What Targets is

Targets: passes thrown toward the team's receivers, caught or not. It shows where an offense is trying to go with the ball, before the result.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Buccaneers led at 42.59; the league average was 31.94.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

TB · 42.59

League average

31.94

Best to worst

21.47

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	TB	42.59	17
2	LAC	40.41	17
3	MIN	37.71	17
4	ARI	37.35	17
5	CIN	37.13	16
6	KC	36.12	17
7	NYJ	34.59	17
8	BUF	34.44	16
9	IND	34.06	17
10	JAX	33.76	17
11	DET	33.12	17
12	MIA	33.06	17
13	HOU	32.82	17
14	LV	32.82	17
15	SEA	32.53	17
16	PIT	32.24	17
17	DAL	32.06	17
18	DEN	31.82	17
19	GB	31.76	17
20	WAS	31.24	17
21	NE	30.47	17
22	LAR	30.41	17
23	CLE	29.82	17
24	PHI	29.71	17
25	SF	29.65	17
26	NO	29	17
27	NYG	28.76	17
28	BAL	27.35	17
29	TEN	25.65	17
30	CAR	25.12	17
31	ATL	23.53	17
32	CHI	21.12	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

TB · 42.59

League laggard

CHI · 21.12

League average

31.94

Spread (max − min)

21.47

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	TB	42.59	10.64	100%
2	LAC	40.41	8.47	96.8%
3	MIN	37.71	5.76	93.5%
4	ARI	37.35	5.41	90.3%
5	CIN	37.13	5.18	87.1%
6	KC	36.12	4.17	83.9%
7	NYJ	34.59	2.64	80.6%
8	BUF	34.44	2.49	77.4%
9	IND	34.06	2.11	74.2%
10	JAX	33.76	1.82	71%
11	DET	33.12	1.17	67.7%
12	MIA	33.06	1.11	64.5%
13	HOU	32.82	0.88	61.3%
14	LV	32.82	0.88	58.1%
15	SEA	32.53	0.59	54.8%
16	PIT	32.24	0.29	51.6%
17	DAL	32.06	0.11	48.4%
18	DEN	31.82	-0.12	45.2%
19	GB	31.76	-0.18	41.9%
20	WAS	31.24	-0.71	38.7%
21	NE	30.47	-1.47	35.5%
22	LAR	30.41	-1.53	32.3%
23	CLE	29.82	-2.12	29%
24	PHI	29.71	-2.24	25.8%
25	SF	29.65	-2.30	22.6%
26	NO	29	-2.94	19.4%
27	NYG	28.76	-3.18	16.1%
28	BAL	27.35	-4.59	12.9%
29	TEN	25.65	-6.30	9.7%
30	CAR	25.12	-6.83	6.5%
31	ATL	23.53	-8.41	3.2%
32	CHI	21.12	-10.83	0%

Does Targets matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 771–807–37 ATS (48.9%) across 2020–2025, #272 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (144–120, 54.5%); its worst 2024 (112–151, 42.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	134–120–2	52.8%
2021	272	129–141–2	47.8%
2022	271	144–120–7	54.5%
2023	272	122–136–14	47.3%
2024	272	112–151–9	42.6%
2025	272	130–139–3	48.3%

Targets in 2022 vs 2021

Buccaneers lead at 42.59 — they ranked #1 last year. Bears are last at 21.12 — #22 last year.

The league average is 31.94, down 1.25 from 33.19 last year.

Biggest riser: Colts, #27 → #9. Biggest faller: Ravens, #10 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 21.47; 22 teams are within 4.51 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CIN · +5.36

Biggest faller

CHI · −9.71

Most consistent

DET · −0.12

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -1.25

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	CIN	37.13	31.76	+5.36
2	SEA	32.53	27.88	+4.65
3	IND	34.06	29.53	+4.53
4	ARI	37.35	33.53	+3.82
5	MIN	37.71	34	+3.71
6	PHI	29.71	27.53	+2.18
7	HOU	32.82	30.76	+2.06
8	LAC	40.41	38.76	+1.65
9	DEN	31.82	30.41	+1.41
10	NO	29	27.88	+1.12
11	CLE	29.82	29.35	+0.47
12	TB	42.59	42.12	+0.47
13	SF	29.65	29.24	+0.41
14	NYJ	34.59	34.18	+0.41
15	DET	33.12	33.24	−0.12
16	WAS	31.24	31.41	−0.18
17	NE	30.47	30.82	−0.35
18	JAX	33.76	34.29	−0.53
19	KC	36.12	37.47	−1.35
20	GB	31.76	33.53	−1.76
21	MIA	33.06	35.24	−2.18
22	BUF	34.44	36.65	−2.21
23	LV	32.82	35.47	−2.65
24	NYG	28.76	33.18	−4.41
25	LAR	30.41	35.41	−5.00
26	TEN	25.65	30.71	−5.06
27	DAL	32.06	37.47	−5.41
28	PIT	32.24	38.41	−6.18
29	BAL	27.35	34.76	−7.41
30	CAR	25.12	33.82	−8.71
31	ATL	23.53	32.59	−9.06
32	CHI	21.12	30.82	−9.71

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DAL · 36.17

Multi-year laggard

BAL · 27.43

Biggest improver

NO · +1.21/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · −2.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DAL	36.17	−0.11	38.56	37.47	32.06	35.59	36.59	35.71	37.20
2	TB	35.58	−2.00	37.88	42.12	42.59	32.35	33.12	31.82	29.20
3	CIN	35.57	+0.47	35.38	31.76	37.13	34.82	36.94	35.76	37.20
4	ARI	34.65	+0.47	34.06	33.53	37.35	31.76	30.76	36.29	38.80
5	KC	34.64	−1.39	38.19	37.47	36.12	35.24	33.65	32.29	29.50
6	LAC	34.57	−2.03	38.19	38.76	40.41	36.12	28.88	32	27.60
7	LAR	34.51	+0.70	35.13	35.41	30.41	32.65	31.82	34.18	42
8	DET	33.70	+0.12	35.13	33.24	33.12	33.76	30.71	32.35	37.60
9	PIT	33.20	−1.37	40.75	38.41	32.24	28.47	27.06	30.71	34.80
10	JAX	32.94	−1.24	36.56	34.29	33.76	35.71	30.71	32.18	27.40
11	LV	32.93	−0.20	32.69	35.47	32.82	31.24	34.82	29.06	34.40
12	HOU	32.66	+0.25	32.81	30.76	32.82	33.29	32.18	32.53	34.20
13	NO	32.19	+1.21	31.75	27.88	29	34.06	30.41	33.24	39
14	IND	31.78	−0.09	33.44	29.53	34.06	32.12	28.94	31.18	33.20
15	BUF	31.74	−1.84	35.75	36.65	34.44	32.06	29.12	28.18	26
16	MIN	31.63	−1.21	30.31	34	37.71	35.65	30.41	27.53	25.80
17	NYJ	31.58	−0.58	28.94	34.18	34.59	33.12	34.65	27.76	27.80
18	MIA	31.57	−1.48	34.19	35.24	33.06	32.29	33.41	27.18	25.60
19	CLE	31.55	+0.39	29.19	29.35	29.82	35.12	37.29	30.71	29.40
20	GB	31.45	−0.10	31.31	33.53	31.76	33	27.29	27.06	36.20
21	DEN	31.38	−0.12	33.31	30.41	31.82	28.06	32.29	34.35	29.40
22	WAS	31.32	−1.07	35.81	31.41	31.24	35.35	29.65	25.41	30.40
23	CAR	31.25	+0.20	32.94	33.82	25.12	31.41	30.47	28.24	36.75
24	NYG	30.93	+0.02	31.25	33.18	28.76	28.53	32.59	29.59	32.60
25	SEA	30.68	−0.60	33.56	27.88	32.53	32.18	33.47	26.76	28.40
26	CHI	30.24	−0.16	37.25	30.82	21.12	28.06	30.94	31.29	32.20
27	ATL	30.21	−1.18	37.81	32.59	23.53	29.88	31.71	30.53	25.40
28	SF	30.16	−0.53	34.63	29.24	29.65	27.71	30.18	32.35	27.40
29	NE	29.56	+0.17	26.25	30.82	30.47	31.82	29.41	28.35	29.80
30	PHI	29.09	−0.89	35.06	27.53	29.71	30.88	24.59	27.29	28.60
31	TEN	29.05	+0.11	29.25	30.71	25.65	28.12	29.82	31.18	28.60
32	BAL	27.43	−0.56	24.50	34.76	27.35	28	26.88	23.94	26.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
TB	37.88	42.12	42.59	32.35	33.12	31.82	29.20
LAC	38.19	38.76	40.41	36.12	28.88	32	27.60
MIN	30.31	34	37.71	35.65	30.41	27.53	25.80
ARI	34.06	33.53	37.35	31.76	30.76	36.29	38.80
CIN	35.38	31.76	37.13	34.82	36.94	35.76	37.20
KC	38.19	37.47	36.12	35.24	33.65	32.29	29.50
NYJ	28.94	34.18	34.59	33.12	34.65	27.76	27.80
BUF	35.75	36.65	34.44	32.06	29.12	28.18	26
IND	33.44	29.53	34.06	32.12	28.94	31.18	33.20
JAX	36.56	34.29	33.76	35.71	30.71	32.18	27.40
DET	35.13	33.24	33.12	33.76	30.71	32.35	37.60
MIA	34.19	35.24	33.06	32.29	33.41	27.18	25.60
HOU	32.81	30.76	32.82	33.29	32.18	32.53	34.20
LV	32.69	35.47	32.82	31.24	34.82	29.06	34.40
SEA	33.56	27.88	32.53	32.18	33.47	26.76	28.40
PIT	40.75	38.41	32.24	28.47	27.06	30.71	34.80
DAL	38.56	37.47	32.06	35.59	36.59	35.71	37.20
DEN	33.31	30.41	31.82	28.06	32.29	34.35	29.40
GB	31.31	33.53	31.76	33	27.29	27.06	36.20
WAS	35.81	31.41	31.24	35.35	29.65	25.41	30.40
NE	26.25	30.82	30.47	31.82	29.41	28.35	29.80
LAR	35.13	35.41	30.41	32.65	31.82	34.18	42
CLE	29.19	29.35	29.82	35.12	37.29	30.71	29.40
PHI	35.06	27.53	29.71	30.88	24.59	27.29	28.60
SF	34.63	29.24	29.65	27.71	30.18	32.35	27.40
NO	31.75	27.88	29	34.06	30.41	33.24	39
NYG	31.25	33.18	28.76	28.53	32.59	29.59	32.60
BAL	24.50	34.76	27.35	28	26.88	23.94	26.60
TEN	29.25	30.71	25.65	28.12	29.82	31.18	28.60
CAR	32.94	33.82	25.12	31.41	30.47	28.24	36.75
ATL	37.81	32.59	23.53	29.88	31.71	30.53	25.40
CHI	37.25	30.82	21.12	28.06	30.94	31.29	32.20

Targets since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Steelers (42.25), 2019 Falcons (40.94), 2020 Steelers (40.75), 2021 Buccaneers (42.12), 2022 Buccaneers (42.59).

Steelers have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2022 at 42.59; the worst Bears 2022 at 21.12.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_receiving_targets
Side: offensive
Family: Receiving
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.