NET: Fourth down pct (Off − Def)

NET · NET (Off − Def)P + N
About this stat ↓

Green Bay Packers — NET: Fourth down pct (Off − Def), 2026

  • Value15.56
  • Rank#12 of 31
  • League average1.51
  • Rank in 2025#17 of 32

What Fourth down pct (Off − Def) is

Fourth-down conversion rate minus the rate opponents converted against this defense. Small samples on both halves.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Giants lead at 75.00; the league average is 1.51.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader
NYG · 75.00
League average
1.51
Best to worst
141.67

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader
NYG · 75.00
League laggard
TEN · -66.67
League average
1.51
Spread (max − min)
141.67

Does Fourth down pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 840–738–37 ATS (53.2%) across 2020–2025, #127 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (144–110, 56.7%); its worst 2022 (129–135, 48.9%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

SeasonGamesATS recordATS %
2020256144–110–256.7%
2021272148–122–254.8%
2022271129–135–748.9%
2023272135–123–1452.3%
2024272137–126–952.1%
2025272147–122–354.6%

Fourth down pct (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025

Giants lead at 75.00 — they ranked #30 last year. Titans are last at -66.67 — #32 last year.

The league average is 1.51, up 1.25 from 0.25 last year.

Biggest riser: Giants, #30 → #1. Biggest faller: Eagles, #4 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 141.67; 21 teams are within 36.25 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser
NYG · +101.57
Biggest faller
SEA · −72.73
Most consistent
DET · −7.21
League trend 2026 vs 2025
▲ 1.25

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader
KC · 16.43
Multi-year laggard
TEN · -21.01
Biggest improver
CLE · +10.96/yr
Biggest decliner
TEN · −10.68/yr

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team2020202120222023202420252026
NYG2.53-18.55-17.09-3.98-3.09-26.5775.00
MIN-14.314.559.44-11.299.01-7.0760.00
CIN7.8726.11-14.130.70-6.633.3355.00
DAL7.22-3.21-1.917.74-32.29-0.2950.00
CLE-48.15-22.6210.3216.2510.102.4937.50
NYJ-2.78-13.63-3.0214.87-34.52-28.8237.50
LAR4.20-0.498.958.5713.7311.9029.17
NE-3.3112.500.00-19.565.9538.6727.50
KC-8.755.3817.866.2018.4148.9126.98
IND21.144.93-5.85-15.388.3313.1022.73
ARI1.3311.95-6.10-5.88-13.89-5.1421.43
GB3.5713.64-19.193.33-10.000.4415.56
CHI-1.19-8.33-6.674.5513.163.9013.33
JAX-39.74-8.6019.59-6.39-4.4923.1412.50
DEN-23.3314.84-14.2916.5218.10-1.859.52
LV-6.16-9.26-0.837.02-20.92-24.380.00
SF-25.006.001.181.99-15.384.55-5.56
CAR-4.44-15.9712.70-22.08-13.335.59-6.94
PIT27.63-6.5511.432.92-29.29-21.51-11.43
BUF22.112.94-3.733.6219.606.74-13.89
DET-11.11-13.07-1.50-5.1925.29-7.56-14.77
WAS23.61-7.140.00-6.7320.29-0.96-17.86
ATL14.21-8.3311.11-5.7213.90-9.38-21.21
HOU3.87-15.04-15.00-17.08-4.2710.28-21.43
BAL17.445.56-22.5020.9110.483.90-25.00
MIA33.85-2.025.78-0.83-1.61-23.60-38.10
TB-1.199.82-4.7618.67-1.23-1.84-38.10
PHI1.68-7.728.7517.197.0417.07-44.44
LAC-18.6732.8913.57-12.500.438.00-55.00
SEA13.66-5.5717.86-14.502.636.06-66.67
TEN4.814.17-20.14-2.14-37.79-29.29-66.67
NO20.009.52-5.745.063.70-11.76—

Fourth down pct (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (32.97), 2019 Cardinals (43.57), 2020 Dolphins (33.85), 2021 Chargers (32.89), 2022 Jaguars (19.59), 2023 Ravens (20.91), 2024 Lions (25.29), 2025 Chiefs (48.91), 2026 Giants (75.00).

The best season on record is Giants 2026 at 75.00; the worst Titans 2026 at -66.67.

The league average has risen from 1.39 in 2018 to 1.51 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 4 to Week 5

Since Week 4: Patriots up 11 (#19 → #8), Steelers up 11 (#30 → #19), Jets up 6 (#11 → #5); Commanders down 9 (#13 → #22), Falcons down 8 (#15 → #23), Raiders down 8 (#8 → #16).

14 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat
Stat ID
net_fourth_down_pct
Side
net
Family
NET (Off − Def)
Data source
P + N
Polarity
higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain
rate
Algorithm eligibility
Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.