What Red zone att is

Red-zone trips: drives that reached the opponent's 20-yard line. How often an offense gets close enough to score a touchdown.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Bills led at 5.38; the league average was 3.89.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

BUF · 5.38

League average

3.89

Best to worst

2.61

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	5.38	16
2	SF	4.94	17
3	KC	4.88	17
4	PHI	4.76	17
5	DET	4.65	17
6	MIN	4.41	17
7	SEA	4.41	17
8	CIN	4.38	16
9	LAC	4.29	17
10	DAL	4.24	17
11	JAX	4.24	17
12	GB	4.18	17
13	CLE	4	17
14	BAL	3.88	17
15	LV	3.88	17
16	MIA	3.88	17
17	NE	3.82	17
18	ATL	3.76	17
19	NO	3.71	17
20	CHI	3.59	17
21	TB	3.53	17
22	WAS	3.47	17
23	NYG	3.41	17
24	NYJ	3.41	17
25	ARI	3.29	17
26	CAR	3.29	17
27	HOU	3.24	17
28	IND	3.24	17
29	PIT	3.24	17
30	TEN	3.12	17
31	LAR	3.06	17
32	DEN	2.76	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 5.38

League laggard

DEN · 2.76

League average

3.89

Spread (max − min)

2.61

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	5.38	1.49	100%
2	SF	4.94	1.06	96.8%
3	KC	4.88	1.00	93.5%
4	PHI	4.76	0.88	90.3%
5	DET	4.65	0.76	87.1%
6	MIN	4.41	0.53	83.9%
7	SEA	4.41	0.53	80.6%
8	CIN	4.38	0.49	77.4%
9	LAC	4.29	0.41	74.2%
10	DAL	4.24	0.35	71%
11	JAX	4.24	0.35	67.7%
12	GB	4.18	0.29	64.5%
13	CLE	4	0.11	61.3%
14	BAL	3.88	0.00	58.1%
15	LV	3.88	0.00	54.8%
16	MIA	3.88	0.00	51.6%
17	NE	3.82	-0.06	48.4%
18	ATL	3.76	-0.12	45.2%
19	NO	3.71	-0.18	41.9%
20	CHI	3.59	-0.30	38.7%
21	TB	3.53	-0.36	35.5%
22	WAS	3.47	-0.41	32.3%
23	NYG	3.41	-0.47	29%
24	NYJ	3.41	-0.47	25.8%
25	ARI	3.29	-0.59	22.6%
26	CAR	3.29	-0.59	19.4%
27	HOU	3.24	-0.65	16.1%
28	IND	3.24	-0.65	12.9%
29	PIT	3.24	-0.65	9.7%
30	TEN	3.12	-0.77	6.5%
31	LAR	3.06	-0.83	3.2%
32	DEN	2.76	-1.12	0%

Does Red zone att matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 884–694–37 ATS (56.0%) across 2020–2025, #41 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (154–109, 58.6%); its worst 2022 (143–121, 54.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	148–122–2	54.8%
2022	271	143–121–7	54.2%
2023	272	145–113–14	56.2%
2024	272	154–109–9	58.6%
2025	272	150–119–3	55.8%

Red zone att in 2022 vs 2021

Bills lead at 5.38 — they ranked #3 last year. Broncos are last at 2.76 — #23 last year.

The league average is 3.89, down 0.20 from 4.09 last year.

Biggest riser: Jaguars, #31 → #11. Biggest faller: Rams, #9 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 2.61; 21 teams are within 0.62 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

JAX · +1.29

Biggest faller

LAR · −1.65

Most consistent

CAR · 0

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -0.20

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	JAX	4.24	2.94	+1.29
2	DET	4.65	3.59	+1.06
3	SF	4.94	4	+0.94
4	NYG	3.41	2.88	+0.53
5	MIA	3.88	3.41	+0.47
6	SEA	4.41	4	+0.41
7	PHI	4.76	4.41	+0.35
8	BUF	5.38	5.06	+0.32
9	HOU	3.24	2.94	+0.29
10	CLE	4	3.76	+0.24
11	MIN	4.41	4.24	+0.18
12	ATL	3.76	3.59	+0.18
13	BAL	3.88	3.71	+0.18
14	CHI	3.59	3.53	+0.06
15	CAR	3.29	3.29	0
16	LV	3.88	4	−0.12
17	NYJ	3.41	3.53	−0.12
18	CIN	4.38	4.53	−0.15
19	KC	4.88	5.06	−0.18
20	NO	3.71	3.88	−0.18
21	PIT	3.24	3.47	−0.24
22	WAS	3.47	3.76	−0.29
23	NE	3.82	4.41	−0.59
24	GB	4.18	4.94	−0.76
25	LAC	4.29	5.06	−0.76
26	DEN	2.76	3.59	−0.82
27	TEN	3.12	4.35	−1.24
28	DAL	4.24	5.47	−1.24
29	ARI	3.29	4.82	−1.53
30	IND	3.24	4.82	−1.59
31	TB	3.53	5.12	−1.59
32	LAR	3.06	4.71	−1.65

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 5.16

Multi-year laggard

NYG · 3.37

Biggest improver

DET · +0.21/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.36/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	5.16	−0.03	5.56	5.06	5.38	4.65	5.06	5	5.40
2	KC	4.67	−0.08	5.06	5.06	4.88	4.18	4.35	3.94	5.25
3	DET	4.64	+0.21	4	3.59	4.65	5.12	5.41	4.71	5
4	GB	4.53	−0.10	4.88	4.94	4.18	4.53	4.76	4	4.40
5	DAL	4.52	−0.11	4.31	5.47	4.24	5.29	3.65	4.65	4
6	BAL	4.47	+0.05	4.88	3.71	3.88	4.82	4.94	4.65	4.40
7	SF	4.38	+0.03	4	4	4.94	5	4.12	4.24	4.40
8	LAR	4.37	+0.15	4.31	4.71	3.06	3.94	4.24	5.53	4.80
9	TB	4.35	−0.20	5.31	5.12	3.53	3.82	4.94	3.94	3.80
10	SEA	4.25	+0.02	4.56	4	4.41	3.94	3.65	4.59	4.60
11	PHI	4.23	−0.12	4	4.41	4.76	4.47	5	3.53	3.40
12	CIN	4.22	+0.06	3.75	4.53	4.38	3.65	4.71	3.94	4.60
13	IND	4.16	−0.21	5.19	4.82	3.24	4.18	4	4.53	3.20
14	MIN	4.00	−0.22	4.56	4.24	4.41	3.88	4.53	3.41	3
15	LAC	3.98	−0.25	4.31	5.06	4.29	3.53	3.82	4.06	2.80
16	ARI	3.98	−0.09	4.44	4.82	3.29	3.29	4.06	4.12	3.80
17	NO	3.96	−0.18	5.13	3.88	3.71	4.24	3.53	3.47	3.80
18	CHI	3.90	+0.16	4.13	3.53	3.59	3.47	2.94	4.24	5.40
19	NE	3.86	+0.07	3.69	4.41	3.82	2.59	3.47	5.06	4
20	LV	3.84	−0.14	4.81	4	3.88	3.65	3.29	2.65	4.60
21	JAX	3.80	+0.14	3.44	2.94	4.24	4.12	3.24	4.82	3.80
22	HOU	3.78	+0.08	4.25	2.94	3.24	4.12	3.88	4.06	4
23	MIA	3.76	−0.18	4.38	3.41	3.88	4.88	3.53	3.47	2.80
24	WAS	3.73	+0.01	3.69	3.76	3.47	3.35	4.82	3.41	3.60
25	ATL	3.71	−0.12	4.44	3.59	3.76	3.41	3.94	3.41	3.40
26	DEN	3.65	+0.08	3.50	3.59	2.76	4	4.18	4.12	3.40
27	PIT	3.64	−0.05	4.44	3.47	3.24	3.12	3.88	3.94	3.40
28	CAR	3.62	+0.10	4.25	3.29	3.29	2.59	3.59	3.35	5
29	CLE	3.56	−0.24	4.31	3.76	4	3.88	3.06	2.88	3
30	TEN	3.47	−0.36	4.88	4.35	3.12	3.41	3.35	2.59	2.60
31	NYJ	3.39	−0.01	3.38	3.53	3.41	3	3.82	3.18	3.40
32	NYG	3.37	+0.12	3.13	2.88	3.41	3.18	3.35	4.41	3.20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	5.56	5.06	5.38	4.65	5.06	5	5.40
SF	4	4	4.94	5	4.12	4.24	4.40
KC	5.06	5.06	4.88	4.18	4.35	3.94	5.25
PHI	4	4.41	4.76	4.47	5	3.53	3.40
DET	4	3.59	4.65	5.12	5.41	4.71	5
MIN	4.56	4.24	4.41	3.88	4.53	3.41	3
SEA	4.56	4	4.41	3.94	3.65	4.59	4.60
CIN	3.75	4.53	4.38	3.65	4.71	3.94	4.60
LAC	4.31	5.06	4.29	3.53	3.82	4.06	2.80
DAL	4.31	5.47	4.24	5.29	3.65	4.65	4
JAX	3.44	2.94	4.24	4.12	3.24	4.82	3.80
GB	4.88	4.94	4.18	4.53	4.76	4	4.40
CLE	4.31	3.76	4	3.88	3.06	2.88	3
BAL	4.88	3.71	3.88	4.82	4.94	4.65	4.40
LV	4.81	4	3.88	3.65	3.29	2.65	4.60
MIA	4.38	3.41	3.88	4.88	3.53	3.47	2.80
NE	3.69	4.41	3.82	2.59	3.47	5.06	4
ATL	4.44	3.59	3.76	3.41	3.94	3.41	3.40
NO	5.13	3.88	3.71	4.24	3.53	3.47	3.80
CHI	4.13	3.53	3.59	3.47	2.94	4.24	5.40
TB	5.31	5.12	3.53	3.82	4.94	3.94	3.80
WAS	3.69	3.76	3.47	3.35	4.82	3.41	3.60
NYG	3.13	2.88	3.41	3.18	3.35	4.41	3.20
NYJ	3.38	3.53	3.41	3	3.82	3.18	3.40
ARI	4.44	4.82	3.29	3.29	4.06	4.12	3.80
CAR	4.25	3.29	3.29	2.59	3.59	3.35	5
HOU	4.25	2.94	3.24	4.12	3.88	4.06	4
IND	5.19	4.82	3.24	4.18	4	4.53	3.20
PIT	4.44	3.47	3.24	3.12	3.88	3.94	3.40
TEN	4.88	4.35	3.12	3.41	3.35	2.59	2.60
LAR	4.31	4.71	3.06	3.94	4.24	5.53	4.80
DEN	3.50	3.59	2.76	4	4.18	4.12	3.40

Red zone att since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Rams (6.06), 2019 Ravens (5.44), 2020 Bills (5.56), 2021 Cowboys (5.47), 2022 Bills (5.38).

Bills have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.

The best season on record is Rams 2018 at 6.06; the worst Cardinals 2018 at 2.38.

The league average has fallen from 4.11 in 2018 to 3.89 in 2022.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_conversions_red_zone_att
Side: offensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.