Offensive: Team Stats · EXP
Total expected points contributed. The situation-aware summary number.
P + N
About this stat ↓League snapshot — 2025
- League leaderBUF 9.66
- League average1.21
- Best to worst22.44
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
BUF · 9.66
League laggard
CLE · -12.78
League average
1.21
Spread (max − min)
22.44
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 9.66 | 8.45 | 100% |
| 2 | DAL | 8.70 | 7.50 | 96.8% |
| 3 | NE | 8.63 | 7.43 | 93.5% |
| 4 | LAR | 8.15 | 6.94 | 90.3% |
| 5 | GB | 7.17 | 5.97 | 87.1% |
| 6 | SF | 7.13 | 5.92 | 83.9% |
| 7 | IND | 6.73 | 5.53 | 80.6% |
| 8 | DET | 5.64 | 4.43 | 77.4% |
| 9 | JAX | 4.66 | 3.45 | 74.2% |
| 10 | CHI | 4.51 | 3.30 | 71% |
| 11 | SEA | 3.63 | 2.42 | 67.7% |
| 12 | BAL | 3.42 | 2.22 | 64.5% |
| 13 | KC | 3.12 | 1.91 | 61.3% |
| 14 | PIT | 2.84 | 1.64 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CIN | 2.67 | 1.47 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DEN | 2.44 | 1.24 | 51.6% |
| 17 | NYG | 2.21 | 1.01 | 48.4% |
| 18 | WAS | 1.90 | 0.69 | 45.2% |
| 19 | PHI | 0.94 | -0.26 | 41.9% |
| 20 | MIA | 0.53 | -0.68 | 38.7% |
| 21 | TB | -0.16 | -1.36 | 35.5% |
| 22 | HOU | -0.28 | -1.49 | 32.3% |
| 23 | LAC | -1.12 | -2.33 | 29% |
| 24 | CAR | -1.37 | -2.57 | 25.8% |
| 25 | ATL | -1.38 | -2.58 | 22.6% |
| 26 | ARI | -1.74 | -2.94 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYJ | -4.23 | -5.44 | 16.1% |
| 28 | MIN | -5.32 | -6.53 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NO | -7.90 | -9.10 | 9.7% |
| 30 | TEN | -8.40 | -9.60 | 6.5% |
| 31 | LV | -11.42 | -12.63 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CLE | -12.78 | -13.99 | 0% |
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
NE · +13.82
Biggest faller
TB · −8.65
Most consistent
CLE · +0.23
League trend 2025 vs 2024
▲ 0.23
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 8.63 | -5.19 | +13.82 |
| 2 | DAL | 8.70 | -3.90 | +12.60 |
| 3 | IND | 6.73 | -2.90 | +9.63 |
| 4 | NYG | 2.21 | -6.86 | +9.08 |
| 5 | CHI | 4.51 | -4.26 | +8.77 |
| 6 | LAR | 8.15 | 1.39 | +6.76 |
| 7 | SF | 7.13 | 1.87 | +5.26 |
| 8 | SEA | 3.63 | -0.79 | +4.42 |
| 9 | JAX | 4.66 | 0.51 | +4.15 |
| 10 | PIT | 2.84 | 0.54 | +2.31 |
| 11 | CAR | -1.37 | -3.10 | +1.74 |
| 12 | MIA | 0.53 | -1.21 | +1.74 |
| 13 | GB | 7.17 | 5.77 | +1.41 |
| 14 | HOU | -0.28 | -1.01 | +0.73 |
| 15 | DEN | 2.44 | 2.10 | +0.35 |
| 16 | CLE | -12.78 | -13.01 | +0.23 |
| 17 | TEN | -8.40 | -7.26 | −1.14 |
| 18 | KC | 3.12 | 4.35 | −1.23 |
| 19 | BUF | 9.66 | 10.91 | −1.25 |
| 20 | ATL | -1.38 | 0.95 | −2.32 |
| 21 | LV | -11.42 | -8.75 | −2.67 |
| 22 | NO | -7.90 | -4.04 | −3.85 |
| 23 | NYJ | -4.23 | -0.34 | −3.89 |
| 24 | LAC | -1.12 | 3.14 | −4.26 |
| 25 | CIN | 2.67 | 7.47 | −4.80 |
| 26 | PHI | 0.94 | 6.74 | −5.79 |
| 27 | DET | 5.64 | 11.62 | −5.98 |
| 28 | ARI | -1.74 | 5.03 | −6.77 |
| 29 | MIN | -5.32 | 1.87 | −7.19 |
| 30 | WAS | 1.90 | 9.82 | −7.93 |
| 31 | BAL | 3.42 | 11.44 | −8.02 |
| 32 | TB | -0.16 | 8.50 | −8.65 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2019–2025)
Multi-year leader
KC · 6.63
Multi-year laggard
NYJ · -7.71
Biggest improver
DET · +2.08/yr
Biggest decliner
CLE · −2.48/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 6.63 | −1.38 | 7.74 | 11.78 | 9.56 | 10.06 | -0.24 | 4.35 | 3.12 |
| 2 | BUF | 6.42 | +1.43 | -3.32 | 10.71 | 4.46 | 7.40 | 5.14 | 10.91 | 9.66 |
| 3 | BAL | 5.77 | −0.57 | 12.49 | 7.59 | 0.47 | 0.89 | 4.09 | 11.44 | 3.42 |
| 4 | GB | 5.15 | −0.05 | 1.79 | 12.18 | 7.19 | -0.42 | 2.36 | 5.77 | 7.17 |
| 5 | SF | 3.91 | +0.86 | 2.84 | -0.88 | 3.72 | 3.14 | 9.54 | 1.87 | 7.13 |
| 6 | DAL | 3.01 | +0.43 | 4.89 | -2.44 | 4.44 | 1.41 | 7.96 | -3.90 | 8.70 |
| 7 | PHI | 2.02 | +1.05 | -0.23 | -5.63 | 3.22 | 4.79 | 4.31 | 6.74 | 0.94 |
| 8 | DET | 1.96 | +2.08 | -3.42 | -0.65 | -5.01 | 3.96 | 1.56 | 11.62 | 5.64 |
| 9 | SEA | 1.94 | −0.15 | -0.32 | 7.28 | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.25 | -0.79 | 3.63 |
| 10 | TB | 1.80 | +0.09 | -2.55 | 6.80 | 6.42 | -4.89 | -1.55 | 8.50 | -0.16 |
| 11 | CIN | 0.96 | +1.57 | -5.86 | -3.16 | 2.53 | 3.46 | -0.43 | 7.47 | 2.67 |
| 12 | LAR | 0.38 | +1.21 | -0.96 | -4.00 | 4.08 | -5.84 | -0.13 | 1.39 | 8.15 |
| 13 | LAC | -0.40 | −0.05 | 0.30 | -2.40 | 3.60 | -1.60 | -4.71 | 3.14 | -1.12 |
| 14 | MIA | -0.50 | +0.93 | -6.09 | 1.09 | -5.01 | 1.50 | 5.71 | -1.21 | 0.53 |
| 15 | MIN | -0.72 | −0.91 | 1.58 | 2.55 | -0.43 | -1.35 | -3.91 | 1.87 | -5.32 |
| 16 | IND | -0.84 | +0.23 | -2.21 | 4.17 | 3.20 | -11.71 | -3.15 | -2.90 | 6.73 |
| 17 | ARI | -0.85 | +0.05 | -1.82 | 1.49 | 2.43 | -7.84 | -3.55 | 5.03 | -1.74 |
| 18 | TEN | -1.50 | −2.47 | 1.64 | 10.98 | 0.14 | -5.12 | -2.47 | -7.26 | -8.40 |
| 19 | JAX | -1.66 | +1.51 | -3.86 | -5.41 | -7.41 | 2.37 | -2.50 | 0.51 | 4.66 |
| 20 | ATL | -1.80 | −0.19 | -0.78 | 2.20 | -6.17 | -0.17 | -7.24 | 0.95 | -1.38 |
| 21 | NE | -1.97 | −0.03 | -1.12 | 0.72 | 3.52 | -5.64 | -14.75 | -5.19 | 8.63 |
| 22 | DEN | -2.11 | +1.09 | -4.00 | -5.74 | 0.83 | -6.81 | -3.59 | 2.10 | 2.44 |
| 23 | WAS | -2.20 | +1.94 | -8.17 | -4.07 | -3.26 | -4.68 | -6.93 | 9.82 | 1.90 |
| 24 | HOU | -2.30 | −0.35 | 2.21 | 3.87 | -9.07 | -10.24 | -1.61 | -1.01 | -0.28 |
| 25 | NO | -2.55 | −1.83 | 4.11 | 5.26 | -7.11 | -4.36 | -3.81 | -4.04 | -7.90 |
| 26 | PIT | -2.68 | +1.37 | -10.41 | 0.75 | -5.08 | -1.44 | -5.93 | 0.54 | 2.84 |
| 27 | CHI | -3.30 | +1.06 | -6.61 | -1.38 | -7.00 | -3.36 | -5.00 | -4.26 | 4.51 |
| 28 | LV | -3.43 | −2.22 | -0.85 | 4.02 | -1.02 | -0.09 | -5.92 | -8.75 | -11.42 |
| 29 | NYG | -4.97 | +0.58 | -5.89 | -3.87 | -10.08 | 1.99 | -12.28 | -6.86 | 2.21 |
| 30 | CAR | -5.03 | +0.34 | -7.38 | 1.10 | -10.77 | -2.69 | -10.98 | -3.10 | -1.37 |
| 31 | CLE | -5.16 | −2.48 | -3.39 | 4.18 | -1.92 | -0.43 | -8.81 | -13.01 | -12.78 |
| 32 | NYJ | -7.71 | +1.07 | -10.69 | -10.31 | -5.87 | -7.27 | -15.22 | -0.34 | -4.23 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | -3.32 | 10.71 | 4.46 | 7.40 | 5.14 | 10.91 | 9.66 |
| DAL | 4.89 | -2.44 | 4.44 | 1.41 | 7.96 | -3.90 | 8.70 |
| NE | -1.12 | 0.72 | 3.52 | -5.64 | -14.75 | -5.19 | 8.63 |
| LAR | -0.96 | -4.00 | 4.08 | -5.84 | -0.13 | 1.39 | 8.15 |
| GB | 1.79 | 12.18 | 7.19 | -0.42 | 2.36 | 5.77 | 7.17 |
| SF | 2.84 | -0.88 | 3.72 | 3.14 | 9.54 | 1.87 | 7.13 |
| IND | -2.21 | 4.17 | 3.20 | -11.71 | -3.15 | -2.90 | 6.73 |
| DET | -3.42 | -0.65 | -5.01 | 3.96 | 1.56 | 11.62 | 5.64 |
| JAX | -3.86 | -5.41 | -7.41 | 2.37 | -2.50 | 0.51 | 4.66 |
| CHI | -6.61 | -1.38 | -7.00 | -3.36 | -5.00 | -4.26 | 4.51 |
| SEA | -0.32 | 7.28 | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.25 | -0.79 | 3.63 |
| BAL | 12.49 | 7.59 | 0.47 | 0.89 | 4.09 | 11.44 | 3.42 |
| KC | 7.74 | 11.78 | 9.56 | 10.06 | -0.24 | 4.35 | 3.12 |
| PIT | -10.41 | 0.75 | -5.08 | -1.44 | -5.93 | 0.54 | 2.84 |
| CIN | -5.86 | -3.16 | 2.53 | 3.46 | -0.43 | 7.47 | 2.67 |
| DEN | -4.00 | -5.74 | 0.83 | -6.81 | -3.59 | 2.10 | 2.44 |
| NYG | -5.89 | -3.87 | -10.08 | 1.99 | -12.28 | -6.86 | 2.21 |
| WAS | -8.17 | -4.07 | -3.26 | -4.68 | -6.93 | 9.82 | 1.90 |
| PHI | -0.23 | -5.63 | 3.22 | 4.79 | 4.31 | 6.74 | 0.94 |
| MIA | -6.09 | 1.09 | -5.01 | 1.50 | 5.71 | -1.21 | 0.53 |
| TB | -2.55 | 6.80 | 6.42 | -4.89 | -1.55 | 8.50 | -0.16 |
| HOU | 2.21 | 3.87 | -9.07 | -10.24 | -1.61 | -1.01 | -0.28 |
| LAC | 0.30 | -2.40 | 3.60 | -1.60 | -4.71 | 3.14 | -1.12 |
| CAR | -7.38 | 1.10 | -10.77 | -2.69 | -10.98 | -3.10 | -1.37 |
| ATL | -0.78 | 2.20 | -6.17 | -0.17 | -7.24 | 0.95 | -1.38 |
| ARI | -1.82 | 1.49 | 2.43 | -7.84 | -3.55 | 5.03 | -1.74 |
| NYJ | -10.69 | -10.31 | -5.87 | -7.27 | -15.22 | -0.34 | -4.23 |
| MIN | 1.58 | 2.55 | -0.43 | -1.35 | -3.91 | 1.87 | -5.32 |
| NO | 4.11 | 5.26 | -7.11 | -4.36 | -3.81 | -4.04 | -7.90 |
| TEN | 1.64 | 10.98 | 0.14 | -5.12 | -2.47 | -7.26 | -8.40 |
| LV | -0.85 | 4.02 | -1.02 | -0.09 | -5.92 | -8.75 | -11.42 |
| CLE | -3.39 | 4.18 | -1.92 | -0.43 | -8.81 | -13.01 | -12.78 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_team_stats_exp_pts_tot
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Team Stats
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.