Defensive: Scoring · Xpm (allowed)
What Xpm (allowed) is
Extra points opponents made against this team. Near-automatic, so it tracks touchdowns allowed.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2024 the Eagles led at 1.29; the league average was 2.19.
League snapshot — 2024
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 1.29 | 17 |
| 2 | DEN | 1.53 | 17 |
| 3 | LAC | 1.71 | 17 |
| 4 | KC | 1.76 | 17 |
| 5 | MIA | 1.76 | 17 |
| 6 | MIN | 1.82 | 17 |
| 7 | PIT | 1.82 | 17 |
| 8 | BAL | 1.88 | 17 |
| 9 | CHI | 1.88 | 17 |
| 10 | DET | 1.88 | 17 |
| 11 | NYJ | 1.88 | 17 |
| 12 | GB | 1.94 | 17 |
| 13 | SEA | 1.94 | 17 |
| 14 | ARI | 2.06 | 17 |
| 15 | NO | 2.06 | 17 |
| 16 | WAS | 2.06 | 17 |
| 17 | HOU | 2.12 | 17 |
| 18 | LAR | 2.12 | 17 |
| 19 | TB | 2.24 | 17 |
| 20 | ATL | 2.35 | 17 |
| 21 | BUF | 2.35 | 17 |
| 22 | LV | 2.35 | 17 |
| 23 | JAX | 2.41 | 17 |
| 24 | NE | 2.41 | 17 |
| 25 | SF | 2.47 | 17 |
| 26 | IND | 2.53 | 17 |
| 27 | NYG | 2.59 | 17 |
| 28 | CIN | 2.71 | 17 |
| 29 | DAL | 2.88 | 17 |
| 30 | TEN | 2.94 | 17 |
| 31 | CLE | 3 | 17 |
| 32 | CAR | 3.18 | 17 |
At a glance — 2024
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2024
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 1.29 | -0.89 | 100% |
| 2 | DEN | 1.53 | -0.66 | 96.8% |
| 3 | LAC | 1.71 | -0.48 | 93.5% |
| 4 | KC | 1.76 | -0.42 | 90.3% |
| 5 | MIA | 1.76 | -0.42 | 87.1% |
| 6 | MIN | 1.82 | -0.36 | 83.9% |
| 7 | PIT | 1.82 | -0.36 | 80.6% |
| 8 | BAL | 1.88 | -0.30 | 77.4% |
| 9 | CHI | 1.88 | -0.30 | 74.2% |
| 10 | DET | 1.88 | -0.30 | 71% |
| 11 | NYJ | 1.88 | -0.30 | 67.7% |
| 12 | GB | 1.94 | -0.24 | 64.5% |
| 13 | SEA | 1.94 | -0.24 | 61.3% |
| 14 | ARI | 2.06 | -0.13 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NO | 2.06 | -0.13 | 54.8% |
| 16 | WAS | 2.06 | -0.13 | 51.6% |
| 17 | HOU | 2.12 | -0.07 | 48.4% |
| 18 | LAR | 2.12 | -0.07 | 45.2% |
| 19 | TB | 2.24 | 0.05 | 41.9% |
| 20 | ATL | 2.35 | 0.17 | 38.7% |
| 21 | BUF | 2.35 | 0.17 | 35.5% |
| 22 | LV | 2.35 | 0.17 | 32.3% |
| 23 | JAX | 2.41 | 0.23 | 29% |
| 24 | NE | 2.41 | 0.23 | 25.8% |
| 25 | SF | 2.47 | 0.28 | 22.6% |
| 26 | IND | 2.53 | 0.34 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYG | 2.59 | 0.40 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CIN | 2.71 | 0.52 | 12.9% |
| 29 | DAL | 2.88 | 0.70 | 9.7% |
| 30 | TEN | 2.94 | 0.76 | 6.5% |
| 31 | CLE | 3 | 0.81 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CAR | 3.18 | 0.99 | 0% |
Does Xpm (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 883–695–37 ATS (56.0%) across 2020–2025, #42 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2021 (132–138, 48.9%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 167–87–2 | 65.7% |
| 2021 | 272 | 132–138–2 | 48.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 152–112–7 | 57.6% |
| 2023 | 272 | 141–117–14 | 54.7% |
| 2024 | 272 | 144–119–9 | 54.8% |
| 2025 | 272 | 147–122–3 | 54.6% |
Xpm (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023
Eagles lead at 1.29 — they ranked #30 last year. Panthers are last at 3.18 — #28 last year.
The league average is 2.19, up 0.13 from 2.06 last year.
Biggest riser: Eagles, #30 → #1. Biggest faller: 49ers, #2 → #25.
Spread between first and last: 1.88; 24 teams are within 0.44 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2024 vs 2023
| Rank | Team | 2024 | 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | 2.94 | 1.71 | +1.24 |
| 2 | SF | 2.47 | 1.35 | +1.12 |
| 3 | DAL | 2.88 | 1.82 | +1.06 |
| 4 | BUF | 2.35 | 1.47 | +0.88 |
| 5 | BAL | 1.88 | 1.06 | +0.82 |
| 6 | TB | 2.24 | 1.53 | +0.71 |
| 7 | CIN | 2.71 | 2.12 | +0.59 |
| 8 | CLE | 3 | 2.41 | +0.59 |
| 9 | NE | 2.41 | 1.82 | +0.59 |
| 10 | HOU | 2.12 | 1.59 | +0.53 |
| 11 | CAR | 3.18 | 2.65 | +0.53 |
| 12 | LAR | 2.12 | 1.71 | +0.41 |
| 13 | PIT | 1.82 | 1.41 | +0.41 |
| 14 | ATL | 2.35 | 2 | +0.35 |
| 15 | GB | 1.94 | 1.59 | +0.35 |
| 16 | LV | 2.35 | 2 | +0.35 |
| 17 | NO | 2.06 | 1.71 | +0.35 |
| 18 | IND | 2.53 | 2.29 | +0.24 |
| 19 | KC | 1.76 | 1.65 | +0.12 |
| 20 | NYG | 2.59 | 2.47 | +0.12 |
| 21 | NYJ | 1.88 | 1.82 | +0.06 |
| 22 | MIN | 1.82 | 1.88 | −0.06 |
| 23 | JAX | 2.41 | 2.47 | −0.06 |
| 24 | CHI | 1.88 | 2.18 | −0.29 |
| 25 | DET | 1.88 | 2.29 | −0.41 |
| 26 | SEA | 1.94 | 2.53 | −0.59 |
| 27 | DEN | 1.53 | 2.41 | −0.88 |
| 28 | MIA | 1.76 | 2.65 | −0.88 |
| 29 | LAC | 1.71 | 2.59 | −0.88 |
| 30 | ARI | 2.06 | 3 | −0.94 |
| 31 | WAS | 2.06 | 3.12 | −1.06 |
| 32 | PHI | 1.29 | 2.65 | −1.35 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.74 | −0.00 | 1.56 | 2.29 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| 2 | PIT | 1.90 | −0.02 | 2 | 2.24 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2 |
| 3 | SF | 1.92 | −0.06 | 2.31 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.35 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 1.40 |
| 4 | MIN | 1.93 | −0.24 | 2.63 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 0.80 |
| 5 | KC | 1.94 | −0.14 | 2.38 | 2.12 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
| 6 | LAR | 1.95 | −0.04 | 2 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2.12 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| 7 | SEA | 1.95 | +0.00 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 1.94 | 1.47 | 2 |
| 8 | DEN | 1.96 | −0.04 | 2.56 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 2.41 | 1.53 | 1.41 | 2.40 |
| 9 | NE | 2.00 | +0.01 | 2.31 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 1.94 | 2 |
| 10 | BUF | 2.03 | +0.19 | 2 | 1.53 | 1.69 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 2 | 3.20 |
| 11 | GB | 2.04 | −0.01 | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.40 |
| 12 | NO | 2.06 | +0.16 | 2.06 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 1.71 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 3.20 |
| 13 | PHI | 2.07 | −0.15 | 2.81 | 2.12 | 2 | 2.65 | 1.29 | 1.65 | 2 |
| 14 | TB | 2.13 | +0.01 | 2.38 | 2 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 2 |
| 15 | HOU | 2.22 | −0.20 | 3.06 | 2.59 | 2.59 | 1.59 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 2 |
| 16 | CLE | 2.23 | −0.03 | 2.38 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 2.41 | 3 | 2.24 | 1.60 |
| 17 | CHI | 2.24 | −0.13 | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.94 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.53 | 1.40 |
| 18 | ATL | 2.26 | −0.04 | 2.75 | 2.29 | 1.94 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.40 |
| 19 | TEN | 2.26 | +0.06 | 2.63 | 1.71 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2 |
| 20 | JAX | 2.27 | −0.23 | 3.19 | 2.76 | 1.76 | 2.47 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 1.40 |
| 21 | NYG | 2.28 | +0.06 | 1.81 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| 22 | LAC | 2.29 | −0.07 | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 2.60 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.31 | −0.00 | 2.69 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 2.71 | 3.24 | 1.60 |
| 24 | NYJ | 2.35 | −0.12 | 3.13 | 2.94 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 3.18 | 1.80 |
| 25 | MIA | 2.41 | +0.06 | 2.44 | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 1.76 | 2.53 | 3 |
| 26 | IND | 2.41 | +0.08 | 2.56 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.24 | 3 |
| 27 | DAL | 2.46 | +0.19 | 2.81 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 2.88 | 3.12 | 3.20 |
| 28 | CAR | 2.47 | +0.12 | 2.31 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.41 | 2.75 |
| 29 | DET | 2.50 | −0.09 | 3.31 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 2.29 | 2.80 |
| 30 | LV | 2.52 | +0.03 | 2.75 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 3 |
| 31 | WAS | 2.56 | +0.16 | 2.06 | 2.53 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 2.06 | 2.71 | 3.40 |
| 32 | ARI | 2.59 | +0.12 | 2.25 | 2.06 | 2.82 | 3 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 3.20 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 2.81 | 2.12 | 2 | 2.65 | 1.29 | 1.65 | 2 |
| DEN | 2.56 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 2.41 | 1.53 | 1.41 | 2.40 |
| LAC | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 2.60 |
| KC | 2.38 | 2.12 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
| MIA | 2.44 | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 1.76 | 2.53 | 3 |
| MIN | 2.63 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 0.80 |
| PIT | 2 | 2.24 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2 |
| BAL | 1.56 | 2.29 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| CHI | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.94 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.53 | 1.40 |
| DET | 3.31 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 2.29 | 2.80 |
| NYJ | 3.13 | 2.94 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 3.18 | 1.80 |
| GB | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.40 |
| SEA | 1.63 | 1.82 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 1.94 | 1.47 | 2 |
| ARI | 2.25 | 2.06 | 2.82 | 3 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 3.20 |
| NO | 2.06 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 1.71 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 3.20 |
| WAS | 2.06 | 2.53 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 2.06 | 2.71 | 3.40 |
| HOU | 3.06 | 2.59 | 2.59 | 1.59 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 2 |
| LAR | 2 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2.12 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| TB | 2.38 | 2 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 2 |
| ATL | 2.75 | 2.29 | 1.94 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.40 |
| BUF | 2 | 1.53 | 1.69 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 2 | 3.20 |
| LV | 2.75 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 3 |
| JAX | 3.19 | 2.76 | 1.76 | 2.47 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 1.40 |
| NE | 2.31 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 1.94 | 2 |
| SF | 2.31 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.35 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 1.40 |
| IND | 2.56 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.24 | 3 |
| NYG | 1.81 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| CIN | 2.69 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 2.71 | 3.24 | 1.60 |
| DAL | 2.81 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 2.88 | 3.12 | 3.20 |
| TEN | 2.63 | 1.71 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2 |
| CLE | 2.38 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 2.41 | 3 | 2.24 | 1.60 |
| CAR | 2.31 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.41 | 2.75 |
Xpm (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.38), 2019 Ravens (1.31), 2020 Ravens (1.56), 2021 Bills (1.53), 2022 Saints (1.59), 2023 Ravens (1.06), 2024 Eagles (1.29).
Ravens have led this stat 3 of 7 seasons.
The best season on record is Ravens 2023 at 1.06; the worst Lions 2020 at 3.31.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_team_scoring_xpm
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Scoring
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.