Algorithm picks and results

Every game the site's own algorithm has an opinion on: its rating for each team, the market number, the side it takes and how that turned out.

Its record

  • 58.6%2023–2026Replayed against each full season467-330-19 against the spread
  • 53.8%2023–2026Picking week to week, knowing only what was known then469-403-23 against the spread
  • 58.7%2026Picking week to week, knowing only what was known then44-31-4 against the spread

The two numbers cover the same games. The higher one replays the algorithm against each season in full; the lower is it picking week to week with only what was known at the time. Break-even against the spread is 52.4% after the standard vig.

The record, drawn

Against the spread, by season

Picking week to week with only what was known at the time — the seasons this algorithm has actually been live for.

Week by week

Each week on its own, as a rate rather than a count of wins — a sixteen-game week and a bye-shortened one are comparable this way.

How much it wins and loses by

Every graded game, by how far it beat or missed the number. A percentage says how often; this says by how much — a record built on half-point escapes and one built on comfortable margins read identically until you draw them.

2026 picks are the algorithm's own, made before each game and graded on the closing spread.

Week 1
NENew England Patriots3-210
SEASeattle Seahawks3-213
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -3Total 44.5
NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-027
LARLos Angeles Rams2-37
FinalSF covered
Vegas LAR -3.5Total 47.5
SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)
CHIChicago Bears3-259
CARCarolina Panthers2-237
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3Total 47.5
CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)CAR 30.3 scored (4th) · 27.3 allowed (26th)
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-427
CINCincinnati Bengals3-233
FinalCIN covered
Vegas CIN -3.5Total 50.5
TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)
NONew Orleans Saints1-430
DETDetroit Lions3-231
FinalNO covered
Vegas DET -7Total 49.5
NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)
BUFBuffalo Bills4-136
HOUHouston Texans1-431
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -1.5Total 44.5
BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-141
INDIndianapolis Colts2-323
FinalBAL covered
Vegas BAL -3Total 48.5
BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)
CLECleveland Browns3-210
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-134
FinalJAX covered
Vegas JAX -8.5Total 40.5
CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-313
PITPittsburgh Steelers3-220
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -6.5Total 40.5
ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)
NYJNew York Jets2-323
TENTennessee Titans0-510
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas TEN -1.5Total 39.5
NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)
ARIArizona Cardinals1-426
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-514
FinalARI covered
Vegas LAC -8.5Total 47.5
ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)
MIAMiami Dolphins0-513
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-227
FinalLV covered
Vegas LV -3Total 40.5
MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)
GBGreen Bay Packers3-222
MINMinnesota Vikings5-039
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -1.5Total 46.5
GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)
WASWashington Commanders1-3-122
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-324
FinalWAS covered
Vegas PHI -6Total 43.5
WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)
DALDallas Cowboys2-320
NYGNew York Giants3-1-128
FinalNYG covered
Vegas DAL -3Total 47.5
DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)
DENDenver Broncos3-210
KCKansas City Chiefs4-031
FinalKC covered
Vegas KC -2.5Total 42.5
DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)KC 29.5 scored (5th) · 19.3 allowed (7th)
Week 2
DETDetroit Lions3-231
BUFBuffalo Bills4-141
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -5.5Total 54.5
DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)
CARCarolina Panthers2-234
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-33
FinalCAR covered
Vegas CAR -2.5Total 43.5
CAR 30.3 scored (4th) · 27.3 allowed (26th)ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)
NONew Orleans Saints1-424
BALBaltimore Ravens4-117
FinalNO covered
Vegas BAL -8.5Total 45.5
NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)
MINMinnesota Vikings5-09
CHIChicago Bears3-23
FinalMIN covered
Vegas CHI -4.5Total 46.5
MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)
CINCincinnati Bengals3-220
HOUHouston Texans1-46
FinalCIN covered
Vegas HOU -3Total 45.5
CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)
PITPittsburgh Steelers3-23
NENew England Patriots3-220
FinalNE covered
Vegas NE -4.5Total 41.5
PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)
GBGreen Bay Packers3-220
NYJNew York Jets2-317
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas GB -3.5Total 44.5
GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)
CLECleveland Browns3-223
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-419
FinalCLE covered
Vegas TB -8.5Total 41.5
CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-324
TENTennessee Titans0-520
FinalTEN covered
Vegas PHI -7Total 39.5
PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-113
DENDenver Broncos3-220
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -2.5Total 45.5
JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-226
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-514
FinalLV covered
Vegas LAC -6.5Total 43.5
LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)
SEASeattle Seahawks3-231
ARIArizona Cardinals1-47
FinalSEA covered
Vegas SEA -3.5Total 40.5
SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)
WASWashington Commanders1-3-120
DALDallas Cowboys2-337
FinalDAL covered
Vegas DAL -3.5Total 51.5
WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)
MIAMiami Dolphins0-513
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-035
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -12.5Total 44.5
MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-330
KCKansas City Chiefs4-033
FinalIND covered
Vegas KC -6Total 46.5
IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)KC 29.5 scored (5th) · 19.3 allowed (7th)
NYGNew York Giants3-1-16
LARLos Angeles Rams2-328
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -6.5Total 47.5
NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)
Week 3
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-335
GBGreen Bay Packers3-214
FinalATL covered
Vegas GB -4.5GB -6 → GB -4.5Total 43.5
Power rating ATL 97.9 (28th) · GB 100.5 (14th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-516
BUFBuffalo Bills4-124
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 50.5
Power rating LAC 100.1 (18th) · BUF 103.8 (2nd)
Algorithm took LAC — wrong
LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)
CARCarolina Panthers2-218
CLECleveland Browns3-221
FinalCLE covered
Vegas CAR -2.5Total 41.5
Power rating CAR 98.9 (21st) · CLE 97.9 (29th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
CAR 30.3 scored (4th) · 27.3 allowed (26th)CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)
NYJNew York Jets2-324
DETDetroit Lions3-231
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas DET -7DET -6.5 → DET -7Total 49.5
Power rating NYJ 95.7 (32nd) · DET 102.2 (5th)
Algorithm took DET — correct
NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)
HOUHouston Texans1-417
INDIndianapolis Colts2-319
FinalIND covered
Vegas HOU -1.5HOU -2.5 → HOU -1.5Total 41.5
Power rating HOU 101.2 (11th) · IND 101.3 (10th)
Algorithm took IND — correct
HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)
NENew England Patriots3-26
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-135
FinalJAX covered
Vegas JAX -3JAX -2.5 → JAX -3Total 44.5
Power rating NE 102.8 (4th) · JAX 102.1 (6th)
Algorithm took NE — wrong
NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)
KCKansas City Chiefs4-024
MIAMiami Dolphins0-510
FinalKC covered
Vegas KC -10KC -11.5 → KC -10Total 45.5
Power rating KC 101.3 (9th) · MIA 98.1 (26th)
Algorithm took MIA — wrong
KC 29.5 scored (5th) · 19.3 allowed (7th)MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)
TENTennessee Titans0-57
NYGNew York Giants3-1-112
FinalNYG covered
Vegas NYG -2.5NYG -3.5 → NYG -2.5Total 37.5
Power rating TEN 95.8 (31st) · NYG 98.9 (20th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)
CINCincinnati Bengals3-227
PITPittsburgh Steelers3-230
FinalPIT covered
Vegas CIN -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating CIN 98.0 (27th) · PIT 98.5 (23rd)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)
SEASeattle Seahawks3-231
WASWashington Commanders1-3-133
FinalWAS covered
Vegas SEA -8.5SEA -7 → SEA -8.5Total 40.5
Power rating SEA 103.6 (3rd) · WAS 98.2 (24th)
Algorithm took WAS — correct
SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)
ARIArizona Cardinals1-430
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-036
FinalARI covered
Vegas SF -7.5SF -8.5 → SF -7.5Total 48.5
Power rating ARI 98.1 (25th) · SF 101.6 (7th)
Algorithm took ARI — correct
ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)
MINMinnesota Vikings5-023
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-416
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -1.5Total 42.5
Power rating MIN 100.3 (17th) · TB 98.5 (22nd)
Algorithm took TB — wrong
MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-134
DALDallas Cowboys2-331
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas BAL -3Total 53.5
Power rating BAL 101.1 (12th) · DAL 100.3 (16th)
Algorithm took DAL — push
BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-235
NONew Orleans Saints1-427
FinalLV covered
Vegas NO -3.5NO -3 → NO -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating LV 96.9 (30th) · NO 100.0 (19th)
Algorithm took NO — wrong
LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)
LARLos Angeles Rams2-326
DENDenver Broncos3-230
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -1.5LAR -2.5 → DEN -1.5Total 43.5
Power rating LAR 103.8 (1st) · DEN 101.5 (8th)
Algorithm took DEN — correct
LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-37
CHIChicago Bears3-227
FinalCHI covered
Vegas PHI -3.5PHI -3 → PHI -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating PHI 101.0 (13th) · CHI 100.5 (15th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)
Week 4
PITPittsburgh Steelers3-224
CLECleveland Browns3-227
FinalCLE covered
Vegas PIT -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating PIT 97.8 (22nd) · CLE 97.5 (26th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-330
WASWashington Commanders1-3-113
FinalIND covered
Vegas IND -4.5IND -3.5 → IND -4.5Total 46.5
Power rating IND 95.6 (30th) · WAS 96.2 (28th)
Algorithm took WAS — wrong
IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)
TENTennessee Titans0-518
BALBaltimore Ravens4-124
FinalTEN covered
Vegas BAL -11.5Total 42.5
Power rating TEN 98.5 (19th) · BAL 103.8 (5th)
Algorithm took TEN — correct
TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)
NENew England Patriots3-229
BUFBuffalo Bills4-126
FinalNE covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 49.5
Power rating NE 98.9 (18th) · BUF 103.6 (6th)
Algorithm took BUF — wrong
NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)
NYJNew York Jets2-312
CHIChicago Bears3-223
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating NYJ 100.4 (13th) · CHI 103.4 (7th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-122
CINCincinnati Bengals3-217
FinalJAX covered
Vegas CIN -2.5Total 51.5
Power rating JAX 104.7 (4th) · CIN 101.9 (10th)
Algorithm took JAX — correct
JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)
DALDallas Cowboys2-334
HOUHouston Texans1-430
FinalDAL covered
Vegas HOU -3HOU -2.5 → HOU -3Total 48.5
Power rating DAL 100.1 (14th) · HOU 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took DAL — correct
DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)
ARIArizona Cardinals1-424
NYGNew York Giants3-1-136
FinalNYG covered
Vegas ARI -2.5ARI -1.5 → ARI -2.5Total 44.5
Power rating ARI 94.8 (31st) · NYG 96.2 (29th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)
LARLos Angeles Rams2-324
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-320
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -3 → LAR -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating LAR 102.8 (8th) · PHI 98.2 (21st)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)
GBGreen Bay Packers3-217
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-414
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas GB -3GB -3.5 → GB -3Total 38.5
Power rating GB 97.0 (27th) · TB 98.3 (20th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)
MIAMiami Dolphins0-510
MINMinnesota Vikings5-015
FinalMIA covered
Vegas MIN -10MIN -11.5 → MIN -10Total 38.5
Power rating MIA 93.4 (32nd) · MIN 101.4 (11th)
Algorithm took MIA — correct
MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)
KCKansas City Chiefs4-030
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-227
FinalLV covered
Vegas KC -4.5Total 47.5
Power rating KC 106.3 (2nd) · LV 102.4 (9th)
Algorithm took LV — correct
KC 29.5 scored (5th) · 19.3 allowed (7th)LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-523
SEASeattle Seahawks3-230
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -7Total 42.5
Power rating LAC 97.6 (24th) · SEA 105.8 (3rd)
Algorithm took SEA — push
LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)
DENDenver Broncos3-214
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-024
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -3Total 48.5
Power rating DEN 97.6 (25th) · SF 109.1 (1st)
Algorithm took SF — correct
DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)
DETDetroit Lions3-226
CARCarolina Panthers2-232
FinalCAR covered
Vegas DET -4.5DET -3.5 → DET -4.5Total 52.5
Power rating DET 99.3 (16th) · CAR 101.2 (12th)
Algorithm took CAR — correct
DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)CAR 30.3 scored (4th) · 27.3 allowed (26th)
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-345
NONew Orleans Saints1-424
FinalATL covered
Vegas NO -1.5NO -3 → NO -1.5Total 47.5
Power rating ATL 99.4 (15th) · NO 99.3 (17th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)
Week 5
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-424
DALDallas Cowboys2-316
FinalTB covered
Vegas DAL -9.5DAL -10 → DAL -9.5Total 49.5
Power rating TB 98.3 (18th) · DAL 100.0 (14th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-317
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-119
FinalPHI covered
Vegas JAX -7.5JAX -3.5 → JAX -7.5Total 41.5
Power rating PHI 96.5 (29th) · JAX 104.2 (7th)
Algorithm took JAX — wrong
PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)
CHIChicago Bears3-27
GBGreen Bay Packers3-231
FinalGB covered
Vegas CHI -1.5Total 46.5
Power rating CHI 104.3 (5th) · GB 97.4 (25th)
Algorithm took CHI — wrong
CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)
CINCincinnati Bengals3-231
MIAMiami Dolphins0-524
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas CIN -7CIN -7.5 → CIN -7Total 44.5
Power rating CIN 101.8 (10th) · MIA 94.1 (32nd)
Algorithm took MIA — push
CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-217
NENew England Patriots3-245
FinalNE covered
Vegas NE -3.5Total 45.5
Power rating LV 101.5 (11th) · NE 99.0 (15th)
Algorithm took LV — wrong
LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)
MINMinnesota Vikings5-023
NONew Orleans Saints1-413
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -2.5MIN -1.5 → MIN -2.5Total 41.5
Power rating MIN 101.5 (12th) · NO 97.4 (26th)
Algorithm took MIN — correct
MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)
CLECleveland Browns3-212
NYJNew York Jets2-317
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas NYJ -2.5NYJ -1.5 → NYJ -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating CLE 98.1 (20th) · NYJ 98.9 (16th)
Algorithm took NYJ — correct
CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-322
PITPittsburgh Steelers3-234
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -3PIT -2.5 → PIT -3Total 41.5
Power rating IND 96.7 (28th) · PIT 97.8 (22nd)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)
HOUHouston Texans1-426
TENTennessee Titans0-53
FinalHOU covered
Vegas HOU -6.5Total 37.5
Power rating HOU 98.2 (19th) · TEN 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took TEN — wrong
HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)
NYGNew York Giants3-1-127
WASWashington Commanders1-3-127
FinalNYG covered
Vegas WAS -3.5WAS -3 → WAS -3.5Total 41.5
Power rating NYG 97.8 (21st) · WAS 96.3 (30th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)
DENDenver Broncos3-223
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-517
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating DEN 96.8 (27th) · LAC 97.6 (24th)
Algorithm took LAC — wrong
DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)
DETDetroit Lions3-245
ARIArizona Cardinals1-421
FinalDET covered
Vegas DET -5.5Total 55.5
Power rating DET 98.5 (17th) · ARI 94.8 (31st)
Algorithm took ARI — wrong
DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-032
SEASeattle Seahawks3-229
FinalSF covered
Vegas SEA -3Total 46.5
Power rating SF 108.7 (1st) · SEA 105.4 (3rd)
Algorithm took SF — correct
SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-130
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-323
FinalBAL covered
Vegas ATL -3.5BAL -3.5 → ATL -3.5Total 44.5
Power rating BAL 104.3 (4th) · ATL 101.3 (13th)
Algorithm took ATL — wrong
BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)
BUFBuffalo Bills4-137
LARLos Angeles Rams2-334
FinalBUF covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -2.5 → LAR -3.5Total 55.5
Power rating BUF 103.3 (8th) · LAR 104.2 (6th)
Algorithm took LAR — wrong
BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)