What Third down att (allowed) is

Third downs forced: the number of third downs opponents faced against this defense. A high count means the defense regularly won first and second down.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Packers led at 11.24; the league average was 12.78.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

GB · 11.24

League average

12.78

Best to worst

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	GB	11.24	17
2	LAC	11.71	17
3	CHI	11.82	17
4	ARI	11.88	17
5	DET	11.88	17
6	NYG	11.94	17
7	LAR	12.12	17
8	BAL	12.18	17
9	LV	12.24	17
10	WAS	12.29	17
11	CLE	12.47	17
12	PIT	12.59	17
13	SF	12.65	17
14	HOU	12.71	17
15	MIN	12.71	17
16	ATL	12.76	17
17	DEN	12.88	17
18	JAX	12.88	17
19	PHI	12.94	17
20	BUF	13	16
21	KC	13	17
22	IND	13.12	17
23	SEA	13.18	17
24	TEN	13.18	17
25	CIN	13.25	16
26	CAR	13.35	17
27	DAL	13.53	17
28	MIA	13.53	17
29	NO	13.76	17
30	TB	13.88	17
31	NE	14	17
32	NYJ	14.24	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

GB · 11.24

League laggard

NYJ · 14.24

League average

12.78

Spread (max − min)

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	GB	11.24	-1.54	100%
2	LAC	11.71	-1.07	96.8%
3	CHI	11.82	-0.95	93.5%
4	ARI	11.88	-0.90	90.3%
5	DET	11.88	-0.90	87.1%
6	NYG	11.94	-0.84	83.9%
7	LAR	12.12	-0.66	80.6%
8	BAL	12.18	-0.60	77.4%
9	LV	12.24	-0.54	74.2%
10	WAS	12.29	-0.48	71%
11	CLE	12.47	-0.31	67.7%
12	PIT	12.59	-0.19	64.5%
13	SF	12.65	-0.13	61.3%
14	HOU	12.71	-0.07	58.1%
15	MIN	12.71	-0.07	54.8%
16	ATL	12.76	-0.01	51.6%
17	DEN	12.88	0.10	48.4%
18	JAX	12.88	0.10	45.2%
19	PHI	12.94	0.16	41.9%
20	BUF	13	0.22	38.7%
21	KC	13	0.22	35.5%
22	IND	13.12	0.34	32.3%
23	SEA	13.18	0.40	29%
24	TEN	13.18	0.40	25.8%
25	CIN	13.25	0.47	22.6%
26	CAR	13.35	0.57	19.4%
27	DAL	13.53	0.75	16.1%
28	MIA	13.53	0.75	12.9%
29	NO	13.76	0.99	9.7%
30	TB	13.88	1.10	6.5%
31	NE	14	1.22	3.2%
32	NYJ	14.24	1.46	0%

Does Third down att (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 815–763–37 ATS (51.6%) across 2020–2025, #194 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (146–118, 55.3%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	132–122–2	52.0%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	132–131–9	50.2%
2025	272	138–131–3	51.3%

Third down att (allowed) in 2022 vs 2021

Packers lead at 11.24 — they ranked #4 last year. Jets are last at 14.24 — #20 last year.

The league average is 12.78, up 0.05 from 12.72 last year.

Biggest riser: Raiders, #30 → #9. Biggest faller: Patriots, #9 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 3; 20 teams are within 0.71 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NE · +1.71

Biggest faller

NYG · −1.29

Most consistent

DET · 0

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▲ 0.05

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	NE	14	12.29	+1.71
2	KC	13	11.65	+1.35
3	NYJ	14.24	12.88	+1.35
4	IND	13.12	12.24	+0.88
5	TEN	13.18	12.35	+0.82
6	HOU	12.71	12	+0.71
7	CAR	13.35	12.71	+0.65
8	TB	13.88	13.29	+0.59
9	DAL	13.53	13	+0.53
10	BUF	13	12.53	+0.47
11	CIN	13.25	12.88	+0.37
12	PHI	12.94	12.65	+0.29
13	BAL	12.18	11.88	+0.29
14	ATL	12.76	12.59	+0.18
15	MIA	13.53	13.35	+0.18
16	MIN	12.71	12.59	+0.12
17	DET	11.88	11.88	0
18	JAX	12.88	12.88	0
19	SEA	13.18	13.18	0
20	DEN	12.88	13.06	−0.18
21	NO	13.76	14	−0.24
22	SF	12.65	12.88	−0.24
23	ARI	11.88	12.18	−0.29
24	CLE	12.47	12.82	−0.35
25	CHI	11.82	12.24	−0.41
26	GB	11.24	11.94	−0.71
27	WAS	12.29	13.24	−0.94
28	LAC	11.71	12.65	−0.94
29	LAR	12.12	13.12	−1
30	PIT	12.59	13.59	−1
31	LV	12.24	13.41	−1.18
32	NYG	11.94	13.24	−1.29

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 11.98

Multi-year laggard

SEA · 13.46

Biggest improver

CHI · −0.38/yr

Biggest decliner

GB · +0.33/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	11.98	−0.38	13.06	12.24	11.82	13.06	12.47	11.24	10
2	ARI	12.01	−0.15	12.63	12.18	11.88	12.06	12.12	11.82	11.40
3	DET	12.12	+0.24	11.81	11.88	11.88	11.88	10.88	12.47	14
4	NYG	12.23	−0.25	12.56	13.24	11.94	12.59	12.65	11.47	11.20
5	MIA	12.33	−0.16	11.44	13.35	13.53	12.59	12.06	12.18	11.20
6	GB	12.37	+0.33	11.56	11.94	11.24	13.24	12.06	12.76	13.80
7	DAL	12.39	−0.37	13.06	13	13.53	12.41	11.94	11.76	11
8	BUF	12.45	+0.06	12	12.53	13	12.53	11.76	11.94	13.40
9	NE	12.52	−0.03	11.44	12.29	14	13.71	12.53	11.71	12
10	LAC	12.56	−0.04	12.63	12.65	11.71	13.65	13.18	11.71	12.40
11	JAX	12.61	−0.07	12.06	12.88	12.88	13.18	13.12	12.76	11.40
12	CIN	12.62	−0.16	13.06	12.88	13.25	12.47	12.18	11.88	12.60
13	LAR	12.62	−0.15	13	13.12	12.12	13.29	12	13.24	11.60
14	SF	12.63	+0.08	12.31	12.88	12.65	12.59	12.65	11.12	14.20
15	KC	12.64	+0.29	11.63	11.65	13	13	12.65	13.06	13.50
16	MIN	12.67	+0.17	11.38	12.59	12.71	13.53	12.76	13.12	12.60
17	HOU	12.75	+0.11	12.50	12	12.71	13.29	12.94	13	12.80
18	CAR	12.78	+0.09	12.25	12.71	13.35	12.47	12.94	12.24	13.50
19	TEN	12.78	−0.11	13.25	12.35	13.18	13.59	12.53	11.76	12.80
20	ATL	12.82	+0.21	12.06	12.59	12.76	13.12	12.41	12.76	14
21	TB	12.83	−0.20	12.75	13.29	13.88	13.29	12.41	11.76	12.40
22	WAS	12.83	−0.07	13.25	13.24	12.29	13.24	12.18	12.41	13.20
23	IND	12.83	−0.06	12.63	12.24	13.12	14.06	13.47	12.71	11.60
24	BAL	12.89	+0.27	11.88	11.88	12.18	14.53	13.35	13.41	13
25	LV	12.91	+0.01	12.63	13.41	12.24	13.29	12.82	13.35	12.60
26	NYJ	12.94	−0.13	12.44	12.88	14.24	14.12	12.47	12.24	12.20
27	NO	12.94	−0.27	12.81	14	13.76	13	13.12	12.29	11.60
28	CLE	13.06	+0.19	12.56	12.82	12.47	13.47	12.94	13.12	14
29	PIT	13.09	−0.19	13.88	13.59	12.59	13.65	11.88	13.82	12.20
30	PHI	13.24	+0.20	13	12.65	12.94	13.76	12.41	13.29	14.60
31	DEN	13.32	+0.18	13.56	13.06	12.88	11.76	13.65	13.94	14.40
32	SEA	13.46	+0.01	13.88	13.18	13.18	13.59	13.12	13.71	13.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
GB	11.56	11.94	11.24	13.24	12.06	12.76	13.80
LAC	12.63	12.65	11.71	13.65	13.18	11.71	12.40
CHI	13.06	12.24	11.82	13.06	12.47	11.24	10
ARI	12.63	12.18	11.88	12.06	12.12	11.82	11.40
DET	11.81	11.88	11.88	11.88	10.88	12.47	14
NYG	12.56	13.24	11.94	12.59	12.65	11.47	11.20
LAR	13	13.12	12.12	13.29	12	13.24	11.60
BAL	11.88	11.88	12.18	14.53	13.35	13.41	13
LV	12.63	13.41	12.24	13.29	12.82	13.35	12.60
WAS	13.25	13.24	12.29	13.24	12.18	12.41	13.20
CLE	12.56	12.82	12.47	13.47	12.94	13.12	14
PIT	13.88	13.59	12.59	13.65	11.88	13.82	12.20
SF	12.31	12.88	12.65	12.59	12.65	11.12	14.20
HOU	12.50	12	12.71	13.29	12.94	13	12.80
MIN	11.38	12.59	12.71	13.53	12.76	13.12	12.60
ATL	12.06	12.59	12.76	13.12	12.41	12.76	14
DEN	13.56	13.06	12.88	11.76	13.65	13.94	14.40
JAX	12.06	12.88	12.88	13.18	13.12	12.76	11.40
PHI	13	12.65	12.94	13.76	12.41	13.29	14.60
BUF	12	12.53	13	12.53	11.76	11.94	13.40
KC	11.63	11.65	13	13	12.65	13.06	13.50
IND	12.63	12.24	13.12	14.06	13.47	12.71	11.60
SEA	13.88	13.18	13.18	13.59	13.12	13.71	13.60
TEN	13.25	12.35	13.18	13.59	12.53	11.76	12.80
CIN	13.06	12.88	13.25	12.47	12.18	11.88	12.60
CAR	12.25	12.71	13.35	12.47	12.94	12.24	13.50
DAL	13.06	13	13.53	12.41	11.94	11.76	11
MIA	11.44	13.35	13.53	12.59	12.06	12.18	11.20
NO	12.81	14	13.76	13	13.12	12.29	11.60
TB	12.75	13.29	13.88	13.29	12.41	11.76	12.40
NE	11.44	12.29	14	13.71	12.53	11.71	12
NYJ	12.44	12.88	14.24	14.12	12.47	12.24	12.20

Third down att (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (11.06), 2019 Seahawks (11.50), 2020 Vikings (11.38), 2021 Chiefs (11.65), 2022 Packers (11.24).

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 11.06; the worst Jets 2022 at 14.24.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_third_down_att
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.