49.09
9	CIN	40.46	+1.41	33.33	42.63	41.24	34.57	43.96	40.56	46.94
10	TB	40.09	−1.26	47.80	44.10	32.31	35.52	47.54	38.80	34.55
11	SEA	39.95	+0.22	43.65	35.26	40.64	38.55	35.26	45.99	40.32
12	LAR	39.36	+0.33	34.24	46.20	33.33	41.08	38.60	46.96	35.09
13	MIN	38.54	+0.08	39.55	39.90	37.13	34.08	41.67	36.41	41.07
14	LAC	38.47	−1.28	38.07	45.76	38.42	34.55	43.17	42.61	26.67
15	ARI	38.46	−0.56	40.22	44.44	32.09	34.81	44.97	36.99	35.71
16	LV	38.19	−1.50	47.09	40.53	42.77	31.84	32.98	26.37	45.76
17	PHI	38.06	−0.20	27.89	42.86	42.47	43.02	44.26	35.75	30.19
18	ATL	37.63	−0.52	45.14	32.40	39.41	31.98	40.70	36.96	36.84
19	MIA	36.91	−0.70	41.21	29.79	38.33	43.55	39.01	36.72	29.79
20	HOU	36.54	+1.16	42.68	26.70	28.79	37.82	36.79	43.01	40.00
21	CHI	36.42	+0.72	38.55	31.84	34.25	37.84	30.05	43.55	38.89
22	JAX	36.41	+2.71	30.46	26.67	39.23	35.38	33.33	42.86	46.94
23	NO	36.06	−0.74	45.00	33.84	31.72	36.73	34.43	32.95	37.74
24	WAS	35.68	+1.17	33.33	34.81	29.44	29.15	49.72	37.72	35.59
25	PIT	35.65	+0.37	36.84	34.16	34.25	29.90	40.53	38.76	35.09
26	NE	35.62	−0.51	36.71	48.00	32.81	21.08	30.73	46.02	33.96
27	CAR	34.87	+1.14	39.88	29.23	34.90	25.00	33.16	34.13	47.83
28	DEN	34.63	+0.28	32.98	36.90	28.86	35.79	38.42	37.37	32.08
29	TEN	32.94	−3.29	48.21	38.92	27.75	32.60	30.57	30.05	22.45
30	NYG	32.81	+1.18	33.73	27.37	37.43	23.50	28.49	39.53	39.62
31	CLE	31.60	−1.63	40.36	31.67	34.81	33.04	22.39	25.64	33.33
32	NYJ	30.11	+1.12	25.84	29.79	29.74	26.19	34.29	30.98	33.96

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
NE	36.71	48.00	32.81	21.08	30.73	46.02	33.96
KC	47.88	47.65	45.86	39.11	42.94	41.76	47.73
LAR	34.24	46.20	33.33	41.08	38.60	46.96	35.09
LAC	38.07	45.76	38.42	34.55	43.17	42.61	26.67
BUF	48.85	45.50	45.66	41.44	49.71	45.14	53.70
ARI	40.22	44.44	32.09	34.81	44.97	36.99	35.71
TB	47.80	44.10	32.31	35.52	47.54	38.80	34.55
DAL	40.66	44.04	41.54	50.00	36.98	48.02	56.52
GB	49.09	44.00	36.31	39.66	45.60	43.71	33.33
IND	44.51	43.33	29.59	35.53	36.60	50.29	49.09
PHI	27.89	42.86	42.47	43.02	44.26	35.75	30.19
CIN	33.33	42.63	41.24	34.57	43.96	40.56	46.94
SF	36.61	41.18	41.40	45.25	41.81	47.37	47.06
LV	47.09	40.53	42.77	31.84	32.98	26.37	45.76
MIN	39.55	39.90	37.13	34.08	41.67	36.41	41.07
TEN	48.21	38.92	27.75	32.60	30.57	30.05	22.45
BAL	44.83	38.27	39.23	43.43	47.28	42.70	46.43
DEN	32.98	36.90	28.86	35.79	38.42	37.37	32.08
SEA	43.65	35.26	40.64	38.55	35.26	45.99	40.32
WAS	33.33	34.81	29.44	29.15	49.72	37.72	35.59
PIT	36.84	34.16	34.25	29.90	40.53	38.76	35.09
DET	37.79	34.08	42.94	40.96	51.65	44.39	52.83
NO	45.00	33.84	31.72	36.73	34.43	32.95	37.74
ATL	45.14	32.40	39.41	31.98	40.70	36.96	36.84
CHI	38.55	31.84	34.25	37.84	30.05	43.55	38.89
CLE	40.36	31.67	34.81	33.04	22.39	25.64	33.33
MIA	41.21	29.79	38.33	43.55	39.01	36.72	29.79
NYJ	25.84	29.79	29.74	26.19	34.29	30.98	33.96
CAR	39.88	29.23	34.90	25.00	33.16	34.13	47.83
NYG	33.73	27.37	37.43	23.50	28.49	39.53	39.62
HOU	42.68	26.70	28.79	37.82	36.79	43.01	40.00
JAX	30.46	26.67	39.23	35.38	33.33	42.86	46.94

Score pct since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (52.02), 2019 Ravens (51.19), 2020 Packers (49.09), 2021 Patriots (48.00).

The best season on record is Chiefs 2018 at 52.02; the worst Cardinals 2018 at 19.15.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_drives_score_pct
Side: offensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.