What Third down att (allowed) is

Third downs forced: the number of third downs opponents faced against this defense. A high count means the defense regularly won first and second down.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Buccaneers led at 11.06; the league average was 12.50.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

TB · 11.06

League average

12.50

Best to worst

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	TB	11.06	16
2	CAR	11.38	16
3	SEA	11.44	16
4	DET	11.63	16
5	LAR	11.69	16
6	NO	11.69	16
7	MIA	12	16
8	MIN	12	16
9	KC	12.06	16
10	ATL	12.13	16
11	WAS	12.19	16
12	PIT	12.25	16
13	NE	12.31	16
14	LV	12.38	16
15	DAL	12.44	16
16	IND	12.44	16
17	BUF	12.50	16
18	LAC	12.56	16
19	PHI	12.56	16
20	ARI	12.69	16
21	NYG	12.75	16
22	TEN	12.75	16
23	CLE	13.06	16
24	GB	13.06	16
25	DEN	13.13	16
26	NYJ	13.13	16
27	SF	13.19	16
28	BAL	13.25	16
29	JAX	13.25	16
30	CHI	13.56	16
31	CIN	13.56	16
32	HOU	14.06	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

TB · 11.06

League laggard

HOU · 14.06

League average

12.50

Spread (max − min)

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	TB	11.06	-1.44	100%
2	CAR	11.38	-1.13	96.8%
3	SEA	11.44	-1.07	93.5%
4	DET	11.63	-0.88	90.3%
5	LAR	11.69	-0.82	87.1%
6	NO	11.69	-0.82	83.9%
7	MIA	12	-0.50	80.6%
8	MIN	12	-0.50	77.4%
9	KC	12.06	-0.44	74.2%
10	ATL	12.13	-0.38	71%
11	WAS	12.19	-0.32	67.7%
12	PIT	12.25	-0.25	64.5%
13	NE	12.31	-0.19	61.3%
14	LV	12.38	-0.13	58.1%
15	DAL	12.44	-0.07	54.8%
16	IND	12.44	-0.07	51.6%
17	BUF	12.50	0.00	48.4%
18	LAC	12.56	0.06	45.2%
19	PHI	12.56	0.06	41.9%
20	ARI	12.69	0.18	38.7%
21	NYG	12.75	0.25	35.5%
22	TEN	12.75	0.25	32.3%
23	CLE	13.06	0.56	29%
24	GB	13.06	0.56	25.8%
25	DEN	13.13	0.62	22.6%
26	NYJ	13.13	0.62	19.4%
27	SF	13.19	0.68	16.1%
28	BAL	13.25	0.75	12.9%
29	JAX	13.25	0.75	9.7%
30	CHI	13.56	1.06	6.5%
31	CIN	13.56	1.06	3.2%
32	HOU	14.06	1.56	0%

Does Third down att (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 815–763–37 ATS (51.6%) across 2020–2025, #194 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (146–118, 55.3%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	132–122–2	52.0%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	132–131–9	50.2%
2025	272	138–131–3	51.3%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 11.98

Multi-year laggard

SEA · 13.46

Biggest improver

CHI · −0.38/yr

Biggest decliner

GB · +0.33/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	11.98	−0.38	13.06	12.24	11.82	13.06	12.47	11.24	10
2	ARI	12.01	−0.15	12.63	12.18	11.88	12.06	12.12	11.82	11.40
3	DET	12.12	+0.24	11.81	11.88	11.88	11.88	10.88	12.47	14
4	NYG	12.23	−0.25	12.56	13.24	11.94	12.59	12.65	11.47	11.20
5	MIA	12.33	−0.16	11.44	13.35	13.53	12.59	12.06	12.18	11.20
6	GB	12.37	+0.33	11.56	11.94	11.24	13.24	12.06	12.76	13.80
7	DAL	12.39	−0.37	13.06	13	13.53	12.41	11.94	11.76	11
8	BUF	12.45	+0.06	12	12.53	13	12.53	11.76	11.94	13.40
9	NE	12.52	−0.03	11.44	12.29	14	13.71	12.53	11.71	12
10	LAC	12.56	−0.04	12.63	12.65	11.71	13.65	13.18	11.71	12.40
11	JAX	12.61	−0.07	12.06	12.88	12.88	13.18	13.12	12.76	11.40
12	CIN	12.62	−0.16	13.06	12.88	13.25	12.47	12.18	11.88	12.60
13	LAR	12.62	−0.15	13	13.12	12.12	13.29	12	13.24	11.60
14	SF	12.63	+0.08	12.31	12.88	12.65	12.59	12.65	11.12	14.20
15	KC	12.64	+0.29	11.63	11.65	13	13	12.65	13.06	13.50
16	MIN	12.67	+0.17	11.38	12.59	12.71	13.53	12.76	13.12	12.60
17	HOU	12.75	+0.11	12.50	12	12.71	13.29	12.94	13	12.80
18	CAR	12.78	+0.09	12.25	12.71	13.35	12.47	12.94	12.24	13.50
19	TEN	12.78	−0.11	13.25	12.35	13.18	13.59	12.53	11.76	12.80
20	ATL	12.82	+0.21	12.06	12.59	12.76	13.12	12.41	12.76	14
21	TB	12.83	−0.20	12.75	13.29	13.88	13.29	12.41	11.76	12.40
22	WAS	12.83	−0.07	13.25	13.24	12.29	13.24	12.18	12.41	13.20
23	IND	12.83	−0.06	12.63	12.24	13.12	14.06	13.47	12.71	11.60
24	BAL	12.89	+0.27	11.88	11.88	12.18	14.53	13.35	13.41	13
25	LV	12.91	+0.01	12.63	13.41	12.24	13.29	12.82	13.35	12.60
26	NYJ	12.94	−0.13	12.44	12.88	14.24	14.12	12.47	12.24	12.20
27	NO	12.94	−0.27	12.81	14	13.76	13	13.12	12.29	11.60
28	CLE	13.06	+0.19	12.56	12.82	12.47	13.47	12.94	13.12	14
29	PIT	13.09	−0.19	13.88	13.59	12.59	13.65	11.88	13.82	12.20
30	PHI	13.24	+0.20	13	12.65	12.94	13.76	12.41	13.29	14.60
31	DEN	13.32	+0.18	13.56	13.06	12.88	11.76	13.65	13.94	14.40
32	SEA	13.46	+0.01	13.88	13.18	13.18	13.59	13.12	13.71	13.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CHI	13.06	12.24	11.82	13.06	12.47	11.24	10
DAL	13.06	13	13.53	12.41	11.94	11.76	11
MIA	11.44	13.35	13.53	12.59	12.06	12.18	11.20
NYG	12.56	13.24	11.94	12.59	12.65	11.47	11.20
ARI	12.63	12.18	11.88	12.06	12.12	11.82	11.40
JAX	12.06	12.88	12.88	13.18	13.12	12.76	11.40
IND	12.63	12.24	13.12	14.06	13.47	12.71	11.60
LAR	13	13.12	12.12	13.29	12	13.24	11.60
NO	12.81	14	13.76	13	13.12	12.29	11.60
NE	11.44	12.29	14	13.71	12.53	11.71	12
NYJ	12.44	12.88	14.24	14.12	12.47	12.24	12.20
PIT	13.88	13.59	12.59	13.65	11.88	13.82	12.20
LAC	12.63	12.65	11.71	13.65	13.18	11.71	12.40
TB	12.75	13.29	13.88	13.29	12.41	11.76	12.40
CIN	13.06	12.88	13.25	12.47	12.18	11.88	12.60
LV	12.63	13.41	12.24	13.29	12.82	13.35	12.60
MIN	11.38	12.59	12.71	13.53	12.76	13.12	12.60
HOU	12.50	12	12.71	13.29	12.94	13	12.80
TEN	13.25	12.35	13.18	13.59	12.53	11.76	12.80
BAL	11.88	11.88	12.18	14.53	13.35	13.41	13
WAS	13.25	13.24	12.29	13.24	12.18	12.41	13.20
BUF	12	12.53	13	12.53	11.76	11.94	13.40
CAR	12.25	12.71	13.35	12.47	12.94	12.24	13.50
KC	11.63	11.65	13	13	12.65	13.06	13.50
SEA	13.88	13.18	13.18	13.59	13.12	13.71	13.60
GB	11.56	11.94	11.24	13.24	12.06	12.76	13.80
ATL	12.06	12.59	12.76	13.12	12.41	12.76	14
CLE	12.56	12.82	12.47	13.47	12.94	13.12	14
DET	11.81	11.88	11.88	11.88	10.88	12.47	14
SF	12.31	12.88	12.65	12.59	12.65	11.12	14.20
DEN	13.56	13.06	12.88	11.76	13.65	13.94	14.40
PHI	13	12.65	12.94	13.76	12.41	13.29	14.60

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_third_down_att
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.