What Third down pct (allowed) is

Third-down conversion rate allowed: third downs opponents converted divided by third downs they faced against this defense, as a percentage. The share of third downs the defense failed to get off the field on.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Seahawks led at 33.05; the league average was 40.25.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

SEA · 33.05

League average

40.25

Best to worst

15.03

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SEA	33.05	17
2	DEN	33.76	17
3	MIN	34.53	17
4	LAC	35.18	17
5	NO	35.89	17
6	LAR	36.44	17
7	HOU	37.10	17
8	CLE	37.22	17
9	DET	37.26	17
10	BAL	38.16	17
11	NE	38.69	17
12	NYJ	38.94	17
13	TB	39.50	17
14	NYG	40.00	17
15	ATL	40.09	17
16	GB	40.55	17
17	JAX	40.55	17
18	MIA	40.58	17
19	CHI	40.84	17
20	SF	41.27	17
21	TEN	41.50	17
22	PHI	41.59	17
23	WAS	42.18	17
24	BUF	42.36	17
25	PIT	42.55	17
26	IND	43.06	17
27	CIN	44.06	17
28	KC	44.14	17
29	ARI	44.78	17
30	LV	46.70	17
31	DAL	47.50	17
32	CAR	48.08	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SEA · 33.05

League laggard

CAR · 48.08

League average

40.25

Spread (max − min)

15.03

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SEA	33.05	-7.21	100%
2	DEN	33.76	-6.50	96.8%
3	MIN	34.53	-5.72	93.5%
4	LAC	35.18	-5.08	90.3%
5	NO	35.89	-4.37	87.1%
6	LAR	36.44	-3.81	83.9%
7	HOU	37.10	-3.15	80.6%
8	CLE	37.22	-3.03	77.4%
9	DET	37.26	-2.99	74.2%
10	BAL	38.16	-2.10	71%
11	NE	38.69	-1.56	67.7%
12	NYJ	38.94	-1.31	64.5%
13	TB	39.50	-0.75	61.3%
14	NYG	40.00	-0.25	58.1%
15	ATL	40.09	-0.16	54.8%
16	GB	40.55	0.30	51.6%
17	JAX	40.55	0.30	48.4%
18	MIA	40.58	0.33	45.2%
19	CHI	40.84	0.58	41.9%
20	SF	41.27	1.02	38.7%
21	TEN	41.50	1.25	35.5%
22	PHI	41.59	1.34	32.3%
23	WAS	42.18	1.93	29%
24	BUF	42.36	2.11	25.8%
25	PIT	42.55	2.30	22.6%
26	IND	43.06	2.80	19.4%
27	CIN	44.06	3.81	16.1%
28	KC	44.14	3.89	12.9%
29	ARI	44.78	4.52	9.7%
30	LV	46.70	6.44	6.5%
31	DAL	47.50	7.25	3.2%
32	CAR	48.08	7.82	0%

Does Third down pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 803–775–37 ATS (50.9%) across 2020–2025, #225 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (141–113, 55.5%); its worst 2023 (115–143, 44.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	141–113–2	55.5%
2021	272	143–127–2	53.0%
2022	271	130–134–7	49.2%
2023	272	115–143–14	44.6%
2024	272	137–126–9	52.1%
2025	272	137–132–3	50.9%

Third down pct (allowed) in 2025 vs 2024

Seahawks lead at 33.05 — they ranked #11 last year. Panthers are last at 48.08 — #32 last year.

The league average is 40.25, up 0.05 from 40.20 last year.

Biggest riser: Falcons, #31 → #15. Biggest faller: Steelers, #3 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 15.03; 20 teams are within 3.77 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DAL · +10.55

Biggest faller

ATL · −5.41

Most consistent

NYJ · −0.21

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.05

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	DAL	47.50	36.95	+10.55
2	PIT	42.55	35.64	+6.91
3	PHI	41.59	35.55	+6.05
4	LV	46.70	40.83	+5.87
5	DET	37.26	32.97	+4.29
6	MIA	40.58	36.59	+3.99
7	WAS	42.18	39.13	+3.05
8	CHI	40.84	38.21	+2.63
9	CIN	44.06	42.03	+2.03
10	GB	40.55	38.54	+2.02
11	TB	39.50	37.91	+1.59
12	HOU	37.10	35.91	+1.19
13	ARI	44.78	44.17	+0.60
14	KC	44.14	43.72	+0.42
15	CLE	37.22	36.82	+0.40
16	NYJ	38.94	39.15	−0.21
17	TEN	41.50	42.25	−0.75
18	LAC	35.18	36.16	−0.98
19	NYG	40.00	41.40	−1.40
20	MIN	34.53	35.94	−1.42
21	BAL	38.16	39.65	−1.49
22	SF	41.27	43.26	−1.99
23	IND	43.06	45.41	−2.36
24	BUF	42.36	45.00	−2.64
25	CAR	48.08	50.91	−2.83
26	JAX	40.55	44.39	−3.84
27	DEN	33.76	38.36	−4.61
28	LAR	36.44	41.18	−4.73
29	NE	38.69	43.66	−4.97
30	SEA	33.05	38.12	−5.07
31	NO	35.89	41.26	−5.37
32	ATL	40.09	45.50	−5.41

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

MIN · 36.00

Multi-year laggard

CAR · 44.84

Biggest improver

LAC · −2.50/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · +2.24/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	MIN	36.00	−2.05	40.66	36.45	38.89	41.74	35.94	34.53	23.81
2	BAL	37.46	+1.08	34.74	35.15	35.75	37.25	39.65	38.16	41.54
3	PIT	38.29	−0.16	37.84	37.23	40.65	39.66	35.64	42.55	34.43
4	LAR	38.44	−0.48	35.58	41.70	40.78	38.94	41.18	36.44	34.48
5	TB	38.53	−0.65	40.20	38.94	38.14	41.15	37.91	39.50	33.87
6	CLE	38.57	−0.68	44.78	39.91	40.57	29.26	36.82	37.22	41.43
7	DEN	38.96	−0.18	41.01	45.50	34.25	34.00	38.36	33.76	45.83
8	LAC	39.73	−2.50	44.55	50.23	39.20	40.52	36.16	35.18	32.26
9	NE	39.73	−0.17	41.53	37.80	40.76	37.34	43.66	38.69	38.33
10	BUF	39.74	+1.44	39.58	31.46	37.50	38.97	45.00	42.36	43.28
11	CHI	39.86	−1.76	38.28	41.35	49.75	44.59	38.21	40.84	26.00
12	NYJ	39.91	−1.63	45.73	45.21	38.43	37.50	39.15	38.94	34.43
13	IND	39.96	−0.91	43.07	41.35	38.12	37.66	45.41	43.06	31.03
14	NO	40.10	+1.10	38.54	37.39	41.88	35.75	41.26	35.89	50.00
15	SEA	40.17	−2.11	47.75	39.29	42.86	46.32	38.12	33.05	33.82
16	HOU	40.23	−1.61	48.00	44.12	40.28	37.17	35.91	37.10	39.06
17	SF	40.79	+0.52	36.55	41.55	40.93	41.12	43.26	41.27	40.85
18	TEN	40.81	−0.83	52.36	37.14	34.38	38.96	42.25	41.50	39.06
19	PHI	41.00	−0.30	39.42	44.19	39.55	47.01	35.55	41.59	39.73
20	KC	41.06	+0.04	41.94	40.91	39.82	38.01	43.72	44.14	38.89
21	NYG	41.11	+0.27	45.27	40.89	35.47	38.32	41.40	40.00	46.43
22	MIA	41.14	+2.24	31.69	41.85	42.17	39.72	36.59	40.58	55.36
23	GB	41.33	+0.69	40.00	42.86	38.22	41.33	38.54	40.55	47.83
24	WAS	41.37	+0.40	39.15	49.33	32.54	41.78	39.13	42.18	45.45
25	JAX	41.65	−1.08	45.08	43.84	43.38	37.50	44.39	40.55	36.84
26	DAL	42.49	+1.61	47.85	34.39	38.26	37.91	36.95	47.50	54.55
27	CIN	42.82	+0.45	43.54	42.47	40.09	41.51	42.03	44.06	46.03
28	ATL	42.86	−0.77	41.97	49.53	46.54	34.98	45.50	40.09	41.43
29	DET	42.86	−0.78	48.68	45.54	46.53	37.62	32.97	37.26	51.43
30	ARI	43.13	+0.88	40.10	38.65	43.07	47.32	44.17	44.78	43.86
31	LV	43.71	−0.36	49.50	40.79	42.79	42.48	40.83	46.70	42.86
32	CAR	44.84	+0.11	51.02	38.43	41.85	41.04	50.91	48.08	42.59

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SEA	47.75	39.29	42.86	46.32	38.12	33.05	33.82
DEN	41.01	45.50	34.25	34.00	38.36	33.76	45.83
MIN	40.66	36.45	38.89	41.74	35.94	34.53	23.81
LAC	44.55	50.23	39.20	40.52	36.16	35.18	32.26
NO	38.54	37.39	41.88	35.75	41.26	35.89	50.00
LAR	35.58	41.70	40.78	38.94	41.18	36.44	34.48
HOU	48.00	44.12	40.28	37.17	35.91	37.10	39.06
CLE	44.78	39.91	40.57	29.26	36.82	37.22	41.43
DET	48.68	45.54	46.53	37.62	32.97	37.26	51.43
BAL	34.74	35.15	35.75	37.25	39.65	38.16	41.54
NE	41.53	37.80	40.76	37.34	43.66	38.69	38.33
NYJ	45.73	45.21	38.43	37.50	39.15	38.94	34.43
TB	40.20	38.94	38.14	41.15	37.91	39.50	33.87
NYG	45.27	40.89	35.47	38.32	41.40	40.00	46.43
ATL	41.97	49.53	46.54	34.98	45.50	40.09	41.43
GB	40.00	42.86	38.22	41.33	38.54	40.55	47.83
JAX	45.08	43.84	43.38	37.50	44.39	40.55	36.84
MIA	31.69	41.85	42.17	39.72	36.59	40.58	55.36
CHI	38.28	41.35	49.75	44.59	38.21	40.84	26.00
SF	36.55	41.55	40.93	41.12	43.26	41.27	40.85
TEN	52.36	37.14	34.38	38.96	42.25	41.50	39.06
PHI	39.42	44.19	39.55	47.01	35.55	41.59	39.73
WAS	39.15	49.33	32.54	41.78	39.13	42.18	45.45
BUF	39.58	31.46	37.50	38.97	45.00	42.36	43.28
PIT	37.84	37.23	40.65	39.66	35.64	42.55	34.43
IND	43.07	41.35	38.12	37.66	45.41	43.06	31.03
CIN	43.54	42.47	40.09	41.51	42.03	44.06	46.03
KC	41.94	40.91	39.82	38.01	43.72	44.14	38.89
ARI	40.10	38.65	43.07	47.32	44.17	44.78	43.86
LV	49.50	40.79	42.79	42.48	40.83	46.70	42.86
DAL	47.85	34.39	38.26	37.91	36.95	47.50	54.55
CAR	51.02	38.43	41.85	41.04	50.91	48.08	42.59

Third down pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Vikings (30.21), 2019 Patriots (24.23), 2020 Dolphins (31.69), 2021 Bills (31.46), 2022 Commanders (32.54), 2023 Browns (29.26), 2024 Lions (32.97), 2025 Seahawks (33.05).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 24.23; the worst Titans 2020 at 52.36.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_third_down_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.