What Xpm (allowed) is

Extra points opponents made against this team. Near-automatic, so it tracks touchdowns allowed.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Broncos led at 1.41; the league average was 2.22.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

DEN · 1.41

League average

2.22

Best to worst

1.82

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	1.41	17
2	SEA	1.47	17
3	HOU	1.59	17
4	PHI	1.65	17
5	LAC	1.76	17
6	GB	1.82	17
7	KC	1.82	17
8	LAR	1.82	17
9	MIN	1.82	17
10	JAX	1.88	17
11	NE	1.94	17
12	PIT	1.94	17
13	BUF	2	17
14	ATL	2.06	17
15	NO	2.06	17
16	BAL	2.12	17
17	SF	2.18	17
18	CLE	2.24	17
19	IND	2.24	17
20	DET	2.29	17
21	CAR	2.41	17
22	NYG	2.41	17
23	CHI	2.53	17
24	MIA	2.53	17
25	LV	2.59	17
26	TB	2.65	17
27	WAS	2.71	17
28	ARI	2.76	17
29	TEN	2.94	17
30	DAL	3.12	17
31	NYJ	3.18	17
32	CIN	3.24	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 1.41

League laggard

CIN · 3.24

League average

2.22

Spread (max − min)

1.82

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	1.41	-0.81	100%
2	SEA	1.47	-0.75	96.8%
3	HOU	1.59	-0.64	93.5%
4	PHI	1.65	-0.58	90.3%
5	LAC	1.76	-0.46	87.1%
6	GB	1.82	-0.40	83.9%
7	KC	1.82	-0.40	80.6%
8	LAR	1.82	-0.40	77.4%
9	MIN	1.82	-0.40	74.2%
10	JAX	1.88	-0.34	71%
11	NE	1.94	-0.28	67.7%
12	PIT	1.94	-0.28	64.5%
13	BUF	2	-0.22	61.3%
14	ATL	2.06	-0.17	58.1%
15	NO	2.06	-0.17	54.8%
16	BAL	2.12	-0.11	51.6%
17	SF	2.18	-0.05	48.4%
18	CLE	2.24	0.01	45.2%
19	IND	2.24	0.01	41.9%
20	DET	2.29	0.07	38.7%
21	CAR	2.41	0.19	35.5%
22	NYG	2.41	0.19	32.3%
23	CHI	2.53	0.31	29%
24	MIA	2.53	0.31	25.8%
25	LV	2.59	0.36	22.6%
26	TB	2.65	0.42	19.4%
27	WAS	2.71	0.48	16.1%
28	ARI	2.76	0.54	12.9%
29	TEN	2.94	0.72	9.7%
30	DAL	3.12	0.89	6.5%
31	NYJ	3.18	0.95	3.2%
32	CIN	3.24	1.01	0%

Does Xpm (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 883–695–37 ATS (56.0%) across 2020–2025, #42 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2021 (132–138, 48.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	167–87–2	65.7%
2021	272	132–138–2	48.9%
2022	271	152–112–7	57.6%
2023	272	141–117–14	54.7%
2024	272	144–119–9	54.8%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Xpm (allowed) in 2025 vs 2024

Broncos lead at 1.41 — they ranked #2 last year. Bengals are last at 3.24 — #28 last year.

The league average is 2.22, up 0.04 from 2.19 last year.

Biggest riser: Texans, #17 → #3. Biggest faller: Jets, #11 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 1.82; 23 teams are within 0.49 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NYJ · +1.29

Biggest faller

CLE · −0.76

Most consistent

MIN · 0

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.04

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	NYJ	3.18	1.88	+1.29
2	MIA	2.53	1.76	+0.76
3	ARI	2.76	2.06	+0.71
4	WAS	2.71	2.06	+0.65
5	CHI	2.53	1.88	+0.65
6	CIN	3.24	2.71	+0.53
7	DET	2.29	1.88	+0.41
8	TB	2.65	2.24	+0.41
9	PHI	1.65	1.29	+0.35
10	BAL	2.12	1.88	+0.24
11	DAL	3.12	2.88	+0.24
12	LV	2.59	2.35	+0.24
13	PIT	1.94	1.82	+0.12
14	KC	1.82	1.76	+0.06
15	LAC	1.76	1.71	+0.06
16	MIN	1.82	1.82	0
17	NO	2.06	2.06	0
18	TEN	2.94	2.94	0
19	DEN	1.41	1.53	−0.12
20	GB	1.82	1.94	−0.12
21	NYG	2.41	2.59	−0.18
22	IND	2.24	2.53	−0.29
23	LAR	1.82	2.12	−0.29
24	ATL	2.06	2.35	−0.29
25	SF	2.18	2.47	−0.29
26	BUF	2	2.35	−0.35
27	NE	1.94	2.41	−0.47
28	SEA	1.47	1.94	−0.47
29	JAX	1.88	2.41	−0.53
30	HOU	1.59	2.12	−0.53
31	CAR	2.41	3.18	−0.76
32	CLE	2.24	3	−0.76

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 1.74

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 2.59

Biggest improver

MIN · −0.24/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · +0.19/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	1.74	−0.00	1.56	2.29	1.65	1.06	1.88	2.12	1.60
2	PIT	1.90	−0.02	2	2.24	1.88	1.41	1.82	1.94	2
3	SF	1.92	−0.06	2.31	2.12	1.59	1.35	2.47	2.18	1.40
4	MIN	1.93	−0.24	2.63	2.24	2.29	1.88	1.82	1.82	0.80
5	KC	1.94	−0.14	2.38	2.12	2.35	1.65	1.76	1.82	1.50
6	LAR	1.95	−0.04	2	2.12	2.12	1.71	2.12	1.82	1.80
7	SEA	1.95	+0.00	1.63	1.82	2.29	2.53	1.94	1.47	2
8	DEN	1.96	−0.04	2.56	1.65	1.76	2.41	1.53	1.41	2.40
9	NE	2.00	+0.01	2.31	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.41	1.94	2
10	BUF	2.03	+0.19	2	1.53	1.69	1.47	2.35	2	3.20
11	GB	2.04	−0.01	2.19	2.24	2.12	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.40
12	NO	2.06	+0.16	2.06	1.76	1.59	1.71	2.06	2.06	3.20
13	PHI	2.07	−0.15	2.81	2.12	2	2.65	1.29	1.65	2
14	TB	2.13	+0.01	2.38	2	2.12	1.53	2.24	2.65	2
15	HOU	2.22	−0.20	3.06	2.59	2.59	1.59	2.12	1.59	2
16	CLE	2.23	−0.03	2.38	1.94	2.06	2.41	3	2.24	1.60
17	CHI	2.24	−0.13	2.31	2.47	2.94	2.18	1.88	2.53	1.40
18	ATL	2.26	−0.04	2.75	2.29	1.94	2	2.35	2.06	2.40
19	TEN	2.26	+0.06	2.63	1.71	1.88	1.71	2.94	2.94	2
20	JAX	2.27	−0.23	3.19	2.76	1.76	2.47	2.41	1.88	1.40
21	NYG	2.28	+0.06	1.81	2.47	2	2.47	2.59	2.41	2.20
22	LAC	2.29	−0.07	2.50	2.53	2.35	2.59	1.71	1.76	2.60
23	CIN	2.31	−0.00	2.69	2.18	1.63	2.12	2.71	3.24	1.60
24	NYJ	2.35	−0.12	3.13	2.94	1.71	1.82	1.88	3.18	1.80
25	MIA	2.41	+0.06	2.44	2.24	2.24	2.65	1.76	2.53	3
26	IND	2.41	+0.08	2.56	1.82	2.41	2.29	2.53	2.24	3
27	DAL	2.46	+0.19	2.81	1.71	1.65	1.82	2.88	3.12	3.20
28	CAR	2.47	+0.12	2.31	1.88	2.12	2.65	3.18	2.41	2.75
29	DET	2.50	−0.09	3.31	2.53	2.35	2.29	1.88	2.29	2.80
30	LV	2.52	+0.03	2.75	2.59	2.35	2	2.35	2.59	3
31	WAS	2.56	+0.16	2.06	2.53	2.06	3.12	2.06	2.71	3.40
32	ARI	2.59	+0.12	2.25	2.06	2.82	3	2.06	2.76	3.20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DEN	2.56	1.65	1.76	2.41	1.53	1.41	2.40
SEA	1.63	1.82	2.29	2.53	1.94	1.47	2
HOU	3.06	2.59	2.59	1.59	2.12	1.59	2
PHI	2.81	2.12	2	2.65	1.29	1.65	2
LAC	2.50	2.53	2.35	2.59	1.71	1.76	2.60
GB	2.19	2.24	2.12	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.40
KC	2.38	2.12	2.35	1.65	1.76	1.82	1.50
LAR	2	2.12	2.12	1.71	2.12	1.82	1.80
MIN	2.63	2.24	2.29	1.88	1.82	1.82	0.80
JAX	3.19	2.76	1.76	2.47	2.41	1.88	1.40
NE	2.31	1.59	1.94	1.82	2.41	1.94	2
PIT	2	2.24	1.88	1.41	1.82	1.94	2
BUF	2	1.53	1.69	1.47	2.35	2	3.20
ATL	2.75	2.29	1.94	2	2.35	2.06	2.40
NO	2.06	1.76	1.59	1.71	2.06	2.06	3.20
BAL	1.56	2.29	1.65	1.06	1.88	2.12	1.60
SF	2.31	2.12	1.59	1.35	2.47	2.18	1.40
CLE	2.38	1.94	2.06	2.41	3	2.24	1.60
IND	2.56	1.82	2.41	2.29	2.53	2.24	3
DET	3.31	2.53	2.35	2.29	1.88	2.29	2.80
CAR	2.31	1.88	2.12	2.65	3.18	2.41	2.75
NYG	1.81	2.47	2	2.47	2.59	2.41	2.20
CHI	2.31	2.47	2.94	2.18	1.88	2.53	1.40
MIA	2.44	2.24	2.24	2.65	1.76	2.53	3
LV	2.75	2.59	2.35	2	2.35	2.59	3
TB	2.38	2	2.12	1.53	2.24	2.65	2
WAS	2.06	2.53	2.06	3.12	2.06	2.71	3.40
ARI	2.25	2.06	2.82	3	2.06	2.76	3.20
TEN	2.63	1.71	1.88	1.71	2.94	2.94	2
DAL	2.81	1.71	1.65	1.82	2.88	3.12	3.20
NYJ	3.13	2.94	1.71	1.82	1.88	3.18	1.80
CIN	2.69	2.18	1.63	2.12	2.71	3.24	1.60

Xpm (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.38), 2019 Ravens (1.31), 2020 Ravens (1.56), 2021 Bills (1.53), 2022 Saints (1.59), 2023 Ravens (1.06), 2024 Eagles (1.29), 2025 Broncos (1.41).

Ravens have led this stat 3 of 8 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2023 at 1.06; the worst Lions 2020 at 3.31.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_scoring_xpm
Side: defensive
Family: Scoring
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.