What Xpm (allowed) is

Extra points opponents made against this team. Near-automatic, so it tracks touchdowns allowed.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Ravens led at 1.06; the league average was 2.06.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

BAL · 1.06

League average

2.06

Best to worst

2.06

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BAL	1.06	17
2	SF	1.35	17
3	PIT	1.41	17
4	BUF	1.47	17
5	TB	1.53	17
6	GB	1.59	17
7	HOU	1.59	17
8	KC	1.65	17
9	LAR	1.71	17
10	NO	1.71	17
11	TEN	1.71	17
12	DAL	1.82	17
13	NE	1.82	17
14	NYJ	1.82	17
15	MIN	1.88	17
16	ATL	2	17
17	LV	2	17
18	CIN	2.12	17
19	CHI	2.18	17
20	DET	2.29	17
21	IND	2.29	17
22	CLE	2.41	17
23	DEN	2.41	17
24	JAX	2.47	17
25	NYG	2.47	17
26	SEA	2.53	17
27	LAC	2.59	17
28	CAR	2.65	17
29	MIA	2.65	17
30	PHI	2.65	17
31	ARI	3	17
32	WAS	3.12	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BAL · 1.06

League laggard

WAS · 3.12

League average

2.06

Spread (max − min)

2.06

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BAL	1.06	-1.00	100%
2	SF	1.35	-0.71	96.8%
3	PIT	1.41	-0.65	93.5%
4	BUF	1.47	-0.59	90.3%
5	TB	1.53	-0.53	87.1%
6	GB	1.59	-0.47	83.9%
7	HOU	1.59	-0.47	80.6%
8	KC	1.65	-0.41	77.4%
9	LAR	1.71	-0.35	74.2%
10	NO	1.71	-0.35	71%
11	TEN	1.71	-0.35	67.7%
12	DAL	1.82	-0.24	64.5%
13	NE	1.82	-0.24	61.3%
14	NYJ	1.82	-0.24	58.1%
15	MIN	1.88	-0.18	54.8%
16	ATL	2	-0.06	51.6%
17	LV	2	-0.06	48.4%
18	CIN	2.12	0.06	45.2%
19	CHI	2.18	0.12	41.9%
20	DET	2.29	0.23	38.7%
21	IND	2.29	0.23	35.5%
22	CLE	2.41	0.35	32.3%
23	DEN	2.41	0.35	29%
24	JAX	2.47	0.41	25.8%
25	NYG	2.47	0.41	22.6%
26	SEA	2.53	0.47	19.4%
27	LAC	2.59	0.53	16.1%
28	CAR	2.65	0.59	12.9%
29	MIA	2.65	0.59	9.7%
30	PHI	2.65	0.59	6.5%
31	ARI	3	0.94	3.2%
32	WAS	3.12	1.06	0%

Does Xpm (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 883–695–37 ATS (56.0%) across 2020–2025, #42 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2021 (132–138, 48.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	167–87–2	65.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	152–112–7	57.6%
2023	272	141–117–14	54.7%
2024	272	144–119–9	54.8%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Xpm (allowed) in 2023 vs 2022

Ravens lead at 1.06 — they ranked #4 last year. Commanders are last at 3.12 — #17 last year.

The league average is 2.06, down 0.01 from 2.07 last year.

Biggest riser: Texans, #30 → #7. Biggest faller: Bengals, #3 → #18.

Spread between first and last: 2.06; 21 teams are within 0.50 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

WAS · +1.06

Biggest faller

HOU · −1.00

Most consistent

ATL · +0.06

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.01

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	WAS	3.12	2.06	+1.06
2	JAX	2.47	1.76	+0.71
3	DEN	2.41	1.76	+0.65
4	PHI	2.65	2	+0.65
5	CAR	2.65	2.12	+0.53
6	CIN	2.12	1.63	+0.49
7	NYG	2.47	2	+0.47
8	MIA	2.65	2.24	+0.41
9	CLE	2.41	2.06	+0.35
10	LAC	2.59	2.35	+0.24
11	SEA	2.53	2.29	+0.24
12	DAL	1.82	1.65	+0.18
13	ARI	3	2.82	+0.18
14	NO	1.71	1.59	+0.12
15	NYJ	1.82	1.71	+0.12
16	ATL	2	1.94	+0.06
17	DET	2.29	2.35	−0.06
18	IND	2.29	2.41	−0.12
19	NE	1.82	1.94	−0.12
20	TEN	1.71	1.88	−0.18
21	BUF	1.47	1.69	−0.22
22	SF	1.35	1.59	−0.24
23	LV	2	2.35	−0.35
24	MIN	1.88	2.29	−0.41
25	LAR	1.71	2.12	−0.41
26	PIT	1.41	1.88	−0.47
27	GB	1.59	2.12	−0.53
28	BAL	1.06	1.65	−0.59
29	TB	1.53	2.12	−0.59
30	KC	1.65	2.35	−0.71
31	CHI	2.18	2.94	−0.76
32	HOU	1.59	2.59	−1.00

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 1.74

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 2.59

Biggest improver

MIN · −0.24/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · +0.19/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	1.74	−0.00	1.56	2.29	1.65	1.06	1.88	2.12	1.60
2	PIT	1.90	−0.02	2	2.24	1.88	1.41	1.82	1.94	2
3	SF	1.92	−0.06	2.31	2.12	1.59	1.35	2.47	2.18	1.40
4	MIN	1.93	−0.24	2.63	2.24	2.29	1.88	1.82	1.82	0.80
5	KC	1.94	−0.14	2.38	2.12	2.35	1.65	1.76	1.82	1.50
6	LAR	1.95	−0.04	2	2.12	2.12	1.71	2.12	1.82	1.80
7	SEA	1.95	+0.00	1.63	1.82	2.29	2.53	1.94	1.47	2
8	DEN	1.96	−0.04	2.56	1.65	1.76	2.41	1.53	1.41	2.40
9	NE	2.00	+0.01	2.31	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.41	1.94	2
10	BUF	2.03	+0.19	2	1.53	1.69	1.47	2.35	2	3.20
11	GB	2.04	−0.01	2.19	2.24	2.12	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.40
12	NO	2.06	+0.16	2.06	1.76	1.59	1.71	2.06	2.06	3.20
13	PHI	2.07	−0.15	2.81	2.12	2	2.65	1.29	1.65	2
14	TB	2.13	+0.01	2.38	2	2.12	1.53	2.24	2.65	2
15	HOU	2.22	−0.20	3.06	2.59	2.59	1.59	2.12	1.59	2
16	CLE	2.23	−0.03	2.38	1.94	2.06	2.41	3	2.24	1.60
17	CHI	2.24	−0.13	2.31	2.47	2.94	2.18	1.88	2.53	1.40
18	ATL	2.26	−0.04	2.75	2.29	1.94	2	2.35	2.06	2.40
19	TEN	2.26	+0.06	2.63	1.71	1.88	1.71	2.94	2.94	2
20	JAX	2.27	−0.23	3.19	2.76	1.76	2.47	2.41	1.88	1.40
21	NYG	2.28	+0.06	1.81	2.47	2	2.47	2.59	2.41	2.20
22	LAC	2.29	−0.07	2.50	2.53	2.35	2.59	1.71	1.76	2.60
23	CIN	2.31	−0.00	2.69	2.18	1.63	2.12	2.71	3.24	1.60
24	NYJ	2.35	−0.12	3.13	2.94	1.71	1.82	1.88	3.18	1.80
25	MIA	2.41	+0.06	2.44	2.24	2.24	2.65	1.76	2.53	3
26	IND	2.41	+0.08	2.56	1.82	2.41	2.29	2.53	2.24	3
27	DAL	2.46	+0.19	2.81	1.71	1.65	1.82	2.88	3.12	3.20
28	CAR	2.47	+0.12	2.31	1.88	2.12	2.65	3.18	2.41	2.75
29	DET	2.50	−0.09	3.31	2.53	2.35	2.29	1.88	2.29	2.80
30	LV	2.52	+0.03	2.75	2.59	2.35	2	2.35	2.59	3
31	WAS	2.56	+0.16	2.06	2.53	2.06	3.12	2.06	2.71	3.40
32	ARI	2.59	+0.12	2.25	2.06	2.82	3	2.06	2.76	3.20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BAL	1.56	2.29	1.65	1.06	1.88	2.12	1.60
SF	2.31	2.12	1.59	1.35	2.47	2.18	1.40
PIT	2	2.24	1.88	1.41	1.82	1.94	2
BUF	2	1.53	1.69	1.47	2.35	2	3.20
TB	2.38	2	2.12	1.53	2.24	2.65	2
GB	2.19	2.24	2.12	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.40
HOU	3.06	2.59	2.59	1.59	2.12	1.59	2
KC	2.38	2.12	2.35	1.65	1.76	1.82	1.50
LAR	2	2.12	2.12	1.71	2.12	1.82	1.80
NO	2.06	1.76	1.59	1.71	2.06	2.06	3.20
TEN	2.63	1.71	1.88	1.71	2.94	2.94	2
DAL	2.81	1.71	1.65	1.82	2.88	3.12	3.20
NE	2.31	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.41	1.94	2
NYJ	3.13	2.94	1.71	1.82	1.88	3.18	1.80
MIN	2.63	2.24	2.29	1.88	1.82	1.82	0.80
ATL	2.75	2.29	1.94	2	2.35	2.06	2.40
LV	2.75	2.59	2.35	2	2.35	2.59	3
CIN	2.69	2.18	1.63	2.12	2.71	3.24	1.60
CHI	2.31	2.47	2.94	2.18	1.88	2.53	1.40
DET	3.31	2.53	2.35	2.29	1.88	2.29	2.80
IND	2.56	1.82	2.41	2.29	2.53	2.24	3
CLE	2.38	1.94	2.06	2.41	3	2.24	1.60
DEN	2.56	1.65	1.76	2.41	1.53	1.41	2.40
JAX	3.19	2.76	1.76	2.47	2.41	1.88	1.40
NYG	1.81	2.47	2	2.47	2.59	2.41	2.20
SEA	1.63	1.82	2.29	2.53	1.94	1.47	2
LAC	2.50	2.53	2.35	2.59	1.71	1.76	2.60
CAR	2.31	1.88	2.12	2.65	3.18	2.41	2.75
MIA	2.44	2.24	2.24	2.65	1.76	2.53	3
PHI	2.81	2.12	2	2.65	1.29	1.65	2
ARI	2.25	2.06	2.82	3	2.06	2.76	3.20
WAS	2.06	2.53	2.06	3.12	2.06	2.71	3.40

Xpm (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.38), 2019 Ravens (1.31), 2020 Ravens (1.56), 2021 Bills (1.53), 2022 Saints (1.59), 2023 Ravens (1.06).

Ravens have led this stat 3 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2023 at 1.06; the worst Lions 2020 at 3.31.

The league average has fallen from 2.27 in 2018 to 2.06 in 2023.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_scoring_xpm
Side: defensive
Family: Scoring
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.