Defensive: Scoring · Xpm (allowed)
What Xpm (allowed) is
Extra points opponents made against this team. Near-automatic, so it tracks touchdowns allowed.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2020 the Ravens led at 1.56; the league average was 2.43.
League snapshot — 2020
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.56 | 16 |
| 2 | SEA | 1.63 | 16 |
| 3 | NYG | 1.81 | 16 |
| 4 | BUF | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | LAR | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | PIT | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | NO | 2.06 | 16 |
| 8 | WAS | 2.06 | 16 |
| 9 | GB | 2.19 | 16 |
| 10 | ARI | 2.25 | 16 |
| 11 | CAR | 2.31 | 16 |
| 12 | CHI | 2.31 | 16 |
| 13 | NE | 2.31 | 16 |
| 14 | SF | 2.31 | 16 |
| 15 | CLE | 2.38 | 16 |
| 16 | KC | 2.38 | 16 |
| 17 | TB | 2.38 | 16 |
| 18 | MIA | 2.44 | 16 |
| 19 | LAC | 2.50 | 16 |
| 20 | DEN | 2.56 | 16 |
| 21 | IND | 2.56 | 16 |
| 22 | MIN | 2.63 | 16 |
| 23 | TEN | 2.63 | 16 |
| 24 | CIN | 2.69 | 16 |
| 25 | ATL | 2.75 | 16 |
| 26 | LV | 2.75 | 16 |
| 27 | DAL | 2.81 | 16 |
| 28 | PHI | 2.81 | 16 |
| 29 | HOU | 3.06 | 16 |
| 30 | NYJ | 3.13 | 16 |
| 31 | JAX | 3.19 | 16 |
| 32 | DET | 3.31 | 16 |
At a glance — 2020
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2020
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.56 | -0.87 | 100% |
| 2 | SEA | 1.63 | -0.80 | 96.8% |
| 3 | NYG | 1.81 | -0.62 | 93.5% |
| 4 | BUF | 2 | -0.43 | 90.3% |
| 5 | LAR | 2 | -0.43 | 87.1% |
| 6 | PIT | 2 | -0.43 | 83.9% |
| 7 | NO | 2.06 | -0.37 | 80.6% |
| 8 | WAS | 2.06 | -0.37 | 77.4% |
| 9 | GB | 2.19 | -0.24 | 74.2% |
| 10 | ARI | 2.25 | -0.18 | 71% |
| 11 | CAR | 2.31 | -0.12 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CHI | 2.31 | -0.12 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NE | 2.31 | -0.12 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SF | 2.31 | -0.12 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CLE | 2.38 | -0.05 | 54.8% |
| 16 | KC | 2.38 | -0.05 | 51.6% |
| 17 | TB | 2.38 | -0.05 | 48.4% |
| 18 | MIA | 2.44 | 0.01 | 45.2% |
| 19 | LAC | 2.50 | 0.07 | 41.9% |
| 20 | DEN | 2.56 | 0.13 | 38.7% |
| 21 | IND | 2.56 | 0.13 | 35.5% |
| 22 | MIN | 2.63 | 0.20 | 32.3% |
| 23 | TEN | 2.63 | 0.20 | 29% |
| 24 | CIN | 2.69 | 0.26 | 25.8% |
| 25 | ATL | 2.75 | 0.32 | 22.6% |
| 26 | LV | 2.75 | 0.32 | 19.4% |
| 27 | DAL | 2.81 | 0.38 | 16.1% |
| 28 | PHI | 2.81 | 0.38 | 12.9% |
| 29 | HOU | 3.06 | 0.63 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYJ | 3.13 | 0.70 | 6.5% |
| 31 | JAX | 3.19 | 0.76 | 3.2% |
| 32 | DET | 3.31 | 0.88 | 0% |
Does Xpm (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 883–695–37 ATS (56.0%) across 2020–2025, #42 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2021 (132–138, 48.9%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 167–87–2 | 65.7% |
| 2021 | 272 | 132–138–2 | 48.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 152–112–7 | 57.6% |
| 2023 | 272 | 141–117–14 | 54.7% |
| 2024 | 272 | 144–119–9 | 54.8% |
| 2025 | 272 | 147–122–3 | 54.6% |
Xpm (allowed) in 2020 vs 2019
Ravens lead at 1.56 — they ranked #1 last year. Lions are last at 3.31 — #26 last year.
The league average is 2.43, up 0.21 from 2.22 last year.
Biggest riser: Giants, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Jets, #10 → #30.
Spread between first and last: 1.75; 22 teams are within 0.42 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2020 vs 2019
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2020 vs 2019
| Rank | Team | 2020 | 2019 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 3.13 | 1.81 | +1.31 |
| 2 | DAL | 2.81 | 1.81 | +1 |
| 3 | MIN | 2.63 | 1.63 | +1 |
| 4 | DEN | 2.56 | 1.63 | +0.94 |
| 5 | KC | 2.38 | 1.44 | +0.94 |
| 6 | NE | 2.31 | 1.50 | +0.81 |
| 7 | TEN | 2.63 | 1.88 | +0.75 |
| 8 | BUF | 2 | 1.31 | +0.69 |
| 9 | CHI | 2.31 | 1.69 | +0.63 |
| 10 | PHI | 2.81 | 2.19 | +0.63 |
| 11 | ATL | 2.75 | 2.19 | +0.56 |
| 12 | DET | 3.31 | 2.75 | +0.56 |
| 13 | JAX | 3.19 | 2.69 | +0.50 |
| 14 | LAC | 2.50 | 2 | +0.50 |
| 15 | SF | 2.31 | 1.81 | +0.50 |
| 16 | GB | 2.19 | 1.75 | +0.44 |
| 17 | HOU | 3.06 | 2.63 | +0.44 |
| 18 | BAL | 1.56 | 1.31 | +0.25 |
| 19 | IND | 2.56 | 2.38 | +0.19 |
| 20 | PIT | 2 | 1.88 | +0.13 |
| 21 | NO | 2.06 | 2.06 | 0 |
| 22 | TB | 2.38 | 2.38 | 0 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.69 | 2.75 | −0.06 |
| 24 | CLE | 2.38 | 2.63 | −0.25 |
| 25 | LV | 2.75 | 3.19 | −0.44 |
| 26 | LAR | 2 | 2.50 | −0.50 |
| 27 | MIA | 2.44 | 2.94 | −0.50 |
| 28 | SEA | 1.63 | 2.19 | −0.56 |
| 29 | CAR | 2.31 | 3.06 | −0.75 |
| 30 | ARI | 2.25 | 3.06 | −0.81 |
| 31 | WAS | 2.06 | 2.88 | −0.81 |
| 32 | NYG | 1.81 | 3.13 | −1.31 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.74 | −0.00 | 1.56 | 2.29 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| 2 | PIT | 1.90 | −0.02 | 2 | 2.24 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2 |
| 3 | SF | 1.92 | −0.06 | 2.31 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.35 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 1.40 |
| 4 | MIN | 1.93 | −0.24 | 2.63 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 0.80 |
| 5 | KC | 1.94 | −0.14 | 2.38 | 2.12 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
| 6 | LAR | 1.95 | −0.04 | 2 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2.12 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| 7 | SEA | 1.95 | +0.00 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 1.94 | 1.47 | 2 |
| 8 | DEN | 1.96 | −0.04 | 2.56 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 2.41 | 1.53 | 1.41 | 2.40 |
| 9 | NE | 2.00 | +0.01 | 2.31 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 1.94 | 2 |
| 10 | BUF | 2.03 | +0.19 | 2 | 1.53 | 1.69 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 2 | 3.20 |
| 11 | GB | 2.04 | −0.01 | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.40 |
| 12 | NO | 2.06 | +0.16 | 2.06 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 1.71 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 3.20 |
| 13 | PHI | 2.07 | −0.15 | 2.81 | 2.12 | 2 | 2.65 | 1.29 | 1.65 | 2 |
| 14 | TB | 2.13 | +0.01 | 2.38 | 2 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 2 |
| 15 | HOU | 2.22 | −0.20 | 3.06 | 2.59 | 2.59 | 1.59 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 2 |
| 16 | CLE | 2.23 | −0.03 | 2.38 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 2.41 | 3 | 2.24 | 1.60 |
| 17 | CHI | 2.24 | −0.13 | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.94 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.53 | 1.40 |
| 18 | ATL | 2.26 | −0.04 | 2.75 | 2.29 | 1.94 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.40 |
| 19 | TEN | 2.26 | +0.06 | 2.63 | 1.71 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2 |
| 20 | JAX | 2.27 | −0.23 | 3.19 | 2.76 | 1.76 | 2.47 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 1.40 |
| 21 | NYG | 2.28 | +0.06 | 1.81 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| 22 | LAC | 2.29 | −0.07 | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 2.60 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.31 | −0.00 | 2.69 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 2.71 | 3.24 | 1.60 |
| 24 | NYJ | 2.35 | −0.12 | 3.13 | 2.94 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 3.18 | 1.80 |
| 25 | MIA | 2.41 | +0.06 | 2.44 | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 1.76 | 2.53 | 3 |
| 26 | IND | 2.41 | +0.08 | 2.56 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.24 | 3 |
| 27 | DAL | 2.46 | +0.19 | 2.81 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 2.88 | 3.12 | 3.20 |
| 28 | CAR | 2.47 | +0.12 | 2.31 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.41 | 2.75 |
| 29 | DET | 2.50 | −0.09 | 3.31 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 2.29 | 2.80 |
| 30 | LV | 2.52 | +0.03 | 2.75 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 3 |
| 31 | WAS | 2.56 | +0.16 | 2.06 | 2.53 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 2.06 | 2.71 | 3.40 |
| 32 | ARI | 2.59 | +0.12 | 2.25 | 2.06 | 2.82 | 3 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 3.20 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 1.56 | 2.29 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| SEA | 1.63 | 1.82 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 1.94 | 1.47 | 2 |
| NYG | 1.81 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| BUF | 2 | 1.53 | 1.69 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 2 | 3.20 |
| LAR | 2 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2.12 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| PIT | 2 | 2.24 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2 |
| NO | 2.06 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 1.71 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 3.20 |
| WAS | 2.06 | 2.53 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 2.06 | 2.71 | 3.40 |
| GB | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.40 |
| ARI | 2.25 | 2.06 | 2.82 | 3 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 3.20 |
| CAR | 2.31 | 1.88 | 2.12 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.41 | 2.75 |
| CHI | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.94 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.53 | 1.40 |
| NE | 2.31 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 1.94 | 2 |
| SF | 2.31 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 1.35 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 1.40 |
| CLE | 2.38 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 2.41 | 3 | 2.24 | 1.60 |
| KC | 2.38 | 2.12 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
| TB | 2.38 | 2 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 2 |
| MIA | 2.44 | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.65 | 1.76 | 2.53 | 3 |
| LAC | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 2.60 |
| DEN | 2.56 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 2.41 | 1.53 | 1.41 | 2.40 |
| IND | 2.56 | 1.82 | 2.41 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.24 | 3 |
| MIN | 2.63 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 0.80 |
| TEN | 2.63 | 1.71 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2 |
| CIN | 2.69 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 2.71 | 3.24 | 1.60 |
| ATL | 2.75 | 2.29 | 1.94 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.40 |
| LV | 2.75 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 3 |
| DAL | 2.81 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 2.88 | 3.12 | 3.20 |
| PHI | 2.81 | 2.12 | 2 | 2.65 | 1.29 | 1.65 | 2 |
| HOU | 3.06 | 2.59 | 2.59 | 1.59 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 2 |
| NYJ | 3.13 | 2.94 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 3.18 | 1.80 |
| JAX | 3.19 | 2.76 | 1.76 | 2.47 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 1.40 |
| DET | 3.31 | 2.53 | 2.35 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 2.29 | 2.80 |
Xpm (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.38), 2019 Ravens (1.31), 2020 Ravens (1.56).
Ravens have led this stat 2 of 3 seasons.
The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 1.31; the worst Lions 2020 at 3.31.
The league average has risen from 2.27 in 2018 to 2.43 in 2020.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2020.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_team_scoring_xpm
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Scoring
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.