What Third down att (allowed) is

Third downs forced: the number of third downs opponents faced against this defense. A high count means the defense regularly won first and second down.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Broncos led at 11.76; the league average was 13.13.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

DEN · 11.76

League average

13.13

Best to worst

2.76

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	11.76	17
2	DET	11.88	17
3	ARI	12.06	17
4	DAL	12.41	17
5	CAR	12.47	17
6	CIN	12.47	17
7	BUF	12.53	17
8	MIA	12.59	17
9	NYG	12.59	17
10	SF	12.59	17
11	KC	13	17
12	NO	13	17
13	CHI	13.06	17
14	ATL	13.12	17
15	JAX	13.18	17
16	GB	13.24	17
17	WAS	13.24	17
18	HOU	13.29	17
19	LAR	13.29	17
20	LV	13.29	17
21	TB	13.29	17
22	CLE	13.47	17
23	MIN	13.53	17
24	SEA	13.59	17
25	TEN	13.59	17
26	LAC	13.65	17
27	PIT	13.65	17
28	NE	13.71	17
29	PHI	13.76	17
30	IND	14.06	17
31	NYJ	14.12	17
32	BAL	14.53	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 11.76

League laggard

BAL · 14.53

League average

13.13

Spread (max − min)

2.76

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	11.76	-1.36	100%
2	DET	11.88	-1.24	96.8%
3	ARI	12.06	-1.07	93.5%
4	DAL	12.41	-0.71	90.3%
5	CAR	12.47	-0.65	87.1%
6	CIN	12.47	-0.65	83.9%
7	BUF	12.53	-0.60	80.6%
8	MIA	12.59	-0.54	77.4%
9	NYG	12.59	-0.54	74.2%
10	SF	12.59	-0.54	71%
11	KC	13	-0.12	67.7%
12	NO	13	-0.12	64.5%
13	CHI	13.06	-0.07	61.3%
14	ATL	13.12	-0.01	58.1%
15	JAX	13.18	0.05	54.8%
16	GB	13.24	0.11	51.6%
17	WAS	13.24	0.11	48.4%
18	HOU	13.29	0.17	45.2%
19	LAR	13.29	0.17	41.9%
20	LV	13.29	0.17	38.7%
21	TB	13.29	0.17	35.5%
22	CLE	13.47	0.35	32.3%
23	MIN	13.53	0.40	29%
24	SEA	13.59	0.46	25.8%
25	TEN	13.59	0.46	22.6%
26	LAC	13.65	0.52	19.4%
27	PIT	13.65	0.52	16.1%
28	NE	13.71	0.58	12.9%
29	PHI	13.76	0.64	9.7%
30	IND	14.06	0.93	6.5%
31	NYJ	14.12	0.99	3.2%
32	BAL	14.53	1.40	0%

Does Third down att (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 815–763–37 ATS (51.6%) across 2020–2025, #194 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (146–118, 55.3%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	132–122–2	52.0%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	132–131–9	50.2%
2025	272	138–131–3	51.3%

Third down att (allowed) in 2023 vs 2022

Broncos lead at 11.76 — they ranked #17 last year. Ravens are last at 14.53 — #8 last year.

The league average is 13.13, up 0.35 from 12.78 last year.

Biggest riser: Cowboys, #27 → #4. Biggest faller: Chargers, #2 → #26.

Spread between first and last: 2.76; 23 teams are within 0.64 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +2.35

Biggest faller

DEN · −1.12

Most consistent

DET · 0

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▲ 0.35

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	BAL	14.53	12.18	+2.35
2	GB	13.24	11.24	+2
3	LAC	13.65	11.71	+1.94
4	CHI	13.06	11.82	+1.24
5	LAR	13.29	12.12	+1.18
6	LV	13.29	12.24	+1.06
7	PIT	13.65	12.59	+1.06
8	CLE	13.47	12.47	+1
9	IND	14.06	13.12	+0.94
10	WAS	13.24	12.29	+0.94
11	MIN	13.53	12.71	+0.82
12	PHI	13.76	12.94	+0.82
13	NYG	12.59	11.94	+0.65
14	HOU	13.29	12.71	+0.59
15	SEA	13.59	13.18	+0.41
16	TEN	13.59	13.18	+0.41
17	ATL	13.12	12.76	+0.35
18	JAX	13.18	12.88	+0.29
19	ARI	12.06	11.88	+0.18
20	DET	11.88	11.88	0
21	KC	13	13	0
22	SF	12.59	12.65	−0.06
23	NYJ	14.12	14.24	−0.12
24	NE	13.71	14	−0.29
25	BUF	12.53	13	−0.47
26	TB	13.29	13.88	−0.59
27	NO	13	13.76	−0.76
28	CIN	12.47	13.25	−0.78
29	CAR	12.47	13.35	−0.88
30	MIA	12.59	13.53	−0.94
31	DAL	12.41	13.53	−1.12
32	DEN	11.76	12.88	−1.12

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 11.98

Multi-year laggard

SEA · 13.46

Biggest improver

CHI · −0.38/yr

Biggest decliner

GB · +0.33/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	11.98	−0.38	13.06	12.24	11.82	13.06	12.47	11.24	10
2	ARI	12.01	−0.15	12.63	12.18	11.88	12.06	12.12	11.82	11.40
3	DET	12.12	+0.24	11.81	11.88	11.88	11.88	10.88	12.47	14
4	NYG	12.23	−0.25	12.56	13.24	11.94	12.59	12.65	11.47	11.20
5	MIA	12.33	−0.16	11.44	13.35	13.53	12.59	12.06	12.18	11.20
6	GB	12.37	+0.33	11.56	11.94	11.24	13.24	12.06	12.76	13.80
7	DAL	12.39	−0.37	13.06	13	13.53	12.41	11.94	11.76	11
8	BUF	12.45	+0.06	12	12.53	13	12.53	11.76	11.94	13.40
9	NE	12.52	−0.03	11.44	12.29	14	13.71	12.53	11.71	12
10	LAC	12.56	−0.04	12.63	12.65	11.71	13.65	13.18	11.71	12.40
11	JAX	12.61	−0.07	12.06	12.88	12.88	13.18	13.12	12.76	11.40
12	CIN	12.62	−0.16	13.06	12.88	13.25	12.47	12.18	11.88	12.60
13	LAR	12.62	−0.15	13	13.12	12.12	13.29	12	13.24	11.60
14	SF	12.63	+0.08	12.31	12.88	12.65	12.59	12.65	11.12	14.20
15	KC	12.64	+0.29	11.63	11.65	13	13	12.65	13.06	13.50
16	MIN	12.67	+0.17	11.38	12.59	12.71	13.53	12.76	13.12	12.60
17	HOU	12.75	+0.11	12.50	12	12.71	13.29	12.94	13	12.80
18	CAR	12.78	+0.09	12.25	12.71	13.35	12.47	12.94	12.24	13.50
19	TEN	12.78	−0.11	13.25	12.35	13.18	13.59	12.53	11.76	12.80
20	ATL	12.82	+0.21	12.06	12.59	12.76	13.12	12.41	12.76	14
21	TB	12.83	−0.20	12.75	13.29	13.88	13.29	12.41	11.76	12.40
22	WAS	12.83	−0.07	13.25	13.24	12.29	13.24	12.18	12.41	13.20
23	IND	12.83	−0.06	12.63	12.24	13.12	14.06	13.47	12.71	11.60
24	BAL	12.89	+0.27	11.88	11.88	12.18	14.53	13.35	13.41	13
25	LV	12.91	+0.01	12.63	13.41	12.24	13.29	12.82	13.35	12.60
26	NYJ	12.94	−0.13	12.44	12.88	14.24	14.12	12.47	12.24	12.20
27	NO	12.94	−0.27	12.81	14	13.76	13	13.12	12.29	11.60
28	CLE	13.06	+0.19	12.56	12.82	12.47	13.47	12.94	13.12	14
29	PIT	13.09	−0.19	13.88	13.59	12.59	13.65	11.88	13.82	12.20
30	PHI	13.24	+0.20	13	12.65	12.94	13.76	12.41	13.29	14.60
31	DEN	13.32	+0.18	13.56	13.06	12.88	11.76	13.65	13.94	14.40
32	SEA	13.46	+0.01	13.88	13.18	13.18	13.59	13.12	13.71	13.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DEN	13.56	13.06	12.88	11.76	13.65	13.94	14.40
DET	11.81	11.88	11.88	11.88	10.88	12.47	14
ARI	12.63	12.18	11.88	12.06	12.12	11.82	11.40
DAL	13.06	13	13.53	12.41	11.94	11.76	11
CAR	12.25	12.71	13.35	12.47	12.94	12.24	13.50
CIN	13.06	12.88	13.25	12.47	12.18	11.88	12.60
BUF	12	12.53	13	12.53	11.76	11.94	13.40
MIA	11.44	13.35	13.53	12.59	12.06	12.18	11.20
NYG	12.56	13.24	11.94	12.59	12.65	11.47	11.20
SF	12.31	12.88	12.65	12.59	12.65	11.12	14.20
KC	11.63	11.65	13	13	12.65	13.06	13.50
NO	12.81	14	13.76	13	13.12	12.29	11.60
CHI	13.06	12.24	11.82	13.06	12.47	11.24	10
ATL	12.06	12.59	12.76	13.12	12.41	12.76	14
JAX	12.06	12.88	12.88	13.18	13.12	12.76	11.40
GB	11.56	11.94	11.24	13.24	12.06	12.76	13.80
WAS	13.25	13.24	12.29	13.24	12.18	12.41	13.20
HOU	12.50	12	12.71	13.29	12.94	13	12.80
LV	12.63	13.41	12.24	13.29	12.82	13.35	12.60
LAR	13	13.12	12.12	13.29	12	13.24	11.60
TB	12.75	13.29	13.88	13.29	12.41	11.76	12.40
CLE	12.56	12.82	12.47	13.47	12.94	13.12	14
MIN	11.38	12.59	12.71	13.53	12.76	13.12	12.60
SEA	13.88	13.18	13.18	13.59	13.12	13.71	13.60
TEN	13.25	12.35	13.18	13.59	12.53	11.76	12.80
LAC	12.63	12.65	11.71	13.65	13.18	11.71	12.40
PIT	13.88	13.59	12.59	13.65	11.88	13.82	12.20
NE	11.44	12.29	14	13.71	12.53	11.71	12
PHI	13	12.65	12.94	13.76	12.41	13.29	14.60
IND	12.63	12.24	13.12	14.06	13.47	12.71	11.60
NYJ	12.44	12.88	14.24	14.12	12.47	12.24	12.20
BAL	11.88	11.88	12.18	14.53	13.35	13.41	13

Third down att (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (11.06), 2019 Seahawks (11.50), 2020 Vikings (11.38), 2021 Chiefs (11.65), 2022 Packers (11.24), 2023 Broncos (11.76).

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 11.06; the worst Ravens 2023 at 14.53.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_third_down_att
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.