What Xpm (allowed) is

Extra points opponents made against this team. Near-automatic, so it tracks touchdowns allowed.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Bears led at 1.38; the league average was 2.27.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

CHI · 1.38

League average

2.27

Best to worst

1.81

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CHI	1.38	16
2	BAL	1.69	16
3	MIN	1.75	16
4	PHI	1.75	16
5	HOU	1.81	16
6	JAX	1.81	16
7	LAC	1.88	16
8	DAL	1.94	16
9	SEA	1.94	16
10	TEN	1.94	16
11	NO	2	16
12	NE	2.13	16
13	WAS	2.13	16
14	DEN	2.19	16
15	DET	2.19	16
16	BUF	2.25	16
17	CLE	2.25	16
18	IND	2.25	16
19	KC	2.31	16
20	PIT	2.38	16
21	LAR	2.44	16
22	NYG	2.44	16
23	ATL	2.56	16
24	ARI	2.63	16
25	CAR	2.63	16
26	NYJ	2.63	16
27	GB	2.69	16
28	CIN	2.75	16
29	SF	2.81	16
30	MIA	2.94	16
31	LV	3.13	16
32	TB	3.19	16

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CHI · 1.38

League laggard

TB · 3.19

League average

2.27

Spread (max − min)

1.81

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CHI	1.38	-0.90	100%
2	BAL	1.69	-0.59	96.8%
3	MIN	1.75	-0.52	93.5%
4	PHI	1.75	-0.52	90.3%
5	HOU	1.81	-0.46	87.1%
6	JAX	1.81	-0.46	83.9%
7	LAC	1.88	-0.40	80.6%
8	DAL	1.94	-0.34	77.4%
9	SEA	1.94	-0.34	74.2%
10	TEN	1.94	-0.34	71%
11	NO	2	-0.27	67.7%
12	NE	2.13	-0.15	64.5%
13	WAS	2.13	-0.15	61.3%
14	DEN	2.19	-0.09	58.1%
15	DET	2.19	-0.09	54.8%
16	BUF	2.25	-0.02	51.6%
17	CLE	2.25	-0.02	48.4%
18	IND	2.25	-0.02	45.2%
19	KC	2.31	0.04	41.9%
20	PIT	2.38	0.10	38.7%
21	LAR	2.44	0.16	35.5%
22	NYG	2.44	0.16	32.3%
23	ATL	2.56	0.29	29%
24	ARI	2.63	0.35	25.8%
25	CAR	2.63	0.35	22.6%
26	NYJ	2.63	0.35	19.4%
27	GB	2.69	0.41	16.1%
28	CIN	2.75	0.48	12.9%
29	SF	2.81	0.54	9.7%
30	MIA	2.94	0.66	6.5%
31	LV	3.13	0.85	3.2%
32	TB	3.19	0.91	0%

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 883–695–37 ATS (56.0%) across 2020–2025, #42 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2021 (132–138, 48.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	167–87–2	65.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	152–112–7	57.6%
2023	272	141–117–14	54.7%
2024	272	144–119–9	54.8%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 1.74

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 2.59

Biggest improver

MIN · −0.24/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · +0.19/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	1.74	−0.00	1.56	2.29	1.65	1.06	1.88	2.12	1.60
2	PIT	1.90	−0.02	2	2.24	1.88	1.41	1.82	1.94	2
3	SF	1.92	−0.06	2.31	2.12	1.59	1.35	2.47	2.18	1.40
4	MIN	1.93	−0.24	2.63	2.24	2.29	1.88	1.82	1.82	0.80
5	KC	1.94	−0.14	2.38	2.12	2.35	1.65	1.76	1.82	1.50
6	LAR	1.95	−0.04	2	2.12	2.12	1.71	2.12	1.82	1.80
7	SEA	1.95	+0.00	1.63	1.82	2.29	2.53	1.94	1.47	2
8	DEN	1.96	−0.04	2.56	1.65	1.76	2.41	1.53	1.41	2.40
9	NE	2.00	+0.01	2.31	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.41	1.94	2
10	BUF	2.03	+0.19	2	1.53	1.69	1.47	2.35	2	3.20
11	GB	2.04	−0.01	2.19	2.24	2.12	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.40
12	NO	2.06	+0.16	2.06	1.76	1.59	1.71	2.06	2.06	3.20
13	PHI	2.07	−0.15	2.81	2.12	2	2.65	1.29	1.65	2
14	TB	2.13	+0.01	2.38	2	2.12	1.53	2.24	2.65	2
15	HOU	2.22	−0.20	3.06	2.59	2.59	1.59	2.12	1.59	2
16	CLE	2.23	−0.03	2.38	1.94	2.06	2.41	3	2.24	1.60
17	CHI	2.24	−0.13	2.31	2.47	2.94	2.18	1.88	2.53	1.40
18	ATL	2.26	−0.04	2.75	2.29	1.94	2	2.35	2.06	2.40
19	TEN	2.26	+0.06	2.63	1.71	1.88	1.71	2.94	2.94	2
20	JAX	2.27	−0.23	3.19	2.76	1.76	2.47	2.41	1.88	1.40
21	NYG	2.28	+0.06	1.81	2.47	2	2.47	2.59	2.41	2.20
22	LAC	2.29	−0.07	2.50	2.53	2.35	2.59	1.71	1.76	2.60
23	CIN	2.31	−0.00	2.69	2.18	1.63	2.12	2.71	3.24	1.60
24	NYJ	2.35	−0.12	3.13	2.94	1.71	1.82	1.88	3.18	1.80
25	MIA	2.41	+0.06	2.44	2.24	2.24	2.65	1.76	2.53	3
26	IND	2.41	+0.08	2.56	1.82	2.41	2.29	2.53	2.24	3
27	DAL	2.46	+0.19	2.81	1.71	1.65	1.82	2.88	3.12	3.20
28	CAR	2.47	+0.12	2.31	1.88	2.12	2.65	3.18	2.41	2.75
29	DET	2.50	−0.09	3.31	2.53	2.35	2.29	1.88	2.29	2.80
30	LV	2.52	+0.03	2.75	2.59	2.35	2	2.35	2.59	3
31	WAS	2.56	+0.16	2.06	2.53	2.06	3.12	2.06	2.71	3.40
32	ARI	2.59	+0.12	2.25	2.06	2.82	3	2.06	2.76	3.20

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_scoring_xpm
Side: defensive
Family: Scoring
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.