Green Bay Packers — Red zone pct (allowed), 2026

Value73.68
Rank#25 of 32
League average63.67
Rank in 2025#22 of 32

Green Bay Packers — every stat for 2026, ranked →

What Red zone pct (allowed) is

Red-zone touchdown rate allowed: opponent red-zone trips that ended in a touchdown, divided by their red-zone trips, as a percentage. Holding an opponent to three instead of seven, every time they get close.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Vikings lead at 31.25; the league average is 63.67.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

MIN · 31.25

League average

63.67

Best to worst

53.75

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	MIN	31.25	5
2	JAX	38.89	5
3	CIN	47.62	5
4	NYJ	52.63	5
5	SF	53.33	5
6	ATL	54.55	5
7	BAL	55.00	5
8	LAC	56.00	5
9	TB	56.25	5
10	PHI	56.52	5
11	CLE	57.89	5
12	KC	58.33	4
13	DEN	60.00	5
14	TEN	62.50	5
15	LAR	63.16	5
16	PIT	64.29	5
17	CHI	64.71	5
18	HOU	64.71	5
19	NE	64.71	5
20	MIA	65.22	5
21	DAL	66.67	5
22	NO	69.23	5
23	IND	71.43	5
24	SEA	71.43	5
25	GB	73.68	5
26	NYG	73.68	5
27	LV	77.27	5
28	BUF	78.26	5
29	CAR	80.00	4
30	DET	80.00	5
31	ARI	83.33	5
32	WAS	85.00	5

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIN · 31.25

League laggard

WAS · 85.00

League average

63.67

Spread (max − min)

53.75

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	MIN	31.25	-32.42	100%
2	JAX	38.89	-24.78	96.8%
3	CIN	47.62	-16.05	93.5%
4	NYJ	52.63	-11.04	90.3%
5	SF	53.33	-10.34	87.1%
6	ATL	54.55	-9.13	83.9%
7	BAL	55.00	-8.67	80.6%
8	LAC	56.00	-7.67	77.4%
9	TB	56.25	-7.42	74.2%
10	PHI	56.52	-7.15	71%
11	CLE	57.89	-5.78	67.7%
12	KC	58.33	-5.34	64.5%
13	DEN	60.00	-3.67	61.3%
14	TEN	62.50	-1.17	58.1%
15	LAR	63.16	-0.52	54.8%
16	PIT	64.29	0.61	51.6%
17	CHI	64.71	1.03	48.4%
18	HOU	64.71	1.03	45.2%
19	NE	64.71	1.03	41.9%
20	MIA	65.22	1.54	38.7%
21	DAL	66.67	2.99	35.5%
22	NO	69.23	5.56	32.3%
23	IND	71.43	7.76	29%
24	SEA	71.43	7.76	25.8%
25	GB	73.68	10.01	22.6%
26	NYG	73.68	10.01	19.4%
27	LV	77.27	13.60	16.1%
28	BUF	78.26	14.59	12.9%
29	CAR	80.00	16.33	9.7%
30	DET	80.00	16.33	6.5%
31	ARI	83.33	19.66	3.2%
32	WAS	85.00	21.33	0%

Does Red zone pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 813–765–37 ATS (51.5%) across 2020–2025, #201 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (149–115, 56.4%); its worst 2023 (119–139, 46.1%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	140–114–2	55.1%
2021	272	134–136–2	49.6%
2022	271	149–115–7	56.4%
2023	272	119–139–14	46.1%
2024	272	130–133–9	49.4%
2025	272	141–128–3	52.4%

Red zone pct (allowed) in 2026 vs 2025

Vikings lead at 31.25 — they ranked #1 last year. Commanders are last at 85.00 — #30 last year.

The league average is 63.67, up 3.03 from 60.64 last year.

Biggest riser: Jets, #29 → #4. Biggest faller: Seahawks, #4 → #24.

Spread between first and last: 53.75; 23 teams are within 12.11 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CAR · +22.03

Biggest faller

JAX · −26.63

Most consistent

CHI · +0.32

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▲ 3.03

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	CAR	80.00	57.97	+22.03
2	SEA	71.43	50.00	+21.43
3	LV	77.27	57.14	+20.13
4	ARI	83.33	64.20	+19.14
5	IND	71.43	54.05	+17.37
6	WAS	85.00	68.92	+16.08
7	DEN	60.00	47.54	+12.46
8	DET	80.00	68.12	+11.88
9	LAR	63.16	52.31	+10.85
10	NO	69.23	58.73	+10.50
11	BUF	78.26	68.25	+10.01
12	GB	73.68	64.41	+9.28
13	NYG	73.68	64.79	+8.90
14	PIT	64.29	57.14	+7.14
15	LAC	56.00	50.00	+6.00
16	KC	58.33	54.24	+4.10
17	HOU	64.71	61.82	+2.89
18	BAL	55.00	53.25	+1.75
19	MIA	65.22	64.00	+1.22
20	CHI	64.71	64.38	+0.32
21	NE	64.71	66.67	−1.96
22	PHI	56.52	58.93	−2.41
23	CLE	57.89	61.54	−3.64
24	TEN	62.50	67.11	−4.61
25	ATL	54.55	59.70	−5.16
26	DAL	66.67	71.95	−5.28
27	SF	53.33	60.00	−6.67
28	TB	56.25	70.77	−14.52
29	MIN	31.25	45.90	−14.65
30	CIN	47.62	62.96	−15.34
31	NYJ	52.63	68.29	−15.66
32	JAX	38.89	65.52	−26.63

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

MIN · 53.94

Multi-year laggard

DET · 67.50

Biggest improver

MIN · −4.03/yr

Biggest decliner

WAS · +3.64/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	MIN	53.94	−4.03	60.24	59.46	60.87	57.81	62.07	45.90	31.25
2	BAL	54.46	−0.85	60.71	62.86	48.44	40.00	60.94	53.25	55.00
3	DEN	54.48	+0.40	53.01	53.23	52.54	60.81	54.24	47.54	60.00
4	LAR	55.25	+1.41	53.70	52.24	47.95	58.46	58.90	52.31	63.16
5	PIT	57.95	+0.02	62.50	55.26	62.07	50.79	53.62	57.14	64.29
6	NYJ	58.38	−0.70	63.29	64.77	51.79	50.77	57.14	68.29	52.63
7	NYG	58.84	+3.27	53.62	51.22	51.39	61.64	55.56	64.79	73.68
8	LAC	59.16	−2.08	63.01	64.00	64.62	61.11	55.36	50.00	56.00
9	NE	59.35	+1.25	66.10	48.33	60.32	46.48	62.86	66.67	64.71
10	SF	59.41	−0.20	59.38	59.72	58.49	54.55	70.42	60.00	53.33
11	NO	59.43	+0.85	67.24	51.61	55.17	55.17	58.82	58.73	69.23
12	MIA	59.57	+0.84	59.38	56.52	59.72	61.43	50.75	64.00	65.22
13	TB	59.69	+0.27	61.90	53.62	67.21	50.75	57.35	70.77	56.25
14	SEA	59.73	+0.15	62.12	55.56	64.18	63.38	51.43	50.00	71.43
15	CIN	59.79	−1.29	66.18	63.08	51.72	55.56	71.43	62.96	47.62
16	ATL	60.14	−1.55	69.01	62.96	58.82	50.72	65.22	59.70	54.55
17	TEN	60.31	+0.04	69.23	57.58	60.94	41.67	63.16	67.11	62.50
18	KC	60.40	−2.53	73.33	61.43	69.35	48.33	57.81	54.24	58.33
19	PHI	60.61	−1.98	68.12	66.67	56.06	67.12	50.82	58.93	56.52
20	JAX	61.06	−3.13	69.51	65.33	60.00	64.18	64.00	65.52	38.89
21	CHI	61.20	+0.35	58.21	61.64	65.85	62.90	50.70	64.38	64.71
22	HOU	62.74	−0.16	67.50	66.25	54.93	56.25	67.74	61.82	64.71
23	BUF	62.90	+2.47	67.69	53.57	51.67	61.11	59.72	68.25	78.26
24	GB	63.20	+1.04	60.00	70.97	58.82	54.55	60.00	64.41	73.68
25	CLE	63.28	−1.02	66.22	65.63	60.87	65.52	65.33	61.54	57.89
26	ARI	63.77	+2.80	55.71	61.54	64.94	61.45	55.22	64.20	83.33
27	IND	64.27	−0.16	64.06	66.67	66.18	62.69	64.79	54.05	71.43
28	CAR	64.85	+1.31	67.16	62.12	59.15	61.97	65.56	57.97	80.00
29	DAL	65.00	+1.56	65.43	61.67	54.24	61.40	73.61	71.95	66.67
30	WAS	66.14	+3.64	60.00	60.76	57.14	63.53	67.65	68.92	85.00
31	LV	66.72	−0.13	60.47	80.00	68.18	64.29	59.72	57.14	77.27
32	DET	67.50	+0.47	73.03	68.49	62.34	65.15	55.38	68.12	80.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	60.24	59.46	60.87	57.81	62.07	45.90	31.25
JAX	69.51	65.33	60.00	64.18	64.00	65.52	38.89
CIN	66.18	63.08	51.72	55.56	71.43	62.96	47.62
NYJ	63.29	64.77	51.79	50.77	57.14	68.29	52.63
SF	59.38	59.72	58.49	54.55	70.42	60.00	53.33
ATL	69.01	62.96	58.82	50.72	65.22	59.70	54.55
BAL	60.71	62.86	48.44	40.00	60.94	53.25	55.00
LAC	63.01	64.00	64.62	61.11	55.36	50.00	56.00
TB	61.90	53.62	67.21	50.75	57.35	70.77	56.25
PHI	68.12	66.67	56.06	67.12	50.82	58.93	56.52
CLE	66.22	65.63	60.87	65.52	65.33	61.54	57.89
KC	73.33	61.43	69.35	48.33	57.81	54.24	58.33
DEN	53.01	53.23	52.54	60.81	54.24	47.54	60.00
TEN	69.23	57.58	60.94	41.67	63.16	67.11	62.50
LAR	53.70	52.24	47.95	58.46	58.90	52.31	63.16
PIT	62.50	55.26	62.07	50.79	53.62	57.14	64.29
CHI	58.21	61.64	65.85	62.90	50.70	64.38	64.71
HOU	67.50	66.25	54.93	56.25	67.74	61.82	64.71
NE	66.10	48.33	60.32	46.48	62.86	66.67	64.71
MIA	59.38	56.52	59.72	61.43	50.75	64.00	65.22
DAL	65.43	61.67	54.24	61.40	73.61	71.95	66.67
NO	67.24	51.61	55.17	55.17	58.82	58.73	69.23
IND	64.06	66.67	66.18	62.69	64.79	54.05	71.43
SEA	62.12	55.56	64.18	63.38	51.43	50.00	71.43
GB	60.00	70.97	58.82	54.55	60.00	64.41	73.68
NYG	53.62	51.22	51.39	61.64	55.56	64.79	73.68
LV	60.47	80.00	68.18	64.29	59.72	57.14	77.27
BUF	67.69	53.57	51.67	61.11	59.72	68.25	78.26
CAR	67.16	62.12	59.15	61.97	65.56	57.97	80.00
DET	73.03	68.49	62.34	65.15	55.38	68.12	80.00
ARI	55.71	61.54	64.94	61.45	55.22	64.20	83.33
WAS	60.00	60.76	57.14	63.53	67.65	68.92	85.00

Red zone pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Vikings (45.16), 2019 Broncos (46.67), 2020 Broncos (53.01), 2021 Patriots (48.33), 2022 Rams (47.95), 2023 Ravens (40.00), 2024 Bears (50.70), 2025 Vikings (45.90), 2026 Vikings (31.25).

Vikings have led this stat 3 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Vikings 2026 at 31.25; the worst Commanders 2026 at 85.00.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_red_zone_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.