What Fourth down success (allowed) is

Fourth downs opponents converted against this defense. The count behind the rate.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Jaguars led at 0.19; the league average was 0.59.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

JAX · 0.19

League average

0.59

Best to worst

0.94

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	JAX	0.19	16
2	WAS	0.31	16
3	BUF	0.38	16
4	DAL	0.38	16
5	DEN	0.38	16
6	MIA	0.38	16
7	NE	0.38	16
8	SEA	0.38	16
9	IND	0.44	16
10	PIT	0.44	16
11	TB	0.44	16
12	ARI	0.50	16
13	LV	0.50	16
14	DET	0.56	16
15	LAR	0.56	16
16	MIN	0.56	16
17	NYJ	0.56	16
18	ATL	0.63	16
19	BAL	0.63	16
20	CAR	0.63	16
21	SF	0.63	16
22	CIN	0.69	16
23	LAC	0.69	16
24	PHI	0.69	16
25	TEN	0.69	16
26	GB	0.75	16
27	HOU	0.75	16
28	CLE	0.81	16
29	NO	0.88	16
30	NYG	0.88	16
31	CHI	1	16
32	KC	1.13	16

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

JAX · 0.19

League laggard

KC · 1.13

League average

0.59

Spread (max − min)

0.94

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	JAX	0.19	-0.40	100%
2	WAS	0.31	-0.27	96.8%
3	BUF	0.38	-0.21	93.5%
4	DAL	0.38	-0.21	90.3%
5	DEN	0.38	-0.21	87.1%
6	MIA	0.38	-0.21	83.9%
7	NE	0.38	-0.21	80.6%
8	SEA	0.38	-0.21	77.4%
9	IND	0.44	-0.15	74.2%
10	PIT	0.44	-0.15	71%
11	TB	0.44	-0.15	67.7%
12	ARI	0.50	-0.09	64.5%
13	LV	0.50	-0.09	61.3%
14	DET	0.56	-0.02	58.1%
15	LAR	0.56	-0.02	54.8%
16	MIN	0.56	-0.02	51.6%
17	NYJ	0.56	-0.02	48.4%
18	ATL	0.63	0.04	45.2%
19	BAL	0.63	0.04	41.9%
20	CAR	0.63	0.04	38.7%
21	SF	0.63	0.04	35.5%
22	CIN	0.69	0.10	32.3%
23	LAC	0.69	0.10	29%
24	PHI	0.69	0.10	25.8%
25	TEN	0.69	0.10	22.6%
26	GB	0.75	0.16	19.4%
27	HOU	0.75	0.16	16.1%
28	CLE	0.81	0.23	12.9%
29	NO	0.88	0.29	9.7%
30	NYG	0.88	0.29	6.5%
31	CHI	1	0.41	3.2%
32	KC	1.13	0.54	0%

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 768–810–37 ATS (48.7%) across 2020–2025, #273 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (137–117, 53.9%); its worst 2024 (109–154, 41.4%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	137–117–2	53.9%
2021	272	126–144–2	46.7%
2022	271	132–132–7	50.0%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	109–154–9	41.4%
2025	272	136–133–3	50.6%

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CLE · 0.57

Multi-year laggard

PHI · 0.95

Biggest improver

CLE · −0.19/yr

Biggest decliner

PIT · +0.14/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CLE	0.57	−0.19	1.38	0.94	0.47	0.35	0.47	0.41	0
2	CHI	0.58	−0.04	0.81	0.71	0.35	0.59	0.53	0.65	0.40
3	CIN	0.60	+0.01	0.63	0.41	0.56	0.41	0.94	1.06	0.20
4	CAR	0.62	+0.08	0.38	0.71	0.47	0.41	0.53	0.82	1
5	NYG	0.64	−0.07	0.69	0.88	0.65	0.59	0.71	0.94	0
6	NO	0.65	−0.06	1	0.53	0.47	0.65	0.82	1.06	0
7	NYJ	0.66	+0.05	0.31	0.76	0.65	0.41	0.94	0.94	0.60
8	NE	0.66	−0.03	0.56	1.06	0.59	0.59	0.65	0.59	0.60
9	ARI	0.73	+0.02	0.88	0.82	0.47	0.41	0.82	0.71	1
10	DEN	0.73	+0.07	0.44	0.65	0.53	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.80
11	LAC	0.73	+0.07	0.63	0.41	0.35	1.12	1.06	0.76	0.80
12	DAL	0.74	−0.07	0.63	0.94	0.71	1.12	1	0.76	0
13	HOU	0.75	−0.01	0.69	0.65	0.76	0.94	1	0.59	0.60
14	MIA	0.75	−0.01	0.75	0.65	0.88	0.82	0.59	1.18	0.40
15	IND	0.77	+0.08	0.38	0.71	0.76	1	0.65	0.88	1
16	WAS	0.78	+0.05	0.56	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.94	1.18	0.60
17	JAX	0.78	−0.02	0.75	0.82	0.59	1.24	0.82	0.65	0.60
18	ATL	0.78	+0.11	0.63	0.65	0.41	0.65	0.82	1.12	1.20
19	LV	0.79	−0.07	0.88	1.24	0.65	0.82	0.59	0.76	0.60
20	SF	0.80	+0.04	0.81	0.65	0.59	0.82	1	0.71	1
21	LAR	0.80	−0.00	0.56	1	0.82	0.94	0.53	1.35	0.40
22	TEN	0.81	−0.04	0.94	0.82	1.12	0.71	0.59	0.71	0.80
23	PIT	0.83	+0.14	0.31	0.76	0.76	0.47	0.88	1.65	1
24	TB	0.84	+0.01	0.88	0.76	0.82	0.71	1.12	0.82	0.80
25	KC	0.85	−0.05	0.81	1.12	1.18	0.76	0.71	0.35	1
26	SEA	0.85	+0.10	0.63	0.76	0.65	0.76	0.59	1.35	1.20
27	BAL	0.88	+0.02	1	0.65	0.88	0.76	0.71	1.35	0.80
28	MIN	0.88	−0.02	1.06	0.88	0.65	1.06	0.76	0.94	0.80
29	GB	0.89	+0.03	0.88	0.88	0.65	0.82	1.06	1.18	0.80
30	DET	0.90	+0.12	0.69	0.53	0.88	0.88	0.71	1.24	1.40
31	BUF	0.94	+0.07	0.69	0.94	1.19	0.59	1	0.59	1.60
32	PHI	0.95	+0.12	0.44	0.88	0.88	1.12	1.12	0.65	1.60

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_fourth_down_success
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.