What Targets is

Targets: passes thrown toward the team's receivers, caught or not. It shows where an offense is trying to go with the ball, before the result.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Falcons led at 40.94; the league average was 33.48.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

ATL · 40.94

League average

33.48

Best to worst

14.44

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	ATL	40.94	16
2	LAR	38.25	16
3	TB	37.94	16
4	MIA	37.88	16
5	PHI	37.75	16
6	CAR	37.50	16
7	CIN	36.81	16
8	NYG	36.75	16
9	NE	36.69	16
10	DAL	36	16
11	LAC	36	16
12	CHI	35.38	16
13	JAX	35.19	16
14	NO	34.94	16
15	KC	34.88	16
16	DET	34.38	16
17	GB	33.88	16
18	ARI	33.06	16
19	HOU	32.38	16
20	CLE	32.31	16
21	SEA	30.88	16
22	NYJ	30.75	16
23	LV	30.69	16
24	IND	30.50	16
25	BUF	30.31	16
26	PIT	30.31	16
27	DEN	30.06	16
28	SF	29.19	16
29	WAS	29	16
30	MIN	27.63	16
31	TEN	26.75	16
32	BAL	26.50	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

ATL · 40.94

League laggard

BAL · 26.50

League average

33.48

Spread (max − min)

14.44

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	ATL	40.94	7.46	100%
2	LAR	38.25	4.77	96.8%
3	TB	37.94	4.46	93.5%
4	MIA	37.88	4.39	90.3%
5	PHI	37.75	4.27	87.1%
6	CAR	37.50	4.02	83.9%
7	CIN	36.81	3.33	80.6%
8	NYG	36.75	3.27	77.4%
9	NE	36.69	3.21	74.2%
10	DAL	36	2.52	71%
11	LAC	36	2.52	67.7%
12	CHI	35.38	1.89	64.5%
13	JAX	35.19	1.71	61.3%
14	NO	34.94	1.46	58.1%
15	KC	34.88	1.39	54.8%
16	DET	34.38	0.89	51.6%
17	GB	33.88	0.39	48.4%
18	ARI	33.06	-0.42	45.2%
19	HOU	32.38	-1.11	41.9%
20	CLE	32.31	-1.17	38.7%
21	SEA	30.88	-2.61	35.5%
22	NYJ	30.75	-2.73	32.3%
23	LV	30.69	-2.79	29%
24	IND	30.50	-2.98	25.8%
25	BUF	30.31	-3.17	22.6%
26	PIT	30.31	-3.17	19.4%
27	DEN	30.06	-3.42	16.1%
28	SF	29.19	-4.29	12.9%
29	WAS	29	-4.48	9.7%
30	MIN	27.63	-5.86	6.5%
31	TEN	26.75	-6.73	3.2%
32	BAL	26.50	-6.98	0%

Does Targets matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 771–807–37 ATS (48.9%) across 2020–2025, #272 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (144–120, 54.5%); its worst 2024 (112–151, 42.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	134–120–2	52.8%
2021	272	129–141–2	47.8%
2022	271	144–120–7	54.5%
2023	272	122–136–14	47.3%
2024	272	112–151–9	42.6%
2025	272	130–139–3	48.3%

Targets in 2019 vs 2018

Falcons lead at 40.94 — they ranked #5 last year. Ravens are last at 26.50 — #16 last year.

The league average is 33.48, down 0.06 from 33.54 last year.

Biggest riser: Dolphins, #30 → #4. Biggest faller: Steelers, #1 → #26.

Spread between first and last: 14.44; 21 teams are within 3.71 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIA · +10.69

Biggest faller

PIT · −11.94

Most consistent

TEN · +0.19

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▼ -0.06

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	MIA	37.88	27.19	+10.69
2	SEA	30.88	25	+5.88
3	LAC	36	31.63	+4.38
4	LAR	38.25	34.06	+4.19
5	CHI	35.38	31.50	+3.88
6	CIN	36.81	33.06	+3.75
7	DAL	36	32.31	+3.69
8	ARI	33.06	29.56	+3.50
9	CAR	37.50	34	+3.50
10	ATL	40.94	37.75	+3.19
11	NO	34.94	31.94	+3
12	JAX	35.19	32.75	+2.44
13	NE	36.69	34.75	+1.94
14	HOU	32.38	30.88	+1.50
15	NYG	36.75	35.88	+0.88
16	PHI	37.75	37	+0.75
17	BUF	30.31	29.94	+0.38
18	TEN	26.75	26.56	+0.19
19	KC	34.88	35.25	−0.38
20	DET	34.38	35.06	−0.69
21	TB	37.94	38.69	−0.75
22	NYJ	30.75	31.56	−0.81
23	WAS	29	30.56	−1.56
24	LV	30.69	33.13	−2.44
25	CLE	32.31	34.81	−2.50
26	SF	29.19	32.19	−3
27	GB	33.88	38.44	−4.56
28	DEN	30.06	35.25	−5.19
29	BAL	26.50	33.69	−7.19
30	IND	30.50	39.63	−9.13
31	MIN	27.63	37	−9.38
32	PIT	30.31	42.25	−11.94

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DAL · 36.17

Multi-year laggard

BAL · 27.43

Biggest improver

NO · +1.21/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · −2.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DAL	36.17	−0.11	38.56	37.47	32.06	35.59	36.59	35.71	37.20
2	TB	35.58	−2.00	37.88	42.12	42.59	32.35	33.12	31.82	29.20
3	CIN	35.57	+0.47	35.38	31.76	37.13	34.82	36.94	35.76	37.20
4	ARI	34.65	+0.47	34.06	33.53	37.35	31.76	30.76	36.29	38.80
5	KC	34.64	−1.39	38.19	37.47	36.12	35.24	33.65	32.29	29.50
6	LAC	34.57	−2.03	38.19	38.76	40.41	36.12	28.88	32	27.60
7	LAR	34.51	+0.70	35.13	35.41	30.41	32.65	31.82	34.18	42
8	DET	33.70	+0.12	35.13	33.24	33.12	33.76	30.71	32.35	37.60
9	PIT	33.20	−1.37	40.75	38.41	32.24	28.47	27.06	30.71	34.80
10	JAX	32.94	−1.24	36.56	34.29	33.76	35.71	30.71	32.18	27.40
11	LV	32.93	−0.20	32.69	35.47	32.82	31.24	34.82	29.06	34.40
12	HOU	32.66	+0.25	32.81	30.76	32.82	33.29	32.18	32.53	34.20
13	NO	32.19	+1.21	31.75	27.88	29	34.06	30.41	33.24	39
14	IND	31.78	−0.09	33.44	29.53	34.06	32.12	28.94	31.18	33.20
15	BUF	31.74	−1.84	35.75	36.65	34.44	32.06	29.12	28.18	26
16	MIN	31.63	−1.21	30.31	34	37.71	35.65	30.41	27.53	25.80
17	NYJ	31.58	−0.58	28.94	34.18	34.59	33.12	34.65	27.76	27.80
18	MIA	31.57	−1.48	34.19	35.24	33.06	32.29	33.41	27.18	25.60
19	CLE	31.55	+0.39	29.19	29.35	29.82	35.12	37.29	30.71	29.40
20	GB	31.45	−0.10	31.31	33.53	31.76	33	27.29	27.06	36.20
21	DEN	31.38	−0.12	33.31	30.41	31.82	28.06	32.29	34.35	29.40
22	WAS	31.32	−1.07	35.81	31.41	31.24	35.35	29.65	25.41	30.40
23	CAR	31.25	+0.20	32.94	33.82	25.12	31.41	30.47	28.24	36.75
24	NYG	30.93	+0.02	31.25	33.18	28.76	28.53	32.59	29.59	32.60
25	SEA	30.68	−0.60	33.56	27.88	32.53	32.18	33.47	26.76	28.40
26	CHI	30.24	−0.16	37.25	30.82	21.12	28.06	30.94	31.29	32.20
27	ATL	30.21	−1.18	37.81	32.59	23.53	29.88	31.71	30.53	25.40
28	SF	30.16	−0.53	34.63	29.24	29.65	27.71	30.18	32.35	27.40
29	NE	29.56	+0.17	26.25	30.82	30.47	31.82	29.41	28.35	29.80
30	PHI	29.09	−0.89	35.06	27.53	29.71	30.88	24.59	27.29	28.60
31	TEN	29.05	+0.11	29.25	30.71	25.65	28.12	29.82	31.18	28.60
32	BAL	27.43	−0.56	24.50	34.76	27.35	28	26.88	23.94	26.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
LAR	35.13	35.41	30.41	32.65	31.82	34.18	42
NO	31.75	27.88	29	34.06	30.41	33.24	39
ARI	34.06	33.53	37.35	31.76	30.76	36.29	38.80
DET	35.13	33.24	33.12	33.76	30.71	32.35	37.60
CIN	35.38	31.76	37.13	34.82	36.94	35.76	37.20
DAL	38.56	37.47	32.06	35.59	36.59	35.71	37.20
CAR	32.94	33.82	25.12	31.41	30.47	28.24	36.75
GB	31.31	33.53	31.76	33	27.29	27.06	36.20
PIT	40.75	38.41	32.24	28.47	27.06	30.71	34.80
LV	32.69	35.47	32.82	31.24	34.82	29.06	34.40
HOU	32.81	30.76	32.82	33.29	32.18	32.53	34.20
IND	33.44	29.53	34.06	32.12	28.94	31.18	33.20
NYG	31.25	33.18	28.76	28.53	32.59	29.59	32.60
CHI	37.25	30.82	21.12	28.06	30.94	31.29	32.20
WAS	35.81	31.41	31.24	35.35	29.65	25.41	30.40
NE	26.25	30.82	30.47	31.82	29.41	28.35	29.80
KC	38.19	37.47	36.12	35.24	33.65	32.29	29.50
CLE	29.19	29.35	29.82	35.12	37.29	30.71	29.40
DEN	33.31	30.41	31.82	28.06	32.29	34.35	29.40
TB	37.88	42.12	42.59	32.35	33.12	31.82	29.20
PHI	35.06	27.53	29.71	30.88	24.59	27.29	28.60
TEN	29.25	30.71	25.65	28.12	29.82	31.18	28.60
SEA	33.56	27.88	32.53	32.18	33.47	26.76	28.40
NYJ	28.94	34.18	34.59	33.12	34.65	27.76	27.80
LAC	38.19	38.76	40.41	36.12	28.88	32	27.60
JAX	36.56	34.29	33.76	35.71	30.71	32.18	27.40
SF	34.63	29.24	29.65	27.71	30.18	32.35	27.40
BAL	24.50	34.76	27.35	28	26.88	23.94	26.60
BUF	35.75	36.65	34.44	32.06	29.12	28.18	26
MIN	30.31	34	37.71	35.65	30.41	27.53	25.80
MIA	34.19	35.24	33.06	32.29	33.41	27.18	25.60
ATL	37.81	32.59	23.53	29.88	31.71	30.53	25.40

Targets since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Steelers (42.25), 2019 Falcons (40.94).

The best season on record is Steelers 2018 at 42.25; the worst Seahawks 2018 at 25.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_receiving_targets
Side: offensive
Family: Receiving
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.