JAX13
DEN20

Vegas DEN -2.5 — DEN covered

What the site's algorithm picked

It took DEN against DEN -2.5 — correct.

At the time of the pick, the algorithm made it DEN −0.49 against a Vegas line of DEN −2.5 — it wouldn't lay more than 0.49, so it took DEN −2.5.

First recorded DEN -2.5 — the line the pick was made against.

Closed DEN -2.5

Line history: DEN -2.5 ×32 (Sep 21–Oct 13)

This pick was made under the site's earlier rule, which took the algorithm's own favourite rather than the value side against the line.

From its Week 2 2026 power ratings, computed from 2026 season stats.

Its full record, week by week →

Scoring offense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Scoring defense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Passing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Rushing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Drives

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Conversions

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Scoring plays

QtrClockTeamPlayJAX-DEN
Q212:17JAXB.Tuten - 1 yd rushing TD6-0
Q212:13JAXC.Little - Extra point7-0
Q207:03DENW.Lutz - 20 yd field goal7-3
Q200:03JAXC.Little - 44 yd field goal10-3
Q309:05JAXC.Little - 23 yd field goal13-3
Q305:02DENW.Lutz - 45 yd field goal13-6
Q411:53DENN.Adkins - 7 yd passing TD13-12
Q411:47DENW.Lutz - Extra point13-13
Q407:24DENJ.Coleman - 3 yd rushing TD13-19
Q407:21DENW.Lutz - Extra point13-20

Betting record — 2026

SplitJAXDEN
OverallSU 4-1 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4
At homeSU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1
On the roadSU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3
As favouriteSU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2
As underdogSU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2
In divisionSU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2
Out of divisionSU 4-1 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2
Pick'em (±3)SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 0-3SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3
Favoured by 3-7SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1
Favoured by 7+SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1

SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.

Box score

Team statsJAXDEN
1st downs
Total2121
Passing1013
Rushing97
From penalties14
Efficiency
Third down5 of 124 of 10
Volume
Total yards284392
Total plays5556
Yards per play5.27.0
Drives99
Passing
Passing yards189288
Completions17-3122-31
Yards per pass6.19.3
Touchdowns01
Interceptions11
Sacks (yards lost)2 (16)0 (0)
Rushing
Rushing yards95104
Attempts2428
Yards per rush4.03.7
Touchdowns11
Red zone
Scores1 of 22 of 5
Penalties
Penalties (yards)3 (18)10 (53)
Turnovers
Total11
Fumbles lost00
Interceptions thrown11

Game stats from database N.

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